Rambus (RMBS)
Market Price (2/19/2026): $104.33 | Market Cap: $11.2 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Rambus (RMBS)
Market Price (2/19/2026): $104.33Market Cap: $11.2 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 36% | Key risksRMBS key risks include [1] its inherent patent and intellectual property challenges, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cybersecurity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 36% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cybersecurity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% |
| Key risksRMBS key risks include [1] its inherent patent and intellectual property challenges, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining Rambus (RMBS) stock movement since 10/31/2025:
1. Weaker-than-Expected Q1 2026 Revenue Guidance
Rambus's stock experienced a significant drop following its Q4 2025 earnings report on February 2, 2026, primarily due to the company's Q1 2026 revenue guidance falling below Street expectations. Management projected Q1 revenue between $171 million and $189 million, whereas the consensus estimate was around $190 million. This forward-looking guidance, despite Q4 results meeting or exceeding estimates, signaled a potential slowdown.
2. Supply Chain Disruptions Impacting Q1 2026 Product Revenue
The lower Q1 2026 guidance was specifically attributed to a "one-time back-end supply chain disruption." This issue was expected to negatively impact product revenue by a "low double-digit million-dollar impact" in what is typically a seasonally softer quarter for the company. The market reacted negatively to this operational challenge and its potential near-term effect on revenue, leading to analyst estimate cuts.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.5% change in RMBS stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 1.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 102.84 | 104.34 | 1.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 678 | 678 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 33.7% | 33.7% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 48.4 | 49.1 | 1.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 108 | 108 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1.5% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RMBS | 1.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 54.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | -6.3% | 60.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 41.1% change in RMBS stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 41.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 73.93 | 104.34 | 41.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 645 | 678 | 5.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 35.5% | 33.7% | -5.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 34.7 | 49.1 | 41.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 108 | 108 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 41.1% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RMBS | 41.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.9% | 56.9% |
| Sector (XLK) | 7.4% | 61.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 69.3% change in RMBS stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 31.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 61.62 | 104.34 | 69.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 518 | 678 | 31.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 34.0% | 33.7% | -0.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 37.5 | 49.1 | 30.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 107 | 108 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 69.3% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RMBS | 69.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.0% | 63.2% |
| Sector (XLK) | 22.7% | 70.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 157.8% change in RMBS stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 59.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 40.47 | 104.34 | 157.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 424 | 678 | 59.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 10.5 | 16.6 | 57.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 110 | 108 | 2.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 157.8% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RMBS | 157.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.1% | 59.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 111.5% | 67.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RMBS Return | 68% | 22% | 91% | -23% | 74% | 11% | 484% |
| Peers Return | 38% | -21% | 24% | -5% | 5% | 32% | 78% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RMBS Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 58% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 40% | 63% | 45% | 50% | 90% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RMBS Max Drawdown | 0% | -30% | -2% | -45% | -19% | -1% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -3% | -34% | -8% | -17% | -32% | 0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AMAT, TXN, ADI, DIOD, POWI. See RMBS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RMBS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 125 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -44.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 263 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -53.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 112.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 401 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -79.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 397.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4,746 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to AMAT, TXN, ADI, DIOD, POWI
In The Past
Rambus's stock fell -38.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2022. A -38.7% loss requires a 63.2% gain to breakeven.
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About Rambus (RMBS)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Rambus (RMBS):
- Like Arm Holdings, but specializing in high-speed memory and security intellectual property (IP) for chips.
- The Dolby Labs of chip performance and security.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Memory Interface Chips: These semiconductor devices enhance the performance and reliability of high-speed memory subsystems in data centers and AI applications.
- High-Speed SerDes PHYs: Rambus provides physical layer IP cores for high-bandwidth serial communication, enabling fast data transfer in data centers and networking equipment.
- Security IP Cores: These intellectual property cores offer hardware-based security solutions, including cryptographic engines and roots of trust, for various embedded and edge devices.
- Patent and Technology Licensing: Rambus licenses its extensive portfolio of patents and innovative technologies, primarily in high-speed memory and interconnects, to other semiconductor and electronics companies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Rambus (RMBS) primarily operates on a **business-to-business (B2B)** model, providing intellectual property (IP) and semiconductor products, particularly for memory and high-speed interfaces.
According to Rambus's public filings, including its 2023 10-K report, the company did not have any customers that accounted for 10% or more of its total revenue in 2023, 2022, or 2021. This indicates a diversified customer base, meaning no single customer is considered "major" from a revenue concentration perspective.
However, Rambus's technologies are critical components for various industry players. Its customers are generally companies within the following categories:
-
Leading Semiconductor Companies: These companies license Rambus's high-speed interface IP (such as SerDes and DDR controllers), security IP, and other foundational technologies for integration into their own System-on-Chips (SoCs), ASICs, processors, and specialized memory products. They also purchase Rambus's standalone memory interface chips, such as DDR5 Registering Clock Drivers (RCDs) and CXL memory controllers.
Examples of companies that operate in this space and could be customers (not necessarily major, but illustrative of the customer type) include:
- Intel (INTC)
- NVIDIA (NVDA)
- AMD (AMD)
- Micron Technology (MU)
- SK Hynix
- Samsung
- Broadcom (AVGO)
- Marvell Technology (MRVL)
-
Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and Original Design Manufacturers (ODMs): These companies integrate Rambus's memory interface chips and other components into their final products, such as enterprise servers, data center infrastructure, networking hardware, and advanced AI/ML systems.
Examples of companies that operate in this space and could be customers include:
- Dell Technologies (DELL)
- HP Inc. (HPQ)
- Super Micro Computer (SMCI)
-
Cloud Service Providers and Hyperscalers: While often indirect, these companies drive significant demand for the advanced memory and high-speed interface solutions that Rambus provides to the broader semiconductor and OEM ecosystem. Their large-scale data center infrastructure directly benefits from the performance, bandwidth, and security improvements enabled by Rambus's technologies.
Examples of companies in this category (driving demand through their supply chain) include:
- Amazon Web Services (AWS, part of AMZN)
- Microsoft Azure (part of MSFT)
- Google Cloud (part of GOOGL)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Cadence Design Systems (CDNS)
- Synopsys (SNPS)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Luc Seraphin, President & CEOMr. Seraphin has over 30 years of experience managing global businesses. Prior to his current role, he served as senior vice president and general manager of the Memory and Interface Division, and as senior vice president of Worldwide Sales and Operations at Rambus. Before joining Rambus, he was the general manager of a GPS startup company in Switzerland, and vice president of Worldwide Sales and Support at Sequans Communications. He also held various senior positions over 18 years at Agere Systems (now Broadcom Inc.), including executive vice president and general manager of the Wireless Business Unit, and started his career at NEC and AT&T Bell Labs/Lucent Technologies.
Desmond Lynch, SVP & CFOMr. Lynch joined Rambus in 2020 and has served as Chief Financial Officer since August 2022. In this role, he is responsible for the global finance organization. Prior to becoming CFO, he was the Vice President of Finance for Rambus. Before joining Rambus, Mr. Lynch served as Vice President of Finance at Renesas Electronics, where he was head of U.S. finance for the global semiconductor company.
Sean Fan, EVP & COOMr. Fan is the Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer for Rambus, focusing on transforming and growing the company's business and R&D functions. Before joining Rambus, he served as a corporate vice president and general manager at Renesas Electronics, overseeing the datacenter business unit. Prior to Renesas, Mr. Fan held various senior executive positions at Integrated Device Technology Inc. (IDT) for two decades, where he was involved in corporate strategy, mergers and acquisitions, and restructuring, before its acquisition by Renesas in March 2019.
John Shinn, SVP & General CounselMr. Shinn is Rambus' Senior Vice President and General Counsel. He joined Rambus in October 2016 and assumed the General Counsel role in 2021. Before Rambus, Mr. Shinn held senior legal executive roles at both private and public companies in Silicon Valley, including Vice President and General Counsel at Toptal, LLC, and Vice President of Legal at Tanium, Inc. He also served as Sr. Director of Legal, Commercial Transactions at Brocade Communication Systems, Inc. Mr. Shinn has also worked in private practice with Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati, advising high-tech and emerging growth companies on technology transactions and mergers and acquisitions.
Shyam Ramachandran, SVP & CIOMr. Ramachandran is the Senior Vice President and Chief Information Officer (CIO) of Rambus, responsible for infrastructure, enterprise systems, information security, data management, and IT engineering services. With over 25 years of experience, he previously held Executive Technology Leadership roles at Onto Innovation, Nanometrics, Qualcomm (IoT BU), and Mettler Toledo. He is also an active startup advisor at FalconX, a Silicon Valley Accelerator for early-stage B2B startups.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Rambus (RMBS) business include its inherent patent and intellectual property challenges, a high valuation that may limit future upside, and a reliance on a concentrated customer base.
- Patent and Intellectual Property (IP) Risk: As a semiconductor solutions provider with a strong focus on Silicon intellectual property, Rambus's business model is inherently tied to its patents. The company faces ongoing risks related to patent litigation, the need to defend its intellectual property, potential challenges to its patents, and the expiration of existing patents.
- High Valuation: Rambus is currently trading with high valuation metrics, including a P/E ratio of 47.6, a P/S ratio of 16.95, and a P/B ratio of 8.84, all of which are near historical highs. This elevated valuation suggests that the company may be overvalued and that much of the potential for future growth could already be factored into the current stock price, potentially limiting upside for investors.
- Customer Concentration Risk: Rambus's business operations carry the risk of depending too heavily on a limited number of large customers. This concentration risk means that the loss of, or a significant reduction in business from, any one of these major customers could have a material adverse effect on the company's revenues and financial performance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat for Rambus (RMBS) is the increasing trend of major technology companies and hyperscalers developing custom silicon and intellectual property (IP) in-house. Companies like Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and Apple are investing heavily in designing their own specialized processors, AI accelerators, and data center chips. This involves significant in-house development of critical IP blocks, including high-speed memory controllers, SerDes (serializer/deserializer) interfaces, and security solutions, which are core areas of Rambus's licensing and product business. This insourcing trend reduces the reliance of these major players on third-party IP vendors, potentially limiting the market for Rambus's licensing agreements and product sales in the long term.AI Analysis | Feedback
Rambus (RMBS) primarily addresses significant global markets related to data centers, memory interface chips, and semiconductor intellectual property (IP).
- The global data center equipment market, which represents Rambus's largest market, is projected to grow from $242.74 billion in 2024 to $669.29 billion by 2031. This growth is driven significantly by the development of AI, which is a key focus for Rambus.
- For DDR5 IP, the global market is projected to expand from $1.84 billion in 2024 to $5.76 billion by 2032, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.3%. Rambus holds a leading position in this market, with approximately 40% market share in DDR5 RCDs in 2024 and a long-term target of 40% to 50%.
- New products, such as DDR5 companion chips, are expected to target a $600 million global market, with Rambus aiming for a 20% share in 2025 and beyond.
- Rambus's entry into the consumer market expands its addressable market by approximately $100 million globally.
- The company is also strategically focused on AI infrastructure, driving demand for solutions supporting HBM4 and PCIe 7 controller cores.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Rambus (RMBS) over the next 2-3 years:
- Continued Leadership and Expansion in DDR5 Memory Interface Chips: Rambus anticipates sustained revenue growth from its DDR5 RCD (Register Clock Driver) products due to continued market leadership and ongoing market share gains. The increasing demand from data centers and AI infrastructure is driving higher sales of these core products. Furthermore, new advancements like DDR5 MRDIMM (Multi-Ranked Buffered DIMM) chipsets, offering four times the content per module compared to RDIMMs, are expected to provide significant growth starting in 2026.
- Ramping Contributions from New Products for AI and Data Centers: Rambus is strategically focused on advancing system memory bandwidth and capacity through innovative memory, connectivity, and power management solutions. The company expects increasing contributions from its suite of new products, including companion chips, HBM4 (High Bandwidth Memory), GDDR7, and PCIe 7.0 solutions. These new offerings are specifically designed to serve the high-performance memory subsystems required by the burgeoning data center and AI markets, with initial production shipments underway.
- Surging Demand in AI and Data Center Infrastructure: The exponential growth in artificial intelligence and data center deployments is a fundamental catalyst for Rambus's revenue. This trend is fueling the need for high-speed memory interconnects and robust security IP solutions, directly benefiting Rambus's core product offerings. Analysts and company management consistently highlight this macro trend as a primary driver for multi-year growth across Rambus's memory-focused products.
- Emergence of CXL (Compute Express Link) Memory Interconnect Solutions: Rambus is investing in the CXL ecosystem, developing semiconductor solutions for advanced data center architectures that aim to maximize performance, improve efficiency, and reduce system cost through memory expansion and pooling. While significant revenue contributions from CXL buffers are anticipated to ramp up from 2026 onwards, this technology represents a substantial expansion of Rambus's addressable market as data centers transition to disaggregated architectures.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Share Repurchases
- Rambus has been executing an open-ended share buyback program since 2020.
- As of Q2 2025, Rambus had repurchased over 14.43 million shares for a total of approximately $462.67 million under the buyback plan launched in 2020.
- The company initiated an accelerated share repurchase program of approximately $50 million in November 2020 and another for approximately $100 million in June 2021.
- Share Issuance
- Rambus's shares outstanding as of September 30, 2025, were 0.109 billion, reflecting a 0.77% increase year-over-year.
- As of June 30, 2025, 107,593,820 shares were outstanding.
- The company issued 91,827 shares under its 2015 Employee Stock Purchase Plan as of June 30, 2025, and reserved approximately 0.2 million shares for potential future issuance related to performance unit awards in Q2 2025.
- Outbound Investments
- In August 2021, Rambus acquired PLDA, an industry leader in Compute Express Link (CXL) and PCI Express (PCIe) digital solutions, expanding its digital controller offerings.
- Rambus acquired AnalogX in July 2021, a provider of low power multi-standard connectivity SerDes IP solutions, bolstering its portfolio with PCIe 5.0 and 32G Multi-protocol SerDes IP.
- In May 2022, Rambus completed the acquisition of Hardent, Inc., an SoC digital design firm, to enhance its CXL Memory Interconnect Initiative.
- Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $11.7 million in Q1 2025, $10.4 million in Q2 2025, and $8.4 million in Q3 2025.
- These investments contribute to Rambus's long-term growth strategy by enhancing its product portfolio and expanding its market presence.
- The primary focus of these capital expenditures is on advancing DDR5 and HBM4 technologies and targeting AI-driven data center opportunities.
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 163.83 |
| Mkt Cap | 90.6 |
| Rev LTM | 6,251 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,625 |
| FCF LTM | 1,448 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,018 |
| CFO LTM | 2,566 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,370 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 28.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 27.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 34.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 19.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 90.6 |
| P/S | 10.9 |
| P/EBIT | 39.0 |
| P/E | 48.2 |
| P/CFO | 31.8 |
| Total Yield | 2.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 14.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 48.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 35.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 37.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 64.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 15.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 42.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 26.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 32.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $104.34 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 11.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/14/1997 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -17.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $102.40 | $84.32 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 1.9% | 23.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 72.0% | 68.8% |
| Downside Capture | 296.44 | 237.00 |
| Upside Capture | 322.82 | 252.33 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 49.4% | 63.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.58 | 2.74 | 3.03 | 3.55 | 2.20 | 2.29 |
| Up Beta | 10.62 | 7.06 | 3.63 | 4.11 | 2.12 | 2.20 |
| Down Beta | -0.10 | 2.55 | 3.89 | 3.47 | 2.20 | 2.17 |
| Up Capture | 296% | 313% | 314% | 607% | 606% | 4141% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 22 | 32 | 68 | 131 | 382 |
| Down Capture | -199% | 108% | 208% | 246% | 147% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 19 | 29 | 57 | 119 | 366 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RMBS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMBS | 69.2% | 69.3% | 1.04 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 18.1% | 27.5% | 0.58 | 70.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.6% | 19.4% | 0.53 | 63.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 73.5% | 25.5% | 2.13 | 8.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.9% | 17.0% | 0.28 | 29.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.1% | 16.7% | 0.24 | 34.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -31.1% | 44.9% | -0.69 | 37.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RMBS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMBS | 39.6% | 51.2% | 0.84 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 16.5% | 24.8% | 0.60 | 65.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.0% | 0.63 | 58.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.7% | 17.1% | 1.04 | 9.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.8% | 19.0% | 0.45 | 13.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.9% | 18.8% | 0.17 | 29.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.4% | 57.2% | 0.37 | 25.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RMBS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMBS | 24.6% | 43.7% | 0.66 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 23.3% | 24.2% | 0.88 | 63.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.9% | 17.9% | 0.76 | 58.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.0% | 15.6% | 0.80 | 7.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 18.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.9% | 20.7% | 0.30 | 34.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.0% | 66.7% | 1.07 | 18.4% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/2/2026 | -13.4% | -2.5% | |
| 10/27/2025 | -8.7% | -6.9% | -18.6% |
| 7/28/2025 | 13.9% | 17.9% | 16.8% |
| 4/28/2025 | -5.6% | -2.9% | 3.8% |
| 2/3/2025 | 6.8% | 11.3% | -10.6% |
| 10/28/2024 | 13.8% | 8.3% | 29.0% |
| 7/29/2024 | -13.0% | -26.0% | -19.3% |
| 4/29/2024 | -9.4% | -5.8% | -9.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 14 | 15 |
| # Negative | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 5.9% | 7.7% | 14.2% |
| Median Negative | -9.0% | -5.7% | -10.5% |
| Max Positive | 13.9% | 21.3% | 41.3% |
| Max Negative | -19.2% | -26.0% | -19.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 10/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/23/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/28/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stang, Eric B | See Footnote | Sell | 11122025 | 102.35 | 5,000 | 511,760 | 2,496,775 | Form | |
| 2 | Stang, Eric B | See Footnote | Sell | 11122025 | 111.78 | 4,000 | 447,140 | 2,279,743 | Form | |
| 3 | Lynch, Desmond | SVP, CFO | Direct | Sell | 10062025 | 101.50 | 9,074 | 920,973 | 5,618,400 | Form |
| 4 | Rao, Meera | Direct | Sell | 10022025 | 101.99 | 653 | 66,599 | 2,984,329 | Form | |
| 5 | Lynch, Desmond | SVP, CFO | Direct | Sell | 9162025 | 91.70 | 9,074 | 832,099 | 5,908,321 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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