Under Armour (UA)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $5.65 | Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Under Armour (UA)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $5.65Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sports & Active Lifestyle. Themes include Performance Sportswear Innovation, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Eco-friendly Products. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -66 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.3% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% | ||
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 44x | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.2% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26% | ||
| Key risksUA key risks include [1] struggling brand relevance and heavy reliance on the North American market, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sports & Active Lifestyle. Themes include Performance Sportswear Innovation, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Eco-friendly Products. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -66 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.3% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 44x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.2% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26% |
| Key risksUA key risks include [1] struggling brand relevance and heavy reliance on the North American market, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Upgraded Fiscal 2026 Outlook and Positive Q3 Fiscal 2026 Results fueled investor confidence.
Under Armour expanded its fiscal 2025 restructuring plan in November 2025 and raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted operating income outlook to a range of $95 million to $110 million, up from a prior range of $90 million to $105 million. This positive revision, coupled with the reported Q3 Fiscal 2026 adjusted operating income of $26 million and adjusted net income of $37 million (for the quarter ended December 31, 2025), was met with a significant market reaction, as the stock surged 19.4% following the earnings announcement in February 2026. The company further updated its fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting an adjusted operating income of approximately $110 million and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.10–$0.11.
2. Strategic Restructuring and a Reinvigorated Focus on Brand Transformation instilled optimism.
Under Armour continued to execute a multi-year strategic reset aimed at restoring its premium performance identity and achieving sustainable, profitable growth. This involves a pivot towards a disciplined, direct-to-consumer model, with a target of 50% DTC share of revenue by 2026, and streamlining product assortments. The expansion of the fiscal 2025 restructuring plan, with total estimated charges up to $255 million, including the separation of the Curry Brand, underlined a commitment to operational efficiency. Executive leadership changes in January 2026, including new Chief Merchandising Officer and President of Americas, were also implemented to accelerate this transformation.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 27.1% change in UA stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 27.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.43 | 5.63 | 27.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,049 | 4,976 | -1.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.5 | 27.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 428 | 425 | 0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 27.1% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UA | 27.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | 40.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | -10.4% | 27.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 14.4% change in UA stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 17.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.92 | 5.63 | 14.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,115 | 4,976 | -2.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.5 | 17.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 427 | 425 | 0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 14.4% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UA | 14.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 38.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | -8.5% | 32.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -11.3% change in UA stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -6.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.35 | 5.63 | -11.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,316 | 4,976 | -6.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 0.5 | -6.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 432 | 425 | 1.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -11.3% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UA | -11.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 45.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.3% | 45.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -36.0% change in UA stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -29.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.80 | 5.63 | -36.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,806 | 4,976 | -14.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.7 | 0.5 | -29.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 449 | 425 | 5.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -36.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UA | -36.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 40.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 49.0% | 39.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UA Return | 21% | -51% | -6% | -11% | -36% | 20% | -61% |
| Peers Return | 18% | -12% | 28% | 9% | -35% | -14% | -19% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UA Win Rate | 58% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 56% | 35% | 67% | 50% | 42% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UA Max Drawdown | -1% | -67% | -33% | -26% | -47% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -38% | -13% | -24% | -47% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NKE, LULU, DECK, COLM. See UA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -73.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 282.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -64.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 179.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 335 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -61.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 158.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to NKE, LULU, DECK, COLM
In The Past
Under Armour's stock fell -73.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -73.8% loss requires a 282.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Under Armour (UA)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Under Armour (UA):
- Like Nike or Adidas, but with an intense focus on performance athletic gear.
- A performance-focused rival to Nike and Adidas in athletic apparel and footwear.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Under Armour (UA) offers the following major products and services:
- Performance Apparel: Clothing designed for athletic activities, available in compression, fitted, and loose styles.
- Footwear: Athletic shoes tailored for various sports and applications, including running, training, and basketball.
- Accessories: Supplementary items for athletes such as gloves, bags, headwear, and sports masks.
- Digital Subscription and Advertising Services: Online platforms like MapMyRun and MapMyRide providing digital tracking and engagement services.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Under Armour (UA) sells its products primarily through wholesale channels to other companies, which then resell to individual consumers. While it also sells directly to consumers through its own stores and e-commerce websites, its extensive wholesale network suggests a primary focus on business-to-business (B2B) distribution for broad market reach. Major categories of its wholesale customers include:
- National and Regional Sporting Goods Chains: These are large retailers specializing in athletic apparel, footwear, and equipment. Examples of public companies in this category that are likely major customers include:
- DICK'S Sporting Goods (NYSE: DKS)
- Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (NASDAQ: ASO)
- Hibbett, Inc. (NASDAQ: HIBB)
- Department Store Chains: General merchandise retailers that often feature athletic wear sections. Examples of public companies in this category that are likely major customers include:
- Kohl's Corporation (NYSE: KSS)
- Macy's, Inc. (NYSE: M)
- Institutional Athletic Departments, Leagues, and Teams: These organizations purchase products directly for their athletes, staff, or members (e.g., colleges, universities, professional sports teams). These entities are typically not public companies with stock symbols.
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
Under Armour, Inc. (UA) has a robust management team leading its global operations.Kevin Plank
President & Chief Executive Officer Kevin Plank is the founder of Under Armour, Inc. and returned as President and Chief Executive Officer on April 1, 2024. He previously served as the company's CEO from its founding in 1996 until 2019, and then as Executive Chair and Brand Chief from January 2020 to April 2024. Under his leadership, Under Armour grew into a multi-billion-dollar business. Plank's vision has been the driving force behind the brand's innovative products.Reza Taleghani
Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer Reza Taleghani is set to join Under Armour as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer in February 2026, succeeding David Bergman. He brings over twenty-five years of global financial and operational leadership experience. Prior to Under Armour, Taleghani served as Executive Vice President and CFO at Samsonite Group S.A. since 2018, where he oversaw global finance operations and led financial transformations resulting in record margins. Before Samsonite, he was President and CFO at Brightstar Corp., a SoftBank portfolio company, where he managed key international acquisitions. His career also includes more than 15 years at J.P. Morgan in various senior roles across investment banking, commercial banking, and asset management, and he served as President and CEO of Sterling Airlines A/S.Kara Trent
Chief Merchandising Officer Kara Trent was appointed Chief Merchandising Officer, effective February 2, 2026. In this role, she is responsible for leading category management and go-to-market initiatives, overseeing product line architecture, assortment planning, and channel segmentation across Under Armour's global portfolio. Trent has 24 years of industry experience in buying, planning, merchandising, and regional leadership. She previously served as President, Americas, Under Armour's largest region, and as Managing Director for EMEA, where she delivered sustained growth and premium distribution. She also held roles at Puma and Reebok.Adam Peake
President, Americas Adam Peake was named President, Americas, effective February 2, 2026. In this position, he leads Under Armour's business across North and South America, overseeing marketplace strategy, distribution, and omni-channel growth. Peake has over 25 years of leadership experience, including 16 years in various senior roles at Under Armour, spanning U.S. sales, global marketing, footwear, and sport category leadership.Yassine Saidi
Senior Advisor, Design & Product Expression Effective February 2, 2026, Yassine Saidi will transition to a Senior Advisor role, focusing on design expression and creative continuity for Under Armour. He joined Under Armour in early 2024 as Product Director (also referred to as Chief Product Officer) and has been instrumental in evolving the brand's design language and elevating performance expression. Saidi is a veteran of the sportswear industry, with a career that includes significant roles at other major athletic apparel companies. Before Under Armour, he spent nine years at Puma, where he built the "Lab Puma" initiative, injecting fashion, music, and culture into performance and initiating major collaborations that contributed to substantial revenue growth. He also previously worked at Adidas, heading accessories and swimwear, and later became International Tennis Director.AI Analysis | Feedback
Under Armour (UA) faces several key risks that could impact its business performance, primarily stemming from an intensely competitive market, challenges in its largest geographic segment, and ongoing supply chain vulnerabilities.
1. Intense Competitive Landscape and Brand Relevancy Challenges
Under Armour operates in a highly competitive sportswear industry, contending with established giants like Nike, Adidas, and Puma, as well as rapidly growing niche brands such as On, Hoka, New Balance, and Lululemon. These competitors often possess superior financial resources, broader product portfolios, faster innovation cycles, and stronger global brand recognition, enabling them to outspend Under Armour in marketing and secure a wider range of athlete and team sponsorships. The company faces significant challenges in regaining market share and cultural relevance, particularly among younger consumers. Under Armour's brand perception, its struggle to effectively compete in lifestyle and fashion segments, and the need for consistent product innovation and compelling brand storytelling are critical issues that have been highlighted. "Inconsistent execution" and "brand strength concerns" have directly contributed to revenue declines.
2. Declining North American Wholesale Revenue and Market Dependence
Under Armour exhibits a substantial dependence on the North American market, which generates approximately two-thirds of its revenue and is described as nearing saturation. The North American wholesale market, a crucial distribution channel for Under Armour, is currently struggling with declining sales and cautious ordering patterns from retailers. This downturn poses a significant threat to the company's recovery efforts. Under Armour has experienced overall revenue declines, particularly in North America, as it implements a strategic reset to focus on higher-quality sales and reduce promotional activities. Fiscal year 2025 projections anticipate low double-digit revenue declines, with a more pronounced 15-17% decrease expected in North America. This concentrated geographic exposure makes the company vulnerable to economic downturns, evolving retail trends, and shifts in consumer preferences within that specific region.
3. Supply Chain Disruptions and Cost Pressures
Under Armour continues to grapple with persistent supply chain challenges, including elevated freight costs, capacity constraints, and operational delays. Disruptions, such as those caused by the COVID-19 pandemic in China and operational hurdles in Vietnam (a key sourcing region for about a third of its goods), have resulted in product delays and cancellations. These issues directly impact the company's profitability and gross margins due to increased freight and product inflation, often necessitating the costly use of air freight. Historically, Under Armour has faced inventory management issues that have led to lower operating margins. Furthermore, uncertainties surrounding tariff policies introduce additional risks that can directly affect its margins and pricing strategies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Under Armour operates in several large addressable markets, primarily focusing on performance apparel, athletic footwear, and sports accessories.- Performance Apparel: The global performance apparel market was valued at approximately USD 10.76 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to about USD 17.27 billion by 2032. North America held the largest share of this market, accounting for 35% in 2024.
- Athletic Footwear: The global athletic footwear market was estimated at USD 132.5 billion in 2024 and is forecast to reach USD 191.2 billion by 2033. The U.S. athletic footwear market alone is projected to reach USD 33.3 billion in 2024.
- Sports Equipment and Accessories: The global sports equipment and accessories market was valued at USD 95.986 billion by the end of 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 159.109 billion by 2033. North America holds a significant share of this global market, at 34.70% in 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Under Armour (UA)
Over the next 2-3 years, Under Armour (UA) is expected to drive future revenue growth through several key strategic initiatives:
- International Expansion: Under Armour is prioritizing growth in international markets, particularly EMEA (Europe, the Middle East, and Africa) and Asia-Pacific. The company aims for mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth in select international markets. China is also a focus for rebuilding distribution, elevating its outlet mix, and focusing on digital marketplaces, with a medium-term goal to return to double-digit constant-currency growth once macroeconomic conditions stabilize. For example, EMEA revenue grew 6% and Latin America revenue increased 20% in the third quarter of fiscal 2026.
- Shift to Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Model: The company is pivoting towards a disciplined direct-to-consumer model, moving away from discount-heavy wholesale. Under Armour aims for its DTC channels, including owned e-commerce and Brand Houses, to account for 50% of its revenue by 2026. This strategic shift is anticipated to enhance brand equity and improve gross margins.
- Product Innovation and Focus on Key Categories: Under Armour plans to concentrate its research and development on fewer, larger product franchises to drive measurable performance gains and pricing power. Specific areas of focus include increasing the share of footwear revenue from 25% to 30% by 2027, with an emphasis on technical running and basketball products, including the Curry Brand. Additionally, the company intends to double the contribution from its women's segment through dedicated design, marketing, and assortment investments. Overall, growth is being refocused on core training, running, and basketball franchises.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- In February 2022, Under Armour's Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program of up to $500 million of its Class C common stock over two years.
- By March 31, 2023, the company had repurchased $425 million of Class C stock under this program.
- A new three-year, $500 million share repurchase program for Class C common stock was approved in May 2024, under which $90 million had been repurchased as of March 31, 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $69.8 million in Fiscal 2021, $98.787 million in Fiscal 2022, $158.1 million in Fiscal 2023, and $150.3 million in Fiscal 2024.
- For Fiscal 2025, capital expenditures reached $168.7 million, with an earlier expectation of $170 million to $180 million.
- The company has focused its capital investments on its global direct-to-consumer and e-Commerce capabilities.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to UA.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | MBLY | Mobileye Global | Dip Buy | DB | Cash/EquityDip Buyer with High Net Cash % EquityBuying dips for companies with significant net cash as a % of market cap along with meaningful cash flow generation | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02202026 | SAH | Sonic Automotive | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.9% | -5.9% | -6.1% |
| 02132026 | MAT | Mattel | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | SONO | Sonos | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.7% | -0.7% | -4.6% |
| 02062026 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.6% | 1.6% | -0.8% |
| 08312025 | UA | Under Armour | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 47.0% | 47.0% | -19.5% |
| 05312022 | UA | Under Armour | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -32.2% | -39.0% |
| 03312020 | UA | Under Armour | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 21.2% | 129.0% | -14.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 54.61 |
| Mkt Cap | 13.6 |
| Rev LTM | 5,375 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,280 |
| FCF LTM | 922 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 985 |
| CFO LTM | 1,013 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,074 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 13.6 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 10.1 |
| P/E | 13.0 |
| P/CFO | 13.4 |
| Total Yield | 7.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -19.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -11.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -16.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | -34.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -13.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -31.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -94.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.63 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/18/2005 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -28.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $6.49 | $5.49 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -13.3% | 2.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 69.1% | 55.7% |
| Downside Capture | 0.55 | 1.01 |
| Upside Capture | 279.16 | 112.01 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 39.9% | 46.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.31 | 3.10 | 2.85 | 1.82 | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| Up Beta | 7.88 | 7.18 | 7.25 | 3.11 | 1.28 | 1.47 |
| Down Beta | 0.14 | 1.66 | 1.51 | 1.31 | 1.39 | 0.99 |
| Up Capture | 731% | 576% | 483% | 267% | 132% | 144% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 24 | 33 | 59 | 117 | 348 |
| Down Capture | 232% | 44% | 70% | 126% | 115% | 109% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 15 | 26 | 59 | 121 | 373 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UA | -3.2% | 55.4% | 0.14 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 4.6% | 23.6% | 0.13 | 47.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 18.9% | 0.59 | 46.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.2% | 27.7% | 1.46 | 2.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.8% | 17.6% | 0.85 | 18.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.4% | 16.4% | -0.15 | 47.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.7% | 44.2% | -0.49 | 30.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UA | -21.4% | 49.5% | -0.31 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 5.6% | 23.7% | 0.20 | 50.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.8% | 17.0% | 0.54 | 50.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.7% | 17.7% | 0.96 | 5.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.50 | 11.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.0% | 18.8% | 0.07 | 43.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 56.6% | 0.29 | 23.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UA | -18.3% | 50.0% | -0.21 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 11.6% | 21.9% | 0.49 | 50.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 48.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.3% | 15.8% | 0.70 | 1.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 16.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.7% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 42.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.4% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 14.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/6/2026 | 19.3% | 11.1% | 1.8% |
| 11/6/2025 | -1.6% | 3.6% | -5.0% |
| 8/8/2025 | -17.2% | -24.1% | -21.5% |
| 5/13/2025 | 1.7% | 5.3% | 11.4% |
| 2/6/2025 | -4.6% | -10.4% | -12.7% |
| 11/7/2024 | 23.3% | 9.1% | 12.3% |
| 8/8/2024 | 18.3% | 22.2% | 19.6% |
| 5/16/2024 | -0.3% | 1.4% | -2.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| # Negative | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% |
| Median Negative | -6.1% | -13.1% | -9.7% |
| Max Positive | 23.3% | 22.2% | 42.1% |
| Max Negative | -25.9% | -27.1% | -24.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/22/2025 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-QT |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 2/6/2026 | Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | -4.0% | -11.1% | 0.5% | Raised | Guidance: -4.5% for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Gross Margin Change | -1.9% | -5.0% | 0.1% | Raised | Guidance: -2.0% for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Operating Income | 110.00 Mil | 315.1% | Raised | Guidance: 26.50 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 EPS | -1.25 | -1.25 | 678.1% | Lowered | Guidance: -0.16 for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 0.1 | 0.1 | 162.5% | Raised | Guidance: 0.04 for 2026 | ||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Watsa, V Prem Et Al | See Footnote | Buy | 1022026 | 5.14 | 11,504,478 | 59,142,221 | 215,702,431 | Form | |
| 2 | Watsa, V Prem Et Al | See Footnote | Buy | 1022026 | 4.95 | 1,677,991 | 8,301,693 | 46,789,318 | Form | |
| 3 | Watsa, V Prem Et Al | See Footnote | Buy | 12292025 | 4.53 | 5,383,513 | 24,379,239 | 111,813,415 | Form | |
| 4 | Watsa, V Prem Et Al | See Footnote | Buy | 12292025 | 4.36 | 2,355,641 | 10,261,643 | 24,394,502 | Form | |
| 5 | Watsa, V Prem Et Al | See Footnote | Buy | 12292025 | 4.54 | 2,124,452 | 9,654,147 | 121,857,681 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.
