Tearsheet

Nike (NKE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $65.19 | Market Cap: $96.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods

Nike (NKE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $65.19
Market Cap: $96.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable Consumption, and Advanced Materials. Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable Consumption, and Advanced Materials. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NKE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Nike's Q1 Fiscal 2026 Performance and Outlook Highlighted Ongoing Challenges.

Nike reported its fiscal first-quarter 2026 results (for the period ending August 31, 2025) on September 30, 2025, beating analyst estimates for both earnings per share and revenue. However, revenue was approximately flat year-over-year after several quarters of significant declines, with growth primarily driven by its wholesale business. Analysts' consensus estimates for Nike's fiscal 2026 earnings indicated a projected year-over-year decline. 2. Increased Tariff Headwinds Impacted Fiscal 2026 Gross Margin Projections.

The company faced new reciprocal tariffs, which were expected to result in an estimated $1.5 billion in annualized costs. This translated to a projected 120-basis-point headwind to Nike's fiscal 2026 gross margin, an increase from previous expectations.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NKE Return41%19%-29%-6%-29%-12%-31%
Peers Return-4%53%-34%24%45%24%115%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NKE Win Rate50%50%33%58%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate67%75%25%50%67%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NKE Max Drawdown-38%-10%-50%-23%-34%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-65%-11%-37%0%-5%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GIL, AGIE, JPO, MPJS, ZCXX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNKES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-53.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven113.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven140 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven68 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-45.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven371 days1480 days

Compare to GIL, AGIE, JPO, MPJS, ZCXX


In The Past

Nike's stock fell -53.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -53.2% loss requires a 113.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Nike (NKE)

Interactive Breakdown

Nike Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NKE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
NKE_3312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312025NKENikeDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.9%4.2%-16.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
NKE_3312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312025NKENikeDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.9%4.2%-16.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Nike

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NKEGILAGIEJPOMPJSZCXXMedian
NameNike Gildan A.Angie JP Outfi.MPJS Zc Gold . 
Mkt Price-------
Mkt Cap-------
Rev LTM-------
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-------
FCF 3Y Avg-------
CFO LTM-------
CFO 3Y Avg-------

Growth & Margins

NKEGILAGIEJPOMPJSZCXXMedian
NameNike Gildan A.Angie JP Outfi.MPJS Zc Gold . 
Rev Chg LTM-------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-------
Rev Chg Q-------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-------
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-------
FCF/Rev LTM-------
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-------

Valuation

NKEGILAGIEJPOMPJSZCXXMedian
NameNike Gildan A.Angie JP Outfi.MPJS Zc Gold . 
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E-------
Net D/E-------

Returns

NKEGILAGIEJPOMPJSZCXXMedian
NameNike Gildan A.Angie JP Outfi.MPJS Zc Gold . 
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
12M Rtn-------
3Y Rtn-------
1M Excs Rtn-------
3M Excs Rtn-------
6M Excs Rtn-------
12M Excs Rtn-------
3Y Excs Rtn-------

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Footwear35,22735,29031,23730,00724,947
Apparel13,86813,93313,67012,96911,042
Equipment2,1121,7551,6501,4111,305
Other155239153151109
Total51,36251,21746,71044,53837,403


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity38,391,572
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.4%
Average Daily Volume17,321,330
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.22
Basic Shares Quantity1,476,600,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251001202510-Q 8/31/2025
5312025717202510-K 5/31/2025
2282025403202510-Q 2/28/2025
11302024103202510-Q 11/30/2024
83120241007202410-Q 8/31/2024
5312024725202410-K 5/31/2024
2292024404202410-Q 2/29/2024
11302023105202410-Q 11/30/2023
83120231006202310-Q 8/31/2023
5312023720202310-K 5/31/2023
2282023406202310-Q 2/28/2023
11302022105202310-Q 11/30/2022
83120221006202210-Q 8/31/2022
5312022721202210-K 5/31/2022
2282022405202210-Q 2/28/2022
11302021106202210-Q 11/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0KNUDSTORP JORGEN VIG 11102025Buy62.0916,1501,002,7541,327,981Form