Brand House Collective (TBHC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.25 | Market Cap: $27.6 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Home Improvement Retail
Brand House Collective (TBHC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.25Market Cap: $27.6 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Home Improvement Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.9% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.5% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 21.72 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.9% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.5% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 21.72 |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
TBHC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting why Brand House Collective (TBHC) stock moved by -18.7% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025: **1. Poor Second Quarter 2025 Financial Performance.** The Brand House Collective reported its second-quarter fiscal 2025 financial results on September 16, 2025, revealing a decline in net sales to $75.8 million from $86.3 million in the prior year quarter, alongside a 9.7% decrease in consolidated comparable sales. The company also announced a net loss of $20.2 million, or $0.90 per diluted share, and cited factors such as liquidation activities to optimize inventory, a write-off of inventory damaged by a tornado, and increased tariff costs for a decline in merchandise margin. **2. Merger Agreement with Bed Bath & Beyond Announced.** On November 25, 2025, it was announced that Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) would acquire The Brand House Collective (TBHC) in a merger agreement with an equity value of approximately $26.8 million based on stock prices from November 21, 2025. TBHC shareholders are set to receive 0.1993 shares of Bed Bath & Beyond common stock for each TBHC share. While aimed at long-term savings and growth, such an acquisition, especially if the terms are perceived as unfavorable or introduce uncertainty, can lead to a stock price decline for the acquired entity. **3. Investor Rights Law Firm Investigation into the Merger.** Adding to market uncertainty, Halper Sadeh LLC, an investor rights law firm, announced on December 1, 2025, that it was investigating The Brand House Collective for potential violations of federal securities laws and/or breaches of fiduciary duties to shareholders related to its sale to Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc. This type of legal scrutiny can contribute to negative investor sentiment and pressure on the stock price. **4. Bearish Stock Forecasts and Overall Market Sentiment.** During this period, Brand House Collective's stock faced a generally bearish outlook from technical analysis. As of November 29, 2025, the overall stock forecast sentiment was bearish, with predictions indicating a potential further drop in share value. Analysts also noted that TBHC had underperformed both the US Specialty Retail industry and the broader US market over the past year. **5. Planned Closure of Underperforming Stores.** As part of the strategic merger with Bed Bath & Beyond, the combined entity identified plans to close more than 40 underperforming or non-strategic stores in early 2026. While intended to improve efficiency, the announcement of significant store closures can signal ongoing operational challenges and may be viewed by investors as a near-term negative for revenue and profitability, contributing to a stock price decline.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TBHC Return | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Return | 39% | 37% | -17% | 23% | -3% | -6% | 77% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TBHC Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 50% | 28% | 45% | 43% | 51% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TBHC Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -3% | -29% | -6% | -13% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HD, HVT, TBHC, LOW, FND.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
TBHC has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.
| Event | XLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 680 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 150.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 779 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TBHC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Brand House Collective
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 66.30 |
| Mkt Cap | 72.6 |
| Rev LTM | 4,600 |
| Op Inc LTM | 306 |
| FCF LTM | 39 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 90 |
| CFO LTM | 417 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 556 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -4.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 72.6 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 16.7 |
| P/E | 21.5 |
| P/CFO | 15.8 |
| Total Yield | 7.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -12.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -11.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 3.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -18.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -24.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -64.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 4302025 | 6172025 | 10-Q 5/3/2025 |
| 1312025 | 5022025 | 10-K 2/1/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12062024 | 10-Q 11/2/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9052024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6062024 | 10-Q 5/4/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3292024 | 10-K 2/3/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11302023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9062023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6082023 | 10-Q 4/29/2023 |
| 1312023 | 4042023 | 10-K 1/28/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12022022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
| 7312022 | 8302022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
| 4302022 | 5312022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3252022 | 10-K 1/29/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12022021 | 10-Q 10/30/2021 |
| 7312021 | 9022021 | 10-Q 7/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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