Tearsheet

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)


Market Price (3/14/2026): $86.39 | Market Cap: $24.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)


Market Price (3/14/2026): $86.39
Market Cap: $24.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Communications Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1505%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -288 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -406%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -52%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 346x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Wireless Services, Telecom Infrastructure, and Satellite-to-Cell Connectivity.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 123%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 231%
3   Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 67%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -101%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1682%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.4%
6   Key risks
ASTS key risks include [1] a high cash burn rate and the need for substantial additional capital, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1505%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -52%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Wireless Services, Telecom Infrastructure, and Satellite-to-Cell Connectivity.
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -288 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -406%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 346x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 123%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 231%
7 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 67%
8 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -101%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1682%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.4%
10 Key risks
ASTS key risks include [1] a high cash burn rate and the need for substantial additional capital, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) stock has gained about 55% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Successful Deployment of Next-Generation Satellite and Accelerated Launch Plans.

AST SpaceMobile successfully launched its BlueBird 6 satellite on December 23, 2025. This next-generation satellite is notably the largest commercial communications array ever deployed in low Earth orbit, boasting an array over three times larger than its predecessors and designed to deliver 4G and 5G cellular broadband directly to unmodified smartphones. This significant technological milestone, coupled with the company's confirmed schedule to launch between 45 and 60 BlueBird 2 satellites throughout 2026 and a manufacturing capacity of six satellites per month, underscored substantial progress towards its commercial service rollout.

2. Expansion of Strategic Commercial and Government Partnerships.

The company significantly broadened its partnership portfolio during the period. On March 5, 2026, AST SpaceMobile announced a new commercial agreement with TELUS Corporation to deliver space-based cellular broadband across Canada, with TELUS also becoming an equity shareholder. This followed a definitive commercial agreement with Verizon, announced on October 8, 2025, to provide direct-to-cellular service across the continental United States, starting in 2026. Additionally, AST SpaceMobile secured a $30 million prime contract from the U.S. Space Development Agency for the HALO Europa Program to provide direct-to-device tactical satellite communications. These agreements validate the demand for its technology and expand its market reach with major mobile network operators and government contracts.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 53.6% change in ASTS stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 282.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)113020253132026Change
Stock Price ($)56.2086.3453.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1971282.7%
P/S Multiple827.4346.3-58.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)273284-4.1%
Cumulative Contribution53.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ASTS53.6% 
Market (SPY)-3.1%38.4%
Sector (XLK)-4.4%41.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 76.4% change in ASTS stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 1349.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120253132026Change
Stock Price ($)48.9486.3476.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5711349.7%
P/S Multiple2,420.8346.3-85.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)242284-14.9%
Cumulative Contribution76.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ASTS76.4% 
Market (SPY)3.0%37.2%
Sector (XLK)4.4%40.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 218.5% change in ASTS stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 2736.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820253132026Change
Stock Price ($)27.1186.34218.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2712736.7%
P/S Multiple1,687.8346.3-79.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)156284-45.3%
Cumulative Contribution218.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ASTS218.5% 
Market (SPY)12.4%40.9%
Sector (XLK)21.9%45.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 1240.7% change in ASTS stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 1925.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820233132026Change
Stock Price ($)6.4486.341240.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2071253.8%
P/S Multiple17.1346.31925.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)53284-81.3%
Cumulative Contribution1240.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ASTS1240.7% 
Market (SPY)73.4%27.7%
Sector (XLK)104.5%29.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ASTS Return-42%-39%25%250%244%21%550%
Peers Return56%-20%11%1%163%19%337%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-1%80%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ASTS Win Rate33%50%50%42%58%67% 
Peers Win Rate45%43%52%40%55%80% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ASTS Max Drawdown-48%-54%-43%-67%-16%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-10%-40%-34%-44%-28%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-2% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GSAT, IRDM, SATS, VSAT, TSAT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventASTSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-87.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven721.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven297 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-7.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven8.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven15 days148 days

Compare to GSAT, IRDM, SATS, VSAT, TSAT

In The Past

AST SpaceMobile's stock fell -87.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -87.8% loss requires a 721.2% gain to breakeven.

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About AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. operates space-based cellular broadband network for mobile phones. Its SpaceMobile service provides mobile broadband services for users traveling in and out of areas without terrestrial mobile services on land, at sea, or in flight. The company is headquartered in Midland, Texas.

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  • Starlink for smartphone connectivity.
  • A global T-Mobile or Verizon, but with satellites instead of ground cell towers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • SpaceMobile Service: This service provides space-based cellular broadband connectivity for mobile phones, enabling coverage in areas without terrestrial mobile services on land, at sea, or in flight.

AI Analysis | Feedback

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) primarily sells its space-based cellular broadband network service to other companies, specifically major Mobile Network Operators (MNOs) around the world. These MNOs intend to integrate SpaceMobile's service to extend their own network coverage to their subscribers, particularly in areas without terrestrial mobile services.

Major customer companies and strategic partners include:

  • Vodafone Group Plc (VOD)
  • AT&T Inc. (T)
  • Telefónica S.A. (TEF)
  • Orange S.A. (ORAN)
  • Rakuten Mobile (part of Rakuten Group, Inc. - RKUNY)

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • SpaceX

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Abel Avellan - Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Abel Avellan founded AST SpaceMobile (originally AST & Science LLC) in 2017 and has served as its Chairman and CEO since April 2021. He is a co-inventor on 21 to 24 U.S. patents. Prior to AST SpaceMobile, he founded Emerging Markets Communications (EMC) in 1999/2000, which he built into a leading satellite services company before selling it to Global Eagle for $550 million in 2016. He then served as President & Chief Strategy Officer at Global Eagle until April 2017. Avellan also served as Chairman of NanoAvionics until its sale by AST SpaceMobile. Born in Venezuela, he trained as an engineer and previously worked for Ericsson. He has not received a salary or bonus from AST SpaceMobile since the April 2021 business combination. Avellan has led significant capital raises for AST SpaceMobile, attracting strategic investors such as AT&T, Google, Vodafone, American Tower, and Rakuten. There is no information indicating a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms; EMC was bootstrapped.

Andrew Johnson - Chief Financial Officer & Chief Legal Officer

Andrew Johnson was appointed Chief Financial Officer in June 2024, in addition to his role as Chief Legal Officer. He joined AST SpaceMobile in May 2024. Before joining AST SpaceMobile, Johnson held various senior roles at 3D Systems Corporation, including EVP, Chief Corporate Development Officer, Chief Legal Officer, interim President and CEO, and interim CFO. He is responsible for overseeing all aspects of accounting, reporting, treasury, compliance, risk management, and global legal matters for AST SpaceMobile. Information regarding him founding or selling other companies, or a pattern of managing private equity-backed companies, is not available in the provided sources.

Scott Wisniewski - President & Chief Strategy Officer

Scott Wisniewski assumed the additional role of President in June 2024, alongside his position as Chief Strategy Officer. He joined AST SpaceMobile in March 2021. Wisniewski oversees commercialization efforts, corporate development, financing strategy, capital markets, and investor relations. Since joining the company, he has been instrumental in driving significant corporate agreements and milestones, including raising over $600 million of capital in the form of equity, convertible notes, and non-dilutive prepayments for AST SpaceMobile. Prior to his time at AST SpaceMobile, he spent over a decade as Managing Director of Technology, Media & Telecommunications Investment Banking at Barclays, where he advised clients on capital raising and mergers & acquisitions, including advising AST SpaceMobile on its 2021 business combination and 2019 strategic investment. His early career included roles as a management consultant and a mechanical design engineer.

Shanti Gupta - Chief Operating Officer

Shanti Gupta was promoted to Chief Operating Officer from Chief Accounting Officer in June 2024. In his role, he drives many aspects of the company's operations, including supply chain, vendor relationships and negotiations, cost optimization, risk management, and information technology. His focus as COO is on enhancing operational excellence, driving cost efficiencies, and managing global expansion as AST SpaceMobile transitions to full-scale manufacturing and production.

Dr. Huiwen Yao - Chief Technology Officer

Dr. Huiwen Yao serves as the Chief Technology Officer at AST SpaceMobile. Details of his specific professional background, including previous companies founded, managed, or sold, or involvement with private equity-backed firms, are not available in the provided search results.

AI Analysis | Feedback

AST SpaceMobile (symbol: ASTS) faces several key risks to its business as it endeavors to build and operate a space-based cellular broadband network.

Key Risks for AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)

  1. High Cash Burn and Profitability Challenges: AST SpaceMobile is currently a pre-commercial infrastructure builder, incurring substantial net losses due to heavy investments in satellite constellation build-out, research and development (R&D), and manufacturing. The company's financial performance reflects significant development investments that have yet to translate into consistent revenue and profitability. While AST SpaceMobile has secured some contracted revenue commitments and has liquidity, there remains a risk that it will require additional capital infusions, which could lead to further dilution for existing shareholders. The ability to transition from a cash-burning development phase to a profitable operational phase, generating positive cash flow, is a critical risk.
  2. Execution Risk in Satellite Deployment and Technology Validation: The successful realization of AST SpaceMobile's business model hinges on its ability to successfully manufacture, launch, and reliably operate a large constellation of advanced satellites, known as BlueBird satellites. This includes the challenging transition from low-rate hardware production to an assembly line process capable of producing numerous large satellites at scale. Any bottlenecks in component supply, manufacturing delays, launch failures, or issues with satellites unfolding and operating as intended in orbit could significantly disrupt the company's rollout timeline, increase costs, and negatively impact its business prospects and financial condition.
  3. Intense Competition and Market Adoption Uncertainty: The satellite communications industry is highly competitive, with established players and new entrants, such as SpaceX's Starlink, actively pursuing direct-to-cell services. AST SpaceMobile must rapidly scale its operations, secure robust carrier commitments, and validate its unique technology to effectively compete in this evolving market. There is also an inherent risk that the market for direct-to-device satellite cellular broadband may not adopt the service at the scale or speed the company anticipates, or that rapid technological advancements by competitors could lead to obsolescence of AST SpaceMobile's offerings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

AST SpaceMobile faces clear emerging threats from other companies developing or deploying direct satellite-to-standard-mobile-phone connectivity services. These include:
  • Starlink's Direct to Cell service: Backed by SpaceX's significant launch and constellation capabilities, Starlink has announced plans and partnerships (e.g., with T-Mobile) to offer direct satellite-to-phone connectivity for text, voice, and data, directly competing with AST SpaceMobile's core offering.
  • Lynk Global: This company is also actively developing and launching its own satellite-to-phone technology, demonstrating capabilities for text and voice, and aiming for broadband services directly to unmodified mobile phones, positioning itself as a direct competitor in the same market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for AST SpaceMobile's main products and services are significant, encompassing both the direct satellite-to-phone cellular market and a portion of the broader global cellular wireless market. Here's an overview of the addressable markets: * **Global Direct Satellite-to-Phone Cellular Market:** This market, which directly aligns with AST SpaceMobile's core offering, was valued at $2.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $43.3 billion by 2034, demonstrating a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 32.7% from 2025 to 2034. Another estimate places this market at $3.65 billion in 2025, growing to $5 billion in 2026, and is expected to reach $17.62 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 37% through 2030. The global direct-to-phone satellite service market was valued at USD 261 million in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 5.60 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 60.6%. * **Global Space-Based Network Market:** This broader market, which includes space-based broadband internet and other satellite communication services, was valued at approximately $10.41 billion in 2025 and is predicted to grow to about $71.91 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 21.32% from 2026 to 2035. Other estimates indicate the space-based network market was valued at $14.06 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $76.13 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 20.64% from 2025 to 2033. * **Global Cellular Wireless Market Spend (Total Addressable Market - TAM):** AST SpaceMobile aims to extend the reach of existing mobile network operators. Based on GSMA Intelligence estimates, the total cellular wireless market spend represents a total addressable market of over $1.1 trillion globally, applicable to 5.6 billion mobile phones and devices. AST SpaceMobile targets approximately 50 Mobile Network Operators (MNOs) with nearly 3 billion subscribers globally for cellular connectivity. The company also targets the IoT market, which includes over 10 billion devices worldwide, and the government and defense markets for alternative use cases in ISR (Intelligence, Surveillance, Reconnaissance), EO (Earth Observation), and communications.

AI Analysis | Feedback

AST SpaceMobile (symbol: ASTS) is poised for future revenue growth over the next two to three years, driven primarily by the following factors:

  1. Accelerated Deployment and Scaling of the BlueBird Satellite Constellation: A key driver of future revenue for AST SpaceMobile is the rapid deployment and scaling of its BlueBird satellite constellation. The company aims to deploy 45 to 60 satellites into low Earth orbit by the end of 2026, with current expectations closer to 60 satellites ready to ship and 45 satellites in orbit. Manufacturing capacity has reached six satellites worth of micron and phased arrays per month. These Block 2 BlueBird satellites are significantly more advanced, being 3.5 times larger and offering 10 times the capacity of their predecessors, enabling more robust and widespread service. The goal is to achieve continuous service in initial markets and expand to "all targeted" markets with a constellation of approximately 90 satellites by 2027. This expansion is critical for delivering reliable, global space-based cellular broadband.
  2. Commercial Service Activation and Expansion with Mobile Network Operator (MNO) Partners: AST SpaceMobile has established a broad commercial ecosystem, securing over $1.2 billion in minimum committed revenue from more than 50 mobile network operator partners globally, covering nearly 3 billion subscribers. The company is transitioning from initial commercial activation to broader commercial service with these partners in key markets such as the United States, Europe, Japan, and Saudi Arabia. The delivery of commercial gateways to MNO partners and the eventual rollout of direct-to-device (D2D) services are expected to translate these commitments into significant recurring service revenue.
  3. Growth in Government Contracts and Specialized Services: Revenue growth is also expected from continued and expanding engagement with government entities. The company has already reported revenue driven by U.S. government service milestone achievements and gateway hardware sales. AST SpaceMobile is positioning itself as a key federal government contractor and anticipates ongoing support for U.S. government applications as its constellation matures.
  4. Geographic Market Penetration and Subscriber Growth: As the BlueBird constellation expands and commercial agreements with MNOs progress, AST SpaceMobile plans to broaden its service footprint to new geographic markets. The company expects to enable intermittent nationwide service in selected markets by early 2026, progressing to continuous service later in 2026 across the U.S., Europe, and Japan, with further expansion into other strategic markets. This penetration into new regions, coupled with the ability to capture a growing subscriber base for direct-to-cell services, will be a significant long-term revenue driver.

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Share Repurchases

  • In February 2026, AST SpaceMobile announced proposed cash repurchases of approximately $300 million of its convertible senior notes due 2032, comprising $46.5 million of 4.25% notes and $250.0 million of 2.375% notes.
  • In June 2025, the company repurchased $225 million of its 4.25% convertible notes due 2032, effectively removing approximately 8.3 million underlying shares from potential dilution.

Share Issuance

  • In February 2026, AST SpaceMobile issued approximately 6.3 million shares of Class A common stock at $96.92 per share to noteholders participating in the repurchase of convertible notes.
  • The company's outstanding shares increased by 437% over the past five years, indicating shareholder dilution.
  • In 2025, AST SpaceMobile's financing activities were supported by $1.30 billion from common stock issuance. An 'at the market offering' program was also announced in October 2025, allowing for the sale of up to $800 million in Class A common stock over three years, with approximately $277.4 million raised as of October 20, 2025.

Inbound Investments

  • In February 2026, AST SpaceMobile raised $1.075 billion in gross proceeds from a new 10-year convertible senior notes offering.
  • During 2025, the company raised over $3.5 billion in capital, including approximately $2.2 billion of net proceeds from two convertible notes offerings (October 2025 and February 2026).
  • AST SpaceMobile received a $175.0 million prepayment from stc Group in 2025 as part of a 10-year regional agreement.

Capital Expenditures

  • For the full year 2025, AST SpaceMobile incurred approximately $1.6 billion in capitalized property and equipment.
  • Capital expenditures for Q4 2025 were approximately $407 million, an increase from $259 million in Q3 2025.
  • Estimated capital expenditures for Q1 2026 are projected to be between $350 million and $425 million, primarily due to the timing of launch payments for its satellite constellation, with a goal to deploy 45-60 satellites by the end of 2026.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to ASTS.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BMI_2282026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K02282026BMIBadger MeterInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
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VRNS_2282026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K02282026VRNSVaronis SystemsInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
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ITRI_2272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02272026ITRIItronDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
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FSLR_2272026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02272026FSLRFirst SolarDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
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PEGA_2272026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02272026PEGAPegasystemsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ASTSGSATIRDMSATSVSATTSATMedian
NameAST Spac.Globalst.Iridium .EchoStar Viasat Telesat  
Mkt Price86.3458.6824.86108.3446.1434.4352.41
Mkt Cap24.67.52.631.26.30.56.9
Rev LTM7127387215,0054,616452662
Op Inc LTM-28815236-91-4590-15
FCF LTM-1,193230300-1,741624-22104
FCF 3Y Avg-587123282-1,606-22159-81
CFO LTM-72622400-991,56695248
CFO 3Y Avg-1163783641,195971136371

Growth & Margins

ASTSGSATIRDMSATSVSATTSATMedian
NameAST Spac.Globalst.Iridium .EchoStar Viasat Telesat  
Rev Chg LTM1,505.2%9.0%4.9%-5.2%2.1%-25.8%3.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-23.9%6.6%-7.0%24.4%-14.5%6.6%
Rev Chg Q2,731.3%17.6%-0.0%-4.3%3.0%-27.0%1.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM282.7%4.1%-0.0%-1.1%0.7%-7.6%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM-405.7%5.4%27.1%-0.6%-1.0%19.9%2.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1.8%20.5%0.1%-8.4%49.9%1.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1,073.8%1.3%0.4%2.8%0.1%-9.1%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-100.8%227.7%45.9%-0.7%33.9%21.1%27.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-145.5%43.7%7.2%22.0%21.8%22.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-1,681.7%84.3%34.4%-11.6%13.5%-4.9%4.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-45.0%33.9%-10.1%-6.3%7.4%7.4%

Valuation

ASTSGSATIRDMSATSVSATTSATMedian
NameAST Spac.Globalst.Iridium .EchoStar Viasat Telesat  
Mkt Cap24.67.52.631.26.30.56.9
P/S346.327.43.02.11.41.12.5
P/EBIT-58.3509.411.1-1.841.8-1.34.9
P/E-71.8-863.122.7-2.2-18.5-3.3-10.9
P/CFO-343.412.06.5-314.34.05.44.7
Total Yield-1.4%-0.1%6.8%-46.4%-5.4%-30.6%-3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-20.7%2.1%10.2%-21.9%-14.5%44.0%-6.2%
D/E0.10.10.71.01.16.50.8
Net D/E-0.00.00.60.90.95.50.8

Returns

ASTSGSATIRDMSATSVSATTSATMedian
NameAST Spac.Globalst.Iridium .EchoStar Viasat Telesat  
1M Rtn-10.9%0.1%34.7%-1.6%1.8%29.0%0.9%
3M Rtn12.6%-19.6%32.7%0.9%28.8%7.4%10.0%
6M Rtn123.0%96.0%42.1%44.7%51.0%54.1%52.6%
12M Rtn230.6%173.9%-5.0%310.5%391.9%61.0%202.3%
3Y Rtn1,299.4%240.2%-57.7%472.3%24.7%374.9%307.5%
1M Excs Rtn-8.5%2.5%37.1%0.8%4.2%31.3%3.3%
3M Excs Rtn10.8%-14.9%33.4%5.8%25.3%4.1%8.3%
6M Excs Rtn122.2%90.9%34.6%37.8%41.7%54.1%47.9%
12M Excs Rtn192.3%143.8%-27.7%290.3%369.8%41.4%168.0%
3Y Excs Rtn1,081.6%159.0%-125.4%374.4%-41.4%261.7%210.4%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Services revenues4    
Products revenues0    
Single Segment   12 
Total4  12 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment 361438 232
Total 361438 232


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$86.34 
Market Cap ($ Bil)23.6 
First Trading Date11/01/2019 
Distance from 52W High-29.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$95.50$66.00
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-9.6%30.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility122.2%99.5%
Downside Capture392.11219.18
Upside Capture552.86301.86
Correlation (SPY)37.2%40.1%
ASTS Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.983.094.643.642.152.16
Up Beta4.590.08-0.940.681.851.73
Down Beta4.595.114.584.042.082.15
Up Capture-61%411%1222%992%994%11197%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days12253670133376
Down Capture459%235%383%265%147%113%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days9162554117371

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ASTS
ASTS214.8%99.7%1.60-
Sector ETF (XLK)30.0%26.8%0.9544.4%
Equity (SPY)19.6%18.9%0.8140.1%
Gold (GLD)71.9%26.3%2.0513.9%
Commodities (DBC)19.3%17.3%0.8921.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.2%16.3%0.1922.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-15.0%44.2%-0.2435.5%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ASTS
ASTS49.1%110.4%0.84-
Sector ETF (XLK)17.7%24.7%0.6432.1%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.0%0.6130.9%
Gold (GLD)24.1%17.3%1.143.5%
Commodities (DBC)11.2%19.0%0.475.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%18.8%0.1622.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)6.4%56.7%0.3316.8%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ASTS
ASTS24.4%100.0%0.78-
Sector ETF (XLK)21.8%24.2%0.8226.7%
Equity (SPY)14.5%17.9%0.7023.9%
Gold (GLD)14.4%15.6%0.773.5%
Commodities (DBC)8.6%17.6%0.405.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.2316.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.5%66.8%1.0715.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2272026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity41.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2152026-2.7%
Average Daily Volume10.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity284.5 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares14.7%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/11/2026-15.2%-10.9%-10.9%
10/21/2025-9.2%-1.1%-26.2%
7/24/2025-9.5%-11.5%-21.6%
3/4/202518.1%0.2%-21.7%
11/14/2024-9.6%-9.9%-9.3%
8/14/202450.7%75.1%43.3%
4/1/2024-23.6%-13.7%-16.0%
1/18/2024-25.7%-29.1%-17.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive475
# Negative12911
Median Positive12.1%3.1%43.3%
Median Negative-9.4%-10.9%-20.2%
Max Positive50.7%75.1%98.3%
Max Negative-25.7%-32.1%-32.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202503/02/202610-K
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/11/202510-Q
03/31/202505/12/202510-Q
12/31/202403/03/202510-K
09/30/202411/14/202410-Q
06/30/202408/14/202410-Q
03/31/202405/15/202410-Q
12/31/202304/01/202410-K
09/30/202311/14/202310-Q
06/30/202308/14/202310-Q
03/31/202305/15/202310-Q
12/31/202203/31/202310-K
09/30/202211/14/202210-Q
06/30/202208/16/202210-Q
03/31/202205/16/202210-Q

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Larson, Keith RIRABuy1229202580.0062550,000161,200Form
2Larson, Keith RIRABuy1217202570.0271550,06497,328Form
3Gupta, Shanti BChief Operating OfficerDirectSell1212202577.3410,000773,40029,572,882Form
4American, Tower Corp /ma/ See Explanation of ResponsesSell1211202569.752,288,621159,631,31514,743,685Form
5Larson, Keith Rby IRABuy1210202572.7167549,07949,079Form