Tearsheet

Match (MTCH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $32.5 | Market Cap: $7.8 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Match (MTCH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $32.5
Market Cap: $7.8 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -92%
Key risks
MTCH key risks include [1] declining user engagement and monetization at its flagship Tinder brand and [2] reputational damage and regulatory costs stemming from user safety incidents on its platforms.
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Connection & Socialization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Dating Platforms, and Online Marketplaces.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Connection & Socialization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Dating Platforms, and Online Marketplaces.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -92%
6 Key risks
MTCH key risks include [1] declining user engagement and monetization at its flagship Tinder brand and [2] reputational damage and regulatory costs stemming from user safety incidents on its platforms.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MTCH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period (August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025) is in the future. Therefore, I cannot provide factual key points for why Match Group (MTCH) stock moved by -12.5% during that specific future period.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MTCH Return144%-13%-69%-12%-10%1%-47%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MTCH Win Rate75%42%17%42%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MTCH Max Drawdown-42%-19%-70%-31%-20%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VMEO, STUB, WSHP, GOOGL, META. See MTCH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMTCHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-83.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven517.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven95.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven74 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven147 days120 days

Compare to VMEO, STUB, WSHP, GOOGL, META


In The Past

Match's stock fell -83.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/21/2021. A -83.8% loss requires a 517.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Match (MTCH)

Better Bets than Match (MTCH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MTCH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%
MTCH_11302024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11302024MTCHMatchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.5%4.1%-16.5%
MTCH_9302023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302023MTCHMatchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.4%-3.5%-27.4%
MTCH#57665R106_1312020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%01312020MTCHMatch II [DELISTED]QualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
74.0%136.9%-39.5%
MTCH#57665R106_5312018_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312018MTCHMatch II [DELISTED]QualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.5%75.3%-14.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%
MTCH_11302024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11302024MTCHMatchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.5%4.1%-16.5%
MTCH_9302023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302023MTCHMatchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.4%-3.5%-27.4%
MTCH#57665R106_1312020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%01312020MTCHMatch II [DELISTED]QualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
74.0%136.9%-39.5%
MTCH#57665R106_5312018_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312018MTCHMatch II [DELISTED]QualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.5%75.3%-14.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Match

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MTCHVMEOSTUBWSHPGOOGLMETAMedian
NameMatch Vimeo Stubhub WeShop Alphabet Meta Pla. 
Mkt Price32.51-13.99118.11296.72649.50118.11
Mkt Cap7.8-5.2-3,586.21,634.8821.3
Rev LTM3,469-1,829-385,477189,45796,463
Op Inc LTM831--1,243-124,07781,89541,363
FCF LTM963-6-73,55244,84122,902
FCF 3Y Avg881---68,99845,04445,044
CFO LTM1,012-32-151,424107,57454,293
CFO 3Y Avg937---120,99085,51385,513

Growth & Margins

MTCHVMEOSTUBWSHPGOOGLMETAMedian
NameMatch Vimeo Stubhub WeShop Alphabet Meta Pla. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.5%-14.6%-13.4%21.3%14.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.7%---11.0%17.3%11.0%
Rev Chg Q2.1%-7.9%-15.9%26.2%11.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.5%-1.9%-3.8%6.0%2.9%
Op Mgn LTM24.0%--68.0%-32.2%43.2%28.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg25.8%---29.9%37.4%29.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.8%--75.6%--0.5%-0.8%-0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM29.2%-1.7%-39.3%56.8%34.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg27.4%---35.3%54.0%35.3%
FCF/Rev LTM27.7%-0.3%-19.1%23.7%21.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg25.8%---20.5%29.0%25.8%

Valuation

MTCHVMEOSTUBWSHPGOOGLMETAMedian
NameMatch Vimeo Stubhub WeShop Alphabet Meta Pla. 
Mkt Cap7.8-5.2-3,586.21,634.8821.3
P/S2.4-2.9-7.69.85.2
P/EBIT10.2---19.321.719.3
P/E15.1--4.0-23.631.619.4
P/CFO8.4-164.1-19.417.218.3
Total Yield8.3%--25.1%-4.6%3.5%4.0%
Dividend Yield1.7%-0.0%-0.3%0.3%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.3%---3.3%3.6%3.6%
D/E0.5---0.00.00.0
Net D/E0.4----0.00.00.0

Returns

MTCHVMEOSTUBWSHPGOOGLMETAMedian
NameMatch Vimeo Stubhub WeShop Alphabet Meta Pla. 
1M Rtn2.9%-9.1%198.9%4.2%8.0%8.0%
3M Rtn-13.0%--36.4%-19.0%-16.1%-14.6%
6M Rtn8.5%---71.5%-6.5%8.5%
12M Rtn5.4%---52.4%5.2%5.4%
3Y Rtn-20.7%---231.2%447.6%231.2%
1M Excs Rtn2.2%-8.4%198.2%3.4%7.2%7.2%
3M Excs Rtn-16.6%--33.1%-16.5%-18.0%-17.3%
6M Excs Rtn-3.9%---59.1%-18.9%-3.9%
12M Excs Rtn-5.3%---45.9%-6.0%-5.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-92.0%---152.0%401.7%152.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Tinder1,964    
Evergreen & Emerging701    
Hinge396    
Match Group ( MG) Asia303    
Eliminations0    
Connections 3,1892,9832,391 
Dating    2,051
Total3,3653,1892,9832,3912,051


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Tinder956    
Evergreen & Emerging82    
Hinge74    
Match Group ( MG) Asia-9    
Corporate and unallocated costs-187    
Total917    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,748,624
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202525.3%
Average Daily Volume3,281,424
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.89
Basic Shares Quantity240,510,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20255.2%4.4%9.4%
8/5/202510.5%8.0%10.9%
5/8/2025-9.6%-3.2%4.8%
2/4/2025-7.9%-7.0%-14.1%
11/6/2024-17.9%-18.8%-13.1%
7/30/202413.2%5.9%9.1%
5/7/2024-5.4%1.4%3.8%
1/30/20241.7%-4.5%-4.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131111
# Negative101212
Median Positive4.9%4.7%8.7%
Median Negative-7.9%-8.4%-13.4%
Max Positive13.2%12.8%13.8%
Max Negative-17.9%-18.8%-26.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021