Asbury Automotive (ABG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $236.08 | Market Cap: $4.6 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Retail
Asbury Automotive (ABG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $236.08Market Cap: $4.6 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.6%, FCF Yield is 13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -42% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 125% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.6%, FCF Yield is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -42% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 125% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ABG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining the approximate -6.1% movement in Asbury Automotive (ABG) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:
1. Mixed Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Performance. Asbury Automotive Group reported record adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $7.17 for the third quarter of 2025, surpassing analyst estimates. However, total revenue for the quarter reached $4.80 billion, which, despite being a 13% increase year-over-year, slightly missed some consensus revenue estimates. This mixed financial picture may have led to a cautious investor response and a slight dip in the stock.
2. Persistent Market Challenges and Elevated Leverage. The company continued to face challenges such as ongoing supply constraints in the used vehicle market. Additionally, elevated debt levels resulting from recent acquisitions were noted by analysts as potential factors that could challenge Asbury Automotive Group's optimistic growth outlook and limit future profitability.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ABG Return | 30% | 19% | 4% | 26% | 8% | -5% | 106% |
| Peers Return | 10% | 40% | -3% | 22% | 24% | -1% | 124% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ABG Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 55% | 40% | 47% | 52% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ABG Max Drawdown | -62% | -2% | -18% | -3% | -10% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -1% | -28% | -17% | -18% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: R, GPI, ASO, VSCO, BGSI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ABG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 104 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -62.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 165.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 186 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -27.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 144 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -93.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1391.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1415 days | 1480 days |
Compare to R, GPI, ASO, VSCO, BGSI
In The Past
Asbury Automotive's stock fell -38.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/21/2021. A -38.6% loss requires a 62.8% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ABG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| 03312020 | ABG | Asbury Automotive | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 72.9% | 255.8% | -23.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| 03312020 | ABG | Asbury Automotive | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 72.9% | 255.8% | -23.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Asbury Automotive
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 173.70 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| Rev LTM | 9,486 |
| Op Inc LTM | 735 |
| FCF LTM | 247 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 250 |
| CFO LTM | 626 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 498 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| P/S | 0.3 |
| P/EBIT | 5.8 |
| P/E | 9.8 |
| P/CFO | 5.5 |
| Total Yield | 10.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| D/E | 1.2 |
| Net D/E | 1.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 17.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 28.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 2.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -11.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -41.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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