Oxford Industries (OXM)
Market Price (7/10/2026): $37.01 | Market Cap: $551.2 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Oxford Industries (OXM)
Market Price (7/10/2026): $37.01Market Cap: $551.2 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 7.7% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 106% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.4% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.7% Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 21% Key risksOXM key risks include [1] significant costs from Chinese tariffs during its ongoing supply chain realignment and [2] weaker performance and margin pressures impacting certain brands in its portfolio. |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 7.7% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 106% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.4% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.7% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 21% |
| Key risksOXM key risks include [1] significant costs from Chinese tariffs during its ongoing supply chain realignment and [2] weaker performance and margin pressures impacting certain brands in its portfolio. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Oxford Industries (OXM) stock has remained largely at the same level since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Oxford Industries significantly lowered its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting a revenue midpoint of $1.49 billion, a reduction that directly led to a substantial stock decline of approximately 17% following its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report on June 10, 2026. This also included a projection for fiscal Q2 2026 sales roughly 5.8% below Wall Street estimates. Oxford Industries' fiscal Q1 2026 ended on May 2, 2026.
2. Despite beating adjusted earnings per share (EPS) estimates in fiscal Q1 2026 with $1.39 versus a forecasted $1.27, the company reported consolidated net sales that were essentially flat year-over-year at $391.4 million, slightly missing some revenue expectations. This performance, coupled with "softer than expected results at Lilly Pulitzer" and a decline in wholesale sales, indicated underlying challenges.
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Oxford Industries (OXM) stock has remained largely at the same level since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Oxford Industries significantly lowered its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting a revenue midpoint of $1.49 billion, a reduction that directly led to a substantial stock decline of approximately 17% following its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report on June 10, 2026. This also included a projection for fiscal Q2 2026 sales roughly 5.8% below Wall Street estimates. Oxford Industries' fiscal Q1 2026 ended on May 2, 2026.
2. Despite beating adjusted earnings per share (EPS) estimates in fiscal Q1 2026 with $1.39 versus a forecasted $1.27, the company reported consolidated net sales that were essentially flat year-over-year at $391.4 million, slightly missing some revenue expectations. This performance, coupled with "softer than expected results at Lilly Pulitzer" and a decline in wholesale sales, indicated underlying challenges.
3. A challenging macroeconomic and consumer environment contributed to the stock's trend, as management cited "weak consumer sentiment" and "higher energy prices" impacting performance. The broader retail sector in fiscal Q2 2026 faced headwinds from the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran affecting oil prices and consumer confidence, alongside "K-shaped" consumer spending where mid-tier and lower-income consumers were more cautious.
4. Increased tariff costs impacted profitability, with Oxford Industries incurring $11 million, or $0.55 per share, in incremental tariff expenses during fiscal Q1 2026 compared to the prior year. Persistent Section 301 tariffs on China continued to add cost pressures for specialty retailers.
5. Analyst sentiment shifted negatively post-earnings, with several firms lowering their price targets for OXM. For instance, Telsey Advisory Group cut its price target from $51 to $44, and Truist Financial reduced its target to $40.00, reflecting diminished future expectations for the stock.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -2.4% change in OXM stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -2.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 37.91 | 36.99 | -2.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,478 | 1,476 | -0.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.4 | -2.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 15 | 15 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -2.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OXM | -2.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.6% | 12.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 7.2% | 10.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.7% change in OXM stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.13 | 36.99 | 11.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,494 | 1,476 | -1.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.4 | 13.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 15 | 15 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 11.7% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OXM | 11.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.5% | 22.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.9% | 16.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -1.8% change in OXM stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -2.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 37.67 | 36.99 | -1.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,511 | 1,476 | -2.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.4 | -1.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 15 | 15 | 2.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1.8% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OXM | -1.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.7% | 24.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 8.2% | 30.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -57.1% change in OXM stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -59.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 86.27 | 36.99 | -57.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,479 | 1,476 | -0.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.9 | 0.4 | -59.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 16 | 15 | 4.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -57.1% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OXM | -57.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.6% | 36.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 40.8% | 40.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OXM Return | 58% | -6% | 10% | -19% | -54% | 7% | -35% |
| Peers Return | 21% | -23% | 14% | 18% | 24% | -1% | 53% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OXM Win Rate | 75% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 33% | 71% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 38% | 48% | 55% | 53% | 49% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OXM Max Drawdown | -19% | -27% | -30% | -34% | -62% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -49% | -38% | -35% | -45% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RL, PVH, TPR, CPRI, VFC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/9/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OXM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -19.8% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.7% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 126 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -19.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.3% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 72 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -52.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 111.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 286 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -24.1% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.8% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 805 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -21.7% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.7% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 259 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -37.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.1% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 875 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Oxford Industries's stock fell -19.8% during the Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 24.7% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | OXM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -52.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 111.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 286 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -24.1% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.8% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 805 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -21.7% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.7% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 259 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -37.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.1% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 875 days | 62 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -23.4% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.5% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 8 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -86.7% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 649.4% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 277 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -23.4% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.6% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1334 days | 47 days |
In The Past
Oxford Industries's stock fell -19.8% during the Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 24.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Oxford Industries (OXM)
Oxford Industries, Inc. (OXM) is a lifestyle apparel company that designs, sources, markets, and distributes products through a portfolio of distinct, premium brands worldwide. The company's core business revolves around creating and selling men's, women's, and children's sportswear, dresses, and a variety of related accessories, targeting consumers who appreciate quality and aspirational brand identities.
The company's key brands include Tommy Bahama, recognized for its island-inspired men's and women's sportswear and resort wear, and Lilly Pulitzer, which offers vibrant women's and girl's dresses, sportswear, and accessories. Southern Tide is another prominent brand, providing men's and now women's and youth apparel with a classic, coastal lifestyle aesthetic. Oxford Industries also owns The Beaufort Bonnet Company for premium childrenswear and Duck Head for men's apparel. Beyond direct product sales, OXM strategically licenses its major brands for a wide range of complementary goods, such as furniture, home linens, fragrances, and spirits, extending its brand presence into various lifestyle categories.
Oxford Industries employs a comprehensive omnichannel distribution strategy to reach its customers. Products are sold through its own extensive network of brand-specific full-price retail stores, including Tommy Bahama food and beverage locations, and dedicated e-commerce websites for each brand. Additionally, the company distributes its merchandise through department stores, specialty boutiques, and multi-branded online retailers, primarily serving consumers globally who seek high-quality, distinctive apparel and accessories aligned with particular lifestyle aesthetics.
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Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Oxford Industries (OXM):
- A **VF Corporation** (Vans, The North Face) for premium, resort-style apparel.
- Like a more premium **Gap Inc.** (Gap, Banana Republic) for distinct lifestyle brands.
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- Apparel: A diverse range of men's, women's, girls', and children's clothing, including sportswear, dresses, shirts, pants, shorts, outerwear, and swimwear, distributed across multiple brands.
- Footwear and Accessories: Products such as shoes, sandals, scarves, bags, jewelry, belts, headwear, and hosiery complementing their apparel lines.
- Home Furnishings and Linens: Licensed products including indoor and outdoor furniture, bedding, bath linens, and other home goods.
- Personal Care and Fragrances: Licensed goods such as shampoo, toiletries, and various fragrances.
- Distilled Spirits: Licensed alcoholic beverages offered under specific brands.
- Food and Beverage Services: Restaurant and bar services provided at certain brand-specific locations.
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Major Customers of Oxford Industries (OXM)
Oxford Industries, Inc. primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers through its extensive network of owned retail stores (including full-price stores, food and beverage locations, and outlet stores) and its e-commerce websites for brands such as Tommy Bahama, Lilly Pulitzer, Southern Tide, The Beaufort Bonnet Company, and Duck Head. While the company also distributes products wholesale to other retailers, its direct-to-consumer channels represent a significant portion of its sales.
The company serves the following categories of individual customers:
- Affluent Consumers Seeking Premium Lifestyle Apparel: This category includes adults who are drawn to Oxford Industries' brands for their distinctive casual, resort, and sophisticated lifestyle offerings. These customers, often with disposable income, value quality, comfort, and unique styles for leisure, vacation, and everyday wear, as exemplified by brands like Tommy Bahama, Lilly Pulitzer, and Southern Tide.
- Parents of Young Children Seeking High-Quality Childrenswear: This segment consists of parents who prioritize premium, often classic or traditional, apparel and accessories for infants and young children. They are the target demographic for The Beaufort Bonnet Company, valuing craftsmanship, unique designs, and durability.
- Men Valuing Classic, Heritage-Inspired Casual Wear: This category caters to men interested in timeless, refined casual apparel. These customers appreciate traditional styles, quality materials, and a sophisticated yet relaxed aesthetic in their wardrobe, primarily served by brands such as Duck Head and the men's lines of Southern Tide.
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Thomas C. Chubb III, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President
Thomas C. Chubb III has served as CEO and President of Oxford Industries since 2013, and was elected Chairman in 2015. He has a long tenure with the company, having joined full-time in 1989 as an in-house attorney after interning in 1988. Prior to his current role, he held positions as General Counsel (1999), Executive Vice President (2004), and President (2009). He has been instrumental in the company's strategic and operational evolution, including playing a key role in the acquisitions of brands like Tommy Bahama (2003) and Lilly Pulitzer (2010).
K. Scott Grassmyer, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer
K. Scott Grassmyer joined Oxford Industries in 2002 as Controller. He was appointed Chief Financial Officer in 2014 and took on the additional role of Chief Operating Officer in 2022. Mr. Grassmyer is a Certified Public Accountant with over 30 years of financial experience. Before joining Oxford Industries, he was the Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at Duck Head Apparel Company, Inc., a publicly-traded apparel wholesaler and retailer, where he started in 1990. He has played a key role in Oxford Industries' acquisitions and integrations of brands such as Tommy Bahama, Lilly Pulitzer, Southern Tide, and The Beaufort Bonnet Company.
Thomas E. Campbell, Executive Vice President and Chief Information Officer
Thomas E. Campbell serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Information Officer for Oxford Industries.
Tracey Hernandez, Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer
Tracey Hernandez holds the position of Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer at Oxford Industries.
Raj Palakshappa, Senior Vice President, General Counsel, Treasurer and Secretary
Raj Palakshappa (also referred to as Suraj A Palakshappa in some sources) is the Senior Vice President, General Counsel, Treasurer, and Secretary for Oxford Industries.
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Key Risks to Oxford Industries (OXM)
- Economic Downturns and Shifting Consumer Spending: Oxford Industries, an apparel company with premium lifestyle brands, is highly susceptible to macroeconomic fluctuations and changes in consumer discretionary spending. Recent results show decreasing sales, lower store productivity, and increased promotional activities. The company has significantly reduced its adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance for fiscal 2025, underscoring the impact of cautious consumer behavior on its predominantly non-essential product offerings.
- Tariffs and Supply Chain Disruptions: The company faces significant challenges from rising tariffs, particularly on Chinese imports, with an anticipated increase of approximately $40 million in costs for fiscal year 2025. Oxford Industries is actively working to diversify its sourcing away from China to mitigate these impacts, aiming to reduce reliance from 40% in 2024 to under 10% by late 2026. This strategic shift, while necessary, also introduces operational complexities and potential costs. Broader global supply chain issues, including fluctuations in raw material costs, labor, and freight, also pose ongoing risks.
- Brand Performance and Intense Competition: While Oxford Industries possesses a diverse portfolio of lifestyle brands, some key brands, such as Tommy Bahama and Johnny Was, have shown declining profitability and worsening performance trends. The apparel industry is characterized by intense competition and rapidly changing fashion trends, requiring continuous innovation and adaptation to maintain market share and brand relevance. Failure to effectively manage brand portfolios and respond to evolving consumer preferences could negatively impact the company's reputation and financial results.
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Oxford Industries, Inc. operates in several addressable markets through its diverse portfolio of lifestyle brands. The estimated market sizes for their main products and services in 2025 are as follows:
- Global Apparel Market: The global apparel market was estimated at USD 1.84 trillion in 2025.
- U.S. Apparel Market: The United States apparel market was valued at USD 365.70 billion in 2025.
- Global Women's Apparel Market: This market was valued at USD 930 billion in 2025.
- Global Men's Apparel Market: The global men's apparel market was worth USD 587.61 billion in 2025.
- U.S. Men's Apparel Market: The U.S. menswear market size is anticipated to reach USD 154.5 billion in 2025.
- Global Children's Apparel Market: This market was valued at USD 274.25 billion in 2025.
- Global Luxury Apparel Market: The global luxury apparel market size was estimated at USD 70.44 billion in 2025. Separately, the global luxury clothing market was valued at USD 274.8 billion as of 2025. The broader global luxury fashion market was valued at USD 261.0 billion in 2025, with clothing and apparel being the largest product type, holding approximately 50.7% of the market.
- Global Home Furnishings Market: The global home furnishings market is projected to grow from USD 906.74 billion in 2025. The global furniture market size was estimated at USD 786.13 billion in 2025.
- U.S. Home Decor Market: The United States home decor market is expected to reach USD 215.21 billion in 2025.
- U.S. Home Furniture Market: The US furniture market size was USD 173.27 billion in 2025.
- U.S. Restaurant and Foodservice Industry Sales: The U.S. restaurant and foodservice industry is projected to generate about USD 1.5 trillion in sales in 2025. The U.S. food service market size was projected to grow from USD 1,286.65 billion in 2025.
- Global Casual Dining Market: The global casual dining market size was valued at USD 333.02 billion in 2025.
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Oxford Industries (OXM) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several strategic initiatives:
- Expansion of Retail Footprint and Experiential Stores: Oxford Industries plans to open approximately 15 net new stores in fiscal year 2025, including additional Tommy Bahama Marlin Bars. This physical expansion aims to enhance experiential retail and increase customer traffic.
- Lilly Pulitzer Brand Growth through Product Innovation and E-commerce: The company is focusing on increasing Lilly Pulitzer's "newness quotient" to over 50% in fiscal year 2025, building on its strong e-commerce performance and double-digit retail growth. Analysts project a 7% year-over-year growth in net sales for Lilly Pulitzer.
- Momentum in Emerging Brands: The Emerging Brands group has demonstrated consistent year-over-year sales gains and strong momentum. Analysts anticipate a 3.2% year-over-year increase in net sales for these brands.
- Enhanced Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Capabilities and E-commerce: Oxford Industries is investing in a new distribution center to boost its direct-to-consumer capabilities and is focusing on digital transformation to improve customer experiences and streamline operations. This strategic emphasis on e-commerce aims to expand its consumer base.
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Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years) for Oxford Industries (OXM)
Share Repurchases
- Oxford Industries authorized a share buyback plan on December 10, 2024.
- During the first half of fiscal 2025, the company made $55 million in share repurchases.
- In the first nine months of fiscal 2025, share repurchases amounted to $55 million.
Outbound Investments
- In September 2022, Oxford Industries acquired Johnny Was, a private label manufacturer of women's apparel, for $270 million.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures in fiscal 2024 totaled $134 million.
- For fiscal 2025, capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $120 million to $125 million.
- The primary focus of recent capital expenditures has been the completion of a new distribution center in Lyons, Georgia, and the opening of new stores, including Tommy Bahama Marlin Bars and standalone stores for Tommy Bahama and Lilly Pulitzer.
- Capital expenditures are projected to moderate to around $75 million annually in fiscal 2026 and beyond, following the completion of the Lyons, Georgia distribution center, with plans for approximately 15 new store locations.
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Peer Comparisons
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Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 57.14 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.0 |
| Rev LTM | 7,983 |
| Op Inc LTM | 619 |
| FCF LTM | 528 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 592 |
| CFO LTM | 688 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 762 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 11.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -2.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Bahama | 829 | 870 | 899 | 880 |
| Lilly Pulitzer | 338 | 324 | 343 | 339 |
| Johnny Was | 169 | 195 | 203 | 73 |
| Emerging Brands | 143 | 128 | 127 | 116 |
| Corporate | -0 | -0 | -1 | 3 |
| Lanier Apparel | 0 | |||
| Total | 1,478 | 1,517 | 1,571 | 1,412 |
| $ Mil | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Bahama | 95 | 146 | 161 | 173 |
| Lilly Pulitzer | 52 | 58 | 56 | 67 |
| Emerging Brands | 5 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| Johnny Was | -9 | 8 | -105 | -2 |
| Corporate | -47 | -35 | -38 | -35 |
| Impairment of goodwill, intangible assets and equity method investments | -61 | |||
| Depreciation and amortization | -66 | -68 | ||
| Lanier Apparel | 0 | |||
| Total | -31 | 119 | 81 | 219 |
| $ Mil | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Bahama | 693 | 682 | 556 | 570 | 532 |
| Lilly Pulitzer | 214 | 205 | 195 | 211 | 177 |
| Johnny Was | 161 | 236 | 251 | 335 | |
| Emerging Brands | 122 | 122 | 99 | 91 | |
| Corporate and Other | 118 | 46 | |||
| Corporate | -4 | -18 | 212 | ||
| Lanier Apparel | 0 | ||||
| Southern Tide | 37 | ||||
| Total | 1,309 | 1,290 | 1,098 | 1,189 | 958 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $36.99 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/30/1987 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -24.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $40.30 | $38.10 |
| DMA Trend | down | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | -8.2% | -2.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 60.8% | 65.2% |
| Downside Capture | 182.21 | 148.77 |
| Upside Capture | 54.67 | 91.62 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 7.0% | 24.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -1.03 | 0.13 | 0.80 | 0.91 | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Up Beta | -5.25 | -2.74 | 0.23 | 0.44 | 1.53 | 1.56 |
| Down Beta | -0.14 | -0.11 | -0.40 | 0.95 | 1.27 | 0.78 |
| Up Capture | -164% | 13% | 89% | 104% | 96% | 74% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 21 | 36 | 67 | 126 | 357 |
| Down Capture | 97% | 175% | 199% | 107% | 124% | 109% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | 126 | 393 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OXM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OXM | -13.4% | 65.3% | 0.04 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 8.0% | 18.7% | 0.28 | 30.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 22.3% | 12.5% | 1.33 | 24.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.4% | 27.8% | 0.77 | 3.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 23.6% | 18.7% | 1.00 | -12.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.2% | 13.9% | 0.65 | 34.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -42.8% | 42.8% | -1.18 | 13.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OXM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OXM | -14.9% | 47.6% | -0.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.4% | 23.9% | 0.23 | 45.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 41.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.0% | 18.3% | 0.80 | 2.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.5% | 0.28 | 7.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 18.9% | 0.06 | 37.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.3% | 53.5% | 0.42 | 19.9% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OXM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OXM | -1.1% | 45.8% | 0.14 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 13.0% | 22.1% | 0.54 | 47.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.8% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 44.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.7% | 16.1% | 0.59 | -0.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.1% | 18.0% | 0.27 | 14.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 40.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.0% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 14.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/26/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/10/2026 | -17.0% | -17.2% | |
| 3/26/2026 | 8.7% | 23.3% | 40.3% |
| 12/10/2025 | -21.2% | -9.2% | -5.3% |
| 9/10/2025 | 27.6% | 14.4% | -3.6% |
| 6/11/2025 | -13.9% | -18.6% | -13.4% |
| 3/27/2025 | -5.7% | -12.3% | -19.1% |
| 12/11/2024 | -8.6% | -2.5% | 2.4% |
| 9/11/2024 | 0.5% | 2.9% | -11.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 14 | 18 | 16 |
| Median Positive | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% |
| Median Negative | -9.0% | -6.5% | -6.3% |
| Max Positive | 27.6% | 23.3% | 40.3% |
| Max Negative | -21.2% | -18.6% | -19.1% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/10/2026 | -17.0% | -17.2% | |
| 3/26/2026 | 8.7% | 23.3% | 40.3% |
| 12/10/2025 | -21.2% | -9.2% | -5.3% |
| 9/10/2025 | 27.6% | 14.4% | -3.6% |
| 6/11/2025 | -13.9% | -18.6% | -13.4% |
| 3/27/2025 | -5.7% | -12.3% | -19.1% |
| 12/11/2024 | -8.6% | -2.5% | 2.4% |
| 9/11/2024 | 0.5% | 2.9% | -11.1% |
| 6/12/2024 | 0.8% | -0.7% | 0.3% |
| 3/28/2024 | -3.7% | -6.1% | -1.5% |
| 12/6/2023 | 3.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% |
| 8/31/2023 | 1.1% | -5.6% | -4.0% |
| 6/7/2023 | -5.8% | -5.4% | -5.5% |
| 3/23/2023 | -12.7% | -11.8% | -8.1% |
| 12/7/2022 | -5.9% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
| 9/1/2022 | -9.3% | -10.1% | -15.1% |
| 6/8/2022 | 5.0% | -0.7% | -6.1% |
| 3/23/2022 | 11.2% | 10.2% | 12.7% |
| 12/8/2021 | -3.9% | -6.8% | -6.4% |
| 9/2/2021 | 0.7% | -4.9% | -0.2% |
| 6/9/2021 | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| 3/25/2021 | 7.0% | 3.5% | 9.5% |
| 12/9/2020 | -4.1% | -3.5% | 19.6% |
| 9/3/2020 | -14.3% | -9.3% | -15.6% |
| 6/10/2020 | -15.7% | -13.4% | -18.9% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 14 | 18 | 16 |
| Median Positive | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% |
| Median Negative | -9.0% | -6.5% | -6.3% |
| Max Positive | 27.6% | 23.3% | 40.3% |
| Max Negative | -21.2% | -18.6% | -19.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 04/30/2026 | 06/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2026 | 03/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 04/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 04/30/2026 | 06/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2026 | 03/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 04/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2022 | 03/28/2022 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2021 | 12/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2021 | 09/03/2021 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2021 | 06/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2021 | 03/29/2021 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2020 | 12/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2020 | 09/04/2020 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2020 | 06/11/2020 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2020 | 03/30/2020 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2019 | 12/12/2019 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2019 | 09/12/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/8/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 6/10/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 380.00 Mil | 390.00 Mil | 400.00 Mil | ||||
| Q2 2026 GAAP EPS | 1.13 | 1.23 | 1.33 | ||||
| Q2 2026 Adjusted EPS | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | ||||
| 2026 Revenue | 1.48 Bil | 1.49 Bil | 1.50 Bil | -0.8% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.50 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 GAAP EPS | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.1 | -10.8% | Lowered | Guidance: 2.13 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 4.2% | Raised | Guidance: 2.4 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 60.00 Mil | -7.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 65.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 385.00 Mil | 390.00 Mil | 395.00 Mil | 4.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 375.00 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 GAAP EPS | 1.13 | 1.18 | 1.23 | ||||
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EPS | 1.2 | 1.25 | 1.3 | 1150.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 0.1 for Q4 2025 | |
| 2026 Revenue | 1.48 Bil | 1.50 Bil | 1.53 Bil | 1.5% | Higher New | Guidance: 1.48 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 GAAP EPS | 1.83 | 2.13 | 2.43 | ||||
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 4.4% | Higher New | Guidance: 2.3 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 65.00 Mil | -45.8% | Lower New | Guidance: 120.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 12/10/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Revenue | 365.00 Mil | 375.00 Mil | 385.00 Mil | ||||
| Q4 2025 EPS | 0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | ||||
| 2025 Revenue | 1.47 Bil | 1.48 Bil | 1.49 Bil | -1.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.50 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 EPS | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.4 | -23.3% | Lowered | Guidance: 3 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Capital Expenditures | 120.00 Mil | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 120.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Updated 7/2/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chubb, Thomas Caldecot Iii | CEO and President | Direct | Buy | 6122026 | 36.90 | 2,500 | 92,250 | 1,114,380 | Form |
| 2 | Chubb, Thomas Caldecot Iii | CEO and President | Direct | Buy | 12122025 | 35.12 | 5,000 | 175,585 | 797,472 | Form |
| 3 | Chubb, Thomas Caldecot Iii | CEO and President | Direct | Buy | 8042025 | 38.19 | 318 | 12,130 | 3,591,044 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chubb, Thomas Caldecot Iii | CEO and President | Direct | Buy | 6122026 | 36.90 | 2,500 | 92,250 | 1,114,380 | Form |
| 2 | Chubb, Thomas Caldecot Iii | CEO and President | Direct | Buy | 12122025 | 35.12 | 5,000 | 175,585 | 797,472 | Form |
| 3 | Chubb, Thomas Caldecot Iii | CEO and President | Direct | Buy | 8042025 | 38.19 | 318 | 12,130 | 3,591,044 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Consumer Discretionary Resources |
| Retail Dive |
| Business of Fashion (BoF) |
| WWD (Women's Wear Daily) |
| National Retail Federation (NRF) |
| McKinsey & Company - Consumer |
| Mintel Consumer Trends |
| Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods Resources |
| Vogue Business |
| Jing Daily |
| Luxury Daily |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.