Tearsheet

Upwork (UPWK)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $20.18 | Market Cap: $2.7 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Upwork (UPWK)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $20.18
Market Cap: $2.7 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 8.2%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.2%
Key risks
UPWK key risks include [1] the potential for AI and automation to disrupt its core freelance job market, Show more.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Work. Themes include Remote Work Platforms, Gig Economy Platforms, and Talent Marketplaces.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 8.2%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Work. Themes include Remote Work Platforms, Gig Economy Platforms, and Talent Marketplaces.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.2%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
6 Key risks
UPWK key risks include [1] the potential for AI and automation to disrupt its core freelance job market, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

UPWK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Upwork (UPWK) experienced a 31.2% stock movement in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, driven by several key positive developments:

1. Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results and Upbeat Guidance. Upwork reported better-than-expected financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with non-GAAP earnings of $0.35 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 34.62%. Revenue also beat expectations at $195 million, climbing 0.9% year-over-year. The company provided robust guidance for 2025, including anticipated revenues between $765 million and $775 million and adjusted EBITDA between $206 million and $214 million, which contributed to a 10.2% jump in shares after the report. The company also highlighted an over $80 million lift in Gross Services Value (GSV) driven by AI platform enhancements, with AI-related work growing 30% year-over-year.

2. Announcement of a $100 Million Stock Buyback Program. On September 3, 2025, Upwork's board of directors approved a stock buyback plan authorizing the company to repurchase $100 million in outstanding shares, representing up to 4.9% of its stock. Such repurchase programs often signal management's confidence in the company's valuation and can act as a positive catalyst for the stock price.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
UPWK Return224%-1%-69%42%10%31%101%
Peers Return12%53%-28%23%-5%-26%8%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UPWK Win Rate75%58%8%50%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate57%72%33%52%43%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UPWK Max Drawdown-49%-8%-71%-27%-39%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-3%-35%-13%-16%-39% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, RHI, MAN, KFY, ASGN. See UPWK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventUPWKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-87.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven698.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven39 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-56.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven132.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven311 days120 days

Compare to Z, ZIP, STUB, WSHP, GOOGL


In The Past

Upwork's stock fell -87.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/13/2021. A -87.5% loss requires a 698.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Upwork (UPWK)

Better Bets than Upwork (UPWK)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to UPWK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.3%-4.3%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.4%-3.4%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.3%-0.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-27.9%-27.9%-29.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.3%-4.3%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.4%-3.4%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.3%-0.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-27.9%-27.9%-29.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Upwork

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UPWKMSFTRHIMANKFYASGNMedian
NameUpwork MicrosoftRobert H.Manpower.Korn Fer.ASGN  
Mkt Price20.19476.1228.2329.5169.0548.7339.12
Mkt Cap2.73,539.02.81.43.62.12.7
Rev LTM781293,8125,45817,6442,8423,9854,722
Op Inc LTM115135,937118226366248237
FCF LTM20178,017237-93273283255
FCF 3Y Avg11771,302410104260347304
CFO LTM223147,039292-35354326309
CFO 3Y Avg135121,384462170325386355

Growth & Margins

UPWKMSFTRHIMANKFYASGNMedian
NameUpwork MicrosoftRobert H.Manpower.Korn Fer.ASGN  
Rev Chg LTM2.5%15.6%-7.3%-2.4%3.7%-4.9%0.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.7%13.2%-9.1%-4.7%-0.1%-3.8%-1.9%
Rev Chg Q4.1%18.4%-7.5%2.3%7.0%-1.9%3.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%4.3%-2.0%0.6%1.7%-0.5%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM14.7%46.3%2.2%1.3%12.9%6.2%9.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.5%44.6%5.0%1.7%11.1%7.3%6.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%0.6%-0.8%-0.0%0.2%-0.2%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM28.6%50.0%5.4%-0.2%12.4%8.2%10.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.7%47.2%7.5%0.9%11.6%9.1%10.3%
FCF/Rev LTM25.7%26.6%4.3%-0.5%9.6%7.1%8.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg15.4%28.0%6.6%0.5%9.3%8.2%8.7%

Valuation

UPWKMSFTRHIMANKFYASGNMedian
NameUpwork MicrosoftRobert H.Manpower.Korn Fer.ASGN  
Mkt Cap2.73,539.02.81.43.62.12.7
P/S3.113.10.60.11.30.50.9
P/EBIT21.429.628.710.3-8.321.4
P/E9.936.721.8-83.913.815.814.8
P/CFO11.026.211.6-49.810.26.310.6
Total Yield10.1%3.4%11.5%2.9%8.6%6.3%7.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%6.9%4.1%1.4%0.0%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.3%2.3%6.8%2.0%-10.8%6.3%
D/E0.20.00.10.9-0.60.2
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-0.00.8-0.5-0.0

Returns

UPWKMSFTRHIMANKFYASGNMedian
NameUpwork MicrosoftRobert H.Manpower.Korn Fer.ASGN  
1M Rtn24.7%-6.2%10.3%8.1%8.7%17.3%9.5%
3M Rtn11.3%-6.5%-16.9%-19.9%-4.0%-1.6%-5.2%
6M Rtn50.9%-0.5%-29.1%-23.9%-1.5%-1.1%-1.3%
12M Rtn18.5%5.5%-59.6%-47.8%2.2%-44.1%-21.0%
3Y Rtn85.4%99.2%-56.6%-59.7%47.9%-40.0%3.9%
1M Excs Rtn24.0%-6.9%9.6%7.3%7.9%16.5%8.8%
3M Excs Rtn1.7%-7.5%-19.2%-21.8%-6.7%-6.3%-7.1%
6M Excs Rtn38.5%-12.9%-41.5%-36.3%-13.9%-13.5%-13.7%
12M Excs Rtn8.5%-3.8%-71.7%-60.7%-10.0%-55.7%-32.9%
3Y Excs Rtn7.7%24.6%-126.1%-129.5%-26.3%-111.5%-68.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Marketplace586518462338268
Enterprise103100   
Managed services  403532
Total689618503374301


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity22,149,728
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202591.4%
Average Daily Volume7,336,593
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.02
Basic Shares Quantity131,986,901
Short % of Basic Shares16.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/202513.2%12.6%25.3%
8/6/202513.6%17.9%35.5%
5/5/202518.0%30.6%14.5%
2/12/20256.6%7.9%-18.9%
10/23/202426.7%34.8%49.0%
8/7/2024-10.4%-9.7%-9.1%
5/1/20248.6%-0.3%-11.6%
2/14/2024-9.0%-14.0%-21.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141210
# Negative101214
Median Positive11.3%18.9%30.4%
Median Negative-10.2%-10.8%-19.7%
Max Positive44.2%53.3%58.1%
Max Negative-18.0%-20.3%-36.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021