Tearsheet

Telesat (TSAT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $28.23 | Market Cap: $417.7 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment

Telesat (TSAT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $28.23
Market Cap: $417.7 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Communications Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 721%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Wireless Services, Show more.
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 102%
2  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -27%
3  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%
4  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72%
5  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -44%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Wireless Services, Show more.
2 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 721%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 102%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -27%
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -44%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TSAT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 29.2% stock movement for Telesat (TSAT) between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025: 1. Poor Q3 2025 Financial Results. Telesat reported a significant consolidated revenue decrease of 27% year-over-year to $101 million for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. Additionally, Adjusted EBITDA fell by 51% to $47 million, and the company posted a net loss of $121 million, contrasting with a net income in the prior year period. This underperformance, which included an earnings per share (EPS) of -$1.69, below analyst forecasts, contributed to an immediate stock drop of 4.44% in pre-market trading following the announcement.

2. Continued Decline in Geostationary (GEO) Business. The substantial decline in Telesat's revenue was primarily driven by lower rates on renewed long-term agreements and the expiration of other contracts, such as those with a North American direct-to-home television customer. Reduced demand from enterprise and government clients, including an Indonesian rural broadband program, also contributed to the challenges in its traditional GEO satellite business.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TSAT Return---74%39%58%61%-8%
Peers Return8%41%-13%6%11%68%162%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TSAT Win Rate-0%25%58%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate37%52%28%40%42%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TSAT Max Drawdown---78%-14%-32%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-3%-24%-27%-26%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VSAT, ADTN, FIEE, CSCO, ANET.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTSATS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven540.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to VSAT, ADTN, FIEE, CSCO, ANET


In The Past

Telesat's stock fell -84.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -84.4% loss requires a 540.2% gain to breakeven.

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About Telesat (TSAT)

Better Bets than Telesat (TSAT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TSAT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Telesat

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TSATVSATADTNFIEECSCOANETMedian
NameTelesat Viasat Adtran FiEE Cisco Sy.Arista N. 
Mkt Price26.7934.298.231.9077.75127.8030.54
Mkt Cap0.44.50.7-308.0160.84.5
Rev LTM4524,5641,035056,6548,4482,800
Op Inc LTM90-111-37-112,5043,62344
FCF LTM-228826-113,2884,04657
FCF 3Y Avg59-493-7-114,1782,91129
CFO LTM951,01690-114,1934,141555
CFO 3Y Avg13672849-114,9862,964432

Growth & Margins

TSATVSATADTNFIEECSCOANETMedian
NameTelesat Viasat Adtran FiEE Cisco Sy.Arista N. 
Rev Chg LTM-25.8%-1.4%14.3%-99.5%5.3%27.8%1.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-14.5%26.8%13.7%-65.6%3.4%29.4%8.5%
Rev Chg Q-27.0%4.0%22.7%-7.6%27.5%7.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-7.6%1.0%5.3%35,994.4%1.9%6.3%3.6%
Op Mgn LTM19.9%-2.4%-3.6%-3,292.4%22.1%42.9%8.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg49.9%-8.2%-11.5%-1,146.9%24.5%40.8%8.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-9.1%-0.3%2.6%1,197,542.8%0.3%-0.3%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM21.1%22.3%8.7%-1,599.2%25.1%49.0%21.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.8%17.9%5.3%-535.9%26.7%41.7%19.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.9%1.9%2.5%-1,599.2%23.5%47.9%2.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.4%-14.7%-0.1%-536.4%25.3%41.0%3.7%

Valuation

TSATVSATADTNFIEECSCOANETMedian
NameTelesat Viasat Adtran FiEE Cisco Sy.Arista N. 
Mkt Cap0.44.50.7-308.0160.84.5
P/S0.90.40.7-4.921.70.9
P/EBIT-1.0-12.8-22.2-21.750.6-1.0
P/E-2.5-3.2-8.5-27.054.6-2.5
P/CFO4.11.98.3-19.444.38.3
Total Yield-39.8%-31.2%-11.8%-6.0%1.8%-11.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%-2.3%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg32.5%-20.9%-0.8%-6.4%2.5%2.5%
D/E8.43.70.3-0.10.00.3
Net D/E7.23.10.2-0.0-0.10.2

Returns

TSATVSATADTNFIEECSCOANETMedian
NameTelesat Viasat Adtran FiEE Cisco Sy.Arista N. 
1M Rtn-9.9%-10.7%-21.1%-23.1%4.4%-18.9%-14.8%
3M Rtn29.0%16.2%-11.3%-33.8%15.6%-7.0%4.3%
6M Rtn68.3%285.7%0.2%-22.2%34.6%34.6%
12M Rtn101.7%252.8%-4.6%-34.1%23.3%34.1%
3Y Rtn200.7%-3.2%-59.5%-70.8%278.6%70.8%
1M Excs Rtn-9.8%-10.7%-21.1%-23.0%4.5%-18.9%-14.8%
3M Excs Rtn17.9%8.6%-20.2%-37.5%9.7%-14.8%-3.1%
6M Excs Rtn53.6%271.0%-14.5%-7.5%19.9%19.9%
12M Excs Rtn85.5%254.0%-16.7%-21.1%12.4%21.1%
3Y Excs Rtn126.9%-67.7%-129.6%-3.7%209.5%3.7%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity832,373
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.4%
Average Daily Volume105,293
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.91
Basic Shares Quantity14,797,243
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110420256-K 9/30/2025
630202580620256-K 6/30/2025
331202550620256-K 3/31/2025
12312024327202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024111420246-K 9/30/2024
630202481420246-K 6/30/2024
331202451020246-K 3/31/2024
12312023328202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023110620236-K 9/30/2023
630202381120236-K 6/30/2023
331202351120236-K 3/31/2023
12312022329202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022110820226-K 9/30/2022
630202280520226-K 6/30/2022
331202250620226-K 3/31/2022
12312021318202220-F 12/31/2021