Viasat (VSAT)
Market Price (12/13/2025): $36.39 | Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment
Viasat (VSAT)
Market Price (12/13/2025): $36.39Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Communications Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -0.1%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -50 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Wireless Services, Show more. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 184%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 291% | |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 188% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Wireless Services, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -0.1%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -50 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.1% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 184%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 291% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 188% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
VSAT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
It is not possible to provide an explanation for a stock movement of 10.8% for Viasat (VSAT) specifically between August 31, 2025, and today (December 13, 2025), as this period is in the future. However, based on the most recent available information, here are key points that have influenced Viasat's stock performance and business outlook in a recent historical period (roughly late 2023 to late 2024 / early 2025), which can shed light on factors affecting the company's valuation.
1. ViaSat-3 Satellite Constellation Developments: The ViaSat-3 constellation, designed to significantly enhance global broadband capacity, has been a major focus. The ViaSat-3 F1 satellite, launched in May 2023, entered commercial service for aviation customers over North America in August 2024, despite an antenna deployment anomaly that reduced its overall capacity. The ViaSat-3 F2 satellite successfully launched on November 13, 2025, and is expected to add over 1 Tbps capacity to the network over the Americas with anticipated service entry in early 2026. The ViaSat-3 F3 satellite is expected to launch and enter service in 2026 for the Asia-Pacific region. These developments, both positive and challenging (like the F1 anomaly), have likely driven investor sentiment.
2. Inmarsat Acquisition and Synergies: Viasat completed its acquisition of Inmarsat in May 2023, combining their technologies and resources. This acquisition was aimed at enhancing Viasat's satellite communication capabilities and expanding its market presence. Viasat confirmed in October 2023 that it expected to achieve synergies from the Inmarsat transaction earlier than planned, and to materially lower capital expenditure. The company anticipated realizing $80 million in annual operating expenses and about $110 million in annual capital expenditure synergies in fiscal year 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VSAT Return | -55% | 36% | -29% | -12% | -70% | 350% | -48% |
| Peers Return | 30% | 22% | -24% | 34% | 14% | 18% | 115% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VSAT Win Rate | 25% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 63% | 40% | 50% | 52% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VSAT Max Drawdown | -62% | -3% | -41% | -51% | -76% | -12% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -13% | -37% | -3% | -14% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QCOM, MSI, NTAP, QRVO, ESE. See VSAT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VSAT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -76.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 332.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -62.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 168.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 134.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 549 days | 1480 days |
Compare to QCOM, MSI, NTAP, QRVO, ESE
In The Past
Viasat's stock fell -76.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -76.9% loss requires a 332.8% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to VSAT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.7% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.6% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| 07312025 | VSAT | Viasat | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 118.1% | 118.1% | 0.0% |
| 01312025 | VSAT | Viasat | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 72.3% | 272.5% | -20.0% |
| 06302022 | VSAT | Viasat | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 34.7% | -14.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.7% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.6% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| 07312025 | VSAT | Viasat | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 118.1% | 118.1% | 0.0% |
| 01312025 | VSAT | Viasat | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 72.3% | 272.5% | -20.0% |
| 06302022 | VSAT | Viasat | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 34.7% | -14.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Viasat
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 146.97 |
| Mkt Cap | 15.9 |
| Rev LTM | 5,610 |
| Op Inc LTM | 933 |
| FCF LTM | 1,105 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 949 |
| CFO LTM | 1,459 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,147 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 15.9 |
| P/S | 3.8 |
| P/EBIT | 25.7 |
| P/E | 26.2 |
| P/CFO | 12.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 20.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 47.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -0.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 9.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -22.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/7/2025 | 3.3% | 0.7% | |
| 8/5/2025 | 30.7% | 21.0% | 41.4% |
| 5/20/2025 | -4.9% | -12.3% | 22.4% |
| 2/6/2025 | 19.5% | -3.0% | 1.2% |
| 11/6/2024 | -7.8% | -23.2% | -14.4% |
| 8/7/2024 | 37.8% | -5.6% | -3.9% |
| 5/21/2024 | -16.5% | -16.1% | -28.7% |
| 2/6/2024 | -18.2% | -16.6% | -15.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| # Negative | 11 | 13 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 6.9% | 12.6% | 5.3% |
| Median Negative | -11.1% | -6.0% | -18.4% |
| Max Positive | 37.8% | 26.4% | 41.4% |
| Max Negative | -19.3% | -23.2% | -31.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11102025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5272025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2102025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5292024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2092024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5222023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5312022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2072022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |