Tearsheet

AutoNation (AN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $217.51 | Market Cap: $8.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Retail

AutoNation (AN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $217.51
Market Cap: $8.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 118%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 74x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Last-Mile Delivery.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Last-Mile Delivery.
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 118%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 74x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Revenue Miss and Decline

AutoNation's total revenue for the third quarter of 2024 was $6.6 billion, which fell short of analyst estimates of $6.71 billion and represented a 4% decline compared to the same period in the previous year. This decline was attributed to lower average selling prices and decreased used vehicle sales.

2. Decrease in Net Income

The company experienced a significant 24% year-over-year decrease in net income for Q3 2024, which was primarily influenced by a reduction in vehicle sales and compressed gross profit margins.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AN Return44%67%-8%40%13%22%327%
Peers Return40%32%-18%43%8%-18%91%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AN Win Rate67%58%58%42%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate68%60%40%62%47%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AN Max Drawdown-54%-2%-18%-0%-10%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-6%-32%-3%-13%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CPRT, PAG, LAD, KMX, ABG. See AN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventANS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-29.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven265 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven116.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven127 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-47.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven580 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven448.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven634 days1480 days

Compare to CPRT, PAG, LAD, KMX, ABG


In The Past

AutoNation's stock fell -29.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/19/2023. A -29.5% loss requires a 41.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AutoNation (AN)

Better Bets than AutoNation (AN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for AutoNation

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ANCPRTPAGLADKMXABGMedian
NameAutoNati.Copart Penske A.Lithia M.CarMax Asbury A. 
Mkt Price214.3438.85163.17325.7639.02236.23188.75
Mkt Cap8.137.610.88.25.84.68.1
Rev LTM27,9154,64730,68237,61126,36817,82727,142
Op Inc LTM1,2841,6971,2961,548-2341,0141,290
FCF LTM-1781,231757-42685629657
FCF 3Y Avg571,013773-280517350434
CFO LTM1111,8001,0702951,208868969
CFO 3Y Avg4081,5461,12531991546768

Growth & Margins

ANCPRTPAGLADKMXABGMedian
NameAutoNati.Copart Penske A.Lithia M.CarMax Asbury A. 
Rev Chg LTM6.1%9.7%2.2%8.4%1.8%8.1%7.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.3%9.9%4.3%11.0%-7.4%7.5%5.9%
Rev Chg Q6.9%5.2%1.4%4.9%-6.0%13.3%5.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.6%1.2%0.3%1.2%-1.6%3.3%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM4.6%36.5%4.2%4.1%-0.9%5.7%4.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.2%37.3%4.5%4.7%-1.0%6.4%4.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%0.7%-0.1%-0.1%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM0.4%38.7%3.5%0.8%4.6%4.9%4.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.5%36.2%3.8%0.0%3.8%3.2%3.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.6%26.5%2.5%-0.1%2.6%3.5%2.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.2%23.7%2.6%-0.9%2.0%2.1%2.0%

Valuation

ANCPRTPAGLADKMXABGMedian
NameAutoNati.Copart Penske A.Lithia M.CarMax Asbury A. 
Mkt Cap8.137.610.88.25.84.68.1
P/S0.310.20.40.20.40.30.3
P/EBIT6.128.07.44.26.34.76.2
P/E12.430.612.28.819.38.512.3
P/CFO74.026.410.727.08.35.518.6
Total Yield8.1%3.3%10.4%12.0%5.2%11.8%9.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.2%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.1%2.1%6.9%-3.4%4.7%7.4%3.4%
D/E1.20.00.71.81.91.31.2
Net D/E1.2-0.10.71.81.91.21.2

Returns

ANCPRTPAGLADKMXABGMedian
NameAutoNati.Copart Penske A.Lithia M.CarMax Asbury A. 
1M Rtn8.1%-9.7%3.5%5.9%-5.6%0.5%2.0%
3M Rtn-2.7%-19.3%-10.4%-1.6%-35.2%-6.9%-8.6%
6M Rtn17.0%-22.9%2.0%3.4%-40.8%3.3%2.7%
12M Rtn18.8%-37.6%1.1%-14.6%-53.7%-11.0%-12.8%
3Y Rtn77.1%15.7%39.9%45.3%-43.9%28.9%34.4%
1M Excs Rtn8.1%-9.6%3.6%5.9%-5.6%0.6%2.1%
3M Excs Rtn-10.4%-27.6%-17.1%-9.4%-41.3%-14.1%-15.6%
6M Excs Rtn2.2%-37.6%-12.7%-11.4%-55.5%-11.4%-12.1%
12M Excs Rtn6.3%-52.3%-12.5%-28.7%-67.1%-22.6%-25.7%
3Y Excs Rtn6.8%-53.4%-31.1%-26.9%-113.3%-41.9%-36.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Premium Luxury10,26610,2789,2307,2037,435
Import7,8817,6907,7985,9886,469
Domestic7,5737,9887,9606,4916,671
Corporate and other1,2281,029856709761
Total26,94926,98525,84420,39021,336


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Premium Luxury3,5072,9972,6692,7523,150
Corporate and other3,5003,5333,0923,2403,067
Domestic2,5081,9741,7582,1302,484
Import2,0351,5561,4241,7651,842
AutoNation Finance430    
Total11,98010,0608,9449,88710,543


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,523,911
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.2%
Average Daily Volume461,813
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.30
Basic Shares Quantity37,600,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025725202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241025202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023721202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023420202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022721202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022421202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021