Dave (DAVE)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $210.15 | Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Dave (DAVE)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $210.15Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%, FCF Yield is 9.9% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 146% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 60% | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 34% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%, FCF Yield is 9.9% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 60% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 34% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 146% |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Dave (DAVE) stock has lost about 5% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Financial Performance Exceeding Expectations.
Dave reported robust fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results that surpassed analyst expectations. For Q4 2025, revenue increased 62% year-over-year to $163.7 million, exceeding consensus estimates, and net income grew 292% to $66.0 million. The company's full-year 2025 revenue reached $554.2 million, up 60% year-over-year, significantly outperforming its original guidance. This solid financial performance likely provided a floor for the stock price, preventing a significant decline.
2. Positive 2026 Outlook and Continued Growth Strategy.
The company provided an optimistic outlook for 2026, projecting revenue between $690 million and $710 million, representing 25% to 28% year-over-year growth, and adjusted EBITDA of $290 million to $305 million. This guidance is underpinned by an expected mid-teens growth in monthly transacting members and low double-digit average revenue per user (ARPU) expansion, driven by the continued effectiveness of its AI-driven CashAI underwriting system. This positive forward-looking sentiment helped maintain investor confidence and supported the stock's valuation.
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1. Strong Financial Performance Exceeding Expectations.
Dave reported robust fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results that surpassed analyst expectations. For Q4 2025, revenue increased 62% year-over-year to $163.7 million, exceeding consensus estimates, and net income grew 292% to $66.0 million. The company's full-year 2025 revenue reached $554.2 million, up 60% year-over-year, significantly outperforming its original guidance. This solid financial performance likely provided a floor for the stock price, preventing a significant decline.
2. Positive 2026 Outlook and Continued Growth Strategy.
The company provided an optimistic outlook for 2026, projecting revenue between $690 million and $710 million, representing 25% to 28% year-over-year growth, and adjusted EBITDA of $290 million to $305 million. This guidance is underpinned by an expected mid-teens growth in monthly transacting members and low double-digit average revenue per user (ARPU) expansion, driven by the continued effectiveness of its AI-driven CashAI underwriting system. This positive forward-looking sentiment helped maintain investor confidence and supported the stock's valuation.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -2.9% change in DAVE stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -26.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 218.26 | 212.02 | -2.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 491 | 554 | 12.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 29.9% | 35.3% | 18.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.0 | 14.6 | -26.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 14 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -2.9% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DAVE | -2.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.1% | 45.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | -4.4% | 44.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -0.6% change in DAVE stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -71.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 213.22 | 212.02 | -0.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 433 | 554 | 28.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.7% | 35.3% | 177.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 51.7 | 14.6 | -71.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 14 | -1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -0.6% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DAVE | -0.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | 52.1% |
| Sector (XLK) | 4.4% | 46.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 110.6% change in DAVE stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 173.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 100.66 | 212.02 | 110.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 319 | 554 | 73.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.9% | 35.3% | 173.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 30.8 | 14.6 | -52.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 14 | -6.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 110.6% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DAVE | 110.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.4% | 47.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 21.9% | 47.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 2421.0% change in DAVE stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 878.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.41 | 212.02 | 2421.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 186 | 554 | 197.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 5.2 | 878.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 12 | 14 | -13.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 2421.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DAVE | 2421.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 73.4% | 32.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 104.5% | 28.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DAVE Return | 5% | -97% | -10% | 937% | 155% | 1% | -29% |
| Peers Return | 108% | -79% | 183% | 54% | 10% | -26% | 54% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DAVE Win Rate | 78% | 33% | 33% | 75% | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 46% | 23% | 52% | 46% | 52% | 33% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DAVE Max Drawdown | -1% | -97% | -51% | -1% | -19% | -30% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -80% | -15% | -37% | -45% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CHYM, SOFI, AFRM, UPST, LC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DAVE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -99.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 9968.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to CHYM, SOFI, AFRM, UPST, LC
In The Past
Dave's stock fell -99.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/1/2022. A -99.0% loss requires a 9968.2% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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About Dave (DAVE)
Dave Inc. provides a suite of financial products and services through its financial service online platform. The company offers Insights, a personal financial management tool to manage income and expenses between paychecks for members; ExtraCash, a free overdraft and short-term credit alternative, which allows members to advance funds to their account and avoid a fee; and Side Hustle, a job application portal. It also provides Dave Banking, a digital checking and demand deposit account. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in West Hollywood, California.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Dave (DAVE):1. Chime for managing cash flow and avoiding overdrafts.
2. Like Chime, but with tools to help you find extra income.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Insights: A personal financial management tool for tracking income and expenses.
- ExtraCash: A free overdraft and short-term credit alternative for advancing funds.
- Side Hustle: A job application portal.
- Dave Banking: A digital checking and demand deposit account.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Customer Categories for Dave Inc. (DAVE)
Dave Inc. primarily sells its financial products and services directly to individuals. Based on the services it offers, its customer base can be categorized as follows:- Individuals seeking short-term liquidity and overdraft protection: This category includes members who utilize the "ExtraCash" feature to receive cash advances and avoid traditional bank overdraft fees, often reflecting a need for managing unexpected expenses or bridging gaps between paychecks.
- Individuals focused on personal financial management and budgeting: These customers use the "Insights" tool to track their income and expenses, manage their money more effectively between paychecks, and gain better control over their financial health.
- Individuals looking for supplementary income or employment opportunities: This segment consists of members who leverage the "Side Hustle" portal to find part-time jobs, gig work, or new employment to augment their income.
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- Evolve Bank & Trust
- Galileo Financial Technologies, LLC (SoFi Technologies Inc. (SOFI))
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- Traditional financial institutions (banks) increasingly offering their own low-to-no-fee short-term cash advance products or overdraft alternatives. Many major banks are already piloting or rolling out such features, directly competing with Dave's core ExtraCash offering and potentially leveraging their existing customer base and trust.
- The widespread adoption of employer-sponsored Earned Wage Access (EWA) solutions as a free employee benefit. If employers offer direct, free access to earned wages before payday, it provides a highly convenient and integrated alternative to third-party cash advance apps like Dave, potentially diminishing the need for ExtraCash.
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Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to DAVE.
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| 02282026 | BMI | Badger Meter | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02282026 | VRNS | Varonis Systems | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | ITRI | Itron | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | FSLR | First Solar | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | PEGA | Pegasystems | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 23.48 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| Rev LTM | 1,605 |
| Op Inc LTM | 187 |
| FCF LTM | -71 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -38 |
| CFO LTM | -47 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -24 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 35.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 32.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 30.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -6.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -2.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -7.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -4.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| P/S | 3.9 |
| P/EBIT | 16.4 |
| P/E | 29.9 |
| P/CFO | 4.6 |
| Total Yield | 2.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -1.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -30.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -25.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 10.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 162.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -12.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -30.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -27.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 45.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 347 | 259 | ||
| ATM revenue, net | 3 | |||
| Interchange revenue, net | 11 | |||
| Other | 3 | |||
| Processing fees, net | 107 | |||
| Subscriptions | 19 | |||
| Tips | 62 | |||
| Total | 347 | 259 | 205 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 58 | -49 | ||
| Total | 58 | -49 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 255 | |||
| Total | 255 |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $212.02 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/26/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -24.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $194.36 | $210.43 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 9.1% | 0.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 72.1% | 85.6% |
| Downside Capture | 225.20 | 228.83 |
| Upside Capture | 315.78 | 284.78 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 45.2% | 46.7% |
DAVE Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.14 | 3.39 | 3.44 | 3.38 | 2.16 | 2.07 |
| Up Beta | 8.06 | 8.40 | 7.36 | 4.67 | 1.90 | 2.14 |
| Down Beta | -0.67 | 0.77 | 0.81 | 2.63 | 1.87 | 1.75 |
| Up Capture | 639% | 275% | 379% | 435% | 857% | 7603% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 33 | 63 | 137 | 394 |
| Down Capture | 291% | 335% | 327% | 261% | 155% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 19 | 28 | 61 | 113 | 352 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DAVE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAVE | 138.6% | 85.7% | 1.38 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 30.0% | 26.8% | 0.95 | 46.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.6% | 18.9% | 0.81 | 47.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 71.9% | 26.3% | 2.05 | -7.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.3% | 17.3% | 0.89 | 12.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.2% | 16.3% | 0.19 | 26.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -15.3% | 44.2% | -0.25 | 34.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DAVE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAVE | -9.0% | 99.4% | 0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 17.7% | 24.7% | 0.64 | 29.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.0% | 0.61 | 31.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 17.3% | 1.14 | -1.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 2.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 21.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.3% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 14.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DAVE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAVE | -4.6% | 99.4% | 0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 21.8% | 24.2% | 0.82 | 29.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 31.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.77 | -1.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 2.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 21.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 14.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/2/2026 | 4.9% | 11.3% | |
| 11/4/2025 | -2.3% | 2.9% | -12.5% |
| 8/6/2025 | -17.9% | -22.7% | -18.1% |
| 3/3/2025 | -4.9% | -13.8% | -11.0% |
| 11/5/2024 | 21.8% | 66.8% | 134.9% |
| 8/6/2024 | 2.1% | 0.1% | 20.5% |
| 3/5/2024 | 64.4% | 53.7% | 71.2% |
| 11/7/2023 | 2.9% | 1.9% | 15.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| # Negative | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 4.9% | 4.9% | 18.1% |
| Median Negative | -7.4% | -14.3% | -21.8% |
| Max Positive | 64.4% | 66.8% | 134.9% |
| Max Negative | -17.9% | -38.5% | -52.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/02/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/04/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/05/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/13/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/22/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/13/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khan, Imran | Proem Special Situations Fund I, LP | Sell | 12192025 | 204.00 | 1,146 | Form | |||
| 2 | Khan, Imran | Proem Investments Master Fund LP | Sell | 12192025 | 199.34 | 16,645 | 3,318,064 | 427,391 | Form | |
| 3 | Khan, Imran | Proem Special Situations Fund I, LP | Sell | 12192025 | 199.33 | 16,625 | 3,313,859 | 420,586 | Form | |
| 4 | Khan, Imran | Proem Investments Master Fund LP | Sell | 12192025 | 201.64 | 2,144 | Form | |||
| 5 | Khan, Imran | Proem Special Situations Fund I, LP | Sell | 12192025 | 198.77 | 964 | 191,613 | 227,789 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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