Tearsheet

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $63.18 | Market Cap: $15.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $63.18
Market Cap: $15.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Communications Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 249%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -260 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5315%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Wireless Services, Telecom Infrastructure, and Satellite-to-Cell Connectivity.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 2312x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 114%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 168%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2737%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13836%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 143%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 249%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Wireless Services, Telecom Infrastructure, and Satellite-to-Cell Connectivity.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -260 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5315%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 2312x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 114%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 168%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2737%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13836%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 143%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ASTS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the movement of AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:

1. September 2025: Regulatory Approval and Satellite Assembly Progress. AST SpaceMobile announced that its first Block 2 BlueBird satellite, BlueBird 6, was fully assembled and undergoing final testing. Additionally, the company received conditional launch approval from the FCC for 20 of its satellites, marking tangible progress towards building its space-based mobile network.

2. October 2025: Strategic Partnership with Verizon. A significant agreement was struck with Verizon to provide direct-to-cellular coverage to every area in the U.S., leveraging AST SpaceMobile's space-based network, with services expected to commence in 2026. This partnership led to a notable increase in ASTS stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ASTS Return38%-42%-39%25%250%170%476%
Peers Return8%41%-13%6%11%68%162%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ASTS Win Rate50%33%50%50%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate37%52%28%40%42%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ASTS Max Drawdown-4%-48%-54%-43%-67%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-3%-24%-27%-26%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VSAT, ADTN, FIEE, CSCO, ANET.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventASTSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-87.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven721.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven297 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-7.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven8.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven15 days148 days

Compare to VSAT, ADTN, FIEE, CSCO, ANET


In The Past

AST SpaceMobile's stock fell -87.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -87.8% loss requires a 721.2% gain to breakeven.

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About AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)

Better Bets than AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ASTS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for AST SpaceMobile

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ASTSVSATADTNFIEECSCOANETMedian
NameAST Spac.Viasat Adtran FiEE Cisco Sy.Arista N. 
Mkt Price61.4434.298.231.9077.75127.8047.86
Mkt Cap14.94.50.7-308.0160.814.9
Rev LTM54,5641,035056,6548,4482,800
Op Inc LTM-260-111-37-112,5043,623-19
FCF LTM-6778826-113,2884,04657
FCF 3Y Avg-387-493-7-114,1782,911-4
CFO LTM-1341,01690-114,1934,141553
CFO 3Y Avg-13872849-114,9862,964388

Growth & Margins

ASTSVSATADTNFIEECSCOANETMedian
NameAST Spac.Viasat Adtran FiEE Cisco Sy.Arista N. 
Rev Chg LTM249.4%-1.4%14.3%-99.5%5.3%27.8%9.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg35.3%26.8%13.7%-65.6%3.4%29.4%20.3%
Rev Chg Q28.4%4.0%22.7%-7.6%27.5%22.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.5%1.0%5.3%35,994.4%1.9%6.3%5.4%
Op Mgn LTM-5,315.4%-2.4%-3.6%-3,292.4%22.1%42.9%-3.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-8,930.9%-8.2%-11.5%-1,146.9%24.5%40.8%-9.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM82.0%-0.3%2.6%1,197,542.8%0.3%-0.3%1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-2,737.0%22.3%8.7%-1,599.2%25.1%49.0%15.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-5,141.1%17.9%5.3%-535.9%26.7%41.7%11.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-13,836.3%1.9%2.5%-1,599.2%23.5%47.9%2.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-12,966.5%-14.7%-0.1%-536.4%25.3%41.0%-7.4%

Valuation

ASTSVSATADTNFIEECSCOANETMedian
NameAST Spac.Viasat Adtran FiEE Cisco Sy.Arista N. 
Mkt Cap14.94.50.7-308.0160.814.9
P/S2,311.50.40.7-4.921.74.9
P/EBIT-19.6-12.8-22.2-21.750.6-12.8
P/E-32.0-3.2-8.5-27.054.6-3.2
P/CFO-84.51.98.3-19.444.38.3
Total Yield-3.1%-31.2%-11.8%-6.0%1.8%-3.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%-2.3%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-26.7%-20.9%-0.8%-6.4%2.5%-0.8%
D/E0.03.70.3-0.10.00.1
Net D/E-0.03.10.2-0.0-0.10.0

Returns

ASTSVSATADTNFIEECSCOANETMedian
NameAST Spac.Viasat Adtran FiEE Cisco Sy.Arista N. 
1M Rtn-13.6%-10.7%-21.1%-23.1%4.4%-18.9%-16.3%
3M Rtn35.9%16.2%-11.3%-33.8%15.6%-7.0%4.3%
6M Rtn114.2%285.7%0.2%-22.2%34.6%34.6%
12M Rtn168.2%252.8%-4.6%-34.1%23.3%34.1%
3Y Rtn955.7%-3.2%-59.5%-70.8%278.6%70.8%
1M Excs Rtn-13.6%-10.7%-21.1%-23.0%4.5%-18.9%-16.2%
3M Excs Rtn41.4%8.6%-20.2%-37.5%9.7%-14.8%-3.1%
6M Excs Rtn99.4%271.0%-14.5%-7.5%19.9%19.9%
12M Excs Rtn144.5%254.0%-16.7%-21.1%12.4%21.1%
3Y Excs Rtn794.8%-67.7%-129.6%-3.7%209.5%3.7%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity38,631,390
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.6%
Average Daily Volume9,238,023
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.18
Basic Shares Quantity241,985,507
Short % of Basic Shares16.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023401202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022816202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Johnson Andrew MartinCFO and CLO11282025Sell56.0010,000560,01021,699,547Form
1Cisneros Adriana11242025Buy50.7937519,04639,804,225Form