Rambus (RMBS)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $99.0 | Market Cap: $10.7 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Rambus (RMBS)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $99.0Market Cap: $10.7 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -4.1% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 80% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 36% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cybersecurity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 36% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cybersecurity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -4.1% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 80% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RMBS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the 33.9% stock movement for Rambus (RMBS) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:
1. Exceptional Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results. Rambus reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 27, 2025, with GAAP revenue reaching $178.5 million, surpassing analyst expectations. The company achieved a record product revenue of $93.3 million, marking its fourth consecutive quarter of product revenue growth and a 41% year-over-year increase. Despite a miss on earnings per share (EPS) estimates, the stock saw a significant positive reaction, rising 7.95% in aftermarket trading due to investor optimism regarding its revenue performance and future prospects.
2. Continued Leadership in DDR5 and Successful New Product Adoption. Rambus maintained its market leadership in DDR5 Registering Clock Driver (RCD) products, which significantly contributed to its revenue growth. The company also reported ramping contributions from new products, including PMICs and MRDIMMs, indicating successful expansion of its product offerings. This ongoing product momentum underscores the company's robust position in the high-performance memory market.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RMBS Return | 27% | 68% | 22% | 91% | -23% | 87% | 617% |
| Peers Return | 47% | 44% | -21% | 30% | 8% | 25% | 196% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RMBS Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 58% | 58% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 65% | 37% | 67% | 52% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RMBS Max Drawdown | -33% | 0% | -30% | -2% | -45% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -35% | -3% | -36% | -10% | -14% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMAT, TXN, ADI, MTSI, DIOD. See RMBS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RMBS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 125 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -44.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 263 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -53.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 112.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 401 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -79.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 397.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4746 days | 1480 days |
Compare to AMAT, TXN, ADI, MTSI, DIOD
In The Past
Rambus's stock fell -38.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2022. A -38.7% loss requires a 63.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Is 22.8% Fall In Rambus (RMBS) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | Actionable | ||
| Can Rambus Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | Return | ||
| RMBS: Quality Momentum Stock Trading Below Its Peak | Actionable | ||
| Rambus vs Diamondback Energy: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does Rambus Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | |||
| Better Bet Than RMBS Stock: Pay Less Than Rambus To Get More From CALM, ADMA | |||
| RMBS Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Things To Be Wary Of When Buying Rambus Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| Rambus Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -22.5% in 2024 and 21.6% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | |||
| Rambus (RMBS) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Rambus Stock To $111? | November 19th, 2025 | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | October 28th, 2025 | ||
| Strong and Rising: Rambus Stock May Have More Upside | October 17th, 2025 | ||
| Better Bet Than Analog Devices Stock: Pay Less To Get More From RMBS, FSLR | August 8th, 2025 | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | July 31st, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RMBS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | RMBS | Rambus | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 9.4% | 9.4% | -2.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | RMBS | Rambus | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 9.4% | 9.4% | -2.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Rambus
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 183.59 |
| Mkt Cap | 75.5 |
| Rev LTM | 5,908 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,438 |
| FCF LTM | 1,186 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 976 |
| CFO LTM | 2,241 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,278 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 27.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 27.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 33.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 33.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 19.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 75.5 |
| P/S | 10.5 |
| P/EBIT | 28.1 |
| P/E | 35.8 |
| P/CFO | 26.2 |
| Total Yield | 2.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 15.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 21.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 37.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 30.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 116.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 13.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 16.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 21.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 18.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 49.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4292025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |