Tearsheet

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $61.91 | Market Cap: $16.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $61.91
Market Cap: $16.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Communications Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 641%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -274 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1479%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 723x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Wireless Services, Telecom Infrastructure, and Satellite-to-Cell Connectivity.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 150%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -890%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5094%
4   Key risks
ASTS key risks include [1] a high cash burn rate and the need for substantial additional capital, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 641%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Wireless Services, Telecom Infrastructure, and Satellite-to-Cell Connectivity.
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -274 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1479%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 723x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 150%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -890%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5094%
8 Key risks
ASTS key risks include [1] a high cash burn rate and the need for substantial additional capital, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ASTS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Continued Progress in Satellite Manufacturing and Deployment Plans

AST SpaceMobile reported significant advancements in its manufacturing capabilities and detailed its satellite deployment strategy during its Q2 2025 business update in August. The company announced its first satellite (FM1) was ready for shipment in August 2025 and projected at least five orbital launches by the end of Q1 2026, with an overall goal of deploying 45 to 60 satellites by 2026. This focus on operational milestones and scaling its network likely contributed to investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ASTS Return38%-42%-39%25%250%224%593%
Peers Return-20%11%1%160%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ASTS Win Rate50%33%50%50%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate45%43%52%40%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ASTS Max Drawdown-4%-48%-54%-43%-67%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-34%-44%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GSAT, IRDM, SATS, VSAT, TSAT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventASTSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-87.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven721.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven297 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-7.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven8.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven15 days148 days

Compare to VSAT, ADTN, FIEE, CSCO, ANET


In The Past

AST SpaceMobile's stock fell -87.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -87.8% loss requires a 721.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)

Better Bets than AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ASTS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for AST SpaceMobile

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ASTSGSATIRDMSATSVSATTSATMedian
NameAST Spac.Globalst.Iridium .EchoStar Viasat Telesat  
Mkt Price61.8656.9116.59100.8932.1727.0444.54
Mkt Cap13.47.21.829.14.00.45.6
Rev LTM1926287215,1764,583452662
Op Inc LTM-27411233-525-5090-20
FCF LTM-944283305-1,765147-2262
FCF 3Y Avg-48370279-3,978-43859-189
CFO LTM-1657863963721,05995384
CFO 3Y Avg-1493303582,430759136344

Growth & Margins

ASTSGSATIRDMSATSVSATTSATMedian
NameAST Spac.Globalst.Iridium .EchoStar Viasat Telesat  
Rev Chg LTM641.2%8.5%7.3%-5.3%1.2%-25.8%4.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-24.1%8.6%-0.2%24.0%-14.5%8.6%
Rev Chg Q1,239.9%2.1%6.7%-7.1%1.7%-27.0%1.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM278.8%0.6%1.7%-1.8%0.4%-7.6%0.5%
Op Mgn LTM-1,479.5%4.1%26.7%-3.5%-1.1%19.9%1.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.7%19.2%1.1%-10.0%49.9%1.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3,835.9%0.2%1.3%-0.1%1.3%-9.1%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-890.0%299.9%45.5%2.4%23.1%21.1%22.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-130.1%43.3%10.1%17.9%21.8%21.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-5,094.0%108.0%35.0%-11.6%3.2%-4.9%-0.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-25.1%33.7%-16.4%-12.1%7.4%7.4%

Valuation

ASTSGSATIRDMSATSVSATTSATMedian
NameAST Spac.Globalst.Iridium .EchoStar Viasat Telesat  
Mkt Cap13.47.21.829.14.00.45.6
P/S722.617.62.11.40.90.91.8
P/EBIT-429.98.0-1.4--1.03.5
P/E-44.1-97.614.7-1.7-7.6-2.5-5.0
P/CFO-81.25.94.759.23.74.14.4
Total Yield-2.3%-1.0%10.2%-58.9%-13.2%-39.8%-7.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%3.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.0%9.6%-74.4%-32.5%5.3%
D/E-0.11.01.4-8.41.2
Net D/E-0.00.91.2-7.21.1

Returns

ASTSGSATIRDMSATSVSATTSATMedian
NameAST Spac.Globalst.Iridium .EchoStar Viasat Telesat  
1M Rtn9.3%-3.9%2.8%50.7%-3.6%13.5%6.0%
3M Rtn50.2%66.0%-9.1%40.5%-0.6%6.7%23.6%
6M Rtn39.5%138.7%-41.3%305.7%141.7%35.9%89.1%
12M Rtn149.6%99.7%-42.0%338.0%252.0%48.9%124.7%
3Y Rtn1,502.6%174.9%-65.1%532.5%7.5%326.5%250.7%
1M Excs Rtn8.6%-4.6%2.1%50.0%-4.3%12.7%5.3%
3M Excs Rtn47.9%63.3%-12.2%40.3%5.4%9.9%25.1%
6M Excs Rtn27.1%126.3%-53.7%293.3%129.3%23.6%76.7%
12M Excs Rtn152.4%83.5%-54.4%321.2%233.5%50.3%117.9%
3Y Excs Rtn1,243.9%81.2%-134.0%447.1%-62.1%217.9%149.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment  12 
Total  12 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment361438 232
Total361438 232


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity36,624,089
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-5.2%
Average Daily Volume9,532,391
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.84
Basic Shares Quantity272,831,168
Short % of Basic Shares13.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/2025-9.2%-1.1%-26.2%
7/24/2025-9.5%-11.5%-21.6%
3/4/202518.1%0.2%-21.7%
11/14/2024-9.6%-9.9%-9.3%
8/14/202450.7%75.1%43.3%
4/1/2024-23.6%-13.7%-16.0%
1/18/2024-25.7%-29.1%-17.5%
10/25/20231.7%15.3%51.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive475
# Negative11810
Median Positive12.1%3.1%43.3%
Median Negative-9.2%-10.7%-20.9%
Max Positive50.7%75.1%98.3%
Max Negative-25.7%-32.1%-32.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023401202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022816202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Johnson Andrew MartinCFO and CLO11282025Sell56.0010,000560,01021,699,547Form
1Cisneros Adriana11242025Buy50.7937519,04639,804,225Form