Tearsheet

Douglas Dynamics (PLOW)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $32.08 | Market Cap: $739.2 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Douglas Dynamics (PLOW)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $32.08
Market Cap: $739.2 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.7%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.5%, FCF Yield is 5.7%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -5.0%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.5%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -77%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Infrastructure Maintenance & Resilience. Themes include Snow & Ice Management Solutions, Specialty Work Truck Equipment, and Urban & Commercial Property Maintenance.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.7%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.5%, FCF Yield is 5.7%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Infrastructure Maintenance & Resilience. Themes include Snow & Ice Management Solutions, Specialty Work Truck Equipment, and Urban & Commercial Property Maintenance.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -5.0%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -77%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PLOW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Douglas Dynamics (PLOW) experienced a slight decline in its stock price, moving approximately -0.4% to -0.47% around early December 2025, rather than the requested -4% for the period from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. Several factors likely contributed to this modest negative pressure or muted positive performance during this time.

1. Douglas Dynamics' Q3 2025 revenue slightly missed analyst estimates. While the company reported strong Q3 2025 earnings per share of $0.40, beating the consensus estimate of $0.36, its revenue of $162.12 million fell slightly short of analyst expectations of $163.27 million.

2. Margin decline reinforced caution among investors. Reports in early November 2025 indicated that a decline in Douglas Dynamics' margins was a factor reinforcing caution, even though the company still presented value and dividend appeal.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PLOW Return-20%-6%-4%-15%-16%39%-28%
Peers Return37%9%-19%15%-25%14%18%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PLOW Win Rate42%17%42%50%33%60% 
Peers Win Rate63%53%38%47%35%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PLOW Max Drawdown-53%-16%-27%-31%-26%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-63%-9%-41%-14%-37%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPLOWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-52.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven110.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven116.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven316 days120 days

Compare to PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA


In The Past

Douglas Dynamics's stock fell -52.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -52.6% loss requires a 110.8% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Douglas Dynamics (PLOW)

Better Bets than Douglas Dynamics (PLOW)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PLOW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Douglas Dynamics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PLOWPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameDouglas .Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Mkt Price32.02108.33101.641.7278.0949.5063.80
Mkt Cap0.73.52.80.117.013.93.1
Rev LTM6153,8733,75967719,79441,7903,816
Op Inc LTM67258341-42,0891,988300
FCF LTM41183366-221,6572,036275
FCF 3Y Avg39290258191,3411,133274
CFO LTM53301495-102,3423,526398
CFO 3Y Avg49372384372,1653,218378

Growth & Margins

PLOWPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameDouglas .Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Rev Chg LTM10.0%6.1%-4.0%-13.8%-1.0%-2.0%-1.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.5%-7.3%3.0%-11.0%7.7%4.0%1.8%
Rev Chg Q25.3%6.1%-6.4%-11.2%3.1%1.8%2.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.6%1.5%-1.6%-3.1%0.8%0.4%0.6%
Op Mgn LTM10.9%6.7%9.1%-0.6%10.6%4.8%7.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.2%7.2%7.9%2.3%9.8%4.6%7.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%-0.3%0.1%-0.1%0.1%-0.0%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM8.6%7.8%13.2%-1.4%11.8%8.4%8.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.3%10.0%9.9%4.6%11.0%7.6%9.1%
FCF/Rev LTM6.7%4.7%9.7%-3.3%8.4%4.9%5.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.6%7.9%6.7%2.2%6.8%2.7%6.7%

Valuation

PLOWPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameDouglas .Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Mkt Cap0.73.52.80.117.013.93.1
P/S1.20.90.90.10.90.30.9
P/EBIT10.714.38.8-19.89.67.19.2
P/E17.227.810.6-1.518.512.915.0
P/CFO13.511.16.6-5.88.03.87.3
Total Yield9.7%5.2%9.4%-68.2%5.4%11.8%7.4%
Dividend Yield3.9%1.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%4.1%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.7%13.3%8.0%-4.2%6.5%8.6%7.2%
D/E0.40.50.12.30.40.60.5
Net D/E0.40.5-0.11.50.40.50.4

Returns

PLOWPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameDouglas .Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
1M Rtn7.8%5.8%-4.7%8.2%-4.5%1.5%3.6%
3M Rtn-1.3%-2.8%-16.9%3.0%-1.9%11.1%-1.6%
6M Rtn18.4%25.7%23.4%22.9%18.5%39.5%23.1%
12M Rtn29.1%23.2%7.4%-28.3%40.2%13.8%18.5%
3Y Rtn-7.2%198.4%-31.8%-76.5%-24.7%-8.8%-16.7%
1M Excs Rtn7.9%5.9%-4.7%8.2%-4.5%1.5%3.7%
3M Excs Rtn-8.9%-10.0%-24.1%-2.4%-8.3%4.9%-8.6%
6M Excs Rtn3.6%11.0%8.7%8.1%3.8%24.7%8.4%
12M Excs Rtn15.6%9.4%-4.1%-42.2%27.1%1.4%5.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-77.0%143.7%-101.4%-146.0%-96.3%-79.2%-87.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Work Truck Attachments292382326253294
Work Truck Solutions276234216227278
Total568616541480572


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Work Truck Attachments393398385365362
Work Truck Solutions200199188214344
Total593597572579706


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity325,813
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.9%
Average Daily Volume166,699
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.95
Basic Shares Quantity23,040,878
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Janik James L 5192025Sell29.0115,650454,0381,164,426Form
1Sisulak Jon JController3112025Sell25.8183721,603340,331Form