EchoStar (SATS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $73.96 | Market Cap: $21.3 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Wireless Telecommunication Services
EchoStar (SATS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $73.96Market Cap: $21.3 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Wireless Telecommunication Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Wireless Services, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -525 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.5% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 121% | |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 59x | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 357%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 202% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.1% | |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12% | |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 210% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -63% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 108% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Wireless Services, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -525 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.5% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 121% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 59x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 357%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 202% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.1% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 210% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -63% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 108% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SATS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Major Spectrum Asset Monetization and Resolution of Regulatory Review. EchoStar undertook significant spectrum transactions in Q3 2025, including a $22.65 billion sale to AT&T and a $19 billion sale to SpaceX. An amended agreement with SpaceX for an additional $2.6 billion, payable in SpaceX stock, for its unpaired AWS-3 spectrum licenses also occurred around this time. These transactions were crucial in resolving the FCC's review of the company's spectrum utilization.
2. Strong Stock Performance Enabling Convertible Note Conversion. EchoStar's 3.875% Convertible Senior Secured Notes due 2030 became convertible at the holders' option from October 1, 2025, through the end of the year. This convertibility was triggered because the company's common stock closed above 130% of the conversion price for at least 20 trading days during the 30-trading-day test period ending September 30, 2025, indicating a period of significant stock appreciation prior to and during the start of the specified timeframe.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SATS Return | -51% | 24% | -37% | -1% | 38% | 223% | 71% |
| Peers Return | 45% | 20% | 3% | 3% | 29% | 57% | 276% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SATS Win Rate | 17% | 50% | 33% | 42% | 58% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 72% | 52% | 48% | 57% | 60% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SATS Max Drawdown | -54% | -1% | -41% | -42% | -27% | -30% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -18% | -35% | -25% | -18% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LITE, ESE, PI, IRDM, TMUS. See SATS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SATS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -68.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 212.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 469 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -54.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 117.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1709 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2444 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -67.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 208.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1631 days | 1480 days |
Compare to LITE, ESE, PI, IRDM, TMUS
In The Past
EchoStar's stock fell -68.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/12/2021. A -68.0% loss requires a 212.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| How Low Can EchoStar Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| How Does EchoStar Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | |||
| Day 10 of Loss Streak for EchoStar Stock with -14% Return (vs. 23% YTD) [7/22/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 9 of Loss Streak for EchoStar Stock with -13% Return (vs. 24% YTD) [7/21/2025] | Notification | ||
| SATS Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| EchoStar Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 38.2% in 2024 and ...% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| EchoStar (SATS) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| EchoStar (SATS) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| EchoStar (SATS) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| EchoStar (SATS) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| SATS Dropped 10% In A Week. Have You Fully Evaluated The Risk? | September 18th, 2025 | ||
| What’s Behind EchoStar’s 200% Surge? | September 9th, 2025 | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | August 30th, 2025 | ||
| What’s Happening With EchoStar Stock? | August 27th, 2025 | ||
| Market Movers | Winners: SATS, UP, DOMO | Losers: AGL, TRNS, VTLE | August 26th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SATS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 10312023 | SATS | EchoStar | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.4% | 81.7% | -30.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 10312023 | SATS | EchoStar | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.4% | 81.7% | -30.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for EchoStar
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 182.67 |
| Mkt Cap | 13.2 |
| Rev LTM | 1,516 |
| Op Inc LTM | 87 |
| FCF LTM | 94 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 60 |
| CFO LTM | 288 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 250 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 13.2 |
| P/S | 3.6 |
| P/EBIT | 3.3 |
| P/E | 18.7 |
| P/CFO | 41.7 |
| Total Yield | 1.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 25.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 76.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -2.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 9.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |