Tearsheet

Target (TGT)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $95.17 | Market Cap: $43.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Target (TGT)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $95.17
Market Cap: $43.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 4.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -105%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 6.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.0 Bil
  Key risks
TGT key risks include [1] a failure to adapt its merchandise and fulfillment strategies to evolving consumer preferences and [2] managing significant inventory losses from damage, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Supply Chain Digitization, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 4.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 6.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.0 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Supply Chain Digitization, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -105%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.6%
6 Key risks
TGT key risks include [1] a failure to adapt its merchandise and fulfillment strategies to evolving consumer preferences and [2] managing significant inventory losses from damage, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TGT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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The Target (TGT) stock experienced various movements and news between August 31, 2025, and December 23, 2025. While a precise 0.4% movement over the entire period is not identified as a single event, the search results highlight a day where the stock gained 0.39% and other significant factors influencing its performance. Here are five key points explaining stock movements for Target during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 23, 2025:

1. On August 20, 2025, Target's stock gained 0.39% following its Q2 CY2025 earnings report, where it exceeded revenue and non-GAAP profit expectations, though sales were flat year-on-year.

2. Target's stock fell 4% on September 2, 2025, amid broader market retreats, renewed concerns about tariffs due to a federal court ruling, and rising Treasury yields, which intensified worries about equity valuations.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 11.4% change in TGT stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 16.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
922202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)85.4895.2011.37%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)105640.00105242.00-0.38%
Net Income Margin (%)3.72%3.58%-3.84%
P/E Multiple9.8911.4816.02%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)454.60453.700.20%
Cumulative Contribution11.37%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TGT11.4% 
Market (SPY)2.7%43.0%
Sector (XLP)-0.1%52.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.9% change in TGT stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 11.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
623202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)94.3195.200.95%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)105881.00105242.00-0.60%
Net Income Margin (%)3.95%3.58%-9.54%
P/E Multiple10.2511.4811.95%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)455.00453.700.29%
Cumulative Contribution0.95%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TGT0.9% 
Market (SPY)14.4%37.6%
Sector (XLP)-3.7%48.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -24.4% change in TGT stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -13.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1222202412222025Change
Stock Price ($)125.9295.20-24.40%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)107570.00105242.00-2.16%
Net Income Margin (%)4.06%3.58%-11.99%
P/E Multiple13.2611.48-13.43%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)460.10453.701.39%
Cumulative Contribution-24.41%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TGT-24.4% 
Market (SPY)16.9%53.6%
Sector (XLP)0.0%44.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -26.2% change in TGT stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -33.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1223202212222025Change
Stock Price ($)128.9895.20-26.19%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)108721.00105242.00-3.20%
Net Income Margin (%)3.17%3.58%12.74%
P/E Multiple17.2211.48-33.34%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)460.30453.701.43%
Cumulative Contribution-26.20%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TGT-27.0% 
Market (SPY)47.7%38.6%
Sector (XLP)14.6%38.6%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TGT Return40%33%-34%-1%-2%-24%-10%
Peers Return34%32%-18%32%42%4%183%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%113%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TGT Win Rate50%67%42%50%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate65%67%42%67%68%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TGT Max Drawdown-29%-3%-39%-28%-12%-35% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-9%-27%-4%-3%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WMT, AMZN, COST, HD, KR. See TGT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTGTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven153.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven132 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven243 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven176.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,508 days1,480 days

Compare to AMZN, WMT, COST, TJX, ROST

In The Past

Target's stock fell -60.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -60.6% loss requires a 153.7% gain to breakeven.

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About Target (TGT)

Target Corporation operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States. The company offers food assortments, including perishables, dry grocery, dairy, and frozen items; apparel, accessories, home décor products, electronics, toys, seasonal offerings, food, and other merchandise; and beauty and household essentials. It also provides in-store amenities, such as Target Café, Target Optical, Starbucks, and other food service offerings. The company sells its products through its stores; and digital channels, including Target.com. As of March 09, 2022, the company operated approximately 2,000 stores. Target Corporation was incorporated in 1902 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

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Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Target:

  • A more design-focused and trendier Walmart.
  • A highly affordable Macy's that also sells groceries.

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  • Apparel & Accessories: Clothing, shoes, and various fashion accessories for men, women, and children.
  • Home Goods: Furniture, kitchenware, bedding, bath products, and other items for household furnishing and decoration.
  • Food & Beverage: A wide range of groceries, including fresh produce, packaged foods, and assorted drinks.
  • Health & Beauty: Cosmetics, skincare, personal hygiene products, and over-the-counter medications.
  • Electronics & Entertainment: Televisions, computers, video games, toys, and other consumer technology and leisure items.
  • Pharmacy Services (Healthcare Service): Providing prescription fulfillment and basic health consultations through in-store pharmacies.

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Target (TGT) is a major retail company that primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers, rather than to other businesses.

Based on its broad appeal and extensive product offerings, Target serves a diverse customer base, which can be categorized into the following:

  • Families (especially those with young children): This significant segment relies on Target for a wide array of needs, including groceries, household essentials, children's apparel, toys, and home goods. Target's convenient one-stop shopping experience, value propositions, and family-friendly environment make it a frequent destination for parents.
  • Young Adults and Millennials: Attracted by Target's blend of trendy design and affordability, this demographic often shops for fashion-forward apparel, stylish home decor (particularly for apartments and first homes), beauty products, electronics, and small appliances. They appreciate Target's "cheap chic" aesthetic and the integration of online and in-store shopping options.
  • Value-conscious and Convenience-seeking Shoppers: This broad category encompasses individuals who prioritize both competitive pricing and the ease of finding a wide range of products under one roof. They shop at Target for everyday necessities such as groceries, household staples, personal care items, and seasonal goods, valuing the company's attractive private label brands (e.g., Good & Gather, Up&Up, Threshold) and organized store layouts.

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Brian Cornell, Chair and Chief Executive Officer

Brian Cornell has served as Chair and Chief Executive Officer of Target Corporation since August 2014. He is credited with revitalizing the company through a digital-first strategy, store modernization, and the expansion of private-label brands. Cornell has over 30 years of leadership experience in retail and consumer product companies. Prior to Target, he held CEO roles at PepsiCo Americas Foods, Sam's Club, and Michaels Stores, Inc. He also served as Chief Marketing Officer at Safeway Inc. Cornell currently serves on the National Retail Federation's executive committee, is chair of The Business Council, and is the non-executive chairman of Yum! Brands. He earned a bachelor's degree from UCLA.

Jim Lee, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Jim Lee serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Target Corporation. In this role, he is responsible for the enterprise strategy and partnerships. Further detailed background information beyond his current role at Target is not readily available in the provided sources. No information was found regarding Jim Lee founding or managing other companies, selling companies he was previously involved with, or a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.

Michael Fiddelke, Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer and Incoming CEO

Michael Fiddelke is the Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, and he is slated to become Target's next CEO, succeeding Brian Cornell, effective February 1, 2026. Fiddelke joined Target in 2003 as an intern and has since held various leadership positions across finance, merchandising, human resources, and operations. He previously served as Chief Financial Officer from late 2019 until February 2024. As COO, he oversees Target's nearly 2,000 stores, global supply chain network, fulfillment services (including same-day delivery with Shipt), enterprise services, and properties. Fiddelke also spearheads Target's enterprise efficiency efforts and the new "Enterprise Acceleration Office" aimed at streamlining operations and integrating technology and data. Before joining Target, he spent three years at Deloitte Consulting, LLP. He holds an MBA from Northwestern University's Kellogg School of Management and a Bachelor of Science in industrial engineering from the University of Iowa. No information was found regarding Michael Fiddelke founding or managing other companies (beyond internal Target roles), selling companies he was previously involved with, or a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.

Christina Hennington, Executive Vice President and Chief Strategy and Growth Officer

Christina Hennington is the Executive Vice President and Chief Strategy and Growth Officer for Target, a role she assumed in June 2025, after serving as Chief Growth Officer since 2021. She joined Target in 2003 as a buyer and has since progressed through various merchandising leadership roles, including beauty, toys, electronics, and essentials. Hennington has been instrumental in initiatives that generated over $30 billion in growth and developed Target's roadmap for growth. She spearheaded the sale of Target's pharmacy business to CVS and the creation of an industry-leading partnership with Ulta Beauty. Before her tenure at Target, Hennington worked as a consultant with PricewaterhouseCoopers in Boston and served as a product manager for two technology start-up businesses. She holds a bachelor's degree from Cornell University and an M.B.A. from the Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University.

Jill Sando, Executive Vice President and Chief Merchandising Officer of Apparel & Accessories, Home and Hardlines

Jill Sando is the Executive Vice President and Chief Merchandising Officer of Apparel & Accessories, Home and Hardlines, and a member of Target's leadership team. She joined Target in 1997 as an associate buyer and has since held numerous positions across merchandising, planning, and product design & development. Sando is responsible for all buying across the company's discretionary categories and has played a key role in reimagining Target's multi-billion-dollar owned brand portfolio and its affordability strategy. Prior to joining Target, Sando began her retail career with Younkers department store in Des Moines, Iowa. She earned a bachelor's degree in Marketing and Communications from the University of North Dakota.

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The key risks to Target Corporation's business include the highly competitive retail landscape and evolving consumer behavior, macroeconomic conditions impacting consumer spending, and supply chain disruptions and costs.

  1. Competitive Landscape and Evolving Consumer Behavior: Target faces significant risks from intense competition within the retail industry, including from e-commerce giants and other brick-and-mortar retailers. The company's ability to differentiate itself through price, merchandise assortment, store environment, convenience, and service is crucial. Failure to anticipate and adapt to rapidly changing consumer preferences and shopping patterns, particularly the ongoing migration to digital channels and the demand for multiple fulfillment options, could adversely affect sales and financial performance.
  2. Macroeconomic Conditions and Consumer Spending: Target's financial results are highly sensitive to broader economic conditions, including recessions, inflation, and shifts in consumer confidence and spending patterns. Weak consumer demand, especially for discretionary goods, and the impact of economic pressures on the middle class can directly lead to lower sales, reduced profitability, and increased inventory markdowns.
  3. Supply Chain Disruptions, Costs, and Inventory Management: The company is exposed to risks associated with disruptions in its supply chain, which can stem from various factors such as geopolitical events, natural disasters, or labor disputes. Rising commodity and transportation costs also directly impact profitability. Additionally, the effective management of inventory, including mitigating losses due to damage, theft (including organized retail crime), and spoilage, is critical to its operational efficiency and financial condition.

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The rapid rise and market penetration of ultra-low-cost e-commerce platforms like Shein and Temu. These platforms have seen explosive growth in the U.S. market since 2022 (Temu) and scaled significantly (Shein), introducing a new competitive dynamic. Target's business model relies on attracting customers with a blend of value, style, and convenience across general merchandise, apparel, home goods, and electronics. Shein and Temu directly compete in many of these categories, particularly apparel and home essentials, by offering significantly lower price points and an ever-changing, vast inventory directly sourced from manufacturers. This model appeals to price-sensitive consumers and younger demographics seeking trendy items at extreme discounts, potentially diverting sales from Target's core offerings and eroding its "cheap chic" appeal. Their direct-to-consumer from China model also presents supply chain and cost structure challenges that traditional retailers struggle to match.

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Target Corporation (TGT) primarily operates within the U.S. retail market, offering a wide array of products and services across various categories. The addressable markets for its main product and service categories in the U.S. are substantial:

  • Groceries/Food & Beverage: The U.S. grocery retail market was valued at over $900 billion in 2025. Other estimates place the U.S. food and grocery retailing market at USD 1.74 trillion in 2024, with projections to reach USD 2.41 trillion by 2034. The Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in the United States is estimated at $883.1 billion in 2025.
  • Apparel and Accessories: The United States apparel market is among the largest globally, with an estimated size of $365.70 billion in 2025. Other data indicates the U.S. apparel market was valued at $353.20 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $447.73 billion by 2034. Another source states the market size as around $395 billion in 2025.
  • Home Goods/Home Decor/Home Furnishings: The U.S. home decor market generated a revenue of USD 237.87 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 392.56 billion by 2030. Separately, the U.S. Home Decor Market size is estimated at USD 215.21 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 263.21 billion by 2030. The market size of Home Furnishings Stores in the U.S. was $90.5 billion in 2024 and $90.9 billion in 2025.
  • Electronics: The U.S. electronics and appliance stores market size stood at USD 92.61 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 111.32 billion by 2030. The Consumer Electronics Stores industry in the United States is estimated at $172.2 billion in 2025. The Consumer Electronics segment in the U.S. registered a market value of USD 115.73 billion in 2024.
  • Beauty & Personal Care: The U.S. beauty and personal care products market size was estimated at USD 102.73 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 155.44 billion by 2030. The market is estimated to be USD 130.25 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 154.35 billion by 2030.
  • Toys: The U.S. toy market reached USD 40.09 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 55.11 billion by 2032. Other estimates put the U.S. toy market at approximately $42.0 billion in 2024. The U.S. toys market size is expected to reach around US$ 42.93 billion by 2033, increasing from US$ 29.23 billion in 2024.

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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Target (TGT)

Target Corporation (TGT) is strategically positioning itself for future revenue growth over the next two to three years by focusing on several key initiatives:

  1. Enhanced Omnichannel Experience and Digital Growth: Target is heavily investing in blending its physical, digital, and social commerce shopping experiences to reinforce itself as a "destination for discovery." This includes accelerating growth in digital capabilities, particularly same-day services like Drive Up and same-day delivery powered by Target Circle 360. The company aims to triple its Target Circle 360 membership base over the next three years through new perks and benefits.

  2. Differentiated Product Assortment and Owned Brands: A core driver involves offering more newness, quality, and relevance across its product assortment. This multi-year initiative, starting in 2025, includes reimagining key categories such as gaming, sports, and toys with expanded assortments, refreshing home offerings with brands like Hearth & Hand with Magnolia and Threshold designed with Studio McGee, and launching new owned brand innovations and partnerships.

  3. Expansion of the Target Plus Marketplace: Target plans to significantly grow its third-party digital marketplace, Target Plus, with a goal to increase third-party digital sales from approximately $1 billion in 2024 to more than $5 billion by 2030. This expansion involves adding hundreds of new brands to attract guests and expand offerings.

  4. Optimized Supply Chain and Fulfillment: Investments in supply chain and fulfillment capabilities are crucial to increasing the ease, reliability, and speed of getting products to customers. Enhancements in areas like "Brown Box shipping" and the use of sortation centers are expected to drive efficiency and faster delivery times, leading to more sales.

  5. Strategic Store Development: Target plans to open around 20 new stores, primarily large formats, and remodel many existing stores in 2025 as part of an ongoing effort to add over 300 stores within a decade. These physical stores not only expand Target's reach but also serve as crucial hubs for powering more efficient fulfillment operations and fueling digital growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • Target had approximately $8.4 billion remaining under its share repurchase authorization as of August 2, 2025.
  • The company repurchased $251 million of stock during the first quarter of 2025.
  • In 2024, Target repurchased $1.11 billion worth of its shares.

Outbound Investments

  • Target's most recent acquisition was Deliv, an online platform providing last-mile delivery services, in May 2020.
  • The company has shown low acquisition activity in recent years, with an average of 0.2 acquisitions per year from 2019–2024, and no acquisitions completed in 2025 as of September.

Capital Expenditures

  • Target plans to invest $4-5 billion in capital expenditures in 2025, focusing on store network expansion, logistics, and digitalization.
  • Annual capital expenditures were $4.806 billion in 2024 and peaked at $5.528 billion in January 2023.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures includes opening approximately 20 new stores and remodeling many existing ones in 2025, along with continued investment in supply chain and technology projects.
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Better Bets than Target (TGT)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to TGT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.3%-2.3%-2.3%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.3%-6.3%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.4%-5.4%-5.4%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Target

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TGTWMTAMZNCOSTHDKRMedian
NameTarget Walmart Amazon.c.Costco W.Home Dep.Kroger  
Mkt Price95.20112.60228.43850.00346.3962.29170.51
Mkt Cap43.2897.92,429.8377.4344.040.8360.7
Rev LTM105,242703,061670,038280,391166,189147,225223,290
Op Inc LTM5,20428,97676,19010,65021,5361,55616,093
FCF LTM3,00915,26313,4819,00313,9272,26911,242
FCF 3Y Avg3,73214,98421,6777,60716,1062,25111,295
CFO LTM6,77440,977121,13714,76317,6496,06216,206
CFO 3Y Avg7,64637,58896,97712,60719,5186,13316,062

Growth & Margins

TGTWMTAMZNCOSTHDKRMedian
NameTarget Walmart Amazon.c.Costco W.Home Dep.Kroger  
Rev Chg LTM-2.2%4.3%10.9%8.3%7.5%-1.8%5.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.1%5.4%11.3%6.7%1.9%0.2%3.7%
Rev Chg Q-1.6%5.8%13.3%8.3%2.8%0.7%4.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.4%1.4%3.0%1.9%0.7%0.2%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM4.9%4.1%11.4%3.8%13.0%1.1%4.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.1%4.1%7.9%3.6%13.7%1.9%4.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%-0.1%0.3%0.0%-0.1%-1.6%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM6.4%5.8%18.1%5.3%10.6%4.1%6.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.2%5.6%15.8%4.8%12.4%4.1%6.4%
FCF/Rev LTM2.9%2.2%2.0%3.2%8.4%1.5%2.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.5%2.2%3.5%2.9%10.2%1.5%3.2%

Valuation

TGTWMTAMZNCOSTHDKRMedian
NameTarget Walmart Amazon.c.Costco W.Home Dep.Kroger  
Mkt Cap43.2897.92,429.8377.4344.040.8360.7
P/S0.41.33.61.32.10.31.3
P/EBIT8.127.028.533.615.927.827.4
P/E11.539.234.445.523.651.736.8
P/CFO6.421.920.125.619.56.719.8
Total Yield13.5%3.4%2.9%2.5%6.9%4.1%3.7%
Dividend Yield4.7%0.8%0.0%0.3%2.6%2.2%1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.0%2.5%1.1%2.3%4.5%5.9%3.5%
D/E0.50.10.10.00.20.60.1
Net D/E0.40.10.0-0.00.20.50.1

Returns

TGTWMTAMZNCOSTHDKRMedian
NameTarget Walmart Amazon.c.Costco W.Home Dep.Kroger  
1M Rtn8.7%7.1%3.5%-5.5%1.5%-5.7%2.5%
3M Rtn11.4%9.7%0.4%-9.8%-15.4%-2.9%-1.3%
6M Rtn0.9%15.6%9.6%-15.1%-1.8%-14.9%-0.4%
12M Rtn-24.4%23.2%1.6%-10.4%-9.6%2.8%-4.0%
3Y Rtn-26.2%143.7%168.0%91.4%17.3%45.1%68.3%
1M Excs Rtn8.6%0.1%0.0%-10.0%-0.3%-10.7%-0.2%
3M Excs Rtn7.4%6.7%0.2%-13.1%-18.5%-7.5%-3.7%
6M Excs Rtn-13.0%2.5%-5.5%-27.8%-15.6%-27.2%-14.3%
12M Excs Rtn-41.1%4.4%-13.6%-28.6%-27.0%-12.8%-20.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-105.0%64.5%81.7%14.3%-62.4%-23.4%-4.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Food & beverage23,89922,91820,30618,13515,039
Household essentials18,746    
Home furnishings & décor17,76019,46320,25518,23114,430
Apparel & accessories16,48517,64617,93114,77214,304
Hardlines16,16217,73918,61416,62612,595
Beauty12,538    
Credit card profit sharing667734710666680
Advertising revenue522    
Other4201,045921670448
Other merchandise sales213    
Beauty & household essentials 29,57527,26824,46120,616
Total107,412109,120106,00593,56178,112


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$95.20 
Market Cap ($ Bil)43.3 
First Trading Date04/06/1983 
Distance from 52W High-30.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$91.57$94.49
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA4.0%0.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility28.4%34.1%
Downside Capture55.87121.23
Upside Capture100.9375.31
Correlation (SPY)44.9%54.0%
TGT Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.001.201.141.340.930.87
Up Beta-0.800.680.961.060.940.88
Down Beta0.951.801.731.580.790.80
Up Capture127%107%60%104%65%38%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days8203063118358
Down Capture152%111%116%155%114%102%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days11213262130391

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of TGT With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 TGTSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-24.5%-1.8%14.7%67.3%6.8%-0.5%-16.6%
Annualized Volatility33.8%13.9%19.7%19.3%15.2%17.6%35.4%
Sharpe Ratio-0.78-0.370.572.540.23-0.18-0.25
Correlation With Other Assets 44.0%53.3%-9.0%18.1%51.0%23.8%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of TGT With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 TGTSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-8.4%5.8%15.0%18.9%11.8%5.1%35.8%
Annualized Volatility35.1%13.0%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.9%
Sharpe Ratio-0.170.240.710.980.510.180.63
Correlation With Other Assets 46.4%47.6%3.7%11.4%42.7%18.5%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of TGT With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 TGTSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return5.9%7.4%14.9%14.9%6.7%5.5%69.9%
Annualized Volatility33.0%14.7%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.260.380.710.840.300.230.90
Correlation With Other Assets 44.7%45.4%1.1%13.7%37.3%12.5%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity19,651,031
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202514.2%
Average Daily Volume9,882,706
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.99
Basic Shares Quantity453,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/19/2025-2.8%-2.2% 
8/20/2025-6.3%-8.8%-15.1%
5/21/2025-5.2%-2.2%-2.6%
3/4/2025-3.0%-5.7%-13.5%
11/20/2024-21.4%-18.3%-15.8%
8/21/202411.2%10.8%9.3%
5/22/2024-8.0%-5.2%-6.2%
3/5/202412.0%11.7%16.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1078
# Negative141716
Median Positive8.0%10.8%10.4%
Median Negative-5.0%-5.2%-12.2%
Max Positive17.8%18.1%27.4%
Max Negative-24.9%-30.3%-33.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251126202510-Q 11/1/2025
7312025829202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025530202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025312202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241127202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024830202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024531202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024313202410-K 1/31/2024
103120231122202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023825202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023526202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023308202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221123202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022826202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022527202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022309202210-K 1/29/2022