Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR)
Market Price (11/15/2025): $916.59 | Market Cap: $43.9 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR)
Market Price (11/15/2025): $916.59Market Cap: $43.9 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 64x | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, EV Manufacturing, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, EV Manufacturing, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 64x |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
MPWR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between July 31, 2025, and November 15, 2025, Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) experienced a 29.6% increase in its stock value, driven by several key factors:
1. Strong Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Optimistic Guidance: On July 31, 2025, Monolithic Power Systems reported robust second-quarter 2025 results, with revenue surging 31% year-over-year to $664.6 million, exceeding analyst expectations. The company also provided an upbeat third-quarter revenue forecast of $710 million to $730 million, which surpassed analysts' predictions, signaling continued strong demand and prompting a 12.2% jump in the stock on August 1, 2025.
2. Record-Setting Third Quarter 2025 Revenue and Exceeding Estimates: On October 30, 2025, MPWR announced record third-quarter revenue of $737.2 million, an 18.9% increase year-over-year and 10.9% sequentially, which beat analyst estimates. Adjusted earnings per share of $4.73 also surpassed expectations, and the company issued strong fourth-quarter revenue guidance between $730 million and $750 million, further demonstrating robust financial performance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MPWR Return | 107% | 35% | -28% | 80% | -6% | 57% | 442% |
| Peers Return | 39% | 38% | 4% | 17% | -5% | -1% | 120% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 109% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MPWR Win Rate | 83% | 58% | 42% | 67% | 50% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 65% | 42% | 60% | 47% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MPWR Max Drawdown | -24% | -18% | -37% | -2% | -11% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -42% | -7% | -29% | -10% | -19% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TXN, ADI, FSLR, ON, DIOD. See MPWR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MPWR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -46.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 86.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 272 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 38 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 170 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -72.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 260.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1706 days | 1480 days |
Compare to TXN, ADI, FSLR, ON, DIOD
In The Past
Monolithic Power Systems's stock fell -46.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -46.3% loss requires a 86.3% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MPWR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.7% | -10.7% | -10.7% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| 10032025 | MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.1% | 0.1% | -1.6% |
| 03312025 | MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 53.2% | 59.3% | -21.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.7% | -10.7% | -10.7% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| 10032025 | MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.1% | 0.1% | -1.6% |
| 03312025 | MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 53.2% | 59.3% | -21.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Monolithic Power Systems
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 197.11 |
| Mkt Cap | 35.6 |
| Rev LTM | 5,371 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,242 |
| FCF LTM | 1,004 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 866 |
| CFO LTM | 1,367 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,448 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 31.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 31.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 35.6 |
| P/S | 7.3 |
| P/EBIT | 28.4 |
| P/E | 30.5 |
| P/CFO | 24.4 |
| Total Yield | 3.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -3.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 24.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -11.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -19.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -43.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | -7.6% | -11.9% | |
| 7/31/2025 | 10.5% | 12.2% | 17.5% |
| 5/1/2025 | 5.9% | 6.4% | 11.1% |
| 2/6/2025 | 9.0% | 5.9% | -12.0% |
| 10/30/2024 | -17.5% | -14.6% | -38.3% |
| 8/1/2024 | 1.4% | 7.5% | 19.1% |
| 5/1/2024 | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.7% |
| 2/7/2024 | 14.2% | 15.5% | 13.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 17 | 17 | 17 |
| # Negative | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 6.6% | 11.4% | 8.9% |
| Median Negative | -4.4% | -4.1% | -11.6% |
| Max Positive | 14.2% | 22.2% | 36.7% |
| Max Negative | -17.5% | -14.6% | -38.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |