Under Armour (UA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.39 | Market Cap: $1.9 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Under Armour (UA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.39Market Cap: $1.9 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -93%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -119% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 73% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sports & Active Lifestyle. Themes include Performance Sportswear Innovation, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Eco-friendly Products. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 57x | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.4% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sports & Active Lifestyle. Themes include Performance Sportswear Innovation, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Eco-friendly Products. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -93%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -119% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 73% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 57x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
UA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The decline in Under Armour's (UA) stock by approximately 10% during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, can be attributed to several key factors: 1. 1. Weak Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings and Cautious Outlook. Under Armour reported its second-quarter fiscal 2026 results on November 6, 2025. Despite beating analyst expectations for earnings per share and revenue, the stock experienced a decline in pre-market trading, reflecting investor concerns regarding the company's broader financial health and its cautious full-year guidance. The company projected a 4-5% revenue decline for fiscal 2026 and an adjusted operating income between $90 million and $105 million. 2. 2. Expanded Restructuring Plan and Increased Charges. An expansion of Under Armour's fiscal 2025 restructuring plan was announced, with an update on November 13, 2025. This led to an increase in anticipated pre-tax restructuring and related charges to $140 million to $160 million for fiscal years 2025 and 2026, and an updated outlook for a higher fiscal 2025 operating loss, projected to be between $220 million and $240 million. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UA Return | -22% | 21% | -51% | -6% | -11% | -42% | -77% |
| Peers Return | 12% | 10% | -30% | 28% | 2% | -9% | 2% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UA Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 48% | 32% | 58% | 52% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UA Max Drawdown | -64% | -1% | -67% | -33% | -26% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -50% | -13% | -47% | -16% | -31% | -41% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NKE, RL, LULU, VFC, PVH. See UA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -73.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 282.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -64.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 179.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 335 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -61.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 158.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to NKE, RL, LULU, VFC, PVH
In The Past
Under Armour's stock fell -73.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -73.8% loss requires a 282.3% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Under Armour Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can Under Armour Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Under Armour Stock vs Competition: Who Wins? | Peer Comparison | ||
| UA Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Under Armour Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -16.7% in 2025 and -30.9% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Under Armour (UA) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Under Armour (UA) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Under Armour (UA) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Under Armour (UA) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Day 5 of Loss Streak for Under Armour Stock with -16% Return (vs. -12% YTD) [10/23/2024] | Notification | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| What’s Next For Under Armour Stock? | August 16th, 2024 | ||
| Down 20% This Year, Will Under Armour’s Stock Recover Following Q4 Results? | May 14th, 2024 | ||
| Down 25% This Year Will Under Armour Stock Rebound After Its Q2? | November 7th, 2023 | ||
| Under Armour Stock Down 24% This Year, What’s Next? | August 29th, 2023 | ||
| Under Armour Stock Up 28% Over Last Month, What’s Next? | January 25th, 2023 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to UA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| 05312022 | UA | Under Armour | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -32.2% | -39.0% |
| 03312020 | UA | Under Armour | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 21.2% | 129.0% | -14.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| 05312022 | UA | Under Armour | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -32.2% | -39.0% |
| 03312020 | UA | Under Armour | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 21.2% | 129.0% | -14.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Under Armour
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 76.60 |
| Mkt Cap | 14.5 |
| Rev LTM | 9,159 |
| Op Inc LTM | 900 |
| FCF LTM | 592 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 593 |
| CFO LTM | 873 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 833 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 14.5 |
| P/S | 1.4 |
| P/EBIT | 16.2 |
| P/E | 19.2 |
| P/CFO | 16.3 |
| Total Yield | 4.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 11.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 7.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -18.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -37.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 12.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -30.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -107.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5222025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5292024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5242023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-QT 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
