Albemarle (ALB)
Market Price (12/14/2025): $131.87 | Market Cap: $15.5 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals
Albemarle (ALB)
Market Price (12/14/2025): $131.87Market Cap: $15.5 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Specialty Chemicals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 2260x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Renewable Energy Transition, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 120% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.5% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Renewable Energy Transition, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 2260x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 120% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.5% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ALB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining Albemarle's (ALB) stock movement during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025:
1. Strong Second Quarter 2025 Earnings and August Lithium Price Surge. Albemarle reported better-than-expected second-quarter 2025 results with an adjusted EPS of $0.11, significantly surpassing analyst expectations of a $0.84 loss, and revenue of $1.33 billion exceeding estimates. This robust financial performance, combined with a more than 30% increase in lithium prices in August 2025 due to the suspension of operations at a Chinese project, contributed to Albemarle's stock rising 25.2% in August.
2. Strategic Capital Expenditure Reductions and Cost Savings. The company implemented aggressive cost-cutting measures, achieving its $400 million cost and productivity improvement target six months early. Albemarle also significantly reduced its full-year 2025 capital expenditure outlook from $1.7 billion in 2024 to an anticipated range of $600-$700 million, demonstrating strong financial discipline and aiming for positive free cash flow.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALB Return | 105% | 60% | -7% | -33% | -39% | 60% | 99% |
| Peers Return | 70% | 90% | 2% | -21% | -21% | 39% | 186% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALB Win Rate | 83% | 58% | 42% | 33% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 52% | 48% | 38% | 42% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALB Max Drawdown | -30% | -5% | -26% | -47% | -49% | -41% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -51% | -9% | -17% | -43% | -34% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LAC, HON, FMC, TTI. See ALB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ALB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -65.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 187.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 162 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -59.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 143.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 483 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -66.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 202.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 579 days | 1480 days |
Compare to HON, PPG, HUN, VRDE, SHW
In The Past
Albemarle's stock fell -65.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/11/2022. A -65.2% loss requires a 187.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ALB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.7% | 6.7% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 40.6% | 40.6% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.7% | 4.7% | -2.5% |
| 11302023 | ALB | Albemarle | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | -9.9% | -39.3% |
| 12312022 | ALB | Albemarle | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | -32.8% | -47.5% |
| 11302019 | ALB | Albemarle | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.3% | 114.7% | -21.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.7% | 6.7% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 40.6% | 40.6% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.7% | 4.7% | -2.5% |
| 11302023 | ALB | Albemarle | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | -9.9% | -39.3% |
| 12312022 | ALB | Albemarle | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | -32.8% | -47.5% |
| 11302019 | ALB | Albemarle | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.3% | 114.7% | -21.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Albemarle
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 13.88 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| Rev LTM | 3,608 |
| Op Inc LTM | 61 |
| FCF LTM | 6 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -40 |
| CFO LTM | 74 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 62 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -6.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 15.2 |
| P/E | -5.1 |
| P/CFO | 10.3 |
| Total Yield | 1.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.1% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 14.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 74.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 94.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 35.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | -42.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 57.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 80.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 16.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -119.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Storage | 7,079 | 4,661 | |||
| Specialties | 1,482 | 1,760 | |||
| Ketjen | 1,056 | 900 | |||
| All Other | 0 | 75 | 221 | 165 | |
| Bromine | 1,128 | 965 | 1,004 | ||
| Catalysts | 761 | 798 | 1,062 | ||
| Lithium | 1,363 | 1,145 | 1,358 | ||
| Total | 9,617 | 7,320 | 3,328 | 3,129 | 3,589 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Storage | 13,246 | 10,472 | |||
| Corporate | 1,972 | 2,374 | 1,208 | 1,246 | 1,181 |
| Specialties | 1,696 | 1,397 | |||
| Ketjen | 1,356 | 1,214 | |||
| Bromine | 940 | 868 | 799 | ||
| Catalysts | 1,150 | 1,066 | 1,164 | ||
| Lithium | 7,676 | 7,134 | 6,571 | ||
| All Other | 137 | 146 | |||
| Total | 18,271 | 15,457 | 10,974 | 10,451 | 9,861 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | -0.8% | 20.0% | 38.3% |
| 7/30/2025 | -1.5% | -2.3% | 23.3% |
| 4/30/2025 | 1.3% | -4.3% | -4.8% |
| 2/12/2025 | 3.5% | 7.7% | -1.2% |
| 11/6/2024 | 3.5% | 12.0% | 8.7% |
| 7/31/2024 | -0.5% | -15.6% | -2.2% |
| 5/1/2024 | 5.3% | 9.6% | 3.0% |
| 2/14/2024 | 2.7% | 3.3% | 7.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 3.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% |
| Median Negative | -1.9% | -4.3% | -4.0% |
| Max Positive | 12.9% | 26.9% | 49.0% |
| Max Negative | -19.9% | -25.1% | -30.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |