Target (TGT)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $95.17 | Market Cap: $43.2 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
Target (TGT)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $95.17Market Cap: $43.2 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 4.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3%, FCF Yield is 7.0% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -105% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.6% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 6.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.0 Bil | Key risksTGT key risks include [1] a failure to adapt its merchandise and fulfillment strategies to evolving consumer preferences and [2] managing significant inventory losses from damage, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Supply Chain Digitization, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 4.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3%, FCF Yield is 7.0% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 6.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.0 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Supply Chain Digitization, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -105% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.6% |
| Key risksTGT key risks include [1] a failure to adapt its merchandise and fulfillment strategies to evolving consumer preferences and [2] managing significant inventory losses from damage, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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The Target (TGT) stock experienced various movements and news between August 31, 2025, and December 23, 2025. While a precise 0.4% movement over the entire period is not identified as a single event, the search results highlight a day where the stock gained 0.39% and other significant factors influencing its performance. Here are five key points explaining stock movements for Target during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 23, 2025:1. On August 20, 2025, Target's stock gained 0.39% following its Q2 CY2025 earnings report, where it exceeded revenue and non-GAAP profit expectations, though sales were flat year-on-year.
2. Target's stock fell 4% on September 2, 2025, amid broader market retreats, renewed concerns about tariffs due to a federal court ruling, and rising Treasury yields, which intensified worries about equity valuations.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.4% change in TGT stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 16.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9222025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 85.48 | 95.20 | 11.37% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 105640.00 | 105242.00 | -0.38% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.72% | 3.58% | -3.84% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.89 | 11.48 | 16.02% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 454.60 | 453.70 | 0.20% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 11.37% |
Market Drivers
9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TGT | 11.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.7% | 43.0% |
| Sector (XLP) | -0.1% | 52.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 0.9% change in TGT stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 11.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6232025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 94.31 | 95.20 | 0.95% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 105881.00 | 105242.00 | -0.60% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.95% | 3.58% | -9.54% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.25 | 11.48 | 11.95% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 455.00 | 453.70 | 0.29% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.95% |
Market Drivers
6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TGT | 0.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.4% | 37.6% |
| Sector (XLP) | -3.7% | 48.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -24.4% change in TGT stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -13.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12222024 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 125.92 | 95.20 | -24.40% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 107570.00 | 105242.00 | -2.16% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.06% | 3.58% | -11.99% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.26 | 11.48 | -13.43% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 460.10 | 453.70 | 1.39% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -24.41% |
Market Drivers
12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TGT | -24.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.9% | 53.6% |
| Sector (XLP) | 0.0% | 44.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -26.2% change in TGT stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -33.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12232022 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 128.98 | 95.20 | -26.19% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 108721.00 | 105242.00 | -3.20% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.17% | 3.58% | 12.74% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.22 | 11.48 | -33.34% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 460.30 | 453.70 | 1.43% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -26.20% |
Market Drivers
12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TGT | -27.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 47.7% | 38.6% |
| Sector (XLP) | 14.6% | 38.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TGT Return | 40% | 33% | -34% | -1% | -2% | -24% | -10% |
| Peers Return | 34% | 32% | -18% | 32% | 42% | 4% | 183% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 113% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TGT Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 67% | 42% | 67% | 68% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TGT Max Drawdown | -29% | -3% | -39% | -28% | -12% | -35% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -9% | -27% | -4% | -3% | -11% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WMT, AMZN, COST, HD, KR. See TGT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TGT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 153.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -29.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 132 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 243 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 176.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,508 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to AMZN, WMT, COST, TJX, ROST
In The Past
Target's stock fell -60.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -60.6% loss requires a 153.7% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Target:
- A more design-focused and trendier Walmart.
- A highly affordable Macy's that also sells groceries.
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- Apparel & Accessories: Clothing, shoes, and various fashion accessories for men, women, and children.
- Home Goods: Furniture, kitchenware, bedding, bath products, and other items for household furnishing and decoration.
- Food & Beverage: A wide range of groceries, including fresh produce, packaged foods, and assorted drinks.
- Health & Beauty: Cosmetics, skincare, personal hygiene products, and over-the-counter medications.
- Electronics & Entertainment: Televisions, computers, video games, toys, and other consumer technology and leisure items.
- Pharmacy Services (Healthcare Service): Providing prescription fulfillment and basic health consultations through in-store pharmacies.
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Target (TGT) is a major retail company that primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers, rather than to other businesses.
Based on its broad appeal and extensive product offerings, Target serves a diverse customer base, which can be categorized into the following:
- Families (especially those with young children): This significant segment relies on Target for a wide array of needs, including groceries, household essentials, children's apparel, toys, and home goods. Target's convenient one-stop shopping experience, value propositions, and family-friendly environment make it a frequent destination for parents.
- Young Adults and Millennials: Attracted by Target's blend of trendy design and affordability, this demographic often shops for fashion-forward apparel, stylish home decor (particularly for apartments and first homes), beauty products, electronics, and small appliances. They appreciate Target's "cheap chic" aesthetic and the integration of online and in-store shopping options.
- Value-conscious and Convenience-seeking Shoppers: This broad category encompasses individuals who prioritize both competitive pricing and the ease of finding a wide range of products under one roof. They shop at Target for everyday necessities such as groceries, household staples, personal care items, and seasonal goods, valuing the company's attractive private label brands (e.g., Good & Gather, Up&Up, Threshold) and organized store layouts.
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Brian Cornell, Chair and Chief Executive Officer
Brian Cornell has served as Chair and Chief Executive Officer of Target Corporation since August 2014. He is credited with revitalizing the company through a digital-first strategy, store modernization, and the expansion of private-label brands. Cornell has over 30 years of leadership experience in retail and consumer product companies. Prior to Target, he held CEO roles at PepsiCo Americas Foods, Sam's Club, and Michaels Stores, Inc. He also served as Chief Marketing Officer at Safeway Inc. Cornell currently serves on the National Retail Federation's executive committee, is chair of The Business Council, and is the non-executive chairman of Yum! Brands. He earned a bachelor's degree from UCLA.
Jim Lee, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Jim Lee serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Target Corporation. In this role, he is responsible for the enterprise strategy and partnerships. Further detailed background information beyond his current role at Target is not readily available in the provided sources. No information was found regarding Jim Lee founding or managing other companies, selling companies he was previously involved with, or a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.
Michael Fiddelke, Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer and Incoming CEO
Michael Fiddelke is the Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, and he is slated to become Target's next CEO, succeeding Brian Cornell, effective February 1, 2026. Fiddelke joined Target in 2003 as an intern and has since held various leadership positions across finance, merchandising, human resources, and operations. He previously served as Chief Financial Officer from late 2019 until February 2024. As COO, he oversees Target's nearly 2,000 stores, global supply chain network, fulfillment services (including same-day delivery with Shipt), enterprise services, and properties. Fiddelke also spearheads Target's enterprise efficiency efforts and the new "Enterprise Acceleration Office" aimed at streamlining operations and integrating technology and data. Before joining Target, he spent three years at Deloitte Consulting, LLP. He holds an MBA from Northwestern University's Kellogg School of Management and a Bachelor of Science in industrial engineering from the University of Iowa. No information was found regarding Michael Fiddelke founding or managing other companies (beyond internal Target roles), selling companies he was previously involved with, or a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.
Christina Hennington, Executive Vice President and Chief Strategy and Growth Officer
Christina Hennington is the Executive Vice President and Chief Strategy and Growth Officer for Target, a role she assumed in June 2025, after serving as Chief Growth Officer since 2021. She joined Target in 2003 as a buyer and has since progressed through various merchandising leadership roles, including beauty, toys, electronics, and essentials. Hennington has been instrumental in initiatives that generated over $30 billion in growth and developed Target's roadmap for growth. She spearheaded the sale of Target's pharmacy business to CVS and the creation of an industry-leading partnership with Ulta Beauty. Before her tenure at Target, Hennington worked as a consultant with PricewaterhouseCoopers in Boston and served as a product manager for two technology start-up businesses. She holds a bachelor's degree from Cornell University and an M.B.A. from the Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University.
Jill Sando, Executive Vice President and Chief Merchandising Officer of Apparel & Accessories, Home and Hardlines
Jill Sando is the Executive Vice President and Chief Merchandising Officer of Apparel & Accessories, Home and Hardlines, and a member of Target's leadership team. She joined Target in 1997 as an associate buyer and has since held numerous positions across merchandising, planning, and product design & development. Sando is responsible for all buying across the company's discretionary categories and has played a key role in reimagining Target's multi-billion-dollar owned brand portfolio and its affordability strategy. Prior to joining Target, Sando began her retail career with Younkers department store in Des Moines, Iowa. She earned a bachelor's degree in Marketing and Communications from the University of North Dakota.
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The key risks to Target Corporation's business include the highly competitive retail landscape and evolving consumer behavior, macroeconomic conditions impacting consumer spending, and supply chain disruptions and costs.
- Competitive Landscape and Evolving Consumer Behavior: Target faces significant risks from intense competition within the retail industry, including from e-commerce giants and other brick-and-mortar retailers. The company's ability to differentiate itself through price, merchandise assortment, store environment, convenience, and service is crucial. Failure to anticipate and adapt to rapidly changing consumer preferences and shopping patterns, particularly the ongoing migration to digital channels and the demand for multiple fulfillment options, could adversely affect sales and financial performance.
- Macroeconomic Conditions and Consumer Spending: Target's financial results are highly sensitive to broader economic conditions, including recessions, inflation, and shifts in consumer confidence and spending patterns. Weak consumer demand, especially for discretionary goods, and the impact of economic pressures on the middle class can directly lead to lower sales, reduced profitability, and increased inventory markdowns.
- Supply Chain Disruptions, Costs, and Inventory Management: The company is exposed to risks associated with disruptions in its supply chain, which can stem from various factors such as geopolitical events, natural disasters, or labor disputes. Rising commodity and transportation costs also directly impact profitability. Additionally, the effective management of inventory, including mitigating losses due to damage, theft (including organized retail crime), and spoilage, is critical to its operational efficiency and financial condition.
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The rapid rise and market penetration of ultra-low-cost e-commerce platforms like Shein and Temu. These platforms have seen explosive growth in the U.S. market since 2022 (Temu) and scaled significantly (Shein), introducing a new competitive dynamic. Target's business model relies on attracting customers with a blend of value, style, and convenience across general merchandise, apparel, home goods, and electronics. Shein and Temu directly compete in many of these categories, particularly apparel and home essentials, by offering significantly lower price points and an ever-changing, vast inventory directly sourced from manufacturers. This model appeals to price-sensitive consumers and younger demographics seeking trendy items at extreme discounts, potentially diverting sales from Target's core offerings and eroding its "cheap chic" appeal. Their direct-to-consumer from China model also presents supply chain and cost structure challenges that traditional retailers struggle to match.
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Target Corporation (TGT) primarily operates within the U.S. retail market, offering a wide array of products and services across various categories. The addressable markets for its main product and service categories in the U.S. are substantial:
- Groceries/Food & Beverage: The U.S. grocery retail market was valued at over $900 billion in 2025. Other estimates place the U.S. food and grocery retailing market at USD 1.74 trillion in 2024, with projections to reach USD 2.41 trillion by 2034. The Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in the United States is estimated at $883.1 billion in 2025.
- Apparel and Accessories: The United States apparel market is among the largest globally, with an estimated size of $365.70 billion in 2025. Other data indicates the U.S. apparel market was valued at $353.20 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $447.73 billion by 2034. Another source states the market size as around $395 billion in 2025.
- Home Goods/Home Decor/Home Furnishings: The U.S. home decor market generated a revenue of USD 237.87 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 392.56 billion by 2030. Separately, the U.S. Home Decor Market size is estimated at USD 215.21 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 263.21 billion by 2030. The market size of Home Furnishings Stores in the U.S. was $90.5 billion in 2024 and $90.9 billion in 2025.
- Electronics: The U.S. electronics and appliance stores market size stood at USD 92.61 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 111.32 billion by 2030. The Consumer Electronics Stores industry in the United States is estimated at $172.2 billion in 2025. The Consumer Electronics segment in the U.S. registered a market value of USD 115.73 billion in 2024.
- Beauty & Personal Care: The U.S. beauty and personal care products market size was estimated at USD 102.73 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 155.44 billion by 2030. The market is estimated to be USD 130.25 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 154.35 billion by 2030.
- Toys: The U.S. toy market reached USD 40.09 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 55.11 billion by 2032. Other estimates put the U.S. toy market at approximately $42.0 billion in 2024. The U.S. toys market size is expected to reach around US$ 42.93 billion by 2033, increasing from US$ 29.23 billion in 2024.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Target (TGT)
Target Corporation (TGT) is strategically positioning itself for future revenue growth over the next two to three years by focusing on several key initiatives:
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Enhanced Omnichannel Experience and Digital Growth: Target is heavily investing in blending its physical, digital, and social commerce shopping experiences to reinforce itself as a "destination for discovery." This includes accelerating growth in digital capabilities, particularly same-day services like Drive Up and same-day delivery powered by Target Circle 360. The company aims to triple its Target Circle 360 membership base over the next three years through new perks and benefits.
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Differentiated Product Assortment and Owned Brands: A core driver involves offering more newness, quality, and relevance across its product assortment. This multi-year initiative, starting in 2025, includes reimagining key categories such as gaming, sports, and toys with expanded assortments, refreshing home offerings with brands like Hearth & Hand with Magnolia and Threshold designed with Studio McGee, and launching new owned brand innovations and partnerships.
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Expansion of the Target Plus Marketplace: Target plans to significantly grow its third-party digital marketplace, Target Plus, with a goal to increase third-party digital sales from approximately $1 billion in 2024 to more than $5 billion by 2030. This expansion involves adding hundreds of new brands to attract guests and expand offerings.
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Optimized Supply Chain and Fulfillment: Investments in supply chain and fulfillment capabilities are crucial to increasing the ease, reliability, and speed of getting products to customers. Enhancements in areas like "Brown Box shipping" and the use of sortation centers are expected to drive efficiency and faster delivery times, leading to more sales.
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Strategic Store Development: Target plans to open around 20 new stores, primarily large formats, and remodel many existing stores in 2025 as part of an ongoing effort to add over 300 stores within a decade. These physical stores not only expand Target's reach but also serve as crucial hubs for powering more efficient fulfillment operations and fueling digital growth.
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```htmlShare Repurchases
- Target had approximately $8.4 billion remaining under its share repurchase authorization as of August 2, 2025.
- The company repurchased $251 million of stock during the first quarter of 2025.
- In 2024, Target repurchased $1.11 billion worth of its shares.
Outbound Investments
- Target's most recent acquisition was Deliv, an online platform providing last-mile delivery services, in May 2020.
- The company has shown low acquisition activity in recent years, with an average of 0.2 acquisitions per year from 2019–2024, and no acquisitions completed in 2025 as of September.
Capital Expenditures
- Target plans to invest $4-5 billion in capital expenditures in 2025, focusing on store network expansion, logistics, and digitalization.
- Annual capital expenditures were $4.806 billion in 2024 and peaked at $5.528 billion in January 2023.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures includes opening approximately 20 new stores and remodeling many existing ones in 2025, along with continued investment in supply chain and technology projects.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to TGT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.3% | -2.3% | -2.3% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.3% | -6.3% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.4% | -5.4% | -5.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Target
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 170.51 |
| Mkt Cap | 360.7 |
| Rev LTM | 223,290 |
| Op Inc LTM | 16,093 |
| FCF LTM | 11,242 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 11,295 |
| CFO LTM | 16,206 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 16,062 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 360.7 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/EBIT | 27.4 |
| P/E | 36.8 |
| P/CFO | 19.8 |
| Total Yield | 3.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -0.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -4.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 68.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -20.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -4.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Food & beverage | 23,899 | 22,918 | 20,306 | 18,135 | 15,039 |
| Household essentials | 18,746 | ||||
| Home furnishings & décor | 17,760 | 19,463 | 20,255 | 18,231 | 14,430 |
| Apparel & accessories | 16,485 | 17,646 | 17,931 | 14,772 | 14,304 |
| Hardlines | 16,162 | 17,739 | 18,614 | 16,626 | 12,595 |
| Beauty | 12,538 | ||||
| Credit card profit sharing | 667 | 734 | 710 | 666 | 680 |
| Advertising revenue | 522 | ||||
| Other | 420 | 1,045 | 921 | 670 | 448 |
| Other merchandise sales | 213 | ||||
| Beauty & household essentials | 29,575 | 27,268 | 24,461 | 20,616 | |
| Total | 107,412 | 109,120 | 106,005 | 93,561 | 78,112 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $95.20 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 43.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/06/1983 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -30.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $91.57 | $94.49 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 28.4% | 34.1% |
| Downside Capture | 55.87 | 121.23 |
| Upside Capture | 100.93 | 75.31 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 44.9% | 54.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.14 | 1.34 | 0.93 | 0.87 |
| Up Beta | -0.80 | 0.68 | 0.96 | 1.06 | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Down Beta | 0.95 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 1.58 | 0.79 | 0.80 |
| Up Capture | 127% | 107% | 60% | 104% | 65% | 38% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 20 | 30 | 63 | 118 | 358 |
| Down Capture | 152% | 111% | 116% | 155% | 114% | 102% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 62 | 130 | 391 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of TGT With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TGT | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -24.5% | -1.8% | 14.7% | 67.3% | 6.8% | -0.5% | -16.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 33.8% | 13.9% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 35.4% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.78 | -0.37 | 0.57 | 2.54 | 0.23 | -0.18 | -0.25 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 44.0% | 53.3% | -9.0% | 18.1% | 51.0% | 23.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of TGT With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TGT | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -8.4% | 5.8% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 5.1% | 35.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 35.1% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.9% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.17 | 0.24 | 0.71 | 0.98 | 0.51 | 0.18 | 0.63 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 46.4% | 47.6% | 3.7% | 11.4% | 42.7% | 18.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of TGT With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TGT | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 5.9% | 7.4% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 69.9% |
| Annualized Volatility | 33.0% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.26 | 0.38 | 0.71 | 0.84 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 44.7% | 45.4% | 1.1% | 13.7% | 37.3% | 12.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/19/2025 | -2.8% | -2.2% | |
| 8/20/2025 | -6.3% | -8.8% | -15.1% |
| 5/21/2025 | -5.2% | -2.2% | -2.6% |
| 3/4/2025 | -3.0% | -5.7% | -13.5% |
| 11/20/2024 | -21.4% | -18.3% | -15.8% |
| 8/21/2024 | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% |
| 5/22/2024 | -8.0% | -5.2% | -6.2% |
| 3/5/2024 | 12.0% | 11.7% | 16.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 14 | 17 | 16 |
| Median Positive | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% |
| Median Negative | -5.0% | -5.2% | -12.2% |
| Max Positive | 17.8% | 18.1% | 27.4% |
| Max Negative | -24.9% | -30.3% | -33.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 11262025 | 10-Q 11/1/2025 |
| 7312025 | 8292025 | 10-Q 8/2/2025 |
| 4302025 | 5302025 | 10-Q 5/3/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3122025 | 10-K 2/1/2025 |
| 10312024 | 11272024 | 10-Q 11/2/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8302024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5312024 | 10-Q 5/4/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3132024 | 10-K 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11222023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8252023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
| 4302023 | 5262023 | 10-Q 4/29/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3082023 | 10-K 1/28/2023 |
| 10312022 | 11232022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
| 7312022 | 8262022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
| 4302022 | 5272022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3092022 | 10-K 1/29/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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