Tearsheet

Rail Vision (RVSN)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $0.3418 | Market Cap: $1.0 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Rail Transportation

Rail Vision (RVSN)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $0.3418
Market Cap: $1.0 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Rail Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -228%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -133%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -164%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.3
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -72%
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8030%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Artificial Intelligence, and Future of Freight. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 7.0x
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -66%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7407%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7514%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1129%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 184%
7   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 94%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -228%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -72%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Artificial Intelligence, and Future of Freight. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -133%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -164%
4 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.3
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8030%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 7.0x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -66%
8 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7407%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7514%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1129%
10 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 184%
11 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 94%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

RVSN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Continued Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Non-Compliance
Rail Vision received a notice from Nasdaq on March 7, 2025, for not meeting the minimum bid price requirement. After an initial compliance period, the company was granted another 180-day extension on September 3, 2025, to regain compliance, indicating ongoing challenges in maintaining Nasdaq listing standards.

2. Significant Decrease in First Half 2025 Revenue
On August 22, 2025, Rail Vision announced its First Half 2025 financial results, reporting revenues of $237,000, which represented a 69% decrease compared to the same period in 2024. This substantial decline in revenue likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RVSN Return----83%38%-84%-96%
Peers Return12%9%-12%24%57%-10%88%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RVSN Win Rate--44%42%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate53%40%32%55%48%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RVSN Max Drawdown----88%-75%-87% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-7%-19%-21%-11%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CP, FSTR, SWVL, UNP, CSX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRVSNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-95.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2107.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to CP, FSTR, SWVL, UNP, CSX


In The Past

Rail Vision's stock fell -95.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/31/2022. A -95.5% loss requires a 2107.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Rail Vision (RVSN)

Better Bets than Rail Vision (RVSN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RVSN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.0%-14.0%-14.1%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-10.5%-10.5%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-9.7%-9.7%-9.7%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.7%-5.7%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-5.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.0%-14.0%-14.1%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-10.5%-10.5%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-9.7%-9.7%-9.7%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.7%-5.7%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-5.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Rail Vision

Financials

RVSNCPFSTRSWVLUNPCSXMedian
NameRail Vis.Canadian.L.B. Fos.Swvl Union Pa.CSX  
Mkt Price0.3370.3426.503.07221.0034.0130.25
Mkt Cap0.064.00.3-130.963.463.4
Rev LTM015,0295081824,54614,1237,315
Op Inc LTM-115,55617-59,9704,8282,423
FCF LTM-112,39328-6,0131,5521,552
FCF 3Y Avg-102,22219-5,4342,5242,222
CFO LTM-115,48938-9,7274,6154,615
CFO 3Y Avg-104,97027-9,0275,0864,970

Growth & Margins

RVSNCPFSTRSWVLUNPCSXMedian
NameRail Vis.Canadian.L.B. Fos.Swvl Union Pa.CSX  
Rev Chg LTM-66.3%4.0%-5.5%22.5%1.1%-3.8%-1.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-22.2%2.8%-0.2%-1.0%1.5%
Rev Chg Q-3.2%0.6%123.4%2.5%-0.9%2.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.0%0.8%0.2%290.5%0.6%-0.2%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM-8,030.3%37.0%3.4%-28.5%40.6%34.2%18.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3,913.1%35.7%2.7%-39.3%36.5%35.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-26.1%0.6%0.2%-0.3%-0.7%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-7,407.0%36.5%7.4%-39.6%32.7%32.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-3,660.5%36.9%5.2%-37.1%35.0%35.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-7,514.1%15.9%5.5%-24.5%11.0%11.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3,708.7%16.6%3.5%-22.3%17.3%16.6%

Valuation

RVSNCPFSTRSWVLUNPCSXMedian
NameRail Vis.Canadian.L.B. Fos.Swvl Union Pa.CSX  
Mkt Cap0.064.00.3-130.963.463.4
P/S7.04.30.5-5.34.54.5
P/EBIT-0.110.217.1-12.713.712.7
P/E-0.115.056.2-18.621.818.6
P/CFO-0.111.77.3-13.513.711.7
Total Yield-1,124.4%7.9%1.8%-7.9%5.7%5.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.2%0.0%-2.5%1.2%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-637.4%3.1%7.8%-3.9%3.9%3.9%
D/E0.80.40.3-0.30.30.3
Net D/E-2.30.40.3-0.20.30.3

Returns

RVSNCPFSTRSWVLUNPCSXMedian
NameRail Vis.Canadian.L.B. Fos.Swvl Union Pa.CSX  
1M Rtn-26.2%-8.1%1.2%-6.1%-2.2%-7.1%-6.6%
3M Rtn-20.2%-4.2%14.8%-27.4%1.0%-5.1%-4.6%
6M Rtn-19.3%-13.4%35.2%-36.6%-2.5%9.9%-8.0%
12M Rtn-32.4%-4.2%0.0%-35.9%-4.0%-1.7%-4.1%
3Y Rtn-94.2%-8.2%140.9%-69.3%12.6%15.0%2.2%
1M Excs Rtn-26.3%-8.2%1.1%-6.2%-2.4%-7.2%-6.7%
3M Excs Rtn-19.9%-9.9%11.6%-29.2%-4.7%-10.6%-10.2%
6M Excs Rtn-31.2%-25.3%23.3%-48.5%-14.4%-2.0%-19.9%
12M Excs Rtn-42.2%-18.2%1.2%-27.8%-17.4%-16.8%-17.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-163.7%-76.3%46.3%-137.3%-57.3%-54.9%-66.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,821,835
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-18.0%
Average Daily Volume1,976,243
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.43
Basic Shares Quantity3,004,320
Short % of Basic Shares93.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202582220256-K 6/30/2025
12312024331202520-F 12/31/2024
630202482920246-K 6/30/2024
12312023328202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023112420236-K 9/30/2023
630202381820236-K 6/30/2023
331202353120236-K 3/31/2023
12312022323202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022120620226-K 9/30/2022
630202291420226-K 6/30/2022
331202270620226-K 3/31/2022
12312021516202220-F 12/31/2021
123120204012022424B4 12/31/2020

Insider Activity

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