Reservoir Media (RSVR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.49 | Market Cap: $491.1 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment
Reservoir Media (RSVR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.49Market Cap: $491.1 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Movies & Entertainment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 22% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 75% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 56x | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -51% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Music Streaming, and Creator Economy Monetization. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4% | |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 20.76 | ||
| Key risksRSVR key risks include [1] its significant reliance on debt for acquisitions and [2] projected tightening profit margins with slower-than-market revenue growth. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 22% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Music Streaming, and Creator Economy Monetization. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 75% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 56x |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -51% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 20.76 |
| Key risksRSVR key risks include [1] its significant reliance on debt for acquisitions and [2] projected tightening profit margins with slower-than-market revenue growth. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RSVR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -4.9% stock movement for Reservoir Media (RSVR) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Lower-than-Expected Earnings Per Share (EPS): Reservoir Media's reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.03 for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, which ended September 30, 2025, missed the forecasted EPS of $0.05. This represented a -40.0% surprise and was announced on November 4, 2025, potentially contributing to investor caution.
2. Bearish Analyst Forecast and Sentiment: A stock forecast published on November 5, 2025, indicated a bearish sentiment for Reservoir Media's shares. This forecast predicted a significant drop of -22.29%, estimating the stock would reach $5.76 per share by December 4, 2025, suggesting a perceived downward trend by some analysts.
3.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RSVR Return | � | � | -25% | 19% | 27% | -17% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RSVR Win Rate | � | 45% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RSVR Max Drawdown | � | � | -43% | -12% | -16% | -24% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NFLX, ANGX, PSKY, DIS, WMG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RSVR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 153.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to NFLX, ANGX, PSKY, DIS, WMG
In The Past
Reservoir Media's stock fell -60.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/19/2021. A -60.5% loss requires a 153.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RSVR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.3% | -4.3% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -3.4% | -3.4% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -27.9% | -27.9% | -29.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.3% | -4.3% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -3.4% | -3.4% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -27.9% | -27.9% | -29.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Reservoir Media
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 20.80 |
| Mkt Cap | 17.8 |
| Rev LTM | 17,732 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,669 |
| FCF LTM | 426 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 414 |
| CFO LTM | 725 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 706 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 17.8 |
| P/S | 2.7 |
| P/EBIT | 14.4 |
| P/E | 48.7 |
| P/CFO | 16.5 |
| Total Yield | 1.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.3% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -10.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -18.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -2.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -4.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 18.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -10.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -19.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -16.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -47.4% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 0.4% | -1.2% | 2.0% |
| 5/28/2025 | -2.7% | -0.4% | -4.0% |
| 2/5/2025 | 2.1% | -0.5% | -7.3% |
| 10/30/2024 | -1.5% | -3.4% | 5.5% |
| 5/30/2024 | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| 2/7/2024 | -12.1% | -4.2% | 7.3% |
| 11/7/2023 | 6.3% | 1.1% | 4.4% |
| 5/31/2023 | -1.1% | -0.3% | -9.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% |
| Median Negative | -2.7% | -1.4% | -9.4% |
| Max Positive | 6.3% | 15.5% | 23.0% |
| Max Negative | -12.1% | -5.6% | -20.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5282025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5302024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5312023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 6212022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2082022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |