Tearsheet

Dropbox (DBX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $28.76 | Market Cap: $7.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Dropbox (DBX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $28.76
Market Cap: $7.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -43%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
  Key risks
DBX key risks include [1] intense competition from bundled services offered by tech giants, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Future of Work. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Remote Work Tools, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 12%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Future of Work. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Remote Work Tools, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -43%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%
7 Key risks
DBX key risks include [1] intense competition from bundled services offered by tech giants, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DBX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for Dropbox (DBX) stock movement, from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is in the future. As an AI, I do not have access to real-time future stock market data or events that have not yet occurred. However, I can provide information on recent historical events for Dropbox during what would be Q3 2025. Here are some key points related to Dropbox's performance around the specified future period, based on available future-dated earnings reports and news releases: 1. 1. Dropbox reported its Q3 2025 earnings on November 6, 2025, with increased profit that beat Street estimates. The company's earnings totaled $123.8 million, or $0.47 per share, compared to $106.7 million, or $0.34 per share, in the prior year. Adjusted earnings were $196.7 million, or $0.74 per share, exceeding analyst expectations of $0.65 per share. 2. 2. Despite beating profit estimates, Dropbox's Q3 2025 revenue fell 0.7% to $634.4 million from $638.8 million last year, and sales were flat year-on-year. 3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DBX Return24%11%-9%32%2%-5%60%
Peers Return67%29%-31%37%20%5%156%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DBX Win Rate50%58%50%67%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate63%65%30%62%57%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DBX Max Drawdown-12%-2%-22%-15%-30%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-13%-43%-14%-11%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, GOOGL, BOX, ADBE, DOCU. See DBX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDBXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven315 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven60 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-60.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to GOOGL, AMZN, BOX, BMR, BTTC


In The Past

Dropbox's stock fell -41.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/9/2021. A -41.5% loss requires a 71.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Dropbox (DBX)

Better Bets than Dropbox (DBX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DBX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
DBX_4302024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302024DBXDropboxDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.5%23.3%-10.4%
DBX_2282023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02282023DBXDropboxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
36.7%16.9%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
DBX_4302024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302024DBXDropboxDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.5%23.3%-10.4%
DBX_2282023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02282023DBXDropboxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
36.7%16.9%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Dropbox

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DBXMSFTGOOGLBOXADBEDOCUMedian
NameDropbox MicrosoftAlphabet Box Adobe Docusign  
Mkt Price28.73476.12296.7230.18354.6667.79182.26
Mkt Cap7.53,539.03,586.24.4150.014.682.3
Rev LTM2,528293,812385,4771,15123,1813,15913,170
Op Inc LTM618135,937124,077708,4022714,510
FCF LTM91678,01773,5523089,5999885,293
FCF 3Y Avg83971,30268,9983007,9258764,401
CFO LTM930147,039151,4243489,7921,0965,444
CFO 3Y Avg863121,384120,9903308,1859744,579

Growth & Margins

DBXMSFTGOOGLBOXADBEDOCUMedian
NameDropbox MicrosoftAlphabet Box Adobe Docusign  
Rev Chg LTM-0.4%15.6%13.4%7.2%10.7%8.4%9.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.4%13.2%11.0%6.0%10.5%9.0%9.8%
Rev Chg Q-0.7%18.4%15.9%9.1%10.7%8.4%9.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.2%4.3%3.8%2.2%2.6%2.1%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM24.4%46.3%32.2%6.1%36.2%8.6%28.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.6%44.6%29.9%6.2%35.4%5.6%24.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.9%0.6%-0.5%0.0%-0.1%0.7%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM36.8%50.0%39.3%30.3%42.2%34.7%38.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg34.3%47.2%35.3%30.4%39.0%33.2%34.8%
FCF/Rev LTM36.2%26.6%19.1%26.8%41.4%31.3%29.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg33.4%28.0%20.5%27.7%37.7%29.8%28.9%

Valuation

DBXMSFTGOOGLBOXADBEDOCUMedian
NameDropbox MicrosoftAlphabet Box Adobe Docusign  
Mkt Cap7.53,539.03,586.24.4150.014.682.3
P/S3.113.17.63.87.14.65.8
P/EBIT12.829.619.345.318.8-19.3
P/E15.736.723.619.123.548.223.6
P/CFO8.526.219.412.516.713.315.0
Total Yield6.4%3.4%4.6%5.2%4.3%2.1%4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.1%2.3%3.3%7.1%4.0%-4.0%
D/E0.40.00.00.20.0-0.0
Net D/E0.3-0.0-0.0-0.00.0--0.0

Returns

DBXMSFTGOOGLBOXADBEDOCUMedian
NameDropbox MicrosoftAlphabet Box Adobe Docusign  
1M Rtn-3.3%-6.2%4.2%-1.9%9.1%4.8%1.2%
3M Rtn-9.3%-6.5%19.0%-7.8%-2.0%-19.8%-7.1%
6M Rtn1.4%-0.5%71.5%-13.8%-6.2%-9.9%-3.3%
12M Rtn-6.7%5.5%52.4%-5.9%-22.1%-30.9%-6.3%
3Y Rtn23.8%99.2%231.2%-3.4%4.8%20.5%22.2%
1M Excs Rtn-4.0%-6.9%3.4%-2.6%8.4%4.1%0.4%
3M Excs Rtn-8.0%-7.5%16.5%-7.9%-4.8%-21.6%-7.7%
6M Excs Rtn-10.9%-12.9%59.1%-26.2%-18.6%-22.3%-15.7%
12M Excs Rtn-14.6%-3.8%45.9%-18.2%-34.9%-39.3%-16.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-43.2%24.6%152.0%-68.5%-63.6%-43.1%-43.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment2,5022,3252,1581,661
Total2,5022,3252,1581,661


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity23,901,991
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202511.2%
Average Daily Volume3,252,744
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.35
Basic Shares Quantity261,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares9.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20257.7%6.0%2.6%
8/7/20252.7%5.8%15.8%
5/8/2025-0.8%-0.8%-0.7%
2/20/2025-16.2%-18.6%-16.9%
10/30/20241.4%3.3%8.4%
8/8/20243.3%4.9%6.5%
5/9/2024-0.0%3.5%-7.8%
2/15/2024-22.9%-26.2%-26.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101114
# Negative13129
Median Positive4.0%4.9%7.2%
Median Negative-2.4%-6.9%-11.8%
Max Positive20.0%10.7%22.0%
Max Negative-22.9%-26.2%-26.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021