Tearsheet

Telesat (TSAT)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $27.12 | Market Cap: $401.3 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment

Telesat (TSAT)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $27.12
Market Cap: $401.3 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Communications Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.37
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 721%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Wireless Services, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -27%
2   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -44%
5   Key risks
TSAT key risks include [1] substantial debt and financial pressure from funding its Lightspeed constellation, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Wireless Services, Show more.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.37
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 721%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -27%
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -44%
8 Key risks
TSAT key risks include [1] substantial debt and financial pressure from funding its Lightspeed constellation, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TSAT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, Telesat (TSAT) stock experienced a significant movement, likely influenced by several key developments. Here are five key points highlighting the reasons for this movement:

1. Positive shift in analyst sentiment and price targets. The consensus rating for TSAT shifted to "Buy" from a previous "Hold" by a majority of analysts (8 analysts). The average stock forecast for Telesat in the next 12 months was approximately $50.32 USD, representing a potential upside of 56.91% from its price around December 2025.

2. Continued progress and reaffirmed launch timeline for the Telesat Lightspeed constellation. Throughout this period, Telesat consistently emphasized strong progress on its Lightspeed Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellite network. The company reaffirmed that the first Lightspeed satellites remained on track for launch in late 2026, with initial Pathfinder spacecraft expected around December 2026. This commitment to its future growth driver likely boosted investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TSAT Return-74%39%58%77%
Peers Return-9%53%-13%8%39%189%428%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TSAT Win Rate0%25%58%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate43%52%48%50%38%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TSAT Max Drawdown-78%-14%-32%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-13%-35%-40%-51%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SATS, VSAT, GSAT, IRDM, ASTS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTSATS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven540.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to VSAT, ADTN, FIEE, CSCO, ANET


In The Past

Telesat's stock fell -84.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -84.4% loss requires a 540.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Telesat (TSAT)

Better Bets than Telesat (TSAT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TSAT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Telesat

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TSATSATSVSATGSATIRDMASTSMedian
NameTelesat EchoStar Viasat Globalst.Iridium .AST Spac. 
Mkt Price27.04100.8932.1756.9116.5961.8644.54
Mkt Cap0.429.14.07.21.813.45.6
Rev LTM45215,1764,58326287219662
Op Inc LTM90-525-5011233-274-20
FCF LTM-22-1,765147283305-94462
FCF 3Y Avg59-3,978-43870279-483-189
CFO LTM953721,059786396-165384
CFO 3Y Avg1362,430759330358-149344

Growth & Margins

TSATSATSVSATGSATIRDMASTSMedian
NameTelesat EchoStar Viasat Globalst.Iridium .AST Spac. 
Rev Chg LTM-25.8%-5.3%1.2%8.5%7.3%641.2%4.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-14.5%-0.2%24.0%24.1%8.6%-8.6%
Rev Chg Q-27.0%-7.1%1.7%2.1%6.7%1,239.9%1.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-7.6%-1.8%0.4%0.6%1.7%278.8%0.5%
Op Mgn LTM19.9%-3.5%-1.1%4.1%26.7%-1,479.5%1.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg49.9%1.1%-10.0%0.7%19.2%-1.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-9.1%-0.1%1.3%0.2%1.3%3,835.9%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM21.1%2.4%23.1%299.9%45.5%-890.0%22.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.8%10.1%17.9%130.1%43.3%-21.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.9%-11.6%3.2%108.0%35.0%-5,094.0%-0.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.4%-16.4%-12.1%25.1%33.7%-7.4%

Valuation

TSATSATSVSATGSATIRDMASTSMedian
NameTelesat EchoStar Viasat Globalst.Iridium .AST Spac. 
Mkt Cap0.429.14.07.21.813.45.6
P/S0.91.40.917.62.1722.61.8
P/EBIT-1.0-1.4-429.98.0-3.5
P/E-2.5-1.7-7.6-97.614.7-44.1-5.0
P/CFO4.159.23.75.94.7-81.24.4
Total Yield-39.8%-58.9%-13.2%-1.0%10.2%-2.3%-7.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.4%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg32.5%-74.4%-1.0%9.6%-5.3%
D/E8.41.4-0.11.0-1.2
Net D/E7.21.2-0.00.9-1.1

Returns

TSATSATSVSATGSATIRDMASTSMedian
NameTelesat EchoStar Viasat Globalst.Iridium .AST Spac. 
1M Rtn13.5%50.7%-3.6%-3.9%2.8%9.3%6.0%
3M Rtn6.7%40.5%-0.6%66.0%-9.1%50.2%23.6%
6M Rtn35.9%305.7%141.7%138.7%-41.3%39.5%89.1%
12M Rtn48.9%338.0%252.0%99.7%-42.0%149.6%124.7%
3Y Rtn326.5%532.5%7.5%174.9%-65.1%1,502.6%250.7%
1M Excs Rtn12.7%50.0%-4.3%-4.6%2.1%8.6%5.3%
3M Excs Rtn9.9%40.3%5.4%63.3%-12.2%47.9%25.1%
6M Excs Rtn23.6%293.3%129.3%126.3%-53.7%27.1%76.7%
12M Excs Rtn50.3%321.2%233.5%83.5%-54.4%152.4%117.9%
3Y Excs Rtn217.9%447.1%-62.1%81.2%-134.0%1,243.9%149.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Geosynchronous Equatorial Orbit (GEO)693   
Low Earth Orbit (LEO)11   
Other0   
Broadcast 359391411
Consulting and other 121319
Enterprise 389354390
Total704759758820


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Geosynchronous Equatorial Orbit (GEO)579   
Other operating gains (losses), net265   
Non-recurring items-1   
Other-2   
Amortization-13   
Share-based compensation-33   
Low Earth Orbit (LEO)-43   
Depreciation-183   
Total569   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity870,976
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520255.2%
Average Daily Volume65,138
Days-to-Cover Short Interest13.37
Basic Shares Quantity14,797,243
Short % of Basic Shares5.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110420256-K 9/30/2025
630202580620256-K 6/30/2025
331202550620256-K 3/31/2025
12312024327202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024111420246-K 9/30/2024
630202481420246-K 6/30/2024
331202451020246-K 3/31/2024
12312023328202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023110620236-K 9/30/2023
630202381120236-K 6/30/2023
331202351120236-K 3/31/2023
12312022329202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022110820226-K 9/30/2022
630202280520226-K 6/30/2022
331202250620226-K 3/31/2022
12312021318202220-F 12/31/2021