Tearsheet

Oxford Industries (OXM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $36.77 | Market Cap: $546.8 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods

Oxford Industries (OXM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $36.77
Market Cap: $546.8 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, Dividend Yield is 7.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -102%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.2%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
Key risks
OXM key risks include [1] significant costs from Chinese tariffs during its ongoing supply chain realignment and [2] weaker performance and margin pressures impacting certain brands in its portfolio.
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, Dividend Yield is 7.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -102%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.2%
7 Key risks
OXM key risks include [1] significant costs from Chinese tariffs during its ongoing supply chain realignment and [2] weaker performance and margin pressures impacting certain brands in its portfolio.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OXM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the stock movement for Oxford Industries (OXM) around the specified time period: 1. Disappointing Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Report

Oxford Industries released its third-quarter fiscal 2025 financial results on December 11, 2025, which were described as a "dispiriting" report by investors, leading to a significant stock decline. The company's net sales of just over $307 million marginally missed analyst expectations of nearly $309 million, and its adjusted net loss deepened to almost $14 million ($0.92 per share) from $1.7 million in the prior year. The GAAP loss per share was substantially higher at $4.28 due to noncash impairment charges.

2. Weakened Full-Year and Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Guidance

Management significantly reduced its financial outlook for the entire fiscal year 2025 and provided weak guidance for the fourth quarter. The net sales projection for fiscal year 2025 was cut to a range of $1.47 billion to $1.49 billion, down from a previous forecast of approximately $1.52 billion. Additionally, adjusted earnings per share for fiscal 2025 were lowered to between $2.20 and $2.40 from an earlier range of $2.80 to $3.20. Fourth-quarter guidance also projected revenues between $365 million and $385 million and adjusted EPS between $0.00 and $0.20, both significantly lower than the previous year.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OXM Return-11%58%-6%10%-19%-50%-41%
Peers Return-1%21%-23%14%18%27%57%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OXM Win Rate58%75%58%42%42%33% 
Peers Win Rate52%55%38%48%55%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OXM Max Drawdown-58%-4%-21%-8%-25%-57% 
Peers Max Drawdown-63%-8%-45%-24%-26%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RL, PVH, TPR, CPRI, VFC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOXMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-31.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven143.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven341 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-32.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven885 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-93.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1432.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,058 days1,480 days

Compare to GIL, HBI, AGIE, JPO, MPJS


In The Past

Oxford Industries's stock fell -31.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/2/2023. A -31.2% loss requires a 45.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Oxford Industries (OXM)

Better Bets than Oxford Industries (OXM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OXM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Oxford Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OXMRLPVHTPRCPRIVFCMedian
NameOxford I.Ralph La.PVH Tapestry Capri VF  
Mkt Price36.74365.7271.72122.1925.2618.5454.23
Mkt Cap0.622.34.025.43.07.25.6
Rev LTM1,4947,5718,8177,2083,9499,5417,389
Op Inc LTM581,1536561,34681468562
FCF LTM266684421,080-30240341
FCF 3Y Avg777165081,103260285397
CFO LTM1611,0905841,21088375479
CFO 3Y Avg1839817071,243421455581

Growth & Margins

OXMRLPVHTPRCPRIVFCMedian
NameOxford I.Ralph La.PVH Tapestry Capri VF  
Rev Chg LTM-2.4%12.3%0.5%8.1%-9.8%-0.1%0.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.3%5.8%-0.5%2.5%-12.3%-6.7%1.0%
Rev Chg Q-0.2%16.5%1.7%13.1%-2.5%1.6%1.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.0%3.9%0.4%2.8%-0.6%0.5%0.5%
Op Mgn LTM3.9%15.2%7.4%18.7%2.1%4.9%6.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.5%13.2%8.2%17.8%5.5%5.2%8.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%0.6%0.1%0.6%-0.1%0.4%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM10.8%14.4%6.6%16.8%2.2%3.9%8.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.0%14.1%7.9%18.2%8.8%4.7%10.4%
FCF/Rev LTM1.7%8.8%5.0%15.0%-0.8%2.5%3.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.0%10.4%5.7%16.1%5.3%3.0%5.5%

Valuation

OXMRLPVHTPRCPRIVFCMedian
NameOxford I.Ralph La.PVH Tapestry Capri VF  
Mkt Cap0.622.34.025.43.07.25.6
P/S0.42.50.43.30.60.60.6
P/EBIT-17.2-62.429.514.123.3
P/E-206.822.411.686.6-2.062.417.0
P/CFO3.717.66.819.427.115.116.3
Total Yield6.5%5.5%8.7%2.4%-48.9%4.1%4.8%
Dividend Yield7.0%1.1%0.1%1.3%0.0%2.5%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.1%-10.5%4.5%4.1%5.3%
D/E-0.1-0.21.21.00.6
Net D/E-0.1-0.11.21.00.6

Returns

OXMRLPVHTPRCPRIVFCMedian
NameOxford I.Ralph La.PVH Tapestry Capri VF  
1M Rtn8.7%12.8%-5.7%20.5%16.4%30.8%14.6%
3M Rtn-19.1%19.8%-14.6%11.6%15.8%26.2%13.7%
6M Rtn-6.6%37.4%10.7%46.1%47.8%59.4%41.8%
12M Rtn-54.4%62.6%-34.6%94.6%13.7%-16.1%-1.2%
3Y Rtn-58.2%268.6%3.1%262.1%-56.0%-22.9%-9.9%
1M Excs Rtn7.9%12.1%-6.4%19.8%15.7%30.0%13.9%
3M Excs Rtn-19.2%15.5%-18.8%6.9%16.0%22.0%11.2%
6M Excs Rtn-19.0%25.0%-1.7%33.7%35.4%47.0%29.4%
12M Excs Rtn-63.3%51.9%-44.9%85.4%7.2%-21.1%-7.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-128.7%180.1%-69.9%186.6%-124.9%-96.2%-83.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Tommy Bahama556570532570668
Johnny Was251335   
Lilly Pulitzer195211177176200
Emerging Brands999167  
Corporate and Other-4-181827726
Lanier Apparel  01139
Southern Tide   32100
Total1,0981,1899588661,033


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,363,061
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.4%
Average Daily Volume409,482
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.77
Basic Shares Quantity14,871,000
Short % of Basic Shares15.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/10/2025-21.2%  
9/10/202527.6%14.4%-3.6%
6/11/2025-13.9%-18.6%-13.4%
3/27/2025-5.7%-12.3%-19.1%
12/11/2024-8.6%-2.5%2.4%
9/11/20240.5%2.9%-11.1%
6/12/20240.8%-0.7%0.3%
3/28/2024-3.7%-6.1%-1.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1068
# Negative141816
Median Positive4.4%6.2%5.8%
Median Negative-9.0%-6.1%-6.4%
Max Positive27.6%14.4%19.6%
Max Negative-21.2%-19.6%-19.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251211202510-Q 11/1/2025
7312025911202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025612202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025331202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241212202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024912202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024613202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024401202410-K 1/29/2024
103120231207202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023901202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023608202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023328202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221208202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022902202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022609202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022328202210-K 1/29/2022