Tegna (TGNA)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $19.21 | Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Broadcasting
Tegna (TGNA)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $19.21Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Broadcasting
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 16%, FCF Yield is 21% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 88% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.0% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Video Streaming, and Ad-Tech Platforms. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 16%, FCF Yield is 21% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Video Streaming, and Ad-Tech Platforms. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 88% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.0% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
TGNA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Tegna reported a significant decline in its third-quarter 2025 financial results. The company's total revenue decreased by 19% year-over-year to $651 million, falling short of analyst consensus estimates. Additionally, GAAP net income saw a substantial 75% drop, totaling $37 million, and GAAP earnings per diluted share were $0.23, down from $0.89 in the previous year.
2. Advertising and Marketing Services (AMS) revenue experienced a notable decrease. This segment's revenue declined by 12% due to ongoing macroeconomic challenges, the cyclical absence of Summer Olympic games, and reduced Premion-related revenue following the exit of a major exclusive reseller partner.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TGNA Return | -15% | 36% | 16% | -26% | 24% | 7% | 31% |
| Peers Return | -10% | 234% | -42% | -17% | -2% | 13% | 61% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TGNA Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 42% | 33% | 58% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 32% | 32% | 37% | 33% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TGNA Max Drawdown | -39% | 0% | -2% | -34% | -15% | -17% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -12% | -45% | -22% | -29% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMC, CABO, CAST, WBD, FOXA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TGNA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -44.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 78.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 325 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -38.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 595 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -96.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3136.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to AMC, CABO, CAST, WBD, FOXA
In The Past
Tegna's stock fell -39.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/3/2022. A -39.7% loss requires a 65.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| How Low Can Tegna Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| With TGNA Up 34% in a Week, Is It Time to Compare It Against IBKR? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Day 5 of Gains Streak for Tegna Stock with 40% Return (vs. 17% YTD) [8/14/2025] | Notification | ||
| How Does Tegna Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than TGNA Stock: Pay Less Than Tegna To Get More From CALM, PTCT | |||
| Tegna (TGNA) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Tegna (TGNA) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Tegna (TGNA) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Tegna (TGNA) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Tegna (TGNA) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| TGNA Stock Up 40% after 5-Day Win Streak | August 15th, 2025 | ||
| Market Movers | Winners: TLRY, TGNA, MLNK | Losers: OMI, AI, MAX | August 12th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TGNA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.9% | 4.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -25.1% | -25.1% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.9% | 4.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -25.1% | -25.1% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Tegna
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 24.54 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
| Rev LTM | 3,950 |
| Op Inc LTM | 569 |
| FCF LTM | 437 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 568 |
| CFO LTM | 602 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 638 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | -4.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 3.6 |
| P/E | 5.9 |
| P/CFO | 4.4 |
| Total Yield | 1.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 18.3% |
| D/E | 1.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.9 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 20.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 2.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -14.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 4.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -67.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11042021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Trelstad Lynn B. | EVP and COO, Media Operations | 4112025 | Sell | 15.92 | 40,000 | 636,800 | 1,742,166 | Form |
| 1 | Trelstad Lynn B. | EVP and COO, Media Operations | 3122025 | Sell | 17.74 | 40,000 | 709,600 | 2,650,933 | Form |
| 2 | Cox Thomas R. | See Remarks | 12102024 | Sell | 18.73 | 77,873 | 1,458,172 | 784,654 | Form |
| 3 | Heskett Julie | SVP and CFO | 12102024 | Sell | 18.65 | 20,000 | 373,080 | 443,045 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |