Legacy Housing (LEGH)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $20.22 | Market Cap: $482.6 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding
Legacy Housing (LEGH)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $20.22Market Cap: $482.6 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Homebuilding
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3.6x |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.6% | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 30% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Housing, and Demographic & Societal Shifts. Themes include Affordable Housing Solutions, Modular & Prefabricated Construction, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 30% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Housing, and Demographic & Societal Shifts. Themes include Affordable Housing Solutions, Modular & Prefabricated Construction, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3.6x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.6% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LEGH Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for Legacy Housing's stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:
1. Legacy Housing reported a substantial miss in its Third Quarter 2025 earnings and revenue. The company's actual earnings per share (EPS) of $0.35 were significantly below the forecast of $0.58, representing a negative surprise of 39.66%. Revenue also fell short, coming in at $40.48 million compared to the expected $45.97 million, an 11.94% miss.
2. The company experienced a significant decline in net income and severe margin compression during Q3 2025. Net income decreased by 45.3% to $8.6 million compared to the prior year, with the net income margin dropping from 35.7% to 21.4%. Product gross margin fell approximately 900 basis points, largely due to increased input costs and tariffs.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LEGH Return | -9% | 75% | -28% | 33% | -2% | -18% | 21% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 55% | -21% | 75% | 7% | 10% | 190% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LEGH Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 75% | 38% | 58% | 58% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LEGH Max Drawdown | -48% | -7% | -53% | -5% | -22% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -47% | -4% | -41% | -0% | -7% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CVCO, DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LEGH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -54.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 119.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 745 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -48.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 151 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -36.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 142 days | 120 days |
Compare to CVCO, DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR
In The Past
Legacy Housing's stock fell -54.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/18/2022. A -54.4% loss requires a 119.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LEGH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Legacy Housing
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 144.31 |
| Mkt Cap | 23.4 |
| Rev LTM | 14,049 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,589 |
| FCF LTM | 736 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,652 |
| CFO LTM | 765 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,720 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -5.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 23.4 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | 10.2 |
| P/E | 12.8 |
| P/CFO | 16.5 |
| Total Yield | 8.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -8.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 78.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -16.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 5.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -24.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 7.8% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 9232022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 9122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 8032022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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