Tearsheet

Dropbox (DBX)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $29.785 | Market Cap: $7.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Dropbox (DBX)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $29.785
Market Cap: $7.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Future of Work. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Remote Work Tools, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 12%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Future of Work. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Remote Work Tools, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DBX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Positive or negative sentiment from quarterly earnings reports, including revenue, earnings per share, and future guidance, can significantly sway investor confidence and lead to a 2.5% stock movement.

2. An announcement of a new strategic partnership, a significant product update, or an expansion into new markets can generate optimism or concern, influencing the stock's performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DBX Return24%11%-9%32%2%-1%66%
Peers Return23%23%-14%24%71%939%2745%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DBX Win Rate50%58%50%67%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate35%38%22%58%58%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DBX Max Drawdown-12%-2%-22%-15%-30%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-3%-21%-20%-7%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GOOGL, AMZN, BOX, BMR, BTTC. See DBX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDBXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven315 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven60 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-60.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to GOOGL, AMZN, BOX, BMR, BTTC


In The Past

Dropbox's stock fell -41.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/9/2021. A -41.5% loss requires a 71.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Dropbox (DBX)

Better Bets than Dropbox (DBX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DBX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
DBX_4302024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302024DBXDropboxDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.5%23.3%-10.4%
DBX_2282023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02282023DBXDropboxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
36.7%16.9%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
DBX_4302024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302024DBXDropboxDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.5%23.3%-10.4%
DBX_2282023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02282023DBXDropboxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
36.7%16.9%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Dropbox

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DBXGOOGLAMZNBOXBMRBTTCMedian
NameDropbox Alphabet Amazon.c.Box Beamr Im.Black Ti. 
Mkt Price29.78317.62229.1131.812.433.3430.80
Mkt Cap7.83,838.82,437.04.6--1,222.4
Rev LTM2,528385,477670,0381,126-22,528
Op Inc LTM618124,07776,19068--0618
FCF LTM91673,55213,481302--7,198
FCF 3Y Avg83968,99821,677301--11,258
CFO LTM930151,424121,137338--61,034
CFO 3Y Avg863120,99096,977329--48,920

Growth & Margins

DBXGOOGLAMZNBOXBMRBTTCMedian
NameDropbox Alphabet Amazon.c.Box Beamr Im.Black Ti. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.4%13.4%10.9%6.3%--8.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.4%11.0%11.3%6.1%--8.6%
Rev Chg Q-0.7%15.9%13.3%8.9%--11.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.2%3.8%3.0%2.2%--2.6%
Op Mgn LTM24.4%32.2%11.4%6.1%--3.8%11.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.6%29.9%7.9%5.9%--13.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.9%-0.5%0.3%-0.1%--0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM36.8%39.3%18.1%30.0%--33.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg34.3%35.3%15.8%30.8%--32.6%
FCF/Rev LTM36.2%19.1%2.0%26.8%--23.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg33.4%20.5%3.5%28.2%--24.4%

Valuation

DBXGOOGLAMZNBOXBMRBTTCMedian
NameDropbox Alphabet Amazon.c.Box Beamr Im.Black Ti. 
Mkt Cap7.83,838.82,437.04.6--1,222.4
P/S3.17.63.54.4--3.9
P/EBIT12.819.327.452.0--23.4
P/E15.723.633.121.7--22.7
P/CFO8.519.419.314.7--17.0
Total Yield6.4%4.6%3.0%4.6%--4.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.3%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.1%3.3%1.1%7.0%--5.2%
D/E0.40.00.10.1--0.1
Net D/E0.3-0.00.0-0.0---0.0

Returns

DBXGOOGLAMZNBOXBMRBTTCMedian
NameDropbox Alphabet Amazon.c.Box Beamr Im.Black Ti. 
1M Rtn2.8%14.4%-8.1%0.9%6.6%4.7%3.7%
3M Rtn1.2%36.9%-2.8%-2.8%-10.0%-16.5%-2.8%
6M Rtn0.9%89.2%10.2%-16.1%-19.5%-16.5%-7.6%
12M Rtn3.8%83.0%5.0%0.1%-24.5%4,413.5%4.4%
3Y Rtn32.5%221.5%151.7%13.0%-3,304.7%151.7%
1M Excs Rtn1.5%13.2%-9.4%-0.3%5.3%3.4%2.5%
3M Excs Rtn-6.1%29.5%-7.2%-8.7%-15.5%-22.3%-8.0%
6M Excs Rtn-14.5%73.8%-5.3%-31.6%-35.0%-32.0%-23.1%
12M Excs Rtn-8.4%72.6%-4.7%-22.8%-36.5%4,658.0%-6.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-41.1%162.7%74.6%-56.4%-3,217.6%74.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21,486,656
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.4%
Average Daily Volume4,246,732
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.06
Basic Shares Quantity261,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021