Champion Homes (SKY)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $86.07 | Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding
Champion Homes (SKY)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $86.07Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Homebuilding
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -9.5% | Key risksSKY key risks include [1] reduced orders and margins due to high sensitivity to interest rates, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% | ||
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | ||
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -25% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Housing. Themes include Affordable Housing Solutions, Modular & Industrialized Construction, and Energy-Efficient Prefabricated Homes. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -25% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Housing. Themes include Affordable Housing Solutions, Modular & Industrialized Construction, and Energy-Efficient Prefabricated Homes. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -9.5% |
| Key risksSKY key risks include [1] reduced orders and margins due to high sensitivity to interest rates, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SKY Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is in the future. As an AI model, I do not have access to real-time or future stock market data and news, and therefore, I cannot provide an analysis of why Champion Homes (SKY) stock moved by 14% during this future period. However, the search results do provide some forward-looking analyst predictions and general company news for Champion Homes (SKY) around the requested time frame, though they do not specifically address a 14% movement or provide "key points" in the past tense for the future period as requested. For example, some sources offer stock price forecasts for SKY in 2025 and beyond. One forecast suggests that Skyline Champion (SKY) could have an average annualized price of $94.45 in 2025, potentially resulting in a return on investment of 14.25% compared to current rates. Recent news for Champion Homes (SKY) from late 2025 includes the appointment of Dave McKinstray as EVP, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer on December 2, 2025, and the announcement of second-quarter fiscal 2026 results on November 4, 2025. Champion Homes also reported a robust third quarter for fiscal 2025, demonstrating significant year-over-year growth driven by strong demand across its sales channels, with net sales increasing by 15.3% year-over-year to $645 million, and total homes sold increasing by 13% year-over-year, reaching 6,646 units. These past announcements provide context to the company's performance leading up to and during parts of the specified future period. Please note that these are forward-looking statements or past reports and do not explain a 14% stock movement in the future as a factual event.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SKY Return | -2% | 155% | -35% | 44% | 19% | -2% | 172% |
| Peers Return | 13% | 61% | -23% | 71% | 4% | 6% | 163% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SKY Win Rate | 50% | 83% | 25% | 67% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 73% | 42% | 57% | 53% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SKY Max Drawdown | -61% | -3% | -45% | 0% | -12% | -32% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -48% | -4% | -44% | -1% | -11% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CVCO, LEGH, DHI, LEN, PHM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SKY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 91.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 624 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -66.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 196.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 305 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -65.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 193.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 219 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -64.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 179.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4,358 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to SSD, SONO, LEG, HELE, DHI
In The Past
Champion Homes's stock fell -47.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/8/2021. A -47.9% loss requires a 91.9% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SKY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
| 05312025 | SKY | Champion Homes | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 31.3% | 31.5% | -7.8% |
| 08312022 | SKY | Champion Homes | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 20.8% | 25.8% | -17.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
| 05312025 | SKY | Champion Homes | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 31.3% | 31.5% | -7.8% |
| 08312022 | SKY | Champion Homes | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 20.8% | 25.8% | -17.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Champion Homes
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 117.52 |
| Mkt Cap | 14.5 |
| Rev LTM | 10,124 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,832 |
| FCF LTM | 192 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,038 |
| CFO LTM | 229 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,117 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | -2.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 14.5 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 10.7 |
| P/E | 13.1 |
| P/CFO | 16.5 |
| Total Yield | 8.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 25.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -5.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 68.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 12.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 10.1% | 26.3% | 28.4% |
| 8/5/2025 | 4.5% | 5.9% | 19.1% |
| 5/27/2025 | -16.4% | -24.6% | -26.8% |
| 2/4/2025 | 13.5% | 13.9% | 6.6% |
| 10/28/2024 | -1.6% | 0.1% | 13.9% |
| 8/6/2024 | 11.1% | 15.7% | 20.2% |
| 5/21/2024 | -7.4% | -10.8% | -8.1% |
| 2/5/2024 | 11.9% | 15.3% | 16.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 15 | 15 |
| # Negative | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 10.1% | 15.3% | 16.0% |
| Median Negative | -10.6% | -10.8% | -8.6% |
| Max Positive | 18.9% | 26.3% | 28.4% |
| Max Negative | -16.4% | -24.6% | -29.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5272025 | 10-K 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-Q 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5292024 | 10-K 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2062024 | 10-Q 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5302023 | 10-K 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2072023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5242022 | 10-K 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-Q 1/1/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |