Shoe Carnival (SCVL)
Market Price (5/5/2026): $17.125 | Market Cap: $468.5 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Shoe Carnival (SCVL)
Market Price (5/5/2026): $17.125Market Cap: $468.5 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.0%, FCF Yield is 5.7% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.4% Key risksSCVL key risks include [1] the significant financial and execution risk tied to its "One Banner Strategy," which involves a costly, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.0%, FCF Yield is 5.7% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.4% |
| Key risksSCVL key risks include [1] the significant financial and execution risk tied to its "One Banner Strategy," which involves a costly, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Shoe Carnival's Fiscal 2026 earnings guidance fell below analyst expectations, signaling a challenging period. The company issued Fiscal 2026 earnings per share (EPS) guidance in the range of $1.40 to $1.60, which was below the consensus estimate of $1.73 per share. This updated outlook reflected a projected "modest earnings reset" and indicated that the first half of Fiscal 2026 is expected to be more challenging for the company.
2. The company's rebannering strategy and comparable store sales performance underperformed expectations. Shoe Carnival's initiative to convert stores to the Shoe Station banner, which aims for a higher-end offering, experienced negative low-single-digit comparable store sales. Additionally, the core Shoe Carnival stores saw mid-single-digit comparable store sales declines. Overall, the company's gross margin remained flat for the period.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.2% change in SCVL stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -9.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.86 | 17.12 | -9.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,144 | 1,135 | -0.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.1% | 4.6% | -9.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.9 | 9.0 | 0.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 27 | 27 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -9.2% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SCVL | -9.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 33.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.7% | 37.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -4.9% change in SCVL stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -15.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.99 | 17.12 | -4.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,154 | 1,135 | -1.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.4% | 4.6% | -15.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.9 | 9.0 | 13.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 27 | 27 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -4.9% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SCVL | -4.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 28.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.5% | 38.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.7% change in SCVL stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 44.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 16.83 | 17.12 | 1.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,203 | 1,135 | -5.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.1% | 4.6% | -24.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.2 | 9.0 | 44.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 27 | 27 | -0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1.7% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SCVL | 1.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 36.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | 20.3% | 44.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -21.1% change in SCVL stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -47.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.70 | 17.12 | -21.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,262 | 1,135 | -10.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.7% | 4.6% | -47.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 5.4 | 9.0 | 67.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 27 | 27 | -0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -21.1% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SCVL | -21.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 40.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 63.2% | 45.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SCVL Return | 101% | -38% | 29% | 11% | -48% | 11% | 4% |
| Peers Return | 0% | -12% | 6% | 21% | 8% | 6% | 30% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 6% | 92% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SCVL Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 33% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 42% | 53% | 60% | 58% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SCVL Max Drawdown | -6% | -49% | -18% | -15% | -51% | -8% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -15% | -40% | -26% | -16% | -27% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: URBN, SPWH, TJX, ROST, BURL. See SCVL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/4/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SCVL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 93 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -14.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -29.0% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.8% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 194 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -50.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 616 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -61.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 160.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 167 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -15.5% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.3% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Shoe Carnival's stock fell -26.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 36.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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| Event | SCVL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 93 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -29.0% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.8% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 194 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -50.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 616 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -61.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 160.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 167 days | 140 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -28.9% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.7% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 149 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -35.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.9% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 284 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -20.6% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.9% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 54 days | 15 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -33.4% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.2% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 199 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -32.8% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.9% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 139 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.5% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 135.1% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 175 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -44.3% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.6% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 954 days | 47 days |
In The Past
Shoe Carnival's stock fell -26.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 36.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Shoe Carnival (SCVL)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few analogies for Shoe Carnival (SCVL):
- Like DSW, but often with a more family-focused, deal-driven shopping atmosphere.
- Think of it as Famous Footwear, offering a broad selection of shoes for men, women, and children in both physical stores and online.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Shoes: A broad category of footwear including dress, casual, work, and athletic styles for men, women, and children.
- Sandals: Open-toed footwear typically worn in warmer weather.
- Boots: Footwear that extends above the ankle, offering various styles and levels of protection.
- Accessories: Various supplementary items that complement footwear purchases, such as socks or shoe care products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Shoe Carnival (SCVL) sells primarily to individuals rather than other companies.
The company serves the following categories of customers:
- Families and General Consumers: Individuals and families seeking a wide variety of footwear for men, women, and children for everyday casual wear, dress occasions, and basic needs.
- Athletes and Active Individuals: Customers looking for athletic footwear for various sports, fitness activities, or general active lifestyles.
- Workers and Professionals: Individuals requiring specialized work shoes for specific job requirements or professional settings.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Nike, Inc. (NKE)
- adidas AG (ADDYY)
- Skechers U.S.A., Inc. (SKX)
- Crocs, Inc. (CROX)
- Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Clifton E. Sifford Interim President and Chief Executive Officer, Vice Chairman of the Board
Clifton E. Sifford was appointed Interim President and Chief Executive Officer of Shoe Carnival, Inc. effective February 24, 2026. He has served as Vice Chairman of the Board since October 2021. Mr. Sifford previously held the roles of Vice Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer from September 2019 to September 2021, and President and Chief Executive Officer from October 2012 to September 2019. He joined Shoe Carnival in 1997, bringing 38 years of experience in the shoe business, having started as a salesperson and previously working for Belk.
Patrick C. Edwards Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Secretary & Treasurer
Patrick C. Edwards serves as the Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Secretary & Treasurer for Shoe Carnival, Inc. He was listed in this role in December 2025 and is noted to participate in the company's Executive Incentive Compensation Plan in fiscal 2026.
Tanya E. Gordon Executive Vice President – Chief Merchandising Officer
Tanya E. Gordon assumed the role of Executive Vice President – Chief Merchandising Officer for Shoe Carnival, Inc. on April 6, 2025, succeeding Carl N. Scibetta. Prior to this appointment, Ms. Gordon served as Senior Vice President – General Merchandising Manager since March 2021, and held various Vice President-General Merchandising Manager and Vice President-Divisional Merchandising Manager roles since joining the company in March 2014. She gained merchandising experience at Kohl's and Parisian before her tenure at Shoe Carnival.
Timothy T. Baker Executive Vice President, Chief Retail Operations Officer
Timothy T. Baker has served as Executive Vice President of Store Operations since June 2001. In September 2019, he was appointed to the newly created position of Executive Vice President – Chief Retail Operations Officer, focusing on store operations, customer experience, store growth, and team development. Mr. Baker has been with Shoe Carnival, Inc. for over 30 years.
J. Wayne Weaver Chairman of the Board
J. Wayne Weaver is the Chairman of the Board of Shoe Carnival, Inc. He played a pivotal role in the company's history, acquiring it in 1989 for $17 million after previously gaining unitary ownership in 1988 by buying out his associates Fisher and Camuto. Mr. Weaver led the buyout that injected institutional capital and retail expertise into Shoe Carnival, enabling scalable operations. He was a former executive with the Wohl division of the St. Louis-based Brown Group and remains a significant shareholder.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Shoe Carnival's business include shrinking demand in its physical stores, intense competition from digital retailers, and heightened consumer price sensitivity amidst economic fluctuations.1. Shrinking Demand and Declining Same-Store Sales
Shoe Carnival has experienced a notable decline in customer demand, evidenced by an average annual decrease of 5.4% in same-store sales over the past two years. This trend indicates a challenge in attracting and retaining customers to its existing retail locations, which are central to its business model. While there has been a recent improvement in the rate of decline, the overall pattern points to waning interest in its traditional store format.
2. Intense Digital Competition and Operational Inefficiencies
The footwear retail industry is characterized by significant competition, particularly from expanding digital channels and larger retailers that benefit from economies of scale. Shoe Carnival, with a smaller revenue base compared to some industry giants, may struggle to achieve similar operational efficiencies. The company has also faced a decrease in operating margins, suggesting difficulties in managing rising costs or passing them on to consumers in a highly competitive environment.
3. Exposure to Economic Downturns and Consumer Price Sensitivity
As a retailer in the consumer cyclical sector, Shoe Carnival's performance is closely tied to the broader economic climate. Consumers are increasingly cautious with their spending, demonstrating greater price sensitivity and a tendency to seek value, especially among younger demographics. This cautious consumer behavior can lead to reduced spending on footwear, directly impacting Shoe Carnival's sales and profitability during economic uncertainties or downturns.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat for Shoe Carnival is the accelerating shift of major footwear brands towards aggressive Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) strategies. Many key brands are investing heavily in their own e-commerce platforms, mobile applications, and dedicated retail stores, aiming to build direct relationships with consumers and bypass multi-brand retailers like Shoe Carnival. This trend reduces the product differentiation and necessity of traditional retailers, directly impacting their inventory access, pricing power, and customer traffic.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable market for Shoe Carnival's main products, primarily footwear, is the United States footwear market. For 2024, the U.S. shoe and footwear market size was valued at approximately USD 95.1 billion.
This market is projected to grow to USD 125.7 billion by 2032, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.7% from 2025 to 2032. Another source indicates the U.S. footwear market size was valued at USD 97.16 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 121.30 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 2.50% from 2026-2034.
Within the U.S. footwear market, different segments contribute to the overall size:
- Non-athletic footwear held the largest market share, at 45%, in 2024. This category includes a variety of footwear such as sandals, boots, slippers, and formal shoes. Similarly, in 2024, non-athletic was reported as the largest revenue-generating product segment, capturing a 65.07% share.
- Athletic footwear is also a significant segment, dominating with a 54% market share in 2025, driven by increasing sports participation and health-conscious consumers.
- By end-user, the men's category held the largest market share of 40% in 2024, attributed to increasing expenditure on sports and casual footwear. However, other reports indicate that women represent the largest segment, with a 53% market share in 2025, and accounted for 48.74% of total sales in 2025. The children's segment is also expected to experience the fastest growth rate from 2025 to 2032.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Shoe Carnival (SCVL) is poised for future revenue growth over the next two to three years, driven by several strategic initiatives:
- Conversion to Shoe Station Banner: Shoe Carnival is undergoing a significant transformation by converting its traditional Shoe Carnival stores to the Shoe Station banner. The company aims for over 90 percent of its fleet to operate as Shoe Station by the end of fiscal 2028, with 51 percent expected by Back-to-School 2026. This strategy is anticipated to drive comparable store sales growth due to Shoe Station's focus on a higher-income customer base and its ability to achieve stronger margins. Shoe Station net sales grew 5.3 percent in Q3 2025 with mid-single-digit comparable sales growth, in contrast to Shoe Carnival's decline, demonstrating the effectiveness of this transition.
- New Store Openings and Acquisitions: The company is pursuing an aggressive expansion strategy, aiming to reach 500 stores by fiscal 2028 through both organic growth and strategic acquisitions. This includes plans to open approximately 10–12 new Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station stores in 2025. The 2024 acquisition of Rogan's Shoes, which has been integrated into the Shoe Station banner and contributed significantly to net sales, serves as a template for future deals to gain market share and improve margins.
- Category Expansion: To diversify its revenue streams, Shoe Carnival is expanding its product offerings into higher-margin specialty categories such as workwear and performance running segments. This move aims to capture new customer segments beyond its traditional casual and athletic footwear offerings.
- Omnichannel and E-commerce Growth: Leveraging its substantial 35 million-member loyalty program and investing in tech-enabled inventory management, Shoe Carnival is focused on driving omnichannel gains and enhancing e-commerce conversion. This strategy aims to boost online sales and improve overall store productivity.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Shoe Carnival authorized a new share repurchase program for up to $50 million, effective January 1, 2026, replacing an existing $50 million program authorized on December 11, 2024.
- As of November 1, 2025 (Q3 2025), the company had $50 million remaining under its existing share repurchase authorization.
Share Issuance
- Shoe Carnival did not sell any unregistered equity securities during Fiscal 2023, 2022, or 2021.
Outbound Investments
- Shoe Carnival completed the integration of its 28-store Rogan's acquisition into the Shoe Station banner in October 2025.
- The company acquired 21 Shoe Station stores in 2021.
- A new long-term strategy announced in March 2025 involves rebannering 175 stores to the Shoe Station banner over the next 24 months.
Capital Expenditures
- Year-to-date capital expenditures totaled $38.3 million as of Q3 2025, primarily supporting rebannered stores.
- For Fiscal 2025, capital expenditures are expected to be between $45 million and $55 million, with $30 million to $35 million allocated to rebanner initiatives.
- In Fiscal 2026, the company expects capital expenditures of $25 million to $35 million to rebanner approximately 70 stores, aiming for 51% of its fleet to be Shoe Station by Back-to-School 2026.
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 111.40 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.8 |
| Rev LTM | 8,866 |
| Op Inc LTM | 725 |
| FCF LTM | 232 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 236 |
| CFO LTM | 903 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 758 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 9.3% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 12.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.8 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/Op Inc | 16.5 |
| P/EBIT | 16.0 |
| P/E | 22.2 |
| P/CFO | 13.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 23.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 86.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 0.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -2.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 7.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $17.12 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/16/1993 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -32.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $18.08 | $19.07 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -5.3% | -10.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 45.3% | 50.1% |
| Downside Capture | 0.76 | 0.82 |
| Upside Capture | 57.24 | 107.30 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 33.6% | 36.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.48 | 1.34 | 0.95 | 1.01 | 1.46 | 1.23 |
| Up Beta | 1.03 | 1.25 | 1.10 | 0.79 | 1.72 | 1.24 |
| Down Beta | 7.15 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.64 | 1.72 | 1.22 |
| Up Capture | 188% | 93% | 61% | 84% | 113% | 117% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 22 | 32 | 64 | 123 | 355 |
| Down Capture | 210% | 158% | 61% | 90% | 125% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 21 | 32 | 61 | 128 | 397 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SCVL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCVL | 1.9% | 50.1% | 0.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 19.7% | 18.8% | 0.82 | 44.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.7% | 12.5% | 1.83 | 36.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.6% | 27.2% | 1.21 | -2.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.7% | 18.0% | 2.18 | -10.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.1% | 13.5% | 0.60 | 31.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -19.0% | 42.2% | -0.39 | 17.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SCVL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCVL | -9.6% | 47.8% | -0.05 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.6% | 23.8% | 0.24 | 49.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 45.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.1% | 17.9% | 0.91 | 1.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 14.1% | 19.1% | 0.60 | 11.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.3% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 37.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.3% | 56.2% | 0.34 | 18.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SCVL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCVL | 4.4% | 53.4% | 0.29 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.6% | 22.0% | 0.53 | 48.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 44.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | 0.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.7% | 17.7% | 0.46 | 17.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 40.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.1% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 10.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/25/2026 | -6.6% | -4.6% | -14.9% |
| 11/13/2025 | 3.4% | -1.4% | 12.1% |
| 9/4/2025 | 20.3% | 10.7% | 0.4% |
| 5/30/2025 | 4.2% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| 3/20/2025 | -0.9% | -3.0% | -23.2% |
| 11/21/2024 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 3.5% |
| 9/5/2024 | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% |
| 5/23/2024 | 5.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 16 | 14 |
| # Negative | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% |
| Median Negative | -1.0% | -3.8% | -12.5% |
| Max Positive | 24.9% | 10.8% | 21.2% |
| Max Negative | -8.6% | -17.2% | -23.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 01/31/2026 | 03/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 08/31/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/03/2022 | 10-Q |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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