Viasat (VSAT)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $37.19 | Market Cap: $5.0 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment
Viasat (VSAT)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $37.19Market Cap: $5.0 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Communications Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -55% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -50 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Wireless Services, Show more. | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 117% | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 188%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 321% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 159% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% | ||
| Key risksVSAT key risks include [1] a substantial debt load and persistent unprofitability creating significant financial distress, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Wireless Services, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -55% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -50 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.1% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 117% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 188%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 321% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 159% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% |
| Key risksVSAT key risks include [1] a substantial debt load and persistent unprofitability creating significant financial distress, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
**1. **Viasat-3 F2 Satellite Launch and Capacity Expansion**Viasat announced on September 4, 2025, that its ViaSat-3 Flight 2 (F2) satellite was scheduled to launch in the second half of October 2025, with expectations to more than double the company's bandwidth capacity. The launch was subsequently confirmed for November 5, 2025. This significant increase in capacity is crucial for Viasat to meet the growing demand for resilient, global satellite communications from both commercial mobility and defense sectors. Analysts also highlighted that the ViaSat-3 F2 and F3 satellites are projected to triple the company's global capacity by mid-2026, positioning Viasat for future growth. **2. **Strong Fiscal Q1 and Q2 2026 Financial Results**
Viasat reported robust financial performance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 (Q1 FY26) on August 6, 2025, with both revenue and earnings surpassing analyst estimates. This was primarily driven by growth in government satcom, aviation services, and the Defense and Advanced Technologies (DAT) segment. The positive momentum continued into the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 (Q2 FY26), with the company reporting adjusted earnings of $0.09 per share, significantly beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.11 per share. Revenue for Q2 FY26 reached $1.14 billion, a 1.7% year-over-year increase, and Viasat achieved a positive free cash flow of $69 million for the quarter, marking a significant milestone after several capital-intensive periods. **3. **Introduction of Next-Generation Global Ka-band Network and New Services**
On December 15, 2025, Viasat unveiled a significant evolution of its network for government customers by integrating Viasat Ka-band satellites, the Global Xpress satellite fleet, and select partner satellites into a unified global Ka-band satellite communications network. This integrated network is designed to provide seamless global, multi-orbit connectivity with enhanced data rates for government and military users. Additionally, in the period leading up to its Q2 FY26 earnings report, Viasat introduced its HaloNet portfolio and successfully demonstrated a connection of its Global Aero Terminal 5510 to a ViaSat-3 satellite, paving the way for faster in-flight broadband services. The company also secured a contract with INNOSPACE to provide telemetry services, marking the first commercial flight for Viasat's InRange solution. **4. **Positive Analyst Ratings and Outlook**
Viasat's stock received several positive endorsements from analysts during this period. On August 4, 2025, William Blair upgraded Viasat to an "outperform" rating, forecasting a potential doubling of shares within 12 months, partly due to a potential spin-off of its defense technology business. Needham reiterated a Buy rating and a $45.00 price target on December 17, 2025, citing the anticipated global capacity expansion and projected return to year-over-year growth in fiscal 2027. Furthermore, on November 11, 2025, J.P. Morgan upgraded Viasat's rating from Hold to Buy, setting a price target of $50, while Needham maintained its Strong Buy rating with a $45 price target. **5. **Strategic Review and Potential Business Separation**
A significant catalyst for Viasat's stock movement was its ongoing strategic review, which includes evaluating a potential separation of its government and commercial businesses. This strategic initiative, highlighted by Needham as a near- and mid-term catalyst in December 2025, suggests the potential for unlocking shareholder value by allowing each segment to pursue its specific growth opportunities independently. The prospect of such a restructuring contributed to investor interest and could have positively influenced the stock's performance. Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 23.9% change in VSAT stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 26.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 9222025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 29.84 | 36.98 | 23.93% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4564.16 | 4582.80 | 0.41% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.86 | 1.09 | 26.75% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 131.58 | 135.12 | -2.69% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 23.84% |
Market Drivers
9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VSAT | 23.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.7% | 65.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 2.7% | 65.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 188.2% change in VSAT stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 195.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 6232025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.83 | 36.98 | 188.23% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4519.57 | 4582.80 | 1.40% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.37 | 1.09 | 195.45% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 130.00 | 135.12 | -3.94% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 187.78% |
Market Drivers
6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VSAT | 188.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.4% | 47.9% |
| Sector (XLK) | 19.7% | 44.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 320.7% change in VSAT stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 337.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12222024 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.79 | 36.98 | 320.71% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4527.27 | 4582.80 | 1.23% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.25 | 1.09 | 337.44% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 128.38 | 135.12 | -5.25% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 319.54% |
Market Drivers
12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VSAT | 320.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.9% | 38.5% |
| Sector (XLK) | 23.8% | 39.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.5% change in VSAT stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 85.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12232022 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 31.74 | 36.98 | 16.51% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2470.63 | 4582.80 | 85.49% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.97 | 1.09 | 12.03% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 75.76 | 135.12 | -78.36% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -55.02% |
Market Drivers
12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VSAT | 39.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 47.7% | 32.3% |
| Sector (XLK) | 52.9% | 29.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VSAT Return | -55% | 36% | -29% | -12% | -70% | 297% | -54% |
| Peers Return | 30% | 22% | -24% | 34% | 14% | 14% | 107% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 113% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VSAT Win Rate | 25% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 63% | 40% | 50% | 52% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VSAT Max Drawdown | -62% | -3% | -41% | -51% | -76% | -12% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -13% | -37% | -3% | -14% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QCOM, MSI, NTAP, QRVO, ESE. See VSAT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VSAT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -76.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 332.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -62.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 168.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 134.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 549 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to QCOM, MSI, NTAP, QRVO, ESE
In The Past
Viasat's stock fell -76.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -76.9% loss requires a 332.8% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- The Comcast or AT&T of satellite internet, providing high-speed connectivity to remote homes, businesses, and especially to airplanes.
- Like SpaceX's Starlink, but with a much broader portfolio of high-speed satellite internet and secure communications for governments, airlines, and businesses, not just consumers.
- A Verizon that operates its own global satellite network instead of cell towers, providing secure, high-speed connectivity for a wide range of uses from consumer internet to military communications.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the major products and services provided by Viasat (VSAT):- Satellite Internet Services: Provides high-speed, reliable broadband internet connectivity for residential, business, and government customers, especially in remote or underserved regions.
- In-Flight Connectivity (IFC): Offers advanced Wi-Fi and entertainment solutions for commercial and business aircraft, enabling passengers and crew to stay connected globally.
- Government and Defense Solutions: Delivers secure and resilient satellite communication systems, tactical networking, and cybersecurity solutions primarily to military and government agencies worldwide.
- Satellite and Ground Infrastructure: Develops and supplies advanced satellite payloads, ground segment components, modems, and networking equipment, both for its own networks and for external customers.
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Major Customers of Viasat (VSAT)
Viasat (VSAT) sells primarily to other companies and governmental entities across its various segments, including satellite services (especially in-flight connectivity), government systems, and commercial networks. While Viasat also offers residential internet services directly to individuals, its most significant and strategic customer relationships, in terms of contract value and strategic importance, are typically with institutional clients.
Major Customer Companies (Public):
- Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE: LUV) - A long-standing major customer for Viasat's in-flight connectivity (IFC) services, deploying it across a significant portion of its fleet.
- American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ: AAL) - Utilizes Viasat for in-flight connectivity on many of its aircraft, enhancing passenger experience.
- United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: UAL) - Employs Viasat's in-flight connectivity solutions on a portion of its fleet, providing internet access to travelers.
Major Governmental/Military Customers:
These entities are not public companies, but they represent a substantial and critical customer base for Viasat, particularly within its Government Systems segment, which is its largest by revenue:
- U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) - Including branches like the U.S. Air Force, Army, and Navy. Viasat is a key provider of secure satellite communications, tactical data links, cybersecurity, and advanced networking solutions for defense and national security missions.
- Other U.S. Government Agencies - Various federal agencies rely on Viasat for secure and reliable communication technologies in critical operations.
- International Governments and Militaries - Viasat provides secure communication and networking solutions, including satcom products and services, to allied nations globally.
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- Boeing (BA)
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Mark Dankberg, Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer, and Co-Founder
Mark Dankberg co-founded Viasat in 1986. He served as CEO until November 2020, becoming Executive Chairman, and then resumed the CEO role in 2022. Prior to founding Viasat, Mr. Dankberg was Assistant Vice President of M/A-COM Linkabit from 1979 to 1986 and a Communications Engineer for Rockwell International Corporation from 1977 to 1979. He holds B.S. EE and M.S. EE degrees from Rice University.
Gary Chase, Chief Financial Officer
Gary Chase was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Viasat in September 2024. Before joining Viasat, he spent over 12 years at Delta Air Lines, where he most recently served as Senior Vice President of Operational Finance and was a member of the Delta Leadership Committee. During his tenure at Delta, he oversaw various financial functions including Financial Planning & Analysis, Investor Relations, Corporate Planning, and Operational Finance, and also served as interim Co-CFO and Chief Strategy Officer. Prior to Delta, Mr. Chase was an Institutional Investor ranked analyst and Managing Director in equity research at Barclays Capital and Lehman Brothers for 12 years, specializing in the airline and transportation industries.
Shawn Duffy, Senior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer
Shawn Duffy became Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer in September 2024. She previously served as Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President of Viasat. Her prior roles at the company also include Chief Accounting Officer, Vice President, and Corporate Controller. Earlier in her career, Ms. Duffy was a Senior Manager at Ernst and Young LLP.
Girish Chandran, Corporate Chief Technology Officer and President, Global Space Networks
Girish Chandran joined Viasat in October 2007 and serves as Corporate Chief Technology Officer and President, Global Space Networks. He has held numerous engineering roles at Viasat, including principal engineer where he led efforts to build the ground segment for geostationary satellites. Before Viasat, he was Vice President of Engineering at Newtec America, where he designed end-to-end IP networks for multimedia exchange.
Mark Miller, Executive Vice President, Chief Technical Officer and Co-Founder
Mark Miller co-founded Viasat in May 1986. He has been Executive Vice President and Chief Technical Officer since 2014, and previously served as Vice President and Chief Technical Officer from 1993 to 2014. Mr. Miller was an Engineering Manager at Viasat from 1986 to 1993 and a Staff Engineer at M/A-COM Linkabit from 1983 to 1986.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The public company Viasat (VSAT) faces several significant risks to its business:
- High Debt Load and Profitability Challenges: Viasat carries a substantial debt load, which significantly impacts its financial health. As of Q3 Fiscal Year 2025, the company's net debt was approximately $5.66 billion, with total debt around $6.43 billion as of June 2025. This high leverage is largely due to the capital-intensive nature of satellite operations and the acquisition of Inmarsat. Viasat has reported net losses, and despite revenue growth, profitability remains a challenge, with a weak interest coverage ratio and a low Altman Z-Score indicating financial distress risk.
- Intense Competition from LEO Satellite Constellations: The satellite internet market is highly competitive, with significant threats from Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellite constellations such as SpaceX's Starlink, Eutelsat's OneWeb, and Amazon's Project Kuiper. These competitors offer low-latency, high-speed internet services that directly compete with Viasat's geostationary satellite offerings, potentially impacting Viasat's market share, pricing, and overall profitability.
- Satellite-Related Risks and Operational Failures: Viasat faces inherent risks associated with the construction, launch, and operation of its satellites. Past incidents, such as the ViaSat-3 F1 satellite's reflector deployment issue and the I-6 F2 satellite's power subsystem anomaly, have materially impacted the company's planned capacity and revenue-generating capabilities. The successful deployment and operation of its satellite constellations, particularly the ViaSat-3, are critical for the company's future growth, and any further anomalies, operational failures, or deployment delays could severely affect its business.
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Clear Emerging Threats to Viasat (VSAT)
-
**Low Earth Orbit (LEO) Satellite Constellations:** Services like Starlink (SpaceX), OneWeb, and Amazon's Project Kuiper represent a significant emerging threat. These LEO systems offer substantially lower latency and often higher speeds compared to Viasat's Geostationary Earth Orbit (GEO) satellites. This directly threatens Viasat's core businesses, including:
- **Residential Internet:** Starlink is actively acquiring customers in rural and suburban areas, directly competing with Viasat's consumer broadband service.
- **In-Flight Connectivity (IFC):** Starlink Aviation is rapidly entering the aviation market, securing partnerships (e.g., with Delta Airlines), and offering a high-performance alternative to Viasat's dominant position in commercial aviation connectivity (especially post-Inmarsat acquisition).
- **Maritime and Enterprise Connectivity:** LEO providers are also targeting these markets with solutions that boast lower latency, which can be critical for certain business applications.
-
**Expansion of 5G Fixed Wireless Access (FWA):** The continued and aggressive rollout of 5G terrestrial networks, particularly Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) services by major telecom carriers, poses a threat to Viasat's residential internet business.
- **Residential Internet Competition:** In many rural and semi-rural areas where Viasat traditionally served underserved populations, 5G FWA can offer a competitive broadband alternative with lower latency and often attractive pricing, drawing away potential and existing Viasat customers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Viasat (VSAT) participates in several significant addressable markets for its main products and services. The market sizes vary depending on the specific service and the geographic region:
- In-flight Connectivity (IFC) / Aviation: The global in-flight connectivity market was valued at approximately USD 1.9 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 4.2 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 6.6%. North America accounts for over 60% of this market. Another estimate places the global in-flight entertainment and connectivity market size at USD 5.57 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 11.09 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 7.55%. North America held a 39.8% market share in 2024, with the U.S. specifically accounting for 85% of the North American market. The broader "Mobile Premium Services" market, which includes commercial airlines, business aviation, maritime, connected cars, and connected trains and buses, is estimated to grow globally from USD 36 billion in 2020 to approximately USD 108 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of about 12%.
- Government Satcom / Government Systems: The global market for Government and Military Satellite Communications was valued at USD 51.79 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 68.8 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 4.2%. The "Government Premium Services" market, encompassing areas such as U.S. DoD, U.S. Cyber, and International MILCOM, is estimated to grow globally from USD 81 billion in 2020 to about USD 130 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of approximately 5%. The global military communication market was valued at USD 33.12 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 7.2% during the forecast period.
- Fixed & Residential Broadband (Satellite Internet): The global broadband internet services market was valued at USD 406.19 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 425.78 billion in 2025, at a CAGR of 4.8%. The "Consumer Services" segment, which includes residential internet, community internet, smart home, and small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) services, is expected to grow globally from approximately USD 650 billion in 2020 to an estimated USD 900 billion by 2030, at a 3% CAGR.
- Maritime: While specifically mentioned as a Viasat business line, a separate addressable market size solely for maritime satellite services was not found, but it is included within the broader "Mobile Premium Services" market mentioned above.
- Defense and Advanced Technologies (Information Security, Cyber Defense, Space and Mission Systems, Tactical Networking): These are key business lines for Viasat. Specific addressable market sizes for these individual sub-segments were not available separately from the broader "Government Satcom" or "Government Premium Services" markets.
The overall global satellite communication market, which includes many of Viasat's offerings, was valued at USD 92.3 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 214.6 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 8.8%.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Viasat (VSAT) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:- ViaSat-3 Satellite Launches and Capacity Expansion: The upcoming launches and operationalization of the ViaSat-3 Flight 2 (F2) and F3 satellites are anticipated to be significant growth drivers. These satellites are expected to effectively triple Viasat's global bandwidth capacity, enhancing its ability to serve more customers and deliver improved services across various segments.
- Growth in Defense and Advanced Technologies (DAT) Segment: The Defense and Advanced Technologies segment is projected to experience strong revenue growth, particularly in areas like information security, cyber defense, and space and mission systems. This segment boasts a substantial backlog, signaling future revenue potential.
- Expansion of Aviation Services: Viasat anticipates low double-digit growth in its aviation services within the Communication Services segment. This includes in-flight broadband services for commercial and business jets, with new developments like the JetXP in-flight broadband service and the Global Aero Terminal 5510 connecting to ViaSat-3 satellites paving the way for faster and more reliable connectivity.
- Growth in Government Satellite Communications (SATCOM): The government SATCOM sector is identified as another key area contributing to revenue growth within the Communication Services segment. Viasat has secured new contracts, such as being selected by the U.S. Government to develop next-generation Ethernet Data Encryptors.
- Synergies from Inmarsat Integration: The successful integration of the Inmarsat acquisition, which significantly boosted Viasat's revenue in fiscal year 2024, is crucial for realizing anticipated synergies and cost savings. This integration is expected to reinforce Viasat's competitive position and contribute to overall financial health and sustained growth.
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Share Repurchases
- Viasat repurchased common stock to satisfy minimum statutory employee tax withholding requirements related to share-based awards, amounting to $2.8 million and $8.7 million during the three months ended December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively.
- For the nine months ended December 31, 2024 and 2023, the company repurchased 520,538 and shares of common stock, respectively, for tax withholdings.
Share Issuance
- On May 30, 2023, Viasat completed the acquisition of Inmarsat Holdings, issuing 46.36 million shares of its common stock as part of the consideration.
- Viasat's shares outstanding increased by 54.37% in 2024 to 0.117 billion, primarily due to the Inmarsat acquisition, and further increased by 9.63% in 2025 to 0.128 billion.
- The company issued 1,103,337 and 1,284,326 shares of common stock during the three months ended December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively, based on the vesting terms of restricted stock unit agreements.
Inbound Investments
- Viasat upsized its Senior Secured Notes to $1,975 million as of April 14, 2025, providing capital for debt refinancing and new projects.
- The company secured $252 million in new investment capital from investors as of August 25, 2025, to bolster growth initiatives and expand global infrastructure.
- A settlement agreement with Ligado Networks in June 2025 is expected to provide Viasat with $568 million in fiscal year 2026, including lump sum payments of $420 million by October 31, 2025, and $100 million by March 31, 2026.
Outbound Investments
- Viasat acquired Inmarsat Holdings on May 30, 2023, for approximately $550.7 million in cash and 46.36 million shares of its common stock.
- In 2022, Viasat sold its Link 16 business to L3Harris, which freed up capital and allowed for a focus on higher-margin defense contracts.
Capital Expenditures
- Viasat's capital expenditures averaged $1.11 billion for fiscal years ending March 2021 to 2025, peaking at $1.539 billion in March 2024 and decreasing to $1.03 billion in March 2025.
- Expected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 are approximately $1.2 billion, which includes about $400 million for Inmarsat-related capital expenditures.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures includes investments in the ViaSat-3 class satellites and related ground infrastructure, with an estimated $250 million for the completion of the ViaSat-3 constellation in fiscal year 2026.
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| 07312025 | VSAT | Viasat | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 125.1% | 125.1% | 0.0% |
| 01312025 | VSAT | Viasat | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 72.3% | 284.4% | -20.0% |
| 06302022 | VSAT | Viasat | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 34.7% | -14.7% |
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Peer Comparisons for Viasat
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 142.56 |
| Mkt Cap | 15.0 |
| Rev LTM | 5,610 |
| Op Inc LTM | 933 |
| FCF LTM | 1,105 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 949 |
| CFO LTM | 1,459 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,147 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 15.0 |
| P/S | 3.8 |
| P/EBIT | 17.7 |
| P/E | 24.1 |
| P/CFO | 12.6 |
| Total Yield | 4.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 7.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 19.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 59.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -21.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $36.98 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/03/1996 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -7.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $35.77 | $21.82 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 3.4% | 69.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 72.8% | 92.8% |
| Downside Capture | 360.91 | 153.30 |
| Upside Capture | 425.07 | 273.54 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 65.6% | 38.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.60 | 3.57 | 3.53 | 3.00 | 1.78 | 1.69 |
| Up Beta | 3.25 | 3.06 | 3.93 | 4.19 | 1.72 | 1.77 |
| Down Beta | 6.37 | 4.34 | 3.76 | 2.65 | 1.66 | 1.72 |
| Up Capture | 230% | 467% | 371% | 845% | 637% | 341% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 22 | 32 | 69 | 129 | 367 |
| Down Capture | 367% | 282% | 301% | 113% | 119% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 20 | 31 | 52 | 113 | 374 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of VSAT With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VSAT | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 304.6% | 21.7% | 14.7% | 67.3% | 6.8% | -0.5% | -16.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 92.4% | 27.8% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 35.4% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.91 | 0.69 | 0.57 | 2.54 | 0.23 | -0.18 | -0.25 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 39.9% | 39.3% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 23.1% | 31.9% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of VSAT With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VSAT | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 1.4% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 5.1% | 35.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 72.7% | 24.7% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.9% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.33 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.98 | 0.51 | 0.18 | 0.63 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 29.8% | 34.3% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 30.7% | 18.6% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of VSAT With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VSAT | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -4.5% | 22.4% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 69.9% |
| Annualized Volatility | 58.7% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.16 | 0.85 | 0.71 | 0.84 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 34.3% | 40.4% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 37.3% | 13.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/7/2025 | 3.3% | 0.7% | 4.1% |
| 8/5/2025 | 30.7% | 21.0% | 41.4% |
| 5/20/2025 | -4.9% | -12.3% | 22.4% |
| 2/6/2025 | 19.5% | -3.0% | 1.2% |
| 11/6/2024 | -7.8% | -23.2% | -14.4% |
| 8/7/2024 | 37.8% | -5.6% | -3.9% |
| 5/21/2024 | -16.5% | -16.1% | -28.7% |
| 2/6/2024 | -18.2% | -16.6% | -15.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| # Negative | 11 | 13 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 6.9% | 12.6% | 5.0% |
| Median Negative | -11.1% | -6.0% | -18.4% |
| Max Positive | 37.8% | 26.4% | 41.4% |
| Max Negative | -19.3% | -23.2% | -31.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11102025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5272025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2102025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5292024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2092024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5222023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5312022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2072022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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