Lottery.com (SEGG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.5 | Market Cap: $4.4 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Casinos & Gaming
Lottery.com (SEGG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.5Market Cap: $4.4 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Casinos & Gaming
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -143%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1462% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 142% | ||
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3.7x | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -85%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -25% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -240%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -309% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -690% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 1185% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -143%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1462% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 142% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3.7x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -85%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -25% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -240%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -309% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -690% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 1185% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SEGG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Reverse Stock Split. SEGG Media implemented a 1-for-10 reverse stock split effective August 29, 2025, a move often associated with efforts to maintain listing compliance or attract institutional investors, but which can also lead to short-term volatility and negative investor perception.
2. Going Concern Doubts. In its Q2 2025 10-Q, filed on August 19, 2025, Lottery.com reported continued operating losses and approximately negative $15.3 million in working capital, with management expressing substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SEGG Return | 13% | -47% | -97% | -23% | -82% | -75% | -100% |
| Peers Return | 23% | 54% | -7% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 98% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SEGG Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 17% | 50% | 33% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 40% | 48% | 53% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SEGG Max Drawdown | -2% | -59% | -97% | -63% | -91% | -88% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -66% | -15% | -32% | -16% | -18% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CHDN, BYD, MCRI, FLL, LVS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SEGG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -99.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23871.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -14.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -0.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 0.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 8 days | 120 days |
Compare to CHDN, BYD, MCRI, FLL, LVS
In The Past
Lottery.com's stock fell -99.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -99.6% loss requires a 23871.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is Lottery.com Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SEGG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lottery.com
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 74.72 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| Rev LTM | 1,712 |
| Op Inc LTM | 414 |
| FCF LTM | 194 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 118 |
| CFO LTM | 484 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 440 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 21.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 24.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| P/S | 2.7 |
| P/EBIT | 5.4 |
| P/E | 10.3 |
| P/CFO | 8.8 |
| Total Yield | 5.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -3.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 14.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -0.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -17.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -56.8% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8192025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5212025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 12162024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8192024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5202024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4032024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11302023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8222023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6162023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 6152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 5242023 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 5222023 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 3312021 | 5152023 | 10-Q/A 3/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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