Tri Pointe Homes (TPH)
Market Price (12/29/2025): $32.2 | Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding
Tri Pointe Homes (TPH)
Market Price (12/29/2025): $32.2Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Homebuilding
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 9.7% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -5.2% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -25% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% | Key risksTPH key risks include [1] increased costs and project delays from heightened regulatory and environmental rules, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Green Building Certification, Renewable Integration in Buildings, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 9.7% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Green Building Certification, Renewable Integration in Buildings, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -5.2% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -25% |
| Key risksTPH key risks include [1] increased costs and project delays from heightened regulatory and environmental rules, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Significant Decline in Q3 2025 Earnings.
Tri Pointe Homes reported a substantial year-over-year decrease in its financial performance for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. Net income available to common stockholders fell to $56.1 million, or $0.64 per diluted share, a notable drop from $111.8 million, or $1.18 per diluted share, in the same period of 2024.
2. Decreased Home Sales Revenue and Deliveries.
The company experienced a significant reduction in home sales revenue, which decreased by 26.6% year-over-year to $817.3 million for Q3 2025. Concurrently, new home deliveries also saw a decline, totaling 1,217 homes in Q3 2025 compared to 1,619 homes in Q3 2024.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -4.5% change in TPH stock from 9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -8.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 9282025 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.73 | 32.20 | -4.54% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4041.89 | 3751.94 | -7.17% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.05% | 8.27% | -8.65% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.20 | 9.02 | 10.06% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 88.91 | 86.92 | 2.24% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -4.58% |
Market Drivers
9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TPH | -4.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 29.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.8% | 40.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 0.8% change in TPH stock from 6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 30.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6292025 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 31.96 | 32.20 | 0.75% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4294.40 | 3751.94 | -12.63% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.85% | 8.27% | -16.08% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.92 | 9.02 | 30.35% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 91.64 | 86.92 | 5.15% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.48% |
Market Drivers
6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TPH | 0.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 25.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 11.9% | 44.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -11.0% change in TPH stock from 12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -19.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12282024 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 36.20 | 32.20 | -11.05% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4498.70 | 3751.94 | -16.60% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.26% | 8.27% | -19.45% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.34 | 9.02 | 22.96% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 93.60 | 86.92 | 7.13% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -11.50% |
Market Drivers
12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TPH | -11.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 32.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 7.0% | 44.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 72.3% change in TPH stock from 12/29/2022 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 148.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12292022 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.69 | 32.20 | 72.28% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4035.74 | 3751.94 | -7.03% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.90% | 8.27% | -35.91% |
| P/E Multiple | 3.64 | 9.02 | 148.26% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 101.24 | 86.92 | 14.14% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 68.84% |
Market Drivers
12/29/2023 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TPH | -9.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.4% | 36.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 38.6% | 43.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TPH Return | 11% | 62% | -33% | 90% | 2% | -12% | 105% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TPH Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TPH Max Drawdown | -61% | -1% | -47% | 0% | -5% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See TPH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TPH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 190 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -66.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 199.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 197 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 758 days | 120 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Tri Pointe Homes's stock fell -47.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -47.0% loss requires a 88.7% gain to breakeven.
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```htmlHere are 1-2 brief analogies for Tri Pointe Homes (TPH):
- Ford for homes
- Toyota for homes
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Tri Pointe Homes (TPH) major products and services include:- Single-family Homes: Detached residential properties designed for individual families.
- Townhomes: Attached residential units sharing common walls, often with multi-story designs.
- Condominiums: Individual units within a larger building, where residents own their unit and a share of common areas.
- Mortgage Services: Financial assistance provided to homebuyers for the purchase of Tri Pointe Homes, often through affiliated companies.
- Title Services: Facilitation of property ownership transfer and provision of title insurance, typically through affiliated companies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlTri Pointe Homes (symbol: TPH) is a homebuilder that primarily sells directly to individual homebuyers, not to other companies.
Based on their business model and market positioning, Tri Pointe Homes serves the following categories of customers:
- First-Time and Move-Up Buyers: This category typically includes individuals and families looking for their first home or those looking to upgrade from their current home to a larger, newer, or better-located property. Tri Pointe Homes offers a range of designs and price points that appeal to these buyers, often emphasizing modern layouts, energy efficiency, and community amenities.
- Luxury and Premium Buyers: Tri Pointe Homes also targets buyers seeking higher-end properties with more extensive features, premium finishes, larger square footage, and often in more desirable or exclusive locations. Their brand portfolio includes more upscale offerings designed to meet the expectations of discerning luxury homebuyers.
- Active Adult and Lifestyle Buyers: While not their sole focus, like many large homebuilders, Tri Pointe Homes may develop communities or sections within communities tailored for active adults (typically 55+). These buyers often seek homes with specific floor plans (e.g., single-story, low-maintenance), community amenities geared towards their lifestyle (e.g., clubhouses, fitness centers), and locations that offer convenience and social opportunities.
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Douglas F. Bauer, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Bauer co-founded Tri Pointe Homes in 2009. Prior to forming Tri Pointe Homes, he served as President and Chief Operating Officer for William Lyon Homes, where he also held roles as Chief Financial Officer and President of its Northern California Division. William Lyon Homes, a homebuilding company whose common stock was listed on the NYSE, was taken private in 2006 after his tenure.
Glenn J. Keeler, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer
Mr. Keeler joined Tri Pointe Homes in February 2013 as Corporate Controller and became Chief Accounting Officer in 2014, and Chief Financial Officer in January 2020. Previously, he served as Corporate Controller of STEC, Inc., a publicly traded global provider of solid-state drives, and as Director of Finance and Controller of Lantronix, Inc., a publicly traded designer of networking and communications products. Mr. Keeler began his career at Ernst & Young, LLP, serving clients in real estate, technology, and manufacturing industries.
Tom J. Mitchell, President and Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Mitchell is a co-founder of Tri Pointe Homes and serves as its President and Chief Operating Officer. He has over 30 years of experience in the real estate development and homebuilding industry, including a tenure as Executive Vice President with William Lyon Homes.
Linda H. Mamet, Executive Vice President & Chief Marketing Officer
Ms. Mamet is the Executive Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer at Tri Pointe Homes. She possesses over 15 years of homebuilding experience, having held various sales and marketing roles with Pulte Group Inc (NYSE: PHM) across different brands, and also served as Corporate Vice President of Sales and Marketing with John Laing Homes.
Urmila P. Menon, Chief Information Officer
Ms. Menon is the Chief Information Officer at Tri Pointe Homes. She has 30 years of experience in engineering and technology management, holding numerous leadership positions at companies such as Allied Universal, Smart Energy Water, Capital Group, and most recently, as Chief Technology Officer at ATI Restoration.
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The key risks to Tri Pointe Homes' business are:
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Housing Market Volatility and Economic Downturns: Tri Pointe Homes' financial performance is highly susceptible to unpredictable external factors and general economic conditions, including employment rates, housing starts, and particularly interest rate levels. High long-term mortgage rates can significantly reduce consumer sentiment and mortgage affordability, leading to a decline in homebuyer demand and sales. This can result in decreased new home deliveries, lower average selling prices, reduced margins, and an increased selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expense ratio due to reduced operating leverage.
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Competition and Land Acquisition/Development Risks: The homebuilding industry is intensely competitive, with numerous participants vying for homebuyers, desirable land parcels, financing, raw materials, and skilled labor. Intense competition can hinder Tri Pointe Homes' ability to acquire attractive land, expand market share, and may lead to pricing pressures that adversely impact margins and revenues. Furthermore, the company faces inherent risks associated with controlling, purchasing, holding, and developing land, including potential raw material shortages, price fluctuations, and cost increases that can cause project delays.
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Regulatory and Environmental Risks: Tri Pointe Homes operates within a highly regulated environment, subject to various federal, state, and local governmental regulations, building codes, and environmental laws. Changes in these regulations, particularly in key markets like California, can increase operational costs, cause project delays, or negatively affect consumer demand. Specific environmental concerns include governmental responses to drought conditions or requirements for hazardous substance cleanup and mitigation systems, which can impact project timelines, costs, and buyer appeal. Additionally, the company's financial services segments (mortgage, title, and insurance) are subject to specific licensing and regulatory requirements, with non-compliance potentially leading to penalties or loss of licenses.
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The emergence of advanced construction technologies and methodologies, specifically scaled-up prefabricated/modular home building and 3D printing for residential construction. These methods offer the potential for significantly faster build times, lower labor costs, and reduced material waste compared to traditional stick-built construction. As these technologies mature, attract more investment, and gain broader market acceptance, they could fundamentally disrupt the cost structure, efficiency, and speed advantages of conventional homebuilders like Tri Pointe Homes, potentially leading to a shift in consumer and developer preferences towards these more industrialized and automated construction methods.
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The primary addressable market for Tri Pointe Homes (TPH) is the new residential construction market in the United States.
The U.S. residential construction market size is valued at USD 1.35 trillion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 1.69 trillion by 2030, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.59% during this forecast period. New-build activity constituted 69.80% of the U.S. residential construction market share in 2024. Additionally, approximately 1.5 million new housing units were authorized in the U.S. in 2024.
Specifically for new housing starts, which align with Tri Pointe Homes' core business of constructing single-family attached and detached homes, privately-owned housing starts in the U.S. were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.307 million units in August 2025. Single-family housing starts in August 2025 were recorded at a rate of 890,000 units.
Tri Pointe Homes operates in 12 states and the District of Columbia, focusing on key housing markets across Arizona, California, Nevada, Washington, Colorado, Texas, the District of Columbia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia. Beyond home construction, the company also offers financing through Tri Pointe Connect® and insurance and escrow services via Tri Pointe Assurance® to homebuyers.
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Tri Pointe Homes (TPH) is positioned for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key strategic initiatives and market fundamentals:
- Community Count Growth and Geographic Expansion: Tri Pointe Homes plans to increase its active selling communities, with expectations to grow its ending community count by 10% to 15% by the end of 2026. This growth is anticipated to be primarily driven by expansion in its central and east regions, and the company has specifically announced expansion plans into new markets such as Utah, Florida, and the Coastal Carolinas. As of early 2025, the company expected to open approximately 65 new communities in 2025.
- Increased Home Deliveries: The company consistently provides guidance for increasing home deliveries in upcoming periods. For the full year 2025, Tri Pointe Homes anticipates delivering between 5,500 and 6,100 homes. Looking further out, the full-year delivery guidance for 2025 was set between 8,092 and 9,200 homes. In Q4 2025, the company expects to deliver between 1,200 and 1,400 homes.
- Consistent Average Sales Price (ASP) and Potential for Price Increases: Tri Pointe Homes' forward guidance often includes stable or slightly increasing average sales prices for its homes. For the full year 2025, the anticipated average sales price is between $660,000 and $670,000. In Q4 2025, the expected average sales price is between $690,000 and $700,000. This indicates the company's ability to maintain or increase pricing, contributing to revenue growth. The company has also noted ongoing pricing power.
- Capitalizing on Favorable Housing Market Fundamentals: Tri Pointe Homes is leveraging strong long-term housing fundamentals, including a persistent undersupply of homes and ongoing household formations, particularly among millennials and Gen Z buyers, who are acting as demand catalysts. The company's strategic focus on "A locations" close to employment, good schools, and lifestyle amenities also allows it to attract a well-qualified buyer profile.
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Share Repurchases
- Tri Pointe Homes announced a new stock repurchase program on December 18, 2024, authorizing the repurchase of up to $250 million of common stock through December 31, 2025. This program succeeded a previous one authorized in December 2023.
- As of July 23, 2025, the company's Board of Directors increased the equity buyback program by $50 million, bringing the total authorization to $300 million through December 31, 2025.
- Under the 2024 repurchase program, Tri Pointe Homes repurchased approximately 4.0 million shares of common stock for an aggregate dollar amount of $146.6 million through December 17, 2024.
- In the first six months of 2025, Tri Pointe Homes repurchased and retired an aggregate of 5,458,694 shares of common stock for $175.0 million. This included $100 million of common stock repurchased in the second quarter of 2025, and an additional $51 million in the third quarter of 2025.
Share Issuance
- The number of shares outstanding for Tri Pointe Homes was 88,914,413 at the end of 2025.
- As of October 15, 2025, 85,953,497 shares of common stock were issued and outstanding.
Inbound Investments
- No large third-party investments in the company were explicitly identified in the provided information for the last 3-5 years.
Outbound Investments
- Tri Pointe Homes has made no investments or acquisitions in other companies as of October 29, 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Tri Pointe Homes has historically focused its capital spending on land purchases, land development, and home construction.
- In the third quarter of 2025, the company invested approximately $260 million in land and land development.
- The company ended Q3 2025 with over 32,000 total lots, with 51% controlled via option, indicating continued investment in land position for future growth.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to TPH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
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| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.0% | 6.0% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.7% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
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Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
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Peer Comparisons for Tri Pointe Homes
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 55.18 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| P/S | 2.7 |
| P/EBIT | 21.2 |
| P/E | 33.0 |
| P/CFO | 16.2 |
| Total Yield | 5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 76.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -3.2% |
Comparison Analyses
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| NDA204417 | ELEPSIA XR | levetiracetam | tablet, extended release | 12202018 | 8.5% | 7.2% | 37.4% | 53.6% | 180.5% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West | 2,558 | 2,552 | 2,505 | 2,557 | |
| Central | 947 | 761 | 675 | 469 | |
| Corporate | 942 | 979 | 781 | 673 | 241 |
| East | 422 | 376 | 328 | 284 | |
| Financial services | 46 | 52 | 47 | 39 | 28 |
| Maracay | 382 | ||||
| Pardee Homes | 1,300 | ||||
| Quadrant Homes | 331 | ||||
| TRI Pointe Homes | 930 | ||||
| Trendmaker Homes | 354 | ||||
| Winchester Homes | 291 | ||||
| Total | 4,915 | 4,720 | 4,336 | 4,022 | 3,859 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $32.20 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/31/2013 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -16.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $32.51 | $32.40 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | -1.0% | -0.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 29.1% | 35.7% |
| Downside Capture | 85.59 | 76.31 |
| Upside Capture | 45.82 | 52.53 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 30.3% | 32.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.97 | 0.67 | 0.75 | 0.97 | 0.60 | 0.91 |
| Up Beta | 1.20 | 0.73 | 1.45 | 1.88 | 0.70 | 0.96 |
| Down Beta | 0.68 | 0.87 | 0.72 | 0.56 | 0.30 | 0.46 |
| Up Capture | 148% | 52% | 35% | 84% | 39% | 133% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 22 | 31 | 62 | 117 | 379 |
| Down Capture | 66% | 62% | 74% | 82% | 91% | 102% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 20 | 32 | 63 | 130 | 365 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of TPH With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPH | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -13.0% | 7.5% | 17.8% | 72.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | -8.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 35.4% | 24.3% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.34 | 0.24 | 0.72 | 2.70 | 0.34 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 44.8% | 32.3% | -3.2% | -6.7% | 49.3% | 21.1% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of TPH With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPH | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 12.5% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 30.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 37.5% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.6% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.41 | 0.36 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 52.6% | 52.1% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 55.1% | 23.2% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of TPH With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPH | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 9.7% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 41.5% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.37 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 57.4% | 56.8% | 9.8% | 19.5% | 57.4% | 16.4% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/23/2025 | 2.0% | -3.0% | -6.7% |
| 7/24/2025 | -9.8% | -12.2% | -2.6% |
| 2/18/2025 | -10.9% | -13.2% | -13.5% |
| 10/24/2024 | -4.2% | -4.7% | -1.3% |
| 7/25/2024 | -0.2% | -0.3% | -4.0% |
| 2/20/2024 | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
| 10/26/2023 | 1.3% | 5.2% | 18.7% |
| 7/27/2023 | -8.1% | -1.7% | -8.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| # Negative | 10 | 13 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 1.7% | 2.7% | 8.6% |
| Median Negative | -5.3% | -3.0% | -4.0% |
| Max Positive | 4.7% | 11.6% | 18.7% |
| Max Negative | -10.9% | -13.2% | -64.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 10/23/2025 | 10-Q (09/30/2025) |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/24/2025 | 10-Q (06/30/2025) |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/24/2025 | 10-Q (03/31/2025) |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/21/2025 | 10-K (12/31/2024) |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/24/2024 | 10-Q (09/30/2024) |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/25/2024 | 10-Q (06/30/2024) |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/25/2024 | 10-Q (03/31/2024) |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K (12/31/2023) |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/26/2023 | 10-Q (09/30/2023) |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/27/2023 | 10-Q (06/30/2023) |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/27/2023 | 10-Q (03/31/2023) |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/21/2023 | 10-K (12/31/2022) |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/27/2022 | 10-Q (09/30/2022) |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/21/2022 | 10-Q (06/30/2022) |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/21/2022 | 10-Q (03/31/2022) |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/18/2022 | 10-K (12/31/2021) |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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