Tearsheet

Group 1 Automotive (GPI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $410.13 | Market Cap: $5.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Retail

Group 1 Automotive (GPI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $410.13
Market Cap: $5.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.0%, FCF Yield is 8.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.5%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 101%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include EV Charging Infrastructure, Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.0%, FCF Yield is 8.8%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include EV Charging Infrastructure, Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.5%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 101%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GPI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) experienced a notable decline of 11.5% in its stock price during the period from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. Several key factors contributed to this downward movement.

1. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Miss: Group 1 Automotive reported third-quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $10.45, which missed analysts' consensus estimates of $10.64. While revenue for the quarter increased by 10.7% year-over-year to $5.78 billion, exceeding analyst estimates, the significant drop in net income to $13 million from $117.3 million in the same period a year prior raised concerns about profitability despite rising revenue.

2. Decline in Used Vehicle Gross Profit Per Unit (GPU) in the U.K.: The company experienced a decline of over 24% in same-store used vehicle GPU on a local currency basis in the U.K., reflecting a challenging used vehicle market in that region.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GPI Return32%50%-7%70%39%-4%319%
Peers Return14%30%8%17%14%-0%113%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GPI Win Rate83%67%58%75%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate29%29%27%27%27%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GPI Max Drawdown-67%-5%-27%-1%-15%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-2%-8%-4%-3%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AN, MUSA, BGSI, HIFI, OTH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGPIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven124 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-70.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven235.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven202 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven211 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-89.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven864.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1185 days1480 days

Compare to AN, MUSA, BGSI, HIFI, OTH


In The Past

Group 1 Automotive's stock fell -33.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -33.0% loss requires a 49.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Group 1 Automotive (GPI)

Better Bets than Group 1 Automotive (GPI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GPI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
GPI_7312020_Short_Squeeze07312020GPIGroup 1 AutomotiveSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
64.2%108.1%-0.2%
GPI_4302019_Short_Squeeze04302019GPIGroup 1 AutomotiveSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
32.9%-23.7%-58.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
GPI_7312020_Short_Squeeze07312020GPIGroup 1 AutomotiveSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
64.2%108.1%-0.2%
GPI_4302019_Short_Squeeze04302019GPIGroup 1 AutomotiveSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
32.9%-23.7%-58.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Group 1 Automotive

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GPIANMUSABGSIHIFIOTHMedian
NameGroup 1 .AutoNati.Murphy U.Boyd Ser.Hillhous.Off The . 
Mkt Price410.38214.34390.41168.91-3.41214.34
Mkt Cap5.28.17.6---7.6
Rev LTM22,53827,91519,4793,0631111011,271
Op Inc LTM9831,28474010213421
FCF LTM493-1783652521-1127
FCF 3Y Avg23657444264--250
CFO LTM7781118343221-1217
CFO 3Y Avg465408831327--437

Growth & Margins

GPIANMUSABGSIHIFIOTHMedian
NameGroup 1 .AutoNati.Murphy U.Boyd Ser.Hillhous.Off The . 
Rev Chg LTM19.4%6.1%-8.0%0.7%--3.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.0%1.3%-2.7%12.5%--6.9%
Rev Chg Q10.7%6.9%-8.2%0.2%--3.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.6%1.6%-2.2%0.0%--0.8%
Op Mgn LTM4.4%4.6%3.8%3.3%7.1%2.9%4.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.1%5.2%3.8%4.5%--4.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-0.0%0.1%-0.0%---0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM3.5%0.4%4.3%10.5%7.3%-0.5%3.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg2.3%1.5%4.0%11.1%--3.1%
FCF/Rev LTM2.2%-0.6%1.9%8.2%7.3%-0.6%2.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.1%0.2%2.1%9.0%--1.6%

Valuation

GPIANMUSABGSIHIFIOTHMedian
NameGroup 1 .AutoNati.Murphy U.Boyd Ser.Hillhous.Off The . 
Mkt Cap5.28.17.6---7.6
P/S0.20.30.4---0.3
P/EBIT7.16.110.9---7.1
P/E14.812.416.2---14.8
P/CFO7.274.09.5---9.5
Total Yield7.2%8.1%6.7%---7.2%
Dividend Yield0.5%0.0%0.5%---0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.0%1.1%5.6%---5.0%
D/E1.01.20.3---1.0
Net D/E1.01.20.3---1.0

Returns

GPIANMUSABGSIHIFIOTHMedian
NameGroup 1 .AutoNati.Murphy U.Boyd Ser.Hillhous.Off The . 
1M Rtn4.4%8.1%6.1%---6.1%
3M Rtn-12.6%-2.7%5.3%----2.7%
6M Rtn-2.5%17.0%-7.3%----2.5%
12M Rtn-4.6%18.8%-27.5%----4.6%
3Y Rtn117.3%77.1%37.4%---77.1%
1M Excs Rtn4.4%8.1%6.1%---6.1%
3M Excs Rtn-19.7%-10.4%-0.7%----10.4%
6M Excs Rtn-17.2%2.2%-22.0%----17.2%
12M Excs Rtn-16.6%6.3%-41.9%----16.6%
3Y Excs Rtn48.6%6.8%-39.7%---6.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment17,874    
Finance, insurance and other, net 722581463498
New vehicle retail sales 7,4526,5055,4286,314
Parts and service sales 2,0101,5911,3571,510
Used vehicle retail sales 5,6734,4393,0563,367
Used vehicle wholesale sales 365366296355
Total17,87416,22213,48210,60012,044


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,100,612
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.3%
Average Daily Volume179,414
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.13
Basic Shares Quantity12,766,975
Short % of Basic Shares8.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Pereira Lincoln 8272025Sell469.347,0003,285,34638,939,325Form
1MIZELL STEVEN 7302025Sell417.98525219,4403,344Form
2MCHENRY DANIEL JAMESSVP & CFO6112025Sell441.382,4231,069,4647,614,431Form
3JONES MICHAEL DAVIDSr. Vice President, Aftersales4302025Sell405.571,613654,1843,350,170Form
4Pereira Lincoln 12182024Sell426.686,0002,560,09742,014,185Form