Upwork (UPWK)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.52 | Market Cap: $2.6 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services
Upwork (UPWK)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.52Market Cap: $2.6 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Interactive Media & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 8.2% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.9%, Dist 3Y High is -3.9% | |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -1.1% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Work. Themes include Remote Work Platforms, Gig Economy Platforms, and Talent Marketplaces. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 8.2% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Work. Themes include Remote Work Platforms, Gig Economy Platforms, and Talent Marketplaces. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.9%, Dist 3Y High is -3.9% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -1.1% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
UPWK Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Upwork (UPWK) stock moved by 28.2% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Strong Q3 2025 Revenue Performance: Upwork reported its third-quarter earnings on November 3, 2025, with revenue reaching $201.73 million, exceeding analyst estimates of $193.33 million. This revenue beat, despite an earnings per share (EPS) miss, contributed to positive investor sentiment and helped fuel a stock rally.
2. Announcement of a $100 Million Stock Repurchase Program: On September 3, 2025, Upwork's Board of Directors authorized a stock repurchase program of $100 million. This strategic move, allowing the company to buy back up to 4.9% of its shares, signaled management's confidence in the company's valuation and could have boosted investor sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UPWK Return | 224% | -1% | -69% | 42% | 10% | 26% | 92% |
| Peers Return | 43% | 24% | -25% | 25% | 3% | 7% | 83% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UPWK Win Rate | 75% | 58% | 8% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 27% | 35% | 18% | 35% | 27% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UPWK Max Drawdown | -49% | -8% | -71% | -27% | -39% | -28% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -12% | -28% | -8% | -17% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: Z, ZIP, STUB, WSHP, GOOGL. See UPWK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UPWK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -87.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 698.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -49.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 39 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -56.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 132.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 311 days | 120 days |
Compare to Z, ZIP, STUB, WSHP, GOOGL
In The Past
Upwork's stock fell -87.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/13/2021. A -87.5% loss requires a 698.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Can Upwork Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return | ||
| UPWK's 17% One Month Pop Begs The Question: Is CARG Better Instead? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Upwork (UPWK) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Upwork (UPWK) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Upwork (UPWK) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Upwork (UPWK) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Upwork (UPWK) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Upwork (UPWK) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Upwork (UPWK) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Why Upwork Stock Moved: UPWK Stock Has Gained 78% Since 2022 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Big Move for UPWK, but Do CARG’s Margins and Growth Give It the Edge? | August 26th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to UPWK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.9% | 4.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -25.1% | -25.1% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.9% | 4.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -25.1% | -25.1% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Upwork
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 47.87 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.5 |
| Rev LTM | 1,632 |
| Op Inc LTM | 44 |
| FCF LTM | 175 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 152 |
| CFO LTM | 321 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 261 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.5 |
| P/S | 5.3 |
| P/EBIT | -13.4 |
| P/E | 0.7 |
| P/CFO | 21.3 |
| Total Yield | 2.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 12.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 18.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 77.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 12.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 4.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -10.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 20.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10262022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4272022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |