Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.9%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 6.6%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Wind Energy Development, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 6.6%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Wind Energy Development, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.9%
8 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ALE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Regulatory Approval of Strategic Partnership



ALLETE secured unanimous regulatory approval from the Minnesota Public Utilities Commission (MPUC) on October 3, 2025, for its partnership with Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPP Investments) and Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP). This crucial approval was a significant positive catalyst, signaling the impending closure of a strategic transaction that is anticipated to deliver approximately $200 million in customer benefits.

2. Anticipation of Transaction Closure



Following the MPUC's approval, the market anticipated the finalization of the partnership transaction in late 2025. This collaboration with experienced infrastructure investors was likely viewed as a favorable long-term strategic move, contributing to investor confidence despite immediate financial performance challenges.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALE Return-20%11%1%-1%11%8%7%
Peers Return-11%10%2%-8%13%12%15%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALE Win Rate42%58%42%42%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate40%43%42%38%42%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALE Max Drawdown-38%-3%-25%-19%-7%-0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-5%-11%-16%-8%-5% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BKH, NWE, AVA, MGEE, IMSR. See ALE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven269 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven113.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1510 days1480 days

Compare to BKH, NWE, AVA, MGEE, IMSR


In The Past

ALLETE's stock fell -33.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/6/2021. A -33.6% loss requires a 50.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About ALLETE (ALE)

Better Bets than ALLETE (ALE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%
ALE_3312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312020ALEALLETEDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-13.2%15.6%-17.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%
ALE_3312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312020ALEALLETEDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-13.2%15.6%-17.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ALLETE

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALEBKHNWEAVAMGEEIMSRMedian
NameALLETE Black Hi.NorthWes.Avista MGE Ener.Terrestr. 
Mkt Price67.6571.1566.7239.3379.979.6067.19
Mkt Cap3.95.24.13.22.9-3.9
Rev LTM1,5002,2721,5701,96472601,535
Op Inc LTM139530357344166-15255
FCF LTM-322-105-122-23-32-11-69
FCF 3Y Avg6790-129-81-1--1
CFO LTM343658401484297-10372
CFO 3Y Avg478753411430251-430

Growth & Margins

ALEBKHNWEAVAMGEEIMSRMedian
NameALLETE Black Hi.NorthWes.Avista MGE Ener.Terrestr. 
Rev Chg LTM-4.3%7.0%4.9%2.1%8.3%-4.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.4%-0.1%3.9%6.4%2.0%-2.0%
Rev Chg Q-7.9%7.1%12.1%2.3%4.3%-4.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.1%1.3%2.7%0.5%1.0%-1.0%
Op Mgn LTM9.2%23.3%22.8%17.5%22.9%-12,071.6%20.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.6%21.4%21.3%15.4%21.7%-21.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.8%-0.2%0.2%0.5%0.2%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM22.8%29.0%25.6%24.6%40.9%-8,232.4%25.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg28.4%32.7%27.1%22.7%35.7%-28.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-21.5%-4.6%-7.8%-1.2%-4.4%-8,894.8%-6.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.5%3.6%-8.5%-4.5%-0.0%--0.0%

Valuation

ALEBKHNWEAVAMGEEIMSRMedian
NameALLETE Black Hi.NorthWes.Avista MGE Ener.Terrestr. 
Mkt Cap3.95.24.13.22.9-3.9
P/S2.62.02.31.64.2-2.3
P/EBIT21.18.49.78.716.4-9.7
P/E23.315.716.616.322.9-16.6
P/CFO11.36.89.06.310.4-9.0
Total Yield8.6%10.7%10.5%11.3%6.5%-10.5%
Dividend Yield4.3%4.3%4.5%5.1%2.2%-4.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.8%2.7%-3.9%-3.1%-0.0%--0.0%
D/E0.61.00.91.00.3-0.9
Net D/E0.61.00.91.00.3-0.9

Returns

ALEBKHNWEAVAMGEEIMSRMedian
NameALLETE Black Hi.NorthWes.Avista MGE Ener.Terrestr. 
1M Rtn0.5%12.5%11.1%4.4%-3.0%-37.9%2.4%
3M Rtn6.6%20.8%18.0%9.3%-4.8%-9.3%
6M Rtn5.0%26.4%29.6%8.2%-8.9%-8.2%
12M Rtn8.3%18.0%28.8%8.9%-21.5%-8.9%
3Y Rtn16.4%14.3%32.6%9.0%20.7%-16.4%
1M Excs Rtn0.5%12.5%11.1%4.4%-3.0%-37.8%2.4%
3M Excs Rtn0.9%15.3%11.6%3.4%-11.0%-3.4%
6M Excs Rtn-9.8%11.7%14.9%-6.5%-23.6%--6.5%
12M Excs Rtn-5.7%2.5%13.3%-6.6%-35.2%--5.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-57.1%-57.7%-38.8%-60.7%-51.7%--57.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Regulated Operations4,3354,2914,2894,1974,131
ALLETE Clean Energy1,5941,8731,7191,4831,002
Corporate and Other727681426404350
Total6,6566,8466,4356,0855,483


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity839,062
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120258.2%
Average Daily Volume596,830
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.41
Basic Shares Quantity58,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021