EchoStar (SATS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $101.35 | Market Cap: $29.2 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Wireless Telecommunication Services
EchoStar (SATS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $101.35Market Cap: $29.2 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Wireless Telecommunication Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Wireless Services, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -525 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.5% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 121% | |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 59x | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 306%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 338% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.1% | |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12% | |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 210% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -63% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 109% | |
| Key risksSATS key risks include [1] potential FCC penalties or spectrum revocation over its 5G buildout compliance and [2] a precarious financial state burdened by a high debt load, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Wireless Services, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -525 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.5% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 121% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 59x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 306%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 338% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.1% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 210% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -63% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 109% |
| Key risksSATS key risks include [1] potential FCC penalties or spectrum revocation over its 5G buildout compliance and [2] a precarious financial state burdened by a high debt load, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SATS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the stock movement of EchoStar (SATS) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Massive Spectrum Sale to AT&T: EchoStar finalized a $23 billion agreement in August 2025 to sell 3.45 GHz and 600 MHz spectrum licenses to AT&T. This deal alone caused a substantial one-day leap of 70% in the stock price.
2. Strategic Spectrum Divestitures to SpaceX: The company entered into two significant agreements with SpaceX. The first, a $17 billion deal in September 2025, involved the sale of AWS-4 and H-block spectrum, paid for with a combination of cash and SpaceX stock. A subsequent agreement in November 2025 saw EchoStar exchange its unpaired AWS-3 spectrum for approximately $2.6 billion in SpaceX equity.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SATS Return | -51% | 24% | -37% | -1% | 38% | 353% | 139% |
| Peers Return | 22% | -7% | -14% | 12% | 15% | -9% | 13% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SATS Win Rate | 17% | 50% | 33% | 42% | 58% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 48% | 43% | 60% | 62% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SATS Max Drawdown | -54% | -1% | -41% | -42% | -27% | -30% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -13% | -30% | -11% | -10% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: T, VZ, TMUS, CMCSA, CHTR. See SATS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SATS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -68.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 212.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 469 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -54.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 117.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,709 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,444 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -67.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 208.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,631 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to LITE, ESE, PI, IRDM, TMUS
In The Past
EchoStar's stock fell -68.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/12/2021. A -68.0% loss requires a 212.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SATS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.3% | -4.3% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -3.4% | -3.4% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -27.9% | -27.9% | -29.8% |
| 10312023 | SATS | EchoStar | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.4% | 81.7% | -30.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.3% | -4.3% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -3.4% | -3.4% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -27.9% | -27.9% | -29.8% |
| 10312023 | SATS | EchoStar | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.4% | 81.7% | -30.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for EchoStar
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 70.89 |
| Mkt Cap | 142.8 |
| Rev LTM | 105,016 |
| Op Inc LTM | 20,956 |
| FCF LTM | 15,198 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 11,686 |
| CFO LTM | 29,028 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 25,266 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 27.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 27.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 142.8 |
| P/S | 1.4 |
| P/EBIT | 4.7 |
| P/E | 8.2 |
| P/CFO | 4.9 |
| Total Yield | 12.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.6% |
| D/E | 0.9 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -11.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -9.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -0.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 39.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -21.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -15.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -30.1% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/31/2017 | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% |
| 7/20/2016 | 0.6% | -0.4% | -1.4% |
| 2/24/2016 | 12.2% | 17.7% | 13.9% |
| 2/23/2012 | 1.1% | -2.1% | -7.3% |
| 12/1/2011 | 2.2% | 3.5% | -4.7% |
| 9/12/2011 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.0% |
| 5/11/2011 | -1.2% | -4.9% | -4.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| # Negative | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 2.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% |
| Median Negative | -1.2% | -2.1% | -4.4% |
| Max Positive | 12.2% | 17.7% | 13.9% |
| Max Negative | -1.2% | -4.9% | -7.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |