Dave (DAVE)
Market Price (5/11/2026): $253.0 | Market Cap: $3.4 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Specialized Finance
Dave (DAVE)
Market Price (5/11/2026): $253.0Market Cap: $3.4 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Specialized Finance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, FCF Yield is 9.3% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | Key risksDAVE key risks include [1] existential regulatory and legal challenges to its core ExtraCash product, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, FCF Yield is 9.3% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Key risksDAVE key risks include [1] existential regulatory and legal challenges to its core ExtraCash product, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Exceptional Financial Performance and Optimistic Guidance. Dave reported robust financial results for both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026. For Q4 2025, the company announced a 62% year-over-year revenue increase to $163.7 million, alongside a 118% rise in Adjusted EBITDA to $72.9 million, exceeding analyst estimates. This momentum continued into Q1 2026, where revenue grew 47% year-over-year to $158.4 million, surpassing analyst expectations of approximately $153.67 million, and net income increased 101% to $57.9 million. Following these strong results, Dave raised its full-year 2026 guidance, projecting EPS of $16.25–$16.75 and revenue of $710–$720 million, signaling continued confidence in its growth trajectory.
2. Substantial Share Repurchase Authorization. On March 2, 2026, Dave's Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $300 million, a significant increase from its prior $125 million authorization. This program allows the company to buy back approximately 11.2% of its outstanding shares, indicating management's belief that the stock is undervalued and demonstrating a commitment to enhancing shareholder value.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 56.6% change in DAVE stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 24.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 163.69 | 256.33 | 56.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 491 | 605 | 23.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 29.9% | 37.2% | 24.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.0 | 15.3 | 2.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | 0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 56.6% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DAVE | 56.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 44.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | -3.6% | 43.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 7.1% change in DAVE stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 192.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 239.32 | 256.33 | 7.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 433 | 605 | 39.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.7% | 37.2% | 192.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 58.0 | 15.3 | -73.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 7.1% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DAVE | 7.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 51.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | -1.3% | 48.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 170.3% change in DAVE stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 123.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 94.82 | 256.33 | 170.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 347 | 605 | 74.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 16.7% | 37.2% | 123.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 21.0 | 15.3 | -27.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | -4.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 170.3% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DAVE | 170.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 39.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.7% | 41.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 4477.3% change in DAVE stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 1238.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.60 | 256.33 | 4477.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 153 | 605 | 295.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 5.7 | 1238.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 12 | 13 | -13.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4477.3% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DAVE | 4477.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 33.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 62.1% | 33.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DAVE Return | 5% | -97% | -10% | 937% | 155% | 13% | -21% |
| Peers Return | 108% | -79% | 183% | 54% | 10% | -24% | 59% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 95% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DAVE Win Rate | 78% | 33% | 33% | 75% | 58% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 46% | 23% | 52% | 46% | 52% | 28% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DAVE Max Drawdown | -1% | -97% | -51% | -1% | -19% | -30% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -80% | -15% | -37% | -45% | -38% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CHYM, SOFI, AFRM, UPST, LC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DAVE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.4% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -12.0% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.6% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4 days | 18 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -46.9% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 215 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -96.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2630.3% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 976 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Dave's stock fell -37.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 59.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | DAVE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.4% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -46.9% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 215 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -96.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2630.3% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 976 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Dave's stock fell -37.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 59.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Dave (DAVE)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Dave (DAVE):1. Chime for managing cash flow and avoiding overdrafts.
2. Like Chime, but with tools to help you find extra income.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Insights: A personal financial management tool for tracking income and expenses.
- ExtraCash: A free overdraft and short-term credit alternative for advancing funds.
- Side Hustle: A job application portal.
- Dave Banking: A digital checking and demand deposit account.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Customer Categories for Dave Inc. (DAVE)
Dave Inc. primarily sells its financial products and services directly to individuals. Based on the services it offers, its customer base can be categorized as follows:- Individuals seeking short-term liquidity and overdraft protection: This category includes members who utilize the "ExtraCash" feature to receive cash advances and avoid traditional bank overdraft fees, often reflecting a need for managing unexpected expenses or bridging gaps between paychecks.
- Individuals focused on personal financial management and budgeting: These customers use the "Insights" tool to track their income and expenses, manage their money more effectively between paychecks, and gain better control over their financial health.
- Individuals looking for supplementary income or employment opportunities: This segment consists of members who leverage the "Side Hustle" portal to find part-time jobs, gig work, or new employment to augment their income.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Evolve Bank & Trust
- Galileo Financial Technologies, LLC (SoFi Technologies Inc. (SOFI))
AI Analysis | Feedback
Jason Wilk, Chief Executive Officer, President, and Co-Founder
Jason Wilk co-founded Dave in May 2016 and has over 15 years of experience building digital companies. He previously founded 1DaySports.com, a golf equipment retail website, which was acquired in 2008. Wilk also founded AllScreen.TV, a video distribution network that was sold for $85 million in 2015. He also co-founded WriteyBoard in 2010 and continues to act as an advisor.
Kyle Beilman, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer
Kyle Beilman joined Dave in 2017 as one of its first employees, playing a key role in the company going public in January 2022. He oversees strategic finance, corporate development, accounting, business operations, member success, and investor relations. Prior to Dave, he worked in investment banking and corporate strategy at Red Bull.
Parker Barrile, Chief Product Officer
Parker Barrile joined Dave in November 2025, overseeing product strategy, development, and execution. Before this, he was a Partner at Norwest Venture Partners, where he led Dave's Series B funding round and served as a board member. His earlier career includes serving as Chief Product Officer at Prosper and Vice President of Product at LinkedIn, where he led a product organization during a period of significant revenue growth.
Joan Aristei, Chief Legal Officer
Joan Aristei was named Chief Legal Officer of Dave, effective September 25, 2023. She has over three decades of experience in fintech and financial services. Prior to Dave, she was General Counsel and Chief Risk Officer at Oportun for over nine years, where she led legal affairs, compliance initiatives, risk management, and regulatory support, including Oportun's successful IPO in 2019. She also held roles at Citigroup Private Bank and JP Morgan Chase Auto and Student Lending division.
Paras Chitrakar, Co-Founder and Chief Technology Officer
Paras Chitrakar is a co-founder of Dave and serves as Chief Technology Officer, overseeing the company's technological direction and infrastructure. He previously co-founded and served as CTO of AllScreen and ResumeBucket.com, and worked as a Software Developer at Oversee.net.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Dave Inc.'s business are primarily regulatory scrutiny, its reliance on key banking partners, and inherent credit risk associated with its primary product.
- Regulatory Scrutiny and Legal Challenges: Dave Inc. faces significant regulatory and legal risks, primarily concerning its ExtraCash product. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and Department of Justice (DOJ) filed complaints in late 2024, alleging deceptive advertising regarding cash advance amounts, undisclosed fees, and misleading practices concerning "tips" charged to consumers. These "tips" and express fees are a substantial component of Dave's revenue. Additionally, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) has proposed interpretive rules that could classify earned wage access (EWA) products like ExtraCash as consumer loans, subjecting them to disclosure requirements under the Truth in Lending Act (TILA). The City of Baltimore also initiated a lawsuit in late 2025 alleging deceptive marketing and excessive fees. These actions could necessitate fundamental changes to Dave's business model, lead to substantial compliance costs, financial penalties, and reputational damage, directly impacting its revenue and profitability.
- Reliance on Banking Partners: Dave's business model is highly dependent on partnerships with FDIC-insured banks for the origination of its ExtraCash advances and the issuance of Dave Debit Cards. Evolve Bank & Trust has been identified as a key banking partner facing regulatory distress, including a cease-and-desist order from federal and state regulators in June 2024 for deficient risk management and compliance, and potential liabilities related to the Synapse bankruptcy. Any disruption, termination, or increased scrutiny of these critical banking relationships could severely impede Dave's operations, limit its product offerings, and negatively impact its financial condition.
- Credit Risk and Macroeconomic Sensitivity: Dave provides unsecured cash advances through its ExtraCash product, primarily targeting "financially vulnerable" consumers who often live paycheck-to-paycheck. While the company utilizes an AI-driven underwriting system (CashAI) to manage risk, the nature of its customer base makes its loan portfolio inherently susceptible to macroeconomic fluctuations, such as rising interest rates, inflation, and unemployment. An increase in these unfavorable economic factors can lead to higher delinquency rates and increased credit losses, which could negatively affect Dave's financial performance. The average 28-day delinquency rate for ExtraCash originations has shown an upward trend.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Traditional financial institutions (banks) increasingly offering their own low-to-no-fee short-term cash advance products or overdraft alternatives. Many major banks are already piloting or rolling out such features, directly competing with Dave's core ExtraCash offering and potentially leveraging their existing customer base and trust.
- The widespread adoption of employer-sponsored Earned Wage Access (EWA) solutions as a free employee benefit. If employers offer direct, free access to earned wages before payday, it provides a highly convenient and integrated alternative to third-party cash advance apps like Dave, potentially diminishing the need for ExtraCash.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the addressable market sizes for Dave Inc.'s main products and services:
- Overall Addressable Market: Dave Inc. estimates its total addressable market in the U.S. to be approximately 185 million customers as of Q3 2025.
- Insights (Personal Financial Management): The personal finance software market in the U.S. was valued at USD 285 million (based on a five-year historical analysis) and is projected to reach USD 0.34 billion by 2026. The global Personal Finance Management market was estimated at USD 8.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 16 billion by 2031.
- ExtraCash (Overdraft and Short-Term Credit Alternative): Consumers in the U.S. paid over $5.8 billion in overdraft and non-sufficient funds (NSF) fees in 2023. In 2024, banks reported collecting $6.1 billion in overdraft revenue in the U.S. The alternative lending market in the United States is projected to reach US$62.78 billion by 2025 and approximately US$105.3 billion by 2029. The U.S. alternative financing market was valued at USD 70 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach around USD 72 billion in 2026.
- Side Hustle (Job Application Portal - Gig Economy): The global Gig Economy Platforms market size was US$ 451 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach US$ 1.18 trillion by 2032. The U.S. represents the world's largest Gig Economy Market, with more than 59 million American gig workers active in 2024. In the U.S. alone, approximately 59 million people participated in gig work in 2023.
- Dave Banking (Digital Checking and Demand Deposit Account): The U.S. digital banking market had approximately 130.4 million active users in 2024, a number estimated to reach around 150 million users by 2032. In terms of revenue, the U.S. market generated USD 1.839 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 3.859 billion by 2032. The global digital banking market is expected to reach USD 1.4 trillion by 2028, with North America gaining a substantial share.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Dave Inc. (DAVE) over the next 2-3 years:
- Growth in Monthly Transacting Members (MTMs) and Average Revenue Per User (ARPU): Dave's management has a baseline growth algorithm that anticipates mid-teens growth in Monthly Transacting Members (MTMs) and low double-digit growth in Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) for several years. This sustained growth in its user base and the revenue generated per user is a key driver for overall revenue expansion.
- Expansion and Improved Monetization of the ExtraCash Product: ExtraCash is highlighted as the primary revenue engine for Dave. Future revenue growth is expected to be driven by increasing the average origination size of ExtraCash advances and enhancing monetization rates. These improvements are largely attributed to advancements in the company's proprietary AI underwriting system, CashAI.
- Introduction of New Products and Services: Dave plans to launch new offerings that are expected to contribute to revenue growth. Specifically, the company is introducing the Flex Card, which aims to compete in the subprime credit card market, and a "pay in 4" product, which represents new short-term credit opportunities.
- Enhancements to AI-Driven Underwriting (CashAI): Continuous development and deployment of its CashAI underwriting system, including the current CashAI v5.5 and planned CashAI v6.0, are crucial for future revenue growth. These AI enhancements are designed to improve credit performance, leading to higher average advance amounts and reduced loss rates, which directly impact profitability and top-line growth.
- Strategic Transition to a Partner Bank Funding Structure: Dave is transitioning its ExtraCash receivables to an off-balance sheet structure with a partner bank, Coastal Community Bank. This strategic move is anticipated to unlock over $200 million in liquidity, providing capital that can be reinvested into growth initiatives and further product development, thereby fueling future revenue generation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- In March 2026, Dave Inc.'s Board of Directors approved a new $300 million Class A share repurchase authorization, which superseded a previous $125 million authorization.
- The $125 million authorization, approved in August 2025, had replaced an earlier $50 million authorization announced in March 2025.
- As of August 2025 year-to-date, Dave had deployed over $45 million in share repurchases and RSU net settlements to reduce its share count.
Share Issuance
- In March 2026, Dave Inc. closed a private offering of $200 million in 0% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031 to qualified institutional buyers, resulting in approximately $192.1 million in net proceeds.
- This convertible notes offering was an increase from a previously announced $175 million principal amount.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to DAVE.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04242026 | HOMB | Home BancShares | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | HBAN | Huntington Bancshares | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 7.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | NP | Neptune Insurance | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -4.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 23.69 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.2 |
| Rev LTM | 1,717 |
| Op Inc LTM | 211 |
| FCF LTM | -76 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -58 |
| CFO LTM | -51 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -44 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 36.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 32.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 37.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 8.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 227.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 194.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -8.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -1.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -9.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -3.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.2 |
| P/S | 4.1 |
| P/Op Inc | 16.3 |
| P/EBIT | 16.3 |
| P/E | 25.1 |
| P/CFO | 4.9 |
| Total Yield | 2.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -11.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 28.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 171.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -20.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 106.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 347 | 259 | ||
| ATM revenue, net | 3 | |||
| Interchange revenue, net | 11 | |||
| Other | 3 | |||
| Processing fees, net | 107 | |||
| Subscriptions | 19 | |||
| Tips | 62 | |||
| Total | 347 | 259 | 205 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 58 | -49 | ||
| Total | 58 | -49 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 255 | |||
| Total | 255 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $256.33 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/26/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -9.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $221.40 | $210.76 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | up |
| Distance from DMA | 15.8% | 21.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 68.0% | 73.6% |
| Downside Capture | 0.38 | 1.40 |
| Upside Capture | 214.79 | 246.08 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 39.0% | 42.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.14 | 1.61 | 2.20 | 2.78 | 2.69 | 2.07 |
| Up Beta | 2.50 | 2.69 | 3.40 | 3.46 | 3.04 | 2.19 |
| Down Beta | 3.61 | 1.86 | 0.88 | 1.65 | 2.41 | 1.76 |
| Up Capture | 356% | 219% | 365% | 457% | 767% | 10788% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 16 | 25 | 36 | 69 | 137 | 405 |
| Down Capture | -645% | -5% | 105% | 212% | 165% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 18 | 28 | 56 | 114 | 343 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DAVE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAVE | 130.2% | 84.7% | 1.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 5.2% | 14.6% | 0.13 | 41.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.0% | 12.5% | 1.83 | 39.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.8% | 27.0% | 1.22 | -8.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.6% | 18.0% | 2.21 | -2.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.0% | 13.5% | 0.66 | 15.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.4% | 42.1% | -0.34 | 30.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DAVE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAVE | -5.7% | 98.9% | 0.38 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.9% | 18.6% | 0.36 | 29.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 31.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 17.9% | 0.95 | -1.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.8% | 19.1% | 0.59 | 1.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 21.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.0% | 56.0% | 0.34 | 14.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DAVE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAVE | -2.8% | 98.7% | 0.38 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.6% | 22.2% | 0.52 | 29.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 31.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.69 | -1.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 17.8% | 0.44 | 1.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 21.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 14.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/2/2026 | 4.9% | 11.3% | -12.5% |
| 11/4/2025 | -2.3% | 2.9% | -12.5% |
| 8/6/2025 | -17.9% | -22.7% | -18.1% |
| 3/3/2025 | -4.9% | -13.8% | -11.0% |
| 11/5/2024 | 21.8% | 66.8% | 134.9% |
| 8/6/2024 | 2.1% | 0.1% | 20.5% |
| 3/5/2024 | 64.4% | 53.7% | 71.2% |
| 11/7/2023 | 2.9% | 1.9% | 15.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| # Negative | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 4.9% | 4.9% | 18.1% |
| Median Negative | -7.4% | -14.3% | -18.1% |
| Max Positive | 64.4% | 66.8% | 134.9% |
| Max Negative | -17.9% | -38.5% | -52.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/02/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/04/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/05/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/13/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/22/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 GAAP Operating Revenues, Net | 710.00 Mil | 715.00 Mil | 720.00 Mil | 2.1% | Raised | Guidance: 700.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Year-Over-Year Growth | 28.0% | 29.0% | 30.0% | 9.4% | 2.5% | Raised | Guidance: 26.5% for 2026 |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 305.00 Mil | 310.00 Mil | 315.00 Mil | 4.2% | Raised | Guidance: 297.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adj. Net Income per Diluted Share | 16.2 | 16.5 | 16.8 | 13.8% | Raised | Guidance: 14.5 for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/2/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 690.00 Mil | 700.00 Mil | 710.00 Mil | 28.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 545.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 25.0% | 26.5% | 28.0% | -53.9% | -31.0% | Lower New | Guidance: 57.5% for 2025 |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 290.00 Mil | 297.50 Mil | 305.00 Mil | 37.4% | Higher New | Guidance: 216.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 14 | 14.5 | 15 | ||||
| 2026 Share Repurchases | 300.00 Mil | ||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitchell, Andrea | Direct | Sell | 3062026 | 210.94 | 15,000 | 3,164,081 | 1,373,000 | Form | |
| 2 | Mitchell, Andrea | Direct | Sell | 3062026 | 215.12 | 15,000 | 3,226,819 | 4,627,044 | Form | |
| 3 | Pope, Michael W | Direct | Sell | 2042026 | 162.00 | 544 | 88,128 | 944,622 | Form | |
| 4 | Khan, Imran | Proem Special Situations Fund I, LP | Sell | 12192025 | 204.00 | 1,146 | Form | |||
| 5 | Khan, Imran | Proem Investments Master Fund LP | Sell | 12192025 | 201.64 | 2,144 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.