Lululemon Athletica (LULU)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $157.9 | Market Cap: $18.7 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Lululemon Athletica (LULU)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $157.9Market Cap: $18.7 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 6.0% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -98%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -118% | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 22% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 6.0% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 22% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -98%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -118% |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. CEO Succession and Board Governance Concerns.
Lululemon announced on December 11, 2025, that CEO Calvin McDonald would step down at the end of January 2026, leading to interim co-CEOs, which created investor uncertainty. This leadership transition was exacerbated by ongoing shareholder activism from founder Chip Wilson, who is one of Lululemon's largest shareholders and intends to nominate three directors to the board at the 2026 annual meeting, citing concerns about the erosion of brand positioning and shareholder value.
2. Weakening North American Performance and Slower Overall Growth.
In the third quarter of fiscal 2025 (ended November 2, 2025), Lululemon's Americas net revenue decreased by 2%, and comparable sales for the Americas region declined by 5%. This weakness in a key market contrasts with stronger international growth, and analysts project a continued year-over-year decrease of 5.6% in Americas geographic revenue for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 (ending January 2026). This regional slowdown has contributed to investor concerns about the company's overall growth trajectory.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -14.3% change in LULU stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 184.18 | 157.78 | -14.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10,904 | 11,073 | 1.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 16.4% | 15.7% | -4.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.3 | 10.7 | -12.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 120 | 119 | 0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -14.3% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LULU | -14.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.1% | 35.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | -6.2% | 54.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -22.0% change in LULU stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -20.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 202.20 | 157.78 | -22.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10,750 | 11,073 | 3.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 16.8% | 15.7% | -6.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.5 | 10.7 | -20.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 121 | 119 | 1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -22.0% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LULU | -22.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | 38.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | -4.2% | 47.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -56.8% change in LULU stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -58.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 365.61 | 157.78 | -56.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10,182 | 11,073 | 8.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 17.0% | 15.7% | -7.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.8 | 10.7 | -58.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 123 | 119 | 3.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -56.8% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LULU | -56.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.4% | 46.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 3.4% | 52.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -49.0% change in LULU stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -68.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 309.20 | 157.78 | -49.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 7,468 | 11,073 | 48.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 15.7% | 15.7% | 0.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 33.7 | 10.7 | -68.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 128 | 119 | 7.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -49.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LULU | -49.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 73.4% | 43.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 56.0% | 48.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LULU Return | 12% | -18% | 60% | -25% | -46% | -22% | -53% |
| Peers Return | 13% | -25% | 29% | 24% | -12% | -7% | 12% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LULU Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 83% | 50% | 42% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 35% | 55% | 55% | 48% | 33% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LULU Max Drawdown | -18% | -34% | -9% | -54% | -58% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -10% | -48% | -15% | -20% | -42% | -8% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NKE, DECK, VFC, PVH, RL. See LULU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LULU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 563 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -47.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 66 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 191 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -92.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1191.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 640 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to NKE, DECK, VFC, PVH, RL
In The Past
Lululemon Athletica's stock fell -46.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -46.1% loss requires a 85.6% gain to breakeven.
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About Lululemon Athletica (LULU)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Lululemon Athletica:
A premium Nike for athleisure and wellness, emphasizing design and fit.
The Apple of athletic apparel, known for its premium pricing, strong brand loyalty, and distinctive design.
The Starbucks of activewear, building a premium lifestyle brand around health and well-being.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Athletic Apparel: Designs and sells a range of clothing including pants, shorts, tops, and jackets for men and women, suitable for yoga, running, training, and other athletic pursuits.
- Fitness-Related Accessories: Offers various accessories that complement athletic activities and healthy lifestyles.
- Footwear: Provides shoes designed for athletic and fitness purposes.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers through its company-operated stores, e-commerce website, and mobile apps. Based on the provided description, the company serves the following categories of customers:
- Women engaged in athletic activities and healthy lifestyles: This category targets female individuals who participate in athletic activities such as yoga, running, and training, or who generally pursue a healthy and active lifestyle.
- Men engaged in athletic activities and healthy lifestyles: This category targets male individuals who participate in athletic activities like yoga, running, and training, or who prioritize a healthy and active way of living.
- Enthusiasts of specific fitness regimens: This category encompasses individuals who are dedicated to particular athletic activities like yoga, running, and training, and other "sweaty pursuits," seeking specialized apparel and accessories for their active lifestyles.
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Trade Ideas
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | MBLY | Mobileye Global | Dip Buy | DB | Cash/EquityDip Buyer with High Net Cash % EquityBuying dips for companies with significant net cash as a % of market cap along with meaningful cash flow generation | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02202026 | SAH | Sonic Automotive | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.9% | -5.9% | -6.1% |
| 02132026 | MAT | Mattel | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | SONO | Sonos | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.7% | -0.7% | -4.6% |
| 02062026 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.6% | 1.6% | -0.8% |
| 01302026 | LULU | Lululemon Athletica | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.1% | 6.1% | -2.8% |
Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 80.83 |
| Mkt Cap | 16.6 |
| Rev LTM | 9,200 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,267 |
| FCF LTM | 812 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 914 |
| CFO LTM | 1,072 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,092 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 16.6 |
| P/S | 1.7 |
| P/EBIT | 12.4 |
| P/E | 18.0 |
| P/CFO | 13.8 |
| Total Yield | 6.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -11.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -18.7% |
| 6M Rtn | -8.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -9.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -16.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -9.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -14.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -12.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -33.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -94.3% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $157.78 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 18.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/27/2007 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -53.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $184.99 | $198.27 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -14.7% | -20.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 39.1% | 50.9% |
| Downside Capture | 224.75 | 207.66 |
| Upside Capture | 98.49 | 97.74 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 34.3% | 45.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.14 | 2.10 | 1.47 | 1.59 | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| Up Beta | -0.56 | 0.07 | 0.33 | 1.44 | 1.15 | 1.11 |
| Down Beta | 3.33 | 2.78 | 1.49 | 1.13 | 0.89 | 0.94 |
| Up Capture | 322% | 188% | 190% | 177% | 107% | 126% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 24 | 35 | 66 | 129 | 389 |
| Down Capture | 201% | 267% | 169% | 185% | 145% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 17 | 26 | 58 | 121 | 362 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LULU | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LULU | -48.5% | 50.8% | -1.13 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 13.0% | 23.7% | 0.46 | 52.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.6% | 18.9% | 0.81 | 45.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 71.9% | 26.3% | 2.05 | -8.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.3% | 17.3% | 0.89 | 4.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.2% | 16.3% | 0.19 | 29.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -15.3% | 44.2% | -0.25 | 25.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LULU | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LULU | -10.8% | 41.3% | -0.15 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 8.0% | 23.7% | 0.30 | 57.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.0% | 0.61 | 53.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 17.3% | 1.14 | 0.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 7.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 34.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.3% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 23.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LULU | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LULU | 10.3% | 40.2% | 0.38 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.4% | 21.9% | 0.52 | 56.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 51.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.77 | 1.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 12.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 36.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 17.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/11/2025 | 9.6% | 15.0% | 13.3% |
| 9/4/2025 | -18.6% | -19.6% | -14.8% |
| 6/5/2025 | -19.8% | -25.3% | -28.7% |
| 3/27/2025 | -14.2% | -25.1% | -21.4% |
| 12/5/2024 | 15.9% | 12.9% | 14.1% |
| 8/29/2024 | 0.2% | -2.0% | 4.8% |
| 6/5/2024 | 4.8% | 0.5% | -4.6% |
| 3/21/2024 | -15.8% | -18.4% | -24.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 8.1% | 10.1% | 6.8% |
| Median Negative | -7.4% | -9.8% | -14.8% |
| Max Positive | 15.9% | 18.4% | 18.0% |
| Max Negative | -19.8% | -25.3% | -28.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10/31/2025 | 12/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 08/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 08/31/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2022 | 03/29/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frank, Meghan | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 1022026 | 211.37 | 2,658 | 561,821 | 5,416,568 | Form |
| 2 | Burgoyne, Celeste | Pres Americas & Global Guest | Direct | Sell | 12172025 | 204.00 | 13,511 | 2,756,181 | 1,084,847 | Form |
| 3 | Neuburger, Nicole | Chief Brand Officer | Direct | Sell | 10022025 | 178.00 | 615 | 109,470 | 1,600,754 | Form |
| 4 | McDonald, Calvin | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 7012025 | 235.69 | 27,049 | 6,375,226 | 26,059,024 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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