Tearsheet

InterDigital (IDCC)


Market Price (6/26/2026): $273.28 | Market Cap: $7.0 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment

InterDigital (IDCC)


Market Price (6/26/2026): $273.28
Market Cap: $7.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Communications Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 7.4%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 50%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 70%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Wireless Services, Show more.

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.4%

Key risks
IDCC key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on lumpy patent licensing renewals and associated litigation, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 7.4%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 50%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 70%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Wireless Services, Show more.
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.4%
7 Key risks
IDCC key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on lumpy patent licensing renewals and associated litigation, Show more.

IDCC in ETFs

Weight = IDCC's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWM0.22%
IJH0.20%
VB0.08%
NUSC0.53%
IWO0.42%
MDYG0.40%
+17 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 6/24/2026

InterDigital (IDCC) stock has lost about 25% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Disappointing Fiscal Q2 2026 Revenue Guidance Following Year-over-Year Decline in Fiscal Q1 2026 Revenue.

While InterDigital reported better-than-expected results for fiscal Q1 2026 on April 30, 2026, with EPS of $2.57 beating estimates and revenue of $205.4 million exceeding projections, the market reacted negatively to the company's outlook. The stock dropped 12.68% in pre-market trading despite the beat. This negative reaction was primarily driven by InterDigital's fiscal Q1 2026 revenue marking a 2.4% decrease year-over-year compared to fiscal Q1 2025 revenue of $210.5 million, and a substantial reduction in revenue guidance for fiscal Q2 2026. The company projected fiscal Q2 2026 revenue between $139 million and $143 million, representing a significant sequential decline from fiscal Q1 2026 and an anticipated 52.1% year-over-year drop from previous expectations for the period.

2. Significant Institutional and Executive Insider Selling.

A substantial volume of InterDigital shares was sold by both key executives and major institutional investors during the specified period. Lawrence Liren Chen, the President and CEO, sold shares totaling approximately $9.55 million. Additionally, Chief Financial Officer Richard Brezski sold shares valued at roughly $6.80 million. Concurrently, several large institutional holders significantly reduced their stakes; for instance, BlackRock, Inc. divested approximately $198.56 million worth of shares in fiscal Q1 2026, and Wedge Capital Management L.L.P./NC removed an estimated $54.17 million in shares during fiscal Q1 2026. This widespread selling by those with deep insight into the company's operations and by major capital allocators signals a lack of confidence that likely contributed to the stock's decline.

Show more
Updated on 6/24/2026

InterDigital (IDCC) stock has lost about 25% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Disappointing Fiscal Q2 2026 Revenue Guidance Following Year-over-Year Decline in Fiscal Q1 2026 Revenue.

While InterDigital reported better-than-expected results for fiscal Q1 2026 on April 30, 2026, with EPS of $2.57 beating estimates and revenue of $205.4 million exceeding projections, the market reacted negatively to the company's outlook. The stock dropped 12.68% in pre-market trading despite the beat. This negative reaction was primarily driven by InterDigital's fiscal Q1 2026 revenue marking a 2.4% decrease year-over-year compared to fiscal Q1 2025 revenue of $210.5 million, and a substantial reduction in revenue guidance for fiscal Q2 2026. The company projected fiscal Q2 2026 revenue between $139 million and $143 million, representing a significant sequential decline from fiscal Q1 2026 and an anticipated 52.1% year-over-year drop from previous expectations for the period.

2. Significant Institutional and Executive Insider Selling.

A substantial volume of InterDigital shares was sold by both key executives and major institutional investors during the specified period. Lawrence Liren Chen, the President and CEO, sold shares totaling approximately $9.55 million. Additionally, Chief Financial Officer Richard Brezski sold shares valued at roughly $6.80 million. Concurrently, several large institutional holders significantly reduced their stakes; for instance, BlackRock, Inc. divested approximately $198.56 million worth of shares in fiscal Q1 2026, and Wedge Capital Management L.L.P./NC removed an estimated $54.17 million in shares during fiscal Q1 2026. This widespread selling by those with deep insight into the company's operations and by major capital allocators signals a lack of confidence that likely contributed to the stock's decline.

3. Negative Revisions in Future Earnings Estimates and Valuation Concerns.

Analysts revised earnings estimates downward for InterDigital for both fiscal years 2026 and 2027 within the 60 days leading up to late May 2026, reflecting a deteriorating outlook on future profitability. The forecast annual earnings growth rate for InterDigital for fiscal years 2026-2028 is projected at -17.36%, significantly underperforming the US Telecom Services industry's average forecast earnings growth rate of 7.18%. Furthermore, as of June 18, 2026, InterDigital received an "Expensive" valuation grade from AAII, suggesting the stock might be overvalued, a sentiment echoed by some discounted cash flow models that estimated the fair value at $111.55 per share against a market price of $296.04. These revised expectations and valuation concerns likely pressured the stock downwards.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -25.3% change in IDCC stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/25/2026 was primarily driven by a -17.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820266252026Change
Stock Price ($)365.72273.20-25.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)834829-0.6%
Net Income Margin (%)48.8%44.2%-9.4%
P/E Multiple23.119.2-17.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)26260.0%
Cumulative Contribution-25.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 6/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IDCC-25.3% 
Market (SPY)7.3%37.3%
Sector (XLK)33.2%42.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -23.3% change in IDCC stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/25/2026 was primarily driven by a -17.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)113020256252026Change
Stock Price ($)356.16273.20-23.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)929829-10.7%
Net Income Margin (%)53.5%44.2%-17.4%
P/E Multiple18.519.23.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)26260.3%
Cumulative Contribution-23.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 6/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IDCC-23.3% 
Market (SPY)8.1%30.6%
Sector (XLK)29.3%36.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 26.9% change in IDCC stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 35.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120256252026Change
Stock Price ($)215.28273.2026.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8158291.6%
Net Income Margin (%)48.1%44.2%-8.2%
P/E Multiple14.119.235.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)26260.1%
Cumulative Contribution26.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2025 to 6/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IDCC26.9% 
Market (SPY)26.0%33.1%
Sector (XLK)60.8%36.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 241.6% change in IDCC stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 50.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120236252026Change
Stock Price ($)79.97273.20241.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)55982948.3%
Net Income Margin (%)32.4%44.2%36.5%
P/E Multiple12.719.250.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)292611.9%
Cumulative Contribution241.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2023 to 6/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IDCC241.6% 
Market (SPY)82.6%38.9%
Sector (XLK)129.4%37.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
IDCC Return20%-29%124%81%66%-14%396%
Peers Return53%-24%37%41%10%31%224%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%7%96%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IDCC Win Rate58%33%50%67%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate70%37%57%68%58%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IDCC Max Drawdown-24%-44%-23%-18%-20%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-38%-18%-18%-31%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CSCO, QCOM, MSI, FFIV, ANET. See IDCC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/25/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventIDCCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-15.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven21 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-18.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven15 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-43.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven77.8%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven124 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-42.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven74.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven42 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-18.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven23.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven844 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-11.9%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.5%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven19 days6 days

Compare to CSCO, QCOM, MSI, FFIV, ANET

In The Past

InterDigital's stock fell -15.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventIDCCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-43.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven77.8%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven124 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-42.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven74.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven42 days140 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-38.6%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven62.7%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven118 days1 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-39.3%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.7%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven1747 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-30.2%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven77 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-36.1%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.5%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven538 days47 days

Compare to CSCO, QCOM, MSI, FFIV, ANET

In The Past

InterDigital's stock fell -15.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About InterDigital (IDCC)

InterDigital (IDCC) is a technology innovation company specializing in the design and development of advanced wireless communication technologies. The company primarily invents and patents foundational technologies that enhance various digital cellular and wireless networks, including 2G, 3G, 4G, and 5G standards, as well as IEEE 802-related systems. Its extensive research and development efforts cover key areas like cellular communication protocols (CDMA, OFDM, MIMO), future wireless advancements (5G NR, Beyond 5G, extended reality over wireless), and the Internet of Things (IoT).

Rather than selling physical products, InterDigital's core business revolves around its intellectual property. The company develops and licenses its patented technologies for use across a wide range of devices and infrastructure. This includes technologies for mobile terminal devices, wireless infrastructure equipment such as base stations, and components for various wireless gadgets. Beyond cellular, InterDigital also contributes technologies to areas like video coding and transmission, artificial intelligence, and specialized applications for automobiles, wearables, smart homes, and drones. Its portfolio boasts approximately 27,500 patents and patent applications.

InterDigital's licensed technologies are integrated into products used globally, serving key markets in the United States, China, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, and Europe. Its primary customers are effectively the manufacturers and developers of wireless-enabled devices and network infrastructure who license InterDigital's patents. These technologies enable a vast array of consumer and enterprise products, from cellular phones, tablets, and notebook computers to sophisticated IoT devices and critical wireless network components, making it a foundational technology provider in the global connectivity ecosystem.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for InterDigital (IDCC):

  • Like Qualcomm's patent licensing division as a standalone company.
  • The Dolby Laboratories for wireless communication and video technologies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Wireless Communication Technologies: InterDigital designs and develops core technologies that enable and enhance 2G, 3G, 4G, and 5G wireless communications and networks.
  • Advanced Connectivity & IoT Technologies: The company develops technologies for 5G NR, beyond 5G, extended reality over wireless, and cellular Internet of Things across various devices.
  • Video Coding and Transmission Technologies: InterDigital provides technologies for efficient video coding and transmission.
  • Artificial Intelligence (AI) Technologies: The company engages in research and development to create artificial intelligence technologies.

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Liren Chen, President and Chief Executive Officer

Liren Chen joined InterDigital as President and CEO on April 5, 2021. Before InterDigital, he spent nearly 25 years at Qualcomm Incorporated, where his most recent role was Senior Vice President and Global Head of IP, Legal Counsel. At Qualcomm, he was responsible for overseeing Qualcomm's worldwide intellectual property portfolio and leading technology, business strategy, product management, and global ecosystem development for Qualcomm Technology Licensing. He was also deeply involved in developing and driving Qualcomm's technology-driven IP strategy, as well as multiple IP acquisitions and integrations. Chen is a co-inventor on over 120 patents worldwide. He is also a board member of Arrow Electronics.

Richard J. Brezski, EVP, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer

Richard J. Brezski serves as the Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer of InterDigital.

Rajesh Pankaj, EVP, Chief Technology Officer

Rajesh Pankaj was appointed as InterDigital's Chief Technology Officer effective July 5, 2022. Prior to joining InterDigital, he spent 25 years at Qualcomm, where he most recently held the position of Senior Vice President, Engineering and Head of Corporate R&D. In this role at Qualcomm, he managed a global team of engineers focused on Artificial Intelligence, Edge Computing, and new technologies, and oversaw research in areas such as 5G, 4G LTE, and augmented reality. Dr. Pankaj is an inventor or co-inventor on 230 patents worldwide.

Julia C. Mattis, EVP, Chief Licensing Officer

Julia C. Mattis was appointed as InterDigital's Chief Licensing Officer in September 2025. She joined InterDigital in February 2010 and has held various senior positions within the legal and licensing teams, including Chief Licensing Counsel and Head of Smartphone Licensing. With over two decades of experience in the IP industry, she has been instrumental in finalizing licensing agreements with some of the world's leading smartphone and consumer electronics manufacturers. Before her tenure at InterDigital, Ms. Mattis worked in private practice at law firms.

Joshua D. Schmidt, EVP, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary

Joshua D. Schmidt was appointed Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary for InterDigital in October 2021. He joined the company in March 2015 and previously served as Vice President, Deputy General Counsel. Before joining InterDigital, Mr. Schmidt worked in private practice at Dechert LLP, where he provided counsel to clients on a range of corporate legal matters, including public and private company M&A, securities offerings, and joint ventures.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The public company InterDigital (IDCC), which specializes in designing and developing technologies for wireless communications and licensing its extensive patent portfolio, faces several key business risks:

  1. Dependence on Patent Licensing Revenue and Associated Litigation Risk: InterDigital's core business model heavily relies on generating revenue through licensing its vast patent portfolio, encompassing technologies from 2G to 5G, Wi-Fi, and video codecs. This reliance means the company is inherently exposed to significant litigation risks. InterDigital frequently engages in patent infringement lawsuits to enforce its intellectual property rights and secure licensing agreements from manufacturers of communication devices, consumer electronics, and IoT devices. Unfavorable legal rulings, changes in intellectual property laws, or difficulties in negotiating and renewing licensing agreements could substantially impact the company's financial performance and revenue stability. For example, the company has recently initiated patent infringement litigation against major television manufacturers like Hisense and TCL, as well as Amazon, to enforce its intellectual property rights. Additionally, the company faces antitrust challenges from competitors and licensees who may claim InterDigital abuses its market position by demanding excessively high royalty rates for its essential patents.
  2. Technological Disruption and Intense Competition: InterDigital operates in a highly dynamic and competitive technology sector characterized by rapid innovation. There is an ongoing risk that new market entrants or the development of alternative technologies could render InterDigital's existing patents less valuable or even obsolete. To maintain its market position and revenue generation capabilities, the company must continuously innovate and stay ahead of technological advancements. While InterDigital actively contributes to next-generation wireless standards like 5G Advanced and 6G, the threat of disruption from evolving technologies and a competitive landscape that includes larger, more diversified technology firms remains a significant challenge.
  3. Regulatory and Legal Challenges in the Intellectual Property Landscape: Beyond specific patent litigation, InterDigital is exposed to broader regulatory and legal risks stemming from changes in patent laws, market dynamics, and increased scrutiny of intellectual property rights. The global regulatory environment for patent licensing, particularly concerning Standard Essential Patents (SEPs), presents a significant near-term risk. There is ongoing antitrust scrutiny on the aggregation of SEPs into patent pools, with concerns about potential anti-competitive behavior or inflated royalty stacking. Adverse changes in intellectual property laws or increased regulatory pressures could significantly impact InterDigital's business operations and financial results.

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InterDigital (IDCC) operates in several significant addressable markets related to wireless communications, video technologies, and connected devices. Below are market size estimations for their key product and service areas:

  • 5G Services and Technology: The global 5G services market was valued at USD 208.86 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 17,319.9 billion by 2034, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 63.38% from 2026 to 2034. Another estimate places the global 5G service market size at USD 132.06 billion in 2024, expected to reach USD 1,104.05 billion by 2032. The global 5G technology market size was estimated at USD 274 billion in 2025 and is expected to hit around USD 24,231 billion by 2034.
  • Cellular IoT: The global cellular IoT market size was valued at USD 8.02 billion in 2025 and is estimated to increase to USD 53.24 billion by 2034, demonstrating a CAGR of 23.40% between 2026 and 2034. Another source states the global cellular IoT market size was USD 6.4 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 28.7 billion by 2033. Global cellular IoT connectivity revenues are expected to surpass USD 26 billion by 2030.
  • Connected Cars/Vehicles: The global connected car market size was estimated at USD 12,843.0 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 26,470.7 million by 2030. Other estimates for the global connected car market include a valuation of USD 115.8 billion in 2023, projected to reach USD 501.8 billion by 2033. The global connected vehicle services market was valued at USD 21 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 57 billion by 2034.
  • Wearable Technology: The global wearable technology market size was estimated at USD 92.90 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 229.97 billion by 2033. Another report valued the global wearable technology market at USD 86.78 billion in 2025, projected to grow to USD 231.43 billion by 2034. North America held the largest wearable technology market share in 2025, accounting for 38.80% of the global market.
  • Smart Homes: The global smart homes market size was valued at USD 151.5 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 351.7 billion by 2034. Another assessment puts the global smart home market size at USD 127.80 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 537.27 billion by 2030. North America dominates the market, holding a market share of 35.8% in 2025.
  • Drones: The global drone market size was estimated at USD 83.81 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 182.45 billion by 2033. The overall global UAV (Drone) market (OEM + Aftermarket) is estimated to be USD 26.12 billion in 2025 and projected to reach USD 40.56 billion by 2030. North America accounted for the largest revenue share of over 40.0% in the drone market in 2025. The global consumer drone market size was USD 5.12 billion in 2023 and is expected to increase to USD 15.63 billion by 2032.
  • Extended Reality (XR) over Wireless: The global extended reality market size was USD 252.6 billion in 2025 and is estimated to reach USD 4,441.5 billion by the end of 2035. Another report estimated the global extended reality market size at USD 142.39 billion in 2023, projected to reach USD 1,069.27 billion by 2030. North America is expected to account for 41.6% of the global revenue share through 2035.
  • Video Coding and Transmission Technologies (Advanced Video Coding, Video Encoding, and Transcoding): The global video transcoding market size reached USD 2,280.3 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 6,806.9 million by 2033. The Advanced Video Coding market was valued at USD 3.2 billion in 2023 and is expected to surpass USD 4.5 billion by 2030. North America dominates the global video encoder and transcoder market.
  • Artificial Intelligence (AI) for Wireless Communications: The global AI in telecommunication market was valued at USD 3.6 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 45.1 billion by 2034. Another report estimated the global AI for wireless technology market size at USD 4.42 billion in 2025, expected to reach USD 10.63 billion by 2032. North America held around 35% market share of AI in telecommunication in 2024.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for InterDigital (IDCC) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Expansion and Renewal of Smartphone Licensing Agreements: InterDigital expects continued revenue growth through the renewal of existing and the execution of new licensing agreements with major smartphone manufacturers. The company completed significant licensing deals with Samsung (extended to 2030), vivo, Honor, and OPPO in 2024 and 2025, covering a substantial portion of global smartphone shipments. A recent smartphone renewal with a major Chinese vendor is also cited as contributing to the positive outlook for 2026.
  2. Diversification of Licensing into New Verticals: The company is actively expanding its intellectual property licensing beyond traditional smartphones to encompass a broader range of connected devices. This includes consumer electronics (CE), Internet of Things (IoT), automotive, and personal computers (PC). Notable agreements include a new CE device license with a significant social media company and a license agreement with HP, the world's largest PC manufacturer, both in 2025. Recurring revenue from CE and IoT licensing increased significantly in 2024, indicating a growing contribution from these segments.
  3. Sustained Growth in Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR): InterDigital consistently highlights the expansion of its Annualized Recurring Revenue, which represents a stable and predictable base of licensing income. ARR increased by 24% year-over-year in Q4 2025, reaching $582 million. The company aims to achieve double-digit growth in its ARR, demonstrating a focus on increasing this recurring revenue stream.
  4. Continued Innovation and Patent Development in Advanced Technologies: InterDigital's ongoing investment in research and development, particularly in areas like artificial intelligence (AI), 5G, and next-generation wireless technologies such as 6G, is a fundamental driver for long-term revenue growth. The company's patent portfolio grew by 14% in 2025, surpassing 38,000 grantee patents and applications, and is considered one of the highest quality globally. This continuous innovation fuels the pipeline for future licensing opportunities across various industries.

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Share Repurchases

  • On December 6, 2023, InterDigital's Board of Directors authorized an increase of approximately $235 million to the outstanding amount of its existing share repurchase program, bringing the total authorization to $300 million, effective December 1, 2023.

Share Issuance

  • InterDigital's shares outstanding were 0.034 billion in 2025, marking a 16.03% increase from 2024.
  • Shares outstanding for the quarter ending December 31, 2025, increased by 20.31% year-over-year to 0.036 billion.
  • The company's 3.50% Senior Convertible Notes due 2027 are convertible at a rate of 12.9041 shares of common stock per $1,000 principal amount, with InterDigital having the option to settle in cash, shares, or a combination. Call spread transactions were implemented to economically raise the conversion price from $77.49 to $105.67, thereby reducing the net shares issued upon conversion.

Capital Expenditures

  • Research and innovation costs, a primary component of capital expenditures for InterDigital, were $78.3 million in 2023, $74.3 million in 2022, and $89.4 million in 2021.
  • The largest portion of these research and innovation costs has been allocated to personnel.
  • InterDigital generated $63.2 million in free cash flow in the fourth quarter of 2025, representing cash available after capital expenditures.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

IDCCCSCOQCOMMSIFFIVANETMedian
NameInterDig.Cisco Sy.Qualcomm Motorola.F5 Arista N. 
Mkt Price273.20118.97204.90397.01386.01165.45239.05
Mkt Cap7.0470.2218.465.821.9208.1137.0
Rev LTM82960,74644,48711,8683,2259,71010,789
Op Inc LTM41114,40811,3942,9458094,1553,550
FCF LTM52211,78812,5022,4889635,2783,883
FCF 3Y Avg29812,33412,1542,3168303,7333,024
CFO LTM58113,02514,2852,7781,0155,4244,101
CFO 3Y Avg35813,27713,4582,5778743,8113,194

Growth & Margins

IDCCCSCOQCOMMSIFFIVANETMedian
NameInterDig.Cisco Sy.Qualcomm Motorola.F5 Arista N. 
Rev Chg LTM1.6%9.2%5.2%8.3%9.7%30.6%8.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.8%3.5%3.3%8.1%5.2%26.0%6.6%
Rev Chg Q-2.4%12.0%-3.5%7.4%11.0%35.1%9.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.6%2.9%-0.8%1.6%2.6%7.8%2.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM-12.0%19.0%-2.3%7.3%10.9%32.2%9.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg33.3%0.8%-0.8%16.4%25.7%33.9%21.1%
Op Mgn LTM49.6%23.7%25.6%24.8%25.1%42.8%25.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg46.9%24.0%26.0%24.7%24.4%41.7%25.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-5.6%0.5%-1.6%-0.5%-0.0%-0.0%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM70.0%21.4%32.1%23.4%31.5%55.9%31.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg47.5%23.2%33.0%23.4%29.2%47.7%31.1%
FCF/Rev LTM62.9%19.4%28.1%21.0%29.9%54.4%29.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg39.5%21.6%29.8%21.1%27.7%46.8%28.8%

Valuation

IDCCCSCOQCOMMSIFFIVANETMedian
NameInterDig.Cisco Sy.Qualcomm Motorola.F5 Arista N. 
Mkt Cap7.0470.2218.465.821.9208.1137.0
P/S8.57.74.95.56.821.47.3
P/Op Inc17.132.619.222.427.150.124.7
P/EBIT15.430.317.621.227.150.124.1
P/E19.239.322.031.530.955.931.2
P/CFO12.136.115.323.721.638.422.6
Total Yield6.2%3.9%6.3%4.3%3.2%1.8%4.1%
Dividend Yield1.0%1.4%1.7%1.1%0.0%0.0%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.0%5.1%7.5%3.4%5.8%3.2%5.5%
D/E0.10.10.10.10.00.00.1
Net D/E-0.10.00.00.1-0.1-0.1-0.0

Returns

IDCCCSCOQCOMMSIFFIVANETMedian
NameInterDig.Cisco Sy.Qualcomm Motorola.F5 Arista N. 
1M Rtn3.7%0.5%-17.3%-3.0%-2.8%4.7%-1.1%
3M Rtn-8.4%44.8%57.5%-11.5%31.7%35.0%33.3%
6M Rtn-16.4%54.1%18.4%6.0%47.1%26.5%22.5%
12M Rtn19.6%78.5%34.2%-4.2%31.1%71.8%32.6%
3Y Rtn213.0%157.4%87.5%46.3%167.4%338.8%162.4%
1M Excs Rtn5.9%2.7%-15.2%-0.8%-0.6%6.9%1.0%
3M Excs Rtn-23.6%34.6%46.2%-23.3%18.0%10.9%14.5%
6M Excs Rtn-24.3%47.0%11.8%0.2%41.3%19.6%15.7%
12M Excs Rtn-3.3%58.5%13.6%-24.8%9.7%53.4%11.6%
3Y Excs Rtn142.4%83.1%14.9%-20.7%91.2%260.7%87.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment834869550  
Catch-up revenues   54 
Consumer Electronics (CE), Internet of Things (IoT)/Auto   5232
Other   15
Smartphone   351315
Non-recurring revenues    74
Total834869550458425


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Single Segment407359
Total407359


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$273.20 
Market Cap ($ Bil)7.0 
First Trading Date03/26/1990 
Distance from 52W High-30.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$291.99$330.47
DMA Trendindeterminatedown
Distance from DMA-6.4%-17.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility54.3%47.7%
Downside Capture189.86137.64
Upside Capture72.85126.65
Correlation (SPY)35.1%33.3%
IDCC Betas & Captures as of 5/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.161.471.161.021.180.92
Up Beta0.681.721.141.381.700.98
Down Beta1.251.301.120.100.660.64
Up Capture-53%-1%11%54%111%143%
Bmk +ve Days13283667141432
Stock +ve Days11243461131401
Down Capture404%360%212%164%119%97%
Bmk -ve Days7132757109318
Stock -ve Days9172963119349

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with IDCC
IDCC17.6%47.5%0.49-
Sector ETF (XLK)50.2%23.4%1.6735.8%
Equity (SPY)22.1%12.4%1.3333.2%
Gold (GLD)20.8%27.7%0.6716.6%
Commodities (DBC)23.3%18.5%0.99-2.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.6%13.8%0.555.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-42.9%42.5%-1.2012.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with IDCC
IDCC30.4%35.8%0.82-
Sector ETF (XLK)21.8%25.3%0.7643.6%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.1%0.6045.3%
Gold (GLD)17.4%18.3%0.7710.9%
Commodities (DBC)7.9%19.5%0.307.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.8%18.9%0.0531.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.8%54.1%0.3820.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with IDCC
IDCC18.8%35.6%0.58-
Sector ETF (XLK)25.2%24.7%0.9249.6%
Equity (SPY)15.3%18.0%0.7354.2%
Gold (GLD)11.6%16.1%0.597.8%
Commodities (DBC)5.9%18.0%0.2517.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.5%20.7%0.2342.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)56.4%66.5%0.9715.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 53120266.4%
Average Daily Volume0.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity25.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares10.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/15/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/30/2026-15.9%-21.2%-28.5%
2/5/20269.9%15.9%13.8%
10/30/20253.5%0.8%-8.2%
7/31/20255.3%10.2%11.6%
5/1/20250.6%5.7%8.1%
2/6/202516.0%15.1%18.0%
10/31/20241.8%20.0%32.7%
8/1/202411.5%11.1%11.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161414
# Negative799
Median Positive4.4%9.6%11.4%
Median Negative-3.6%-4.0%-4.6%
Max Positive16.0%26.8%32.7%
Max Negative-15.9%-21.2%-28.5%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/30/2026-15.9%-21.2%-28.5%
2/5/20269.9%15.9%13.8%
10/30/20253.5%0.8%-8.2%
7/31/20255.3%10.2%11.6%
5/1/20250.6%5.7%8.1%
2/6/202516.0%15.1%18.0%
10/31/20241.8%20.0%32.7%
8/1/202411.5%11.1%11.3%
2/15/202411.0%4.4%-1.9%
11/2/20238.6%11.9%32.3%
8/3/2023-3.6%-6.7%-4.6%
5/4/20239.4%26.8%26.5%
2/15/20232.2%-1.1%2.0%
11/3/2022-2.1%0.4%5.9%
8/4/2022-1.9%-10.6%-23.5%
5/5/2022-3.7%-4.0%8.2%
2/17/2022-2.5%-7.0%-4.3%
11/4/20210.4%-0.6%-5.7%
8/5/20210.4%8.9%4.4%
5/6/20211.4%-1.0%21.9%
2/18/2021-5.5%-3.4%-4.3%
11/5/20208.8%9.0%11.0%
8/6/20201.0%1.8%-3.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161414
# Negative799
Median Positive4.4%9.6%11.4%
Median Negative-3.6%-4.0%-4.6%
Max Positive16.0%26.8%32.7%
Max Negative-15.9%-21.2%-28.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202502/05/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/06/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/15/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/15/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202502/05/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/06/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/15/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/15/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202102/17/202210-K
09/30/202111/04/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/06/202110-Q
12/31/202002/18/202110-K
09/30/202011/05/202010-Q
06/30/202008/06/202010-Q
03/31/202005/07/202010-Q
12/31/201902/20/202010-K
09/30/201910/31/201910-Q
06/30/201908/01/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 5/31/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/30/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Revenue139.00 Mil141.00 Mil143.00 Mil-28.4% LoweredGuidance: 197.00 Mil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA67.00 Mil70.00 Mil73.00 Mil-33.6% LoweredGuidance: 105.50 Mil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Diluted EPS0.80.890.97-49.0% LoweredGuidance: 1.74 for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Non-GAAP EPS1.411.51.6-40.6% LoweredGuidance: 2.54 for Q1 2026
2026 Revenue675.00 Mil725.00 Mil775.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 725.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA381.00 Mil429.00 Mil477.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 429.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Diluted EPS5.777.148.510 AffirmedGuidance: 7.14 for 2026
2026 Non-GAAP EPS8.7410.311.80 AffirmedGuidance: 10.3 for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue194.00 Mil197.00 Mil200.00 Mil34.9% Higher NewGuidance: 146.00 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA101.00 Mil105.50 Mil110.00 Mil46.5% Higher NewGuidance: 72.00 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Diluted EPS1.611.741.86107.8% Higher NewGuidance: 0.83 for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Non-GAAP EPS2.392.542.6868.4% Higher NewGuidance: 1.5 for Q4 2025
2026 Revenue675.00 Mil725.00 Mil775.00 Mil-11.8% Lower NewGuidance: 822.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA381.00 Mil429.00 Mil477.00 Mil-25.1% Lower NewGuidance: 573.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Diluted EPS5.777.148.51-37.3% Lower NewGuidance: 11.4 for 2025
2026 Non-GAAP EPS8.7410.311.8-30.1% Lower NewGuidance: 14.7 for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 6/23/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Markley, John D JR DirectSell6232026300.00400120,0003,520,412Form
2Rankin, Jean F DirectSell6162026276.64365100,9748,005,408Form
3Kritzmacher, John A DirectSell6162026276.64365100,9744,525,554Form
4Armaly, Samir DirectSell6162026276.64470130,0211,274,757Form
5Aberle, Derek K DirectSell6162026276.64522144,4062,107,997Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Markley, John D JR DirectSell6232026300.00400120,0003,520,412Form
2Rankin, Jean F DirectSell6162026276.64365100,9748,005,408Form
3Kritzmacher, John A DirectSell6162026276.64365100,9744,525,554Form
4Armaly, Samir DirectSell6162026276.64470130,0211,274,757Form
5Aberle, Derek K DirectSell6162026276.64522144,4062,107,997Form
6Pankaj, RajeshChief Technology OfficerDirectSell6122026290.001,500435,00020,148,174Form
7Pankaj, RajeshChief Technology OfficerDirectSell6082026258.38750193,78518,338,898Form
8Mattis, Julia CChief Licensing OfficerDirectSell6042026257.651,600412,2402,972,845Form
9Pankaj, RajeshChief Technology OfficerDirectSell5062026278.00750208,50019,939,956Form
10Pankaj, RajeshChief Technology OfficerDirectSell4072026313.301,500469,95022,698,426Form
11Schmidt, Joshua DCLO & Corp SecretaryDirectSell3172026348.216,0002,089,2609,014,888Form
12Pankaj, RajeshChief Technology OfficerDirectSell3062026368.101,000368,10022,158,173Form
13Schmidt, Joshua DCLO & Corp SecretaryDirectSell3032026365.86467170,8579,885,791Form
14Gillman, Joan H DirectSell2122026352.24325114,4787,761,926Form
15Brezski, RichardChief Financial OfficerDirectSell2122026352.242,000704,48024,798,962Form
16Brezski, RichardChief Financial OfficerDirectSell2122026360.806,0052,166,62226,123,432Form
17Markley, John D JR DirectSell2122026374.95700262,4654,208,190Form
18Pankaj, RajeshChief Technology OfficerDirectSell2092026326.261,000326,26019,965,830Form
19Chen, Lawrence LirenPresident and CEODirectSell1282026327.625,9581,951,97850,151,541Form
20Chen, Lawrence LirenPresident and CEODirectSell1212026326.712,975971,96251,958,327Form
21Chen, Lawrence LirenPresident and CEODirectSell1212026303.772,975903,71649,213,780Form
22Chen, Lawrence LirenPresident and CEODirectSell1142026312.722,975930,34251,594,112Form
23Chen, Lawrence LirenPresident and CEODirectSell1142026310.822,975924,69052,205,330Form
24Schmidt, Joshua DCLO & Corp SecretaryDirectSell12312025325.34466151,6088,934,459Form
25Chen, Lawrence LirenPresident and CEODirectSell12312025325.342,975967,88657,547,769Form
26Chen, Lawrence LirenPresident and CEODirectSell12312025329.502,975980,26259,263,873Form
27Kritzmacher, John A DirectSell12232025331.001,250413,7505,234,676Form
28Kritzmacher, John A DirectSell12102025357.371,250446,7126,098,422Form
29Pankaj, RajeshChief Technology OfficerDirectSell12082025350.791,000350,79022,154,861Form
30Kritzmacher, John A DirectSell11262025346.621,250433,2756,348,252Form
31Kritzmacher, John A DirectSell11122025360.631,250450,7887,055,629Form
32Pankaj, RajeshChief Technology OfficerDirectSell11062025375.311,000375,31024,078,782Form
33Schmidt, Joshua DCLO & Corp SecretaryDirectSell11042025395.63466184,36411,049,121Form
34Pankaj, RajeshChief Technology OfficerDirectSell10072025338.081,000338,08022,016,286Form
35Pankaj, RajeshChief Technology OfficerDirectSell9082025289.781,000289,78019,160,696Form
36Schmidt, Joshua DCLO & Corp SecretaryDirectSell9022025273.12466127,2747,748,536Form
37Pankaj, RajeshChief Technology OfficerDirectSell8212025261.031,000261,03017,520,732Form
38Pankaj, RajeshChief Technology OfficerDirectSell7082025224.581,000224,58017,198,251Form
39Schmidt, Joshua DCLO & Corp SecretaryDirectSell7012025232.33466108,2666,692,116Form
40Markley, John D JR DirectSell6182025222.00692153,6242,642,041Form
41Markley, John D JR DirectSell6182025220.62692152,6692,778,287Form
42Rankin, Jean F DirectSell6112025226.47606137,2426,194,693Form
43Kritzmacher, John A DirectSell6112025226.65519117,6324,481,817Form
44Armaly, Samir DirectSell6112025226.52779176,456708,542Form
45Aberle, Derek K DirectSell6112025226.41692156,6771,401,941Form

IDCC Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

OVERWEIGHT (Score 9-10)

CONVICTION RATIONALE

The probability-adjusted skew of 2.85x is highly attractive and falls squarely in Tier 1. The investment thesis rests on a resilient competitive moat that is widening due to dominance in core segments and successful expansion into new verticals. The identified primary risk (litigation costs) is a known factor and is considered friction rather than a thesis-killer, creating an asymmetric risk/reward profile heavily skewed to the upside, justifying an OVERWEIGHT rating.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Mature Cash Cow

InterDigital fits the 'Mature Cash Cow' archetype due to its high and defensible margins (>50% adj. EBITDA), strong free cash flow conversion, and established position in the mature smartphone market. The business model is built on a regulatory moat of essential patents, providing high-quality, recurring revenue streams, aligning with the focus on Capital Efficiency and Pricing Power.

Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Expansion TAM Monetization via IoT/CE Licensing Agreements through 2030

The primary driver for shareholder return is the successful expansion and monetization of InterDigital's patent portfolio beyond the mature smartphone market into higher-growth verticals like Consumer Electronics (CE), Internet of Things (IoT), and Automotive. Recent contract wins with major players like HP and LG validate this strategy, proving the addressable market is a serviceable reality, not a theoretical concept.

Mechanism: IDCC captures value by layering high-margin, recurring licensing revenue from new verticals onto a relatively fixed R&D and administrative cost base. This drives significant operating leverage and expands free cash flow, as each new licensee adds almost pure profit. The growing Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR) is the key metric reflecting this value capture.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR) grew 24% year-over-year to $582 million as of Q4 2025.
  • Over 50 license agreements signed since 2021, representing over $4.6 billion in contract value.
  • Recent new licensee wins in expansion markets, including HP (PCs) and LG Electronics (Consumer Electronics).
  • Management has a stated target of reaching $1B in ARR by 2030, suggesting a durable growth runway.
PRIMARY RISK
Margin Compression from Escalating Video Streaming Litigation Costs

The primary risk to the thesis is not a decline in demand, but self-inflicted margin erosion from escalating, and potentially unsuccessful, litigation against major video streaming providers like Amazon and Disney. Management has explicitly guided for litigation costs to remain elevated or increase from the recent high of $19M in Q4 2025, creating a direct headwind to EPS growth and a source of outcome uncertainty.

Mechanism: This risk pressures the stock by directly reducing operating and net income, leading to EPS misses even if revenue remains stable. Furthermore, a negative outcome in these high-profile cases could structurally impair the company's ability to license its video patent portfolio, which is a key component of the 'Expansion TAM' growth thesis.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Litigation costs hit a recent high of approximately $19M in Q4 2025.
  • Management guided for litigation expenses to remain elevated or increase in 2026.
  • The risk is classified as 'Structural Impact' because an adverse ruling on video SEPs could permanently impair a key growth vector.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Threshold Rationale
Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR)Sustained >20% YoY GrowthThis is the primary leading indicator of the company's health, stripping out the noise of lumpy catch-up payments and proving the expansion thesis is on track.
Quarterly Litigation ExpenseBelow $25 MillionTracks the severity of the 'Anti-Alpha' risk. A sustained breach above this level would signal costs are spiraling and likely to trigger EPS misses and multiple compression.
New Major Non-Smartphone Licensee AnnouncementsAt least 1-2 per yearQualitative check on the execution of the Alpha Driver. These announcements provide tangible proof that the company is successfully penetrating the CE, IoT, and Automotive TAMs.
Core Investment Debate

Lumpy Growth vs. Recurring Power

BULL VIEW

ARR growth, new CE/IoT deals (LG, HP), and licensing 85% of the smartphone market proves the model is expanding and durable, making headline revenue lumpiness irrelevant.

CORE TENSION

Bears see a 13% FY26 revenue decline due to lapping one-time payments. Bulls focus on the 24% YoY growth in Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR) as the true health indicator.


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
BULLISH

The 24% YoY growth in ARR to $582M as of Q4 2025 is the key metric, demonstrating underlying strength despite the forecasted decline in total revenue for FY2026.

BEAR VIEW

Sequential ARR stalled (Q3 to Q4 2025), renewal of expired ARR is incomplete, and rising litigation costs against major players (Amazon/Disney) will compress margins.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
Late April 2026
Q1 2026 Earnings Report
Watch: Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth trend and status of the remaining ~$30M in expired contracts under negotiation.
Anytime (Court Rulings / Settlement News)
Litigation Update vs. Amazon/Disney
Watch: Rulings on patent validity, injunctions, or news of a settlement. Watch for litigation expense guidance in quarterly reports.
Ongoing
New Major Licensing Agreement Announcement
Watch: Announcement of a new license with a major, previously unlicensed, device maker in CE, IoT, or Auto.
Next 6 Months
Major Licensee End-Market Report
Watch: Downward revisions to 2026 shipment forecasts from key licensees (e.g., Samsung, Apple, Xiaomi) citing weak consumer demand.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
Oct 21, 2025
New Licensing and Renewal Agreements
Details: Announced a patent license renewal with Sharp and a new agreement with an EV charger manufacturer, demonstrating continued momentum in both core and expansion markets.
Flat (0.32%)
$370.17 -> $371.34
Oct 30, 2025
Q3 2025 Earnings Report
Details: Reported strong Q3 results, beating analyst estimates for both revenue and EPS. Highlighted a 49% YoY increase in Annualized Recurring Revenue to an all-time high of $588M.
Rose significantly by 3.53%
$382.01 -> $395.48
Nov 10, 2025
Initiates Patent Litigation Against Amazon
Details: Announced multi-jurisdictional litigation against Amazon over infringement of video compression and HDR patents used in FireTV, Kindle, and Prime Video services.
Slight -1.37% pullback
$369.24 -> $364.18
Jan 13, 2026
Announced Q4 2025 Earnings Date
Details: The company announced it would release its Q4 2025 financial results on February 5, 2026. The stock reaction was muted.
Flat (0.66%)
$311.31 -> $313.36
Jan 20, 2026
New License Agreement with LG Electronics
Details: Announced a new patent license agreement with LG Electronics, covering digital TVs and computer display monitors, expanding its presence in the Consumer Electronics market.
Surged +5.54%
$308.76 -> $325.88
Feb 5, 2026
Q4 2025 Earnings & FY2026 Guidance
Details: Reported a beat on EPS and Revenue. Provided lower FY26 revenue guidance ($675M-$775M) but strong Q1'26 guidance and highlighted 24% YoY growth in ARR. Stock reacted very positively.
Surged +9.93%
$313.87 -> $345.05
Risk Management
Position Sizing

4% - 6%

NORMAL

Fundamentals are excellent (Bullish sentiment, Widening Moat, High Visibility). However, the 'Explosive' volatility regime (45% absolute, 4.1x S&P) forces a cap on size. This is a Bucket A fundamental case capped by Bucket C volatility.

Diversification Alternatives
RMBS
INDUSTRY

Unlike IDCC's concentrated licensee risk, Rambus has a broader customer base across data centers and servers. Its growth is tied to the durable DDR5 memory upgrade cycle.

Core Thesis: A pure-play on the semiconductor memory interface chip and IP market. Positioned to benefit from the multi-year transition to DDR5 memory and increasing data center complexity.
NOK
SECTOR

Offers a much lower valuation entry point into the IP licensing space. Provides diversification with its network infrastructure business, which could recover with 5G enterprise adoption.

Core Thesis: A turnaround story with a valuable patent portfolio (Nokia Technologies) and a leading position in network infrastructure. If management executes, there is significant operating leverage.
How Is The Market Pricing IDCC?

InterDigital is a pure-play R&D company monetizing a foundational patent portfolio in wireless and video, trading at a P/S ratio of ~4.5 while generating ~90% gross margins and growing its base of recurring licensing revenue.

Filter all news through the lens of diversifying its high-margin, recurring royalty stream beyond the mature smartphone market into new growth verticals like Consumer Electronics (streaming), IoT, and Automotive.

What will confirm the thesis

New, multi-year licensing agreements with major players in CE, IoT, or Auto (e.g., streaming services, automakers); Favorable outcomes (settlements or injunctions) in ongoing litigation against potential licensees like Disney or Amazon; Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth >+15% YoY.

What will damage the thesis

Failure to renew a license with a major smartphone customer (>10% of revenue) like Apple; Unfavorable court rulings or regulatory changes that weaken standard-essential patent (SEP) royalty rates; A sustained decline in Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR).

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Quarterly revenue volatility due to the timing of one-time 'catch-up' payments — focus on ARR trend instead; Announcements of individual patent grants — the portfolio is already massive; Competitor announcements of their own licensing deals — the market is not zero-sum.

Repricing Catalyst

Successful expansion into non-mobile markets, particularly video streaming and consumer electronics. InterDigital has secured injunctions against Disney and initiated enforcement against Amazon. [27] Converting these major players into licensees would validate the broader value of its video patent portfolio, diversifying revenue away from smartphones and potentially adding hundreds of millions in high-margin, recurring revenue.

What IDCC Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on Q4 & Full Year 2025 Earnings Press Release, Feb 5, 2026
Wireless & Smartphone Patent Licensing
$678900.0B TTM (81.4% of Total) · 90% Margin
What It Is

Licenses for a portfolio of Standard-Essential Patents (SEPs) covering 3G, 4G, 5G, 6G-development, and Wi-Fi technologies.

Who Pays & How

Customers include Apple, Samsung, Xiaomi, OPPO, vivo, and Lenovo. [26, 28] They pay multi-year license fees, often worth hundreds of millions of dollars, because using InterDigital's SEPs is mandatory to build standard-compliant products. The alternative is facing patent infringement lawsuits and sales injunctions, creating an unavoidable lock-in. [2, 35]

Multi-year, recurring fixed-fee contracts (ARR) and royalties, often including lump-sum 'catch-up' payments for past patent usage upon signing a new agreement.
Competition
Qualcomm, Nokia, Ericsson — All compete for a share of the royalty pool from device makers.
Vertically integrated competitors like Qualcomm and Samsung also produce chips and devices, which can provide leverage in cross-licensing negotiations. [2]
A 50-year-old, internally developed portfolio of over 38,000 foundational patents and applications, making it a top-ranked holder of 5G and video SEPs. [2, 21, 32]
Consumer Electronics, IoT & Auto Licensing
$155100.0B TTM (18.6% of Total) · 90% Margin
What It Is

Licenses for portfolios of SEPs covering video coding (HEVC, VVC), video streaming, Wi-Fi, and other connectivity technologies for non-mobile devices.

Who Pays & How

Customers include HP, the world's largest PC manufacturer. [26] Potential licensees include video streaming services (e.g., Disney, Amazon) and automotive companies. They pay to license patented technology essential for video compression/streaming and device connectivity, avoiding infringement litigation.

Multi-year license agreements.
Competition
Other patent pools and major technology IP holders like Qualcomm and Nokia who are also expanding into IoT and automotive licensing.
Competitors may have longer-standing relationships in these non-mobile industries.
Holds one of the top-five highest quality video coding patent portfolios globally, which is critical for streaming services and consumer electronics. [32]
IDCC Evolution: Price Return by Era
1972–1991 · Hardware Pioneer
The Hardware Innovator (as IMM)
Founded as International Mobile Machines (IMM), the company's initial focus was on creating tangible wireless hardware, including one of the first handheld analog telephones and the 'Ultraphone' digital system for remote areas. [6, 14] This era was defined by building physical products and pioneering early wireless access.
1992–2012 · The Pivot to IP
Building the Patent Fortress Highly cyclical with major swings
The company was renamed InterDigital and made a pivotal strategic shift from manufacturing to a pure intellectual property model. [6, 31] It signed its first major license with Nokia in 1997, validating the new business model. [6] This era was defined by intensive R&D, deep participation in creating the 3G and 4G standards, and building the massive patent portfolio that is its core asset today. [14]
2013–Present · Global Licensing Powerhouse
Monetizing the 5G Era & Diversifying +80.6% (Feb 2025–Feb 2026)
This era is defined by successfully monetizing its mature patent portfolio with nearly every major global smartphone maker through negotiation, arbitration, and litigation. [10, 26] With the mobile market largely licensed, the focus has shifted to growing Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR) and leveraging its core R&D to expand into new high-growth verticals like video streaming, IoT, and Automotive. [26, 28]
Market Appears To Be Skeptical Of Core Thesis
Price structure is in a downtrend. Multiple SMA levels broken and declining. Thesis requires reclaiming 200D before any bull case is credible. Relative to SPY: Lagging the market on the 63D window, but 'relative strength' is beginning to stabilize; watch for inflection. Volume and momentum are supportive. OBV (on-balance volume) and up/down volume character favor buyers. Earnings history is a strong counter-signal. The market has consistently rejected the narrative. This is not noise, but institutional disagreement. NOTE: Volume character and price structure are diverging. The structural trend is not confirmed by institutional flow. This divergence typically resolves in the direction of volume, not price.
① Structure
-4
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
+2
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
-4
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
-6 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Downtrend · Death Cross
2 Momentum Mixed
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Recovering Relative Strength
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Mild Accumulation
5 Volatility Normal
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Falling
7 Earnings Reaction History Inconsistent
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars
Core Cache Last Updated: 6/25/2026