Shenandoah Telecommunications (SHEN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.82 | Market Cap: $596.7 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Wireless Telecommunication Services
Shenandoah Telecommunications (SHEN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.82Market Cap: $596.7 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Wireless Telecommunication Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -101%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.3% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.52 | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, and Wireless Services. | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -71% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.3% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, and Wireless Services. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -101%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.52 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.3% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -71% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.3% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SHEN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Shenandoah Telecommunications (SHEN) experienced a stock decline of -17.8% during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors.
1. Significant Increase in Net Loss: The company reported a net loss from continuing operations of $9.4 million in the third quarter of 2025, which is a considerable increase from the $5.3 million net loss reported in the third quarter of 2024. This nearly doubled loss likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.
2. Decline in Incumbent Broadband Markets Revenue: Shenandoah Telecommunications' Incumbent Broadband Markets segment saw a revenue decline of $1.6 million, primarily due to a 14.9% decrease in video revenue-generating units (RGUs). This indicates challenges in a traditional service area as customers shift to alternative streaming options.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SHEN Return | 5% | -6% | -37% | 37% | -41% | -14% | -57% |
| Peers Return | 22% | -18% | -33% | 3% | 21% | 22% | 1% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SHEN Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 33% | 42% | 17% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 30% | 32% | 43% | 58% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SHEN Max Drawdown | -6% | -10% | -38% | 0% | -42% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -31% | -26% | -43% | -29% | -19% | -42% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EGHT, CAMP, SNCR, TMUS, SATS. See SHEN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SHEN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -74.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 286.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -27.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 286 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 179 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -50.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 100.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 168 days | 1480 days |
Compare to EGHT, CAMP, SNCR, TMUS, SATS
In The Past
Shenandoah Telecommunications's stock fell -74.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/6/2021. A -74.1% loss requires a 286.2% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SHEN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 05312020 | SHEN | Shenandoah Telecommunications | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -13.1% | -4.5% | -25.6% |
| 12312018 | SHEN | Shenandoah Telecommunications | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -13.4% | -5.2% | -32.9% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 05312020 | SHEN | Shenandoah Telecommunications | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -13.1% | -4.5% | -25.6% |
| 12312018 | SHEN | Shenandoah Telecommunications | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -13.4% | -5.2% | -32.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Shenandoah Telecommunications
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.04 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 537 |
| Op Inc LTM | -5 |
| FCF LTM | -4 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 15 |
| CFO LTM | 74 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 89 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -0.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 1.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -3.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | 1.8 |
| P/E | -4.2 |
| P/CFO | 6.7 |
| Total Yield | -9.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| D/E | 1.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.9 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -26.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -33.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -13.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -38.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -105.9% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Residential & Small and Medium Business (SMB) - Incumbent Broadband Markets | 177 | ||||
| Commercial Fiber | 42 | ||||
| Residential & Small and Medium Business (SMB) - Glo Fiber Expansion Markets | 35 | ||||
| Rural Local Exchange Carrier (RLEC) & Other | 15 | ||||
| Broadband | 249 | 228 | 204 | 194 | |
| Corporate & Eliminations | -1 | -1 | -1 | -0 | |
| Tower | 19 | 18 | 17 | 13 | |
| Total | 269 | 267 | 245 | 221 | 207 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |