Tearsheet

Asbury Automotive (ABG)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $241.63 | Market Cap: $4.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Retail

Asbury Automotive (ABG)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $241.63
Market Cap: $4.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.6%, FCF Yield is 13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -34%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 125%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
  Key risks
ABG key risks include [1] an FTC lawsuit alleging deceptive and discriminatory sales practices and [2] operational disruptions from the major cyber-attack on its key vendor, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Experiential Retail, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.6%, FCF Yield is 13%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Experiential Retail, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -34%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 125%
5 Key risks
ABG key risks include [1] an FTC lawsuit alleging deceptive and discriminatory sales practices and [2] operational disruptions from the major cyber-attack on its key vendor, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ABG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points that may explain the approximate -3.7% movement in Asbury Automotive (ABG) stock during the specified period: 1. Analyst Price Target Reduction: On December 4, 2025, Barclays lowered its price target for Asbury Automotive to $251 from $275, indicating a more cautious outlook from a significant financial institution.

2. Leadership Transition Announcement: On December 8, 2025, Asbury Automotive announced a leadership succession plan where CEO David Hult would transition to Executive Chairman and COO Dan Clara would assume the role of President and CEO after the 2026 Annual Meeting. While presented as a planned transition, such executive changes can introduce short-term investor uncertainty regarding future strategic direction.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ABG Return30%19%4%26%8%-0%117%
Peers Return44%47%-7%46%15%7%254%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ABG Win Rate67%50%50%67%33%42% 
Peers Win Rate68%60%53%60%53%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ABG Max Drawdown-62%-2%-18%-3%-10%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-61%-3%-25%-5%-15%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LAD, PAG, AN, GPI, SAH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventABGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven104 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven165.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven186 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-27.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven144 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-93.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1391.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1415 days1480 days

Compare to R, GPI, ASO, VSCO, BGSI


In The Past

Asbury Automotive's stock fell -38.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/21/2021. A -38.6% loss requires a 62.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Asbury Automotive (ABG)

Better Bets than Asbury Automotive (ABG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ABG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
ABG_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020ABGAsbury AutomotiveDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
72.9%255.8%-23.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
ABG_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020ABGAsbury AutomotiveDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
72.9%255.8%-23.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Asbury Automotive

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ABGLADPAGANGPISAHMedian
NameAsbury A.Lithia M.Penske A.AutoNati.Group 1 .Sonic Au. 
Mkt Price241.92344.05168.01206.29408.0564.86224.10
Mkt Cap4.78.711.17.85.22.26.5
Rev LTM17,82737,61130,68227,91522,53815,17825,227
Op Inc LTM1,0141,5481,2961,2849835531,149
FCF LTM629-42757-178493434464
FCF 3Y Avg350-28077357236-59147
CFO LTM8682951,070111778588683
CFO 3Y Avg546311,125408465118437

Growth & Margins

ABGLADPAGANGPISAHMedian
NameAsbury A.Lithia M.Penske A.AutoNati.Group 1 .Sonic Au. 
Rev Chg LTM8.1%8.4%2.2%6.1%19.4%9.1%8.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.5%11.0%4.3%1.3%13.0%3.9%5.9%
Rev Chg Q13.3%4.9%1.4%6.9%10.7%13.8%8.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.3%1.2%0.3%1.6%2.6%3.3%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM5.7%4.1%4.2%4.6%4.4%3.6%4.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.4%4.7%4.5%5.2%5.1%3.6%4.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%-0.0%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM4.9%0.8%3.5%0.4%3.5%3.9%3.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.2%0.0%3.8%1.5%2.3%0.7%1.9%
FCF/Rev LTM3.5%-0.1%2.5%-0.6%2.2%2.9%2.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.1%-0.9%2.6%0.2%1.1%-0.5%0.7%

Valuation

ABGLADPAGANGPISAHMedian
NameAsbury A.Lithia M.Penske A.AutoNati.Group 1 .Sonic Au. 
Mkt Cap4.78.711.17.85.22.26.5
P/S0.30.20.40.30.20.20.3
P/EBIT4.74.27.46.17.17.06.6
P/E8.58.812.212.414.920.012.3
P/CFO5.527.010.773.97.24.49.0
Total Yield11.8%12.0%10.4%8.1%7.2%6.8%9.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%2.2%0.0%0.5%1.8%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.4%-3.4%6.9%1.1%5.0%-5.7%3.1%
D/E1.31.80.71.21.01.61.2
Net D/E1.31.80.71.21.01.61.2

Returns

ABGLADPAGANGPISAHMedian
NameAsbury A.Lithia M.Penske A.AutoNati.Group 1 .Sonic Au. 
1M Rtn11.6%20.6%7.9%6.8%6.6%6.6%7.3%
3M Rtn-0.4%3.5%-4.7%-6.4%-10.8%-16.4%-5.6%
6M Rtn2.6%5.6%0.2%6.9%-6.8%-15.6%1.4%
12M Rtn-4.1%-6.5%7.2%21.0%-2.7%1.3%-0.7%
3Y Rtn44.8%65.6%52.5%84.7%126.2%42.2%59.1%
1M Excs Rtn10.9%19.9%7.1%6.0%5.9%5.9%6.6%
3M Excs Rtn-2.8%0.8%-6.4%-8.0%-12.7%-19.7%-7.2%
6M Excs Rtn-9.8%-6.8%-12.2%-5.4%-19.2%-27.9%-11.0%
12M Excs Rtn-15.7%-20.0%-4.9%8.4%-15.1%-11.5%-13.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-33.8%-8.6%-24.3%7.9%47.5%-33.8%-16.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Dealerships9,1997,1717,290 
Total Care Auto (TCA)914869763 
Elimination of inter-segment revenue46-19-50 
Total10,1598,0218,003 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,024,194
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.9%
Average Daily Volume161,125
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.36
Basic Shares Quantity19,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/20250.7%0.3%-0.3%
7/29/2025-3.9%-2.3%11.0%
4/29/2025-3.6%-1.7%1.8%
1/30/202511.5%10.9%-2.2%
10/29/20242.6%5.1%16.9%
8/2/2024-10.7%-11.1%-6.8%
4/25/2024-2.0%-4.9%3.0%
2/8/2024-1.9%4.9%-0.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101313
# Negative141111
Median Positive3.6%5.1%11.0%
Median Negative-4.2%-4.1%-4.5%
Max Positive11.5%26.9%19.6%
Max Negative-10.7%-11.1%-25.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021