Zoom Communications (ZM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $88.58 | Market Cap: $26.5 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Zoom Communications (ZM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $88.58Market Cap: $26.5 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.7%, Dist 3Y High is -1.7% | Key risksZM key risks include [1] eroding customer retention due to intense competition from bundled tech giants, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, CFO LTM is 2.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.0 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Future of Work. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, CFO LTM is 2.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.0 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Future of Work. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.7%, Dist 3Y High is -1.7% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48% |
| Key risksZM key risks include [1] eroding customer retention due to intense competition from bundled tech giants, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ZM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
**1. Strong Q3 FY2026 Earnings Exceeding Expectations.** Zoom Communications reported robust third-quarter fiscal year 2026 results on November 24, 2025, surpassing both revenue and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) estimates. The company's revenue reached $1.23 billion, exceeding the $1.21 billion analyst consensus, while adjusted EPS of $1.52 beat the anticipated $1.44. This strong financial performance contributed significantly to positive investor sentiment.
**2. Upward Revision of Full-Year Guidance.** Following the impressive Q3 performance, Zoom raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to a midpoint of $5.96, marking a 2.3% increase. This optimistic outlook for fiscal year 2026, coupled with guidance for Q4 revenue and adjusted earnings above Wall Street forecasts, signaled sustained growth and profitability to investors.
**3. Advancements in AI-First Platform and Innovations.** Zoom continued to emphasize its "AI-first platform" vision, rolling out significant updates like the general availability of AI Companion 3.0 in December 2025. This expansion includes advanced "agentic retrieval capabilities" and deeper integrations with third-party applications, enhancing productivity and user experience. Excitement over AI integration was also noted as a driver for stock movement earlier in the period.
**4. Robust Growth in the Enterprise Segment.** The company demonstrated strong momentum in its enterprise sector, with enterprise revenue growing by 6.1% year-over-year in Q3 FY2026, outperforming analyst estimates. This growth was bolstered by the success of Custom AI Companion and the AI-first Customer Experience suite, including securing a substantial 20,000-seat Contact Center deal.
**5. Authorization of an Additional $1 Billion Share Buyback Program.** On November 24, 2025, Zoom's board of directors approved an additional $1 billion for its share repurchase program, supplementing the existing $310.4 million. This move indicated management's confidence in the company's valuation and served to support the stock price by reducing the number of outstanding shares.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ZM Return | 396% | -45% | -63% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 29% |
| Peers Return | 46% | 25% | -44% | 44% | 20% | 14% | 105% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ZM Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 25% | 50% | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 65% | 25% | 57% | 60% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ZM Max Drawdown | -1% | -46% | -64% | -12% | -23% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -14% | -50% | -8% | -11% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, CSCO, GOOGL, RNG, CRM. See ZM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ZM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -86.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 649.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
Compare to MSFT, GOOGL, CSCO, RNG, EGHT
In The Past
Zoom Communications's stock fell -86.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -86.7% loss requires a 649.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ZM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| 10312023 | ZM | Zoom Communications | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.9% | 24.7% | -7.8% |
| 09302022 | ZM | Zoom Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.3% | -5.0% | -17.4% |
| 03312022 | ZM | Zoom Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -36.5% | -37.0% | -44.2% |
| 09302021 | ZM | Zoom Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -55.2% | -71.9% | -72.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| 10312023 | ZM | Zoom Communications | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.9% | 24.7% | -7.8% |
| 09302022 | ZM | Zoom Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.3% | -5.0% | -17.4% |
| 03312022 | ZM | Zoom Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -36.5% | -37.0% | -44.2% |
| 09302021 | ZM | Zoom Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -55.2% | -71.9% | -72.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Zoom Communications
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 173.24 |
| Mkt Cap | 272.5 |
| Rev LTM | 49,006 |
| Op Inc LTM | 10,936 |
| FCF LTM | 12,814 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 12,536 |
| CFO LTM | 13,623 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 13,309 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 21.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 36.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 33.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 24.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 272.5 |
| P/S | 5.6 |
| P/EBIT | 27.5 |
| P/E | 31.5 |
| P/CFO | 18.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 5.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 86.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -0.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 12.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/24/2025 | 9.8% | 9.0% | |
| 8/21/2025 | 12.7% | 10.5% | 14.2% |
| 5/21/2025 | -0.2% | -2.8% | -6.1% |
| 2/24/2025 | -8.5% | -8.4% | -3.7% |
| 8/21/2024 | 13.0% | 17.4% | 12.1% |
| 5/20/2024 | -0.4% | -3.2% | -9.0% |
| 2/26/2024 | 8.0% | 10.4% | 5.1% |
| 11/20/2023 | -0.1% | 2.3% | 5.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| # Negative | 15 | 15 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 8.0% | 9.0% | 12.1% |
| Median Negative | -8.1% | -10.3% | -10.9% |
| Max Positive | 40.8% | 20.3% | 44.6% |
| Max Negative | -16.7% | -24.1% | -26.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 11252025 | 10-Q 10/31/2025 |
| 7312025 | 8222025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 5232025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 2282025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 11262024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8232024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5222024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3042024 | 10-K 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11212023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8232023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 5252023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3032023 | 10-K 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 11232022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 8242022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 5252022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3072022 | 10-K 1/31/2022 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Subotovsky Santiago | 11062025 | Sell | 83.80 | 1,497 | 125,443 | 12,665,590 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |