Tearsheet

Sonic Automotive (SAH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $64.855 | Market Cap: $2.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Retail

Sonic Automotive (SAH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $64.855
Market Cap: $2.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%, FCF Yield is 17%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -34%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 157%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
  Key risks
SAH key risks include threats to its traditional dealership model from [1] the rise of direct-to-consumer sales and [2] the potential for reduced high-margin service revenue due to the market's shift toward lower-maintenance electric vehicles.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%, FCF Yield is 17%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -34%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 157%
5 Key risks
SAH key risks include threats to its traditional dealership model from [1] the rise of direct-to-consumer sales and [2] the potential for reduced high-margin service revenue due to the market's shift toward lower-maintenance electric vehicles.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SAH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the approximate -20.3% stock movement for Sonic Automotive (SAH) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Sonic Automotive reported an adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) miss for Q3 2025. The company's adjusted EPS of $1.41 fell significantly short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.82, representing a -22.53% earnings surprise. This miss led to a substantial decline in the stock price on the day of the earnings release.

2. Net income in Q3 2025 was negatively impacted by increased operating costs. Reported net income for the third quarter was down 37% year-over-year, largely driven by a significant increase in medical expenses and a higher effective income tax rate.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SAH Return26%29%2%17%15%5%134%
Peers Return45%44%-7%48%13%6%249%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SAH Win Rate58%50%67%67%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate70%60%50%60%50%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SAH Max Drawdown-68%0%-29%-20%-14%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-59%-3%-23%-1%-14%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LAD, PAG, AN, GPI, ABG. See SAH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSAHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven70 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-70.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven235.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-49.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven212 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-97.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3358.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3,884 days1,480 days

Compare to CPRT, LAD, AN, KMX, ABG


In The Past

Sonic Automotive's stock fell -38.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/27/2021. A -38.8% loss requires a 63.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sonic Automotive (SAH)

Better Bets than Sonic Automotive (SAH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SAH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
SAH_9302022_Short_Squeeze09302022SAHSonic AutomotiveSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
26.9%12.9%-8.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
SAH_9302022_Short_Squeeze09302022SAHSonic AutomotiveSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
26.9%12.9%-8.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sonic Automotive

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SAHLADPAGANGPIABGMedian
NameSonic Au.Lithia M.Penske A.AutoNati.Group 1 .Asbury A. 
Mkt Price64.83344.09167.85206.61407.81242.34224.48
Mkt Cap2.28.711.17.85.24.76.5
Rev LTM15,17837,61130,68227,91522,53817,82725,227
Op Inc LTM5531,5481,2961,2849831,0141,149
FCF LTM434-42757-178493629464
FCF 3Y Avg-59-28077357236350147
CFO LTM5882951,070111778868683
CFO 3Y Avg118311,125408465546437

Growth & Margins

SAHLADPAGANGPIABGMedian
NameSonic Au.Lithia M.Penske A.AutoNati.Group 1 .Asbury A. 
Rev Chg LTM9.1%8.4%2.2%6.1%19.4%8.1%8.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.9%11.0%4.3%1.3%13.0%7.5%5.9%
Rev Chg Q13.8%4.9%1.4%6.9%10.7%13.3%8.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.3%1.2%0.3%1.6%2.6%3.3%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM3.6%4.1%4.2%4.6%4.4%5.7%4.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.6%4.7%4.5%5.2%5.1%6.4%4.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%-0.0%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM3.9%0.8%3.5%0.4%3.5%4.9%3.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg0.7%0.0%3.8%1.5%2.3%3.2%1.9%
FCF/Rev LTM2.9%-0.1%2.5%-0.6%2.2%3.5%2.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.5%-0.9%2.6%0.2%1.1%2.1%0.7%

Valuation

SAHLADPAGANGPIABGMedian
NameSonic Au.Lithia M.Penske A.AutoNati.Group 1 .Asbury A. 
Mkt Cap2.28.711.17.85.24.76.5
P/S0.20.20.40.30.20.30.3
P/EBIT7.04.27.46.17.14.76.6
P/E20.08.812.212.414.88.512.3
P/CFO4.427.010.774.07.25.59.0
Total Yield6.8%12.0%10.4%8.1%7.2%11.8%9.2%
Dividend Yield1.8%0.7%2.2%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.7%-3.4%6.9%1.1%5.0%7.4%3.1%
D/E1.61.80.71.21.01.31.2
Net D/E1.61.80.71.21.01.21.2

Returns

SAHLADPAGANGPIABGMedian
NameSonic Au.Lithia M.Penske A.AutoNati.Group 1 .Asbury A. 
1M Rtn6.6%20.6%7.8%6.9%6.5%11.8%7.4%
3M Rtn-16.4%3.5%-4.8%-6.3%-10.9%-0.2%-5.5%
6M Rtn-15.6%5.6%0.1%7.1%-6.9%2.8%1.4%
12M Rtn1.2%-6.5%7.1%21.2%-2.8%-3.9%-0.8%
3Y Rtn42.1%65.6%52.4%85.0%126.0%45.0%59.0%
1M Excs Rtn5.9%19.9%7.0%6.2%5.8%11.1%6.6%
3M Excs Rtn-19.7%0.8%-6.5%-7.9%-12.8%-2.6%-7.2%
6M Excs Rtn-28.0%-6.7%-12.3%-5.3%-19.3%-9.6%-10.9%
12M Excs Rtn-11.5%-20.0%-5.0%8.6%-15.2%-15.6%-13.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-33.9%-8.6%-24.3%8.1%47.4%-33.6%-16.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Franchised Dealerships Segment revenues4,1114,3643,9353,0973,798
EchoPark Segment revenues668268741479244
Floor plan deposit balance345    
Powersports Segment revenues212118   
Cash and cash equivalents2922929917029
Corporate and other: Other corporate assets  0  
Total5,3654,9784,9753,7464,071


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,778,719
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.7%
Average Daily Volume182,067
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.77
Basic Shares Quantity34,200,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/2025-15.9%-19.1%-23.2%
7/24/2025-5.7%-9.7%-2.1%
4/24/20251.8%2.9%13.9%
2/12/2025-4.0%-3.4%-20.2%
10/24/20243.6%6.3%13.9%
8/5/20243.4%7.0%7.9%
4/25/202410.9%12.1%9.4%
2/14/2024-2.1%-10.4%-9.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101413
# Negative141011
Median Positive5.6%5.6%13.9%
Median Negative-3.0%-6.0%-9.4%
Max Positive20.2%14.1%46.5%
Max Negative-15.9%-20.0%-64.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0DYKE JEFFPresident6022025Sell70.0257640,33442,392,039Form
1DYKE JEFFPresident5302025Sell70.0316,4341,150,87144,746,235Form