Tearsheet

GrowGeneration (GRWG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.23 | Market Cap: $133.3 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Other Specialty Retail

GrowGeneration (GRWG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.23
Market Cap: $133.3 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -35 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, and Water Treatment Solutions.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -20%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.5%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.8%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.2%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 91%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -40%
5   Key risks
GRWG key risks include [1] persistent profitability challenges with ongoing revenue declines and negative operating cash flow, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, and Water Treatment Solutions.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -35 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -20%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.5%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.8%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.2%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 91%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -40%
9 Key risks
GRWG key risks include [1] persistent profitability challenges with ongoing revenue declines and negative operating cash flow, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GRWG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the movement of GrowGeneration (GRWG) stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Stronger-than-expected Q3 2025 Financial Results

GrowGeneration reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 6, 2025, surpassing analyst expectations. The company posted a loss per share of -$0.04, which was better than the consensus estimate of a -$0.09 loss. Additionally, revenue reached $47.25 million, exceeding analysts' forecasts of $41.56 million. This positive earnings surprise contributed to a significant increase in the stock price. 2. Improved Gross Profit Margin

The company demonstrated an improvement in its gross profit margin, reaching 28.3% in the second quarter of 2025, an increase from 26.9% in the same period of the previous year. This enhancement was primarily driven by a higher penetration of private label products within its Cultivation and Gardening segment and a stronger margin contribution from its Storage Solutions segment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GRWG Return881%-68%-70%-36%-33%27%-48%
Peers Return353%-80%-17%5%50%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GRWG Win Rate92%42%33%33%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate33%25%38%42%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GRWG Max Drawdown-30%-69%-77%-54%-39%-49% 
Peers Max Drawdown-43%-82%-38%-25%-59% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HYFM, SMG, IPW, UGRO, VFF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGRWGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3497.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-56.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven127.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven65 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven88 days120 days

Compare to TSCO, ULTA, CHWY, BBWI, WINA


In The Past

GrowGeneration's stock fell -97.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -97.2% loss requires a 3497.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About GrowGeneration (GRWG)

Better Bets than GrowGeneration (GRWG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GRWG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for GrowGeneration

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GRWGHYFMSMGIPWUGROVFFMedian
NameGrowGene.HydrofarmScotts M.iPower Urban-groVillage . 
Mkt Price2.202.2158.7411.000.304.183.19
Mkt Cap0.10.03.30.00.00.40.1
Rev LTM1611463,4135960389154
Op Inc LTM-35-52422-5-132-9
FCF LTM-7-82740-643-3
FCF 3Y Avg-5-24325-9101
CFO LTM-6-73713-554-1
CFO 3Y Avg-215235-9193

Growth & Margins

GRWGHYFMSMGIPWUGROVFFMedian
NameGrowGene.HydrofarmScotts M.iPower Urban-groVillage . 
Rev Chg LTM-19.7%-26.8%-3.9%-24.7%-16.8%49.3%-18.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-19.7%-27.5%-4.5%-11.8%6.4%12.2%-8.1%
Rev Chg Q-5.5%-33.3%-6.6%-36.8%-49.5%21.5%-20.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.7%-9.1%-0.8%-10.6%-13.9%3.1%-5.4%
Op Mgn LTM-21.9%-35.8%12.4%-8.1%-21.0%0.4%-14.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-19.6%-27.1%7.7%-7.5%-19.3%-4.3%-13.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5.1%-5.7%1.0%0.7%-2.9%4.6%0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM-3.8%-5.1%10.9%4.3%-8.8%13.9%0.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1.3%-0.4%14.9%6.5%-13.0%4.8%2.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.2%-5.7%8.0%0.8%-9.2%10.9%-1.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.9%-1.8%12.3%5.2%-13.7%2.1%0.2%

Valuation

GRWGHYFMSMGIPWUGROVFFMedian
NameGrowGene.HydrofarmScotts M.iPower Urban-groVillage . 
Mkt Cap0.10.03.30.00.00.40.1
P/S0.70.11.00.20.10.90.4
P/EBIT-2.8-0.2--2.7-0.3--1.5
P/E-2.8-0.222.7-3.3-0.316.5-0.2
P/CFO-18.1-1.48.94.6-0.76.51.9
Total Yield-35.8%-632.1%9.1%-30.0%-351.0%6.0%-32.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%4.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.2%-35.8%-21.1%-103.0%--20.0%
D/E0.315.7-0.51.7-1.1
Net D/E-0.114.7-0.41.4-0.9

Returns

GRWGHYFMSMGIPWUGROVFFMedian
NameGrowGene.HydrofarmScotts M.iPower Urban-groVillage . 
1M Rtn41.9%31.9%7.4%16.4%33.6%9.4%24.2%
3M Rtn37.5%-29.4%-0.6%-36.8%-50.3%62.6%-15.0%
6M Rtn93.0%-38.9%-1.2%-48.4%-15.2%287.0%-8.2%
12M Rtn27.9%-64.4%-15.1%-60.9%-71.5%424.9%-38.0%
3Y Rtn-55.6%-88.0%38.1%-22.0%-91.5%169.7%-38.8%
1M Excs Rtn41.2%31.2%6.7%15.7%32.8%8.7%23.4%
3M Excs Rtn26.6%-33.1%-1.8%-34.7%-48.0%52.9%-17.5%
6M Excs Rtn80.6%-51.3%-13.6%-60.7%-27.6%274.7%-20.6%
12M Excs Rtn16.1%-79.5%-29.3%-74.8%-86.0%411.4%-52.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-129.8%-157.9%-38.6%-92.7%-161.4%78.9%-111.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Cultivation and Gardening194246   
Storage Solutions3132   
Corporate0    
Distribution and other  17  
E-Commerce  36  
Retail  369  
Single segment   19380
Total22627842219380


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Storage Solutions97   
Cultivation and Gardening48   
Corporate-63    
Depreciation and amortization -17   
Estimated credit losses (recoveries) -2   
Impairment loss -128   
Selling, general, and administrative -37   
Distribution and other  3  
E-Commerce  -1  
Retail  13  
Total-50-16815  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,363,860
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.3%
Average Daily Volume272,894
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5
Basic Shares Quantity59,783,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/6/202512.2%-0.7%-18.0%
7/23/2024-4.5%-13.2%-17.3%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive100
# Negative122
Median Positive12.2%  
Median Negative-4.5%-6.9%-17.6%
Max Positive12.2%  
Max Negative-4.5%-13.2%-18.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023313202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021310202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Salaman MichaelPresident3202025Buy1.2185,465103,4131,983,569Form
1Lampert DarrenCEO3202025Buy1.1982,63998,3402,056,941Form