Rail Vision (RVSN)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $0.3418 | Market Cap: $1.0 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Rail Transportation
Rail Vision (RVSN)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $0.3418Market Cap: $1.0 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Rail Transportation
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -228% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -133%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -164% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.3 |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -72% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8030% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Artificial Intelligence, and Future of Freight. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 7.0x | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -66% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7407%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7514% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1129% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 184% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 94% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -228% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -72% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Artificial Intelligence, and Future of Freight. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -133%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -164% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.3 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8030% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 7.0x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -66% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7407%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7514% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1129% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 184% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 94% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
RVSN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Continued Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Non-Compliance
Rail Vision received a notice from Nasdaq on March 7, 2025, for not meeting the minimum bid price requirement. After an initial compliance period, the company was granted another 180-day extension on September 3, 2025, to regain compliance, indicating ongoing challenges in maintaining Nasdaq listing standards.
2. Significant Decrease in First Half 2025 Revenue
On August 22, 2025, Rail Vision announced its First Half 2025 financial results, reporting revenues of $237,000, which represented a 69% decrease compared to the same period in 2024. This substantial decline in revenue likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RVSN Return | - | - | - | -83% | 38% | -84% | -96% |
| Peers Return | 12% | 9% | -12% | 24% | 57% | -10% | 88% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RVSN Win Rate | - | - | 44% | 42% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 40% | 32% | 55% | 48% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RVSN Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -88% | -75% | -87% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -31% | -7% | -19% | -21% | -11% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CP, FSTR, SWVL, UNP, CSX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RVSN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -95.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2107.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to CP, FSTR, SWVL, UNP, CSX
In The Past
Rail Vision's stock fell -95.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/31/2022. A -95.5% loss requires a 2107.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With Rail Vision Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RVSN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -14.0% | -14.0% | -14.1% |
| 10312025 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -10.5% | -10.5% | -17.5% |
| 10312025 | PLPC | Preformed Line Products | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -9.7% | -9.7% | -9.7% |
| 10172025 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.7% | -5.7% | -10.5% |
| 10102025 | CARR | Carrier Global | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.9% | -5.9% | -5.9% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -14.0% | -14.0% | -14.1% |
| 10312025 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -10.5% | -10.5% | -17.5% |
| 10312025 | PLPC | Preformed Line Products | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -9.7% | -9.7% | -9.7% |
| 10172025 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.7% | -5.7% | -10.5% |
| 10102025 | CARR | Carrier Global | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.9% | -5.9% | -5.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Rail Vision
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 30.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 63.4 |
| Rev LTM | 7,315 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,423 |
| FCF LTM | 1,552 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,222 |
| CFO LTM | 4,615 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,970 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 35.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 32.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 63.4 |
| P/S | 4.5 |
| P/EBIT | 12.7 |
| P/E | 18.6 |
| P/CFO | 11.7 |
| Total Yield | 5.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -8.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -4.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 2.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -19.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -17.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -66.8% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8222025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3312025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8292024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3282024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11242023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8182023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5312023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3232023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 12062022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 9142022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 7062022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 5162022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
| 12312020 | 4012022 | 424B4 12/31/2020 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |