Tearsheet

Urban-gro (UGRO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.2428 | Market Cap: $3.0 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Urban-gro (UGRO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.2428
Market Cap: $3.0 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -62%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -129%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -167%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.2
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -13 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -21%
2   Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 142%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -50%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.8%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.2%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -355%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 134%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -62%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -129%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -167%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
4 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.2
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -13 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -21%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 142%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -50%
8 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.8%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.2%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -355%
10 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 134%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

UGRO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining why Urban-gro (UGRO) stock moved by approximately -40.7% from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Multiple Nasdaq Delisting Notices Urban-gro received several notices from Nasdaq regarding non-compliance with listing requirements, including failing to maintain the minimum bid price of $1.00 per share, delays in filing periodic financial reports, and not meeting the minimum stockholders' equity of $2.5 million. The company received a determination letter on August 28, 2025, and an additional notice on November 18, 2025, for the late Q3 2025 Form 10-Q, which collectively heightened the risk of delisting.

2. Delayed and Restated Financial Reports The company experienced significant delays in filing its Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2024 and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the first, second, and third quarters of 2025. These delays were attributed to extensive work on previously announced restatements of financial statements from 2022 and 2023, coupled with limited financial resources and turnover within its finance department, raising concerns about the company's financial transparency and stability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
UGRO Return-57%1955%-74%-49%-33%-72%-78%
Peers Return24%11%11%12%-7%-10%43%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UGRO Win Rate8%50%33%33%42%30% 
Peers Win Rate53%43%43%35%33%49% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UGRO Max Drawdown-57%0%-74%-63%-34%-77% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-7%-19%-9%-16%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DE, AGCO, GENC, WNC, AEBI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventUGROS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1551.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-66.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven194.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven323 days148 days

Compare to DE, AGCO, GENC, WNC, AEBI


In The Past

Urban-gro's stock fell -93.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/27/2021. A -93.9% loss requires a 1551.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Urban-gro (UGRO)

Better Bets than Urban-gro (UGRO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to UGRO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Urban-gro

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UGRODEAGCOGENCWNCAEBIMedian
NameUrban-groDeere AGCO Gencor I.Wabash N.Aebi Sch. 
Mkt Price0.25481.82105.1313.209.0612.0212.61
Mkt Cap0.0130.47.80.20.0-0.2
Rev LTM6043,39710,0491181,6381,0521,345
Op Inc LTM-138,6636581537168219
FCF LTM-64,101749-1108-4054
FCF 3Y Avg-93,9866543118-118
CFO LTM-58,5561,0220150-2875
CFO 3Y Avg-98,5221,0505186-186

Growth & Margins

UGRODEAGCOGENCWNCAEBIMedian
NameUrban-groDeere AGCO Gencor I.Wabash N.Aebi Sch. 
Rev Chg LTM-16.8%-20.9%-20.1%3.9%-22.9%--20.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.4%-0.6%-3.9%5.4%-9.8%--0.6%
Rev Chg Q-49.5%-8.3%-4.7%5.6%-17.8%--8.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-13.9%-2.4%-1.2%1.2%-4.8%--2.4%
Op Mgn LTM-21.0%20.0%6.5%13.2%22.6%6.4%9.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-19.3%22.3%9.2%12.5%6.8%-9.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.9%-1.2%0.4%0.8%29.6%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-8.8%19.7%10.2%0.1%9.2%-2.7%4.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-13.0%16.5%8.6%4.4%8.7%-8.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-9.2%9.4%7.5%-0.8%6.6%-3.8%2.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-13.7%7.8%5.4%2.3%5.6%-5.4%

Valuation

UGRODEAGCOGENCWNCAEBIMedian
NameUrban-groDeere AGCO Gencor I.Wabash N.Aebi Sch. 
Mkt Cap0.0130.47.80.20.0-0.2
P/S0.13.20.81.70.0-0.8
P/EBIT-0.314.333.313.30.0-13.3
P/E-0.326.421.313.50.0-13.5
P/CFO-0.716.17.81,682.10.0-7.8
Total Yield-351.0%5.0%5.8%7.4%67,757.1%-5.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.2%1.1%0.0%3,467.9%-1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-103.0%3.4%8.0%0.6%12,421.5%-3.4%
D/E1.70.50.40.01,078.5-0.5
Net D/E1.40.40.3-0.7851.5-0.4

Returns

UGRODEAGCOGENCWNCAEBIMedian
NameUrban-groDeere AGCO Gencor I.Wabash N.Aebi Sch. 
1M Rtn-33.0%4.3%0.2%-2.9%14.4%8.1%2.2%
3M Rtn-59.0%3.0%-2.3%-17.2%-17.1%4.9%-9.7%
6M Rtn-23.6%-4.5%6.0%-7.4%-0.0%--4.5%
12M Rtn-83.0%6.4%5.7%-39.6%-52.6%--39.6%
3Y Rtn-95.0%12.7%-14.6%22.3%-63.2%--14.6%
1M Excs Rtn-33.0%4.3%0.2%-2.8%14.4%8.2%2.3%
3M Excs Rtn-57.3%-3.5%-9.2%-23.7%-24.7%0.8%-16.5%
6M Excs Rtn-38.3%-19.2%-8.8%-22.1%-14.7%--19.2%
12M Excs Rtn-96.6%-8.7%-8.5%-54.1%-66.6%--54.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-167.3%-59.0%-83.8%-42.6%-135.1%--83.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,911,298
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025436.9%
Average Daily Volume4,252,884
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity12,423,421
Short % of Basic Shares15.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302024218202510-Q 9/30/2024
6302024218202510-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022330202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021329202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211109202110-Q 9/30/2021
6302021811202110-Q 6/30/2021
3312021511202110-Q 3/31/2021
12312020331202110-K 12/31/2020