Tearsheet

Rambus (RMBS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $92.8 | Market Cap: $10.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Rambus (RMBS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $92.8
Market Cap: $10.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 80%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 36%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%
  Key risks
RMBS key risks include [1] its inherent patent and intellectual property challenges, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cybersecurity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 36%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cybersecurity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 80%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1%
7 Key risks
RMBS key risks include [1] its inherent patent and intellectual property challenges, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RMBS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the stock movement of Rambus (RMBS) by 22.8% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Rambus reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter 2025 financial results. On October 27, 2025, the company announced GAAP revenue of $178.5 million, surpassing its expectations. Its earnings per share (EPS) of $0.62 exceeded analysts' estimates of $0.50 by 24.00%.

2. The company achieved record product revenue, driven by DDR5 leadership and new product contributions. Rambus reported a fourth consecutive quarterly product revenue record at $93.3 million in Q3 2025. The CEO stated expectations for continued DDR5 market share leadership and increasing contributions from new products to drive over 40% full-year product revenue growth.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RMBS Return27%68%22%91%-23%79%587%
Peers Return47%44%-21%30%8%22%187%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RMBS Win Rate58%67%58%58%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate63%65%37%67%52%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RMBS Max Drawdown-33%0%-30%-2%-45%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-3%-36%-10%-14%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMAT, TXN, ADI, MTSI, DIOD. See RMBS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRMBSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven125 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven263 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-53.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven112.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven401 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-79.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven397.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4,746 days1,480 days

Compare to AMAT, TXN, ADI, MTSI, DIOD


In The Past

Rambus's stock fell -38.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2022. A -38.7% loss requires a 63.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Rambus (RMBS)

Better Bets than Rambus (RMBS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RMBS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%
RMBS_10102025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10102025RMBSRambusQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.2%1.2%-2.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%
RMBS_10102025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10102025RMBSRambusQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.2%1.2%-2.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Rambus

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RMBSAMATTXNADIMTSIDIODMedian
NameRambus Applied .Texas In.Analog D.MACOM Te.Diodes  
Mkt Price90.61248.27174.49271.04168.3149.99171.40
Mkt Cap9.8162.8158.6120.69.32.365.2
Rev LTM67828,36817,26611,0209671,4306,225
Op Inc LTM2478,4706,0123,002130331,625
FCF LTM2925,6982,0804,2791531871,186
FCF 3Y Avg2206,9261,7323,652144113976
CFO LTM3197,9586,8974,8122352592,566
CFO 3Y Avg2468,4456,5604,4941882272,370

Growth & Margins

RMBSAMATTXNADIMTSIDIODMedian
NameRambus Applied .Texas In.Analog D.MACOM Te.Diodes  
Rev Chg LTM31.0%4.4%9.9%16.9%32.6%10.4%13.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.3%3.2%-4.6%-1.4%13.7%-8.8%0.9%
Rev Chg Q22.7%-3.5%14.2%25.9%30.1%12.0%18.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.1%-0.9%3.5%6.1%6.7%3.0%4.3%
Op Mgn LTM36.5%29.9%34.8%27.2%13.4%2.3%28.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg27.8%29.2%38.0%27.2%13.4%8.2%27.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-0.3%-0.1%1.9%0.4%-0.7%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM47.0%28.1%39.9%43.7%24.3%18.1%34.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg44.2%30.9%38.6%41.2%24.1%14.3%34.8%
FCF/Rev LTM43.1%20.1%12.0%38.8%15.8%13.1%18.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg39.3%25.4%10.2%33.6%18.9%7.1%22.1%

Valuation

RMBSAMATTXNADIMTSIDIODMedian
NameRambus Applied .Texas In.Analog D.MACOM Te.Diodes  
Mkt Cap9.8162.8158.6120.69.32.365.2
P/S16.55.79.710.99.61.79.6
P/EBIT41.8-26.8--29.529.5
P/E49.023.333.153.2-171.038.535.8
P/CFO35.120.524.225.139.49.524.6
Total Yield2.0%5.1%6.0%3.5%-0.6%2.6%3.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%3.0%1.6%0.0%0.0%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.3%-1.1%--3.9%3.3%
D/E0.0-0.1--0.00.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.1---0.1-0.1

Returns

RMBSAMATTXNADIMTSIDIODMedian
NameRambus Applied .Texas In.Analog D.MACOM Te.Diodes  
1M Rtn-0.6%8.6%12.6%18.3%5.3%14.3%10.6%
3M Rtn-7.1%39.6%-2.4%10.4%27.6%-7.9%4.0%
6M Rtn49.6%44.3%-10.6%18.9%25.3%-0.7%22.1%
12M Rtn55.7%47.2%-4.2%28.9%21.8%-21.2%25.3%
3Y Rtn143.9%143.5%12.7%71.2%156.8%-37.9%107.3%
1M Excs Rtn-1.3%7.8%11.8%17.6%4.6%13.6%9.8%
3M Excs Rtn-17.0%29.7%-4.4%7.9%28.4%-12.9%1.7%
6M Excs Rtn37.3%32.0%-23.0%6.5%12.9%-13.1%9.7%
12M Excs Rtn46.8%37.0%-17.0%16.1%10.0%-33.7%13.0%
3Y Excs Rtn70.0%64.8%-60.8%-2.7%75.7%-111.4%31.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Semiconductor space461455328246224
Total461455328246224


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,627,613
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.7%
Average Daily Volume1,727,844
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.10
Basic Shares Quantity107,622,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/27/2025-8.7%-6.9%-18.6%
7/28/202513.9%17.9%16.8%
4/28/2025-5.6%-2.9%3.8%
2/3/20256.8%11.3%-10.6%
10/28/202413.8%8.3%29.0%
7/29/2024-13.0%-26.0%-19.3%
4/29/2024-9.4%-5.8%-9.0%
2/5/2024-19.2%-15.1%-6.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161515
# Negative91010
Median Positive4.9%8.3%14.2%
Median Negative-8.7%-5.7%-10.0%
Max Positive13.9%21.3%41.3%
Max Negative-19.2%-26.0%-19.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021