Tearsheet

Tri Pointe Homes (TPH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $32.83 | Market Cap: $2.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

Tri Pointe Homes (TPH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $32.83
Market Cap: $2.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 9.2%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -40%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -25%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  Key risks
TPH key risks include [1] increased costs and project delays from heightened regulatory and environmental rules, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Green Building Certification, Renewable Integration in Buildings, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 9.2%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Green Building Certification, Renewable Integration in Buildings, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -40%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -25%
5 Key risks
TPH key risks include [1] increased costs and project delays from heightened regulatory and environmental rules, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TPH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -7.1% stock movement for Tri Pointe Homes (TPH) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Decreased Home Sales Revenue and Deliveries: Tri Pointe Homes reported a substantial year-over-year decline in home sales revenue and new home deliveries in its third-quarter 2025 results. Home sales revenue was $817.3 million, down from $1.1 billion in the prior year, and new home deliveries decreased to 1,217 homes from 1,619 homes.

2. Lowered Full-Year Guidance: Following the third-quarter earnings release, Tri Pointe Homes revised its full-year 2025 guidance for home deliveries downwards. The company now anticipates delivering between 4,800 and 5,000 homes for the full year, a reduction from its earlier projection of 5,500 to 6,100 homes, signaling a more challenging market outlook.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TPH Return11%62%-33%90%2%-9%111%
Peers Return22%50%-20%90%6%5%212%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TPH Win Rate67%67%50%67%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate68%75%40%63%60%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TPH Max Drawdown-61%-1%-47%0%-5%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-5%-42%0%-6%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DHI, LEN, PHM, TOL, TMHC. See TPH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTPHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven190 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-66.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven199.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven197 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-45.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven758 days120 days

Compare to DY, TMHC, SKY, MHO, CCS


In The Past

Tri Pointe Homes's stock fell -47.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -47.0% loss requires a 88.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Tri Pointe Homes (TPH)

Better Bets than Tri Pointe Homes (TPH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TPH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Tri Pointe Homes

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TPHDHILENPHMTOLTMHCMedian
NameTri Poin.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.Toll Bro.Taylor M. 
Mkt Price32.83152.00112.23122.80139.1661.02117.52
Mkt Cap2.945.028.724.113.76.018.9
Rev LTM3,75234,25034,76617,62310,8778,37814,250
Op Inc LTM3904,4243,4703,3951,7681,2272,581
FCF LTM2713,284-7131,552918570744
FCF 3Y Avg4593,1542,7831,8751,2015711,538
CFO LTM3013,421-5681,668995609802
CFO 3Y Avg4863,3052,9181,9831,2746121,629

Growth & Margins

TPHDHILENPHMTOLTMHCMedian
NameTri Poin.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.Toll Bro.Taylor M. 
Rev Chg LTM-16.6%-6.9%-4.7%1.8%3.3%7.0%-1.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.6%0.9%3.0%5.4%4.4%0.7%2.0%
Rev Chg Q-25.3%-3.2%-6.4%-1.6%8.0%-1.2%-2.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-7.2%-0.9%-1.7%-0.4%2.0%-0.3%-0.7%
Op Mgn LTM10.4%12.9%10.0%19.3%16.3%14.6%13.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.2%15.4%13.6%20.6%17.5%14.9%15.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.1%-1.2%-1.5%-0.7%-0.4%-0.4%-0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM8.0%10.0%-1.6%9.5%9.1%7.3%8.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.0%9.4%8.4%11.6%11.9%7.6%10.5%
FCF/Rev LTM7.2%9.6%-2.1%8.8%8.4%6.8%7.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.3%8.9%8.0%10.9%11.2%7.1%9.9%

Valuation

TPHDHILENPHMTOLTMHCMedian
NameTri Poin.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.Toll Bro.Taylor M. 
Mkt Cap2.945.028.724.113.76.018.9
P/S0.81.30.91.51.00.81.0
P/EBIT7.610.29.37.66.45.37.6
P/E9.512.512.09.98.27.69.7
P/CFO9.813.1-56.715.611.310.711.0
Total Yield10.5%9.1%10.0%10.8%12.7%13.1%10.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.1%1.6%0.7%0.4%0.0%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg15.1%7.1%7.3%9.2%12.1%11.1%10.2%
D/E0.40.10.20.10.30.30.2
Net D/E0.20.10.10.00.20.30.1

Returns

TPHDHILENPHMTOLTMHCMedian
NameTri Poin.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.Toll Bro.Taylor M. 
1M Rtn7.0%10.3%-1.6%8.1%9.9%5.6%7.5%
3M Rtn-6.0%-10.3%-15.2%-8.2%-0.5%-10.5%-9.3%
6M Rtn9.8%26.0%9.5%24.3%32.5%6.3%17.1%
12M Rtn-14.0%4.8%-24.6%6.8%5.7%-4.4%0.2%
3Y Rtn73.3%75.1%27.1%171.6%183.4%97.2%86.2%
1M Excs Rtn6.3%9.6%-2.4%7.3%9.1%4.8%6.8%
3M Excs Rtn-7.9%-11.5%-16.5%-9.6%-1.6%-13.2%-10.5%
6M Excs Rtn-2.5%13.7%-2.9%11.9%20.1%-6.1%4.7%
12M Excs Rtn-27.0%-8.5%-37.1%-6.4%-6.2%-16.8%-12.6%
3Y Excs Rtn7.2%13.1%-36.8%113.2%121.3%31.9%22.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
West2,5582,5522,5052,557 
Central947761675469 
Corporate942979781673241
East422376328284 
Financial services4652473928
Maracay    382
Pardee Homes    1,300
Quadrant Homes    331
TRI Pointe Homes    930
Trendmaker Homes    354
Winchester Homes    291
Total4,9154,7204,3364,0223,859


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,828,047
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.9%
Average Daily Volume859,454
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.62
Basic Shares Quantity86,923,796
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/20252.0%-3.0%-6.7%
7/24/2025-9.8%-12.2%-2.6%
2/18/2025-10.9%-13.2%-13.5%
10/24/2024-4.2%-4.7%-1.3%
7/25/2024-0.2%-0.3%-4.0%
2/20/20240.0%0.3%0.9%
10/26/20231.3%5.2%18.7%
7/27/2023-8.1%-1.7%-8.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9610
# Negative10139
Median Positive1.7%2.7%8.6%
Median Negative-5.3%-3.0%-4.0%
Max Positive4.7%11.6%18.7%
Max Negative-10.9%-13.2%-64.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022721202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022421202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0BAUER DOUGLAS F.Chief Executive Officer4292025Sell30.15120,2873,626,65318,929,165Form
1MITCHELL THOMAS J.President and COO12172024Sell39.1577,3843,029,58427,724,425Form