Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.1%, Dividend Yield is 3.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
  Key risks
OGE key risks include [1] elevated wildfire risk in its service territories, Show more.
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.1%, Dividend Yield is 3.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%
8 Key risks
OGE key risks include [1] elevated wildfire risk in its service territories, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OGE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

I cannot provide information on OGE Energy's stock movement for the period of August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, as this time frame is in the future and factual data on future stock performance is not available.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OGE Return-25%27%8%-8%24%9%27%
Peers Return4%15%3%-11%25%19%63%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OGE Win Rate42%67%42%58%58%42% 
Peers Win Rate52%58%63%50%60%63% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OGE Max Drawdown-46%-7%-8%-17%-6%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-10%-14%-23%-9%-4% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEE, DUK, AEP, XEL, ETR. See OGE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOGES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven403 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven95.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,803 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-20.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven25.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven189 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-51.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven106.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven414 days1,480 days

Compare to PNW, IDA, ALE, HE, EE


In The Past

OGE Energy's stock fell -25.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/19/2022. A -25.3% loss requires a 33.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About OGE Energy (OGE)

Better Bets than OGE Energy (OGE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OGE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
OGE_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022OGEOGE EnergyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
5.6%-4.4%-6.3%
OGE_3312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312020OGEOGE EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.9%10.8%-13.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
OGE_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022OGEOGE EnergyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
5.6%-4.4%-6.3%
OGE_3312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312020OGEOGE EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.9%10.8%-13.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for OGE Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OGENEEDUKAEPXELETRMedian
NameOGE Ener.NextEra .Duke Ene.American.Xcel Ene.Entergy  
Mkt Price43.0780.29117.43114.7173.1491.8386.06
Mkt Cap8.7165.891.461.443.341.052.3
Rev LTM3,29526,29831,65921,25714,22812,73017,742
Op Inc LTM8437,4048,5835,3002,6373,3144,307
FCF LTM-1673,073-921-1,736-5,149-2,368-1,328
FCF 3Y Avg-1332,421-2,122-1,932-2,465-1,456-1,694
CFO LTM88211,96712,0496,8584,5385,3126,085
CFO 3Y Avg99411,84710,5395,8344,8694,4975,352

Growth & Margins

OGENEEDUKAEPXELETRMedian
NameOGE Ener.NextEra .Duke Ene.American.Xcel Ene.Entergy  
Rev Chg LTM18.0%0.2%4.8%8.4%3.4%7.3%6.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.3%11.4%5.2%4.2%-0.8%-1.1%2.7%
Rev Chg Q8.2%5.3%4.8%10.9%7.4%12.5%7.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%1.5%1.2%2.9%1.9%3.4%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM25.6%28.2%27.1%24.9%18.5%26.0%25.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg24.0%31.5%25.1%21.6%18.2%22.8%23.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-1.4%0.3%0.1%0.5%-0.8%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM26.8%45.5%38.1%32.3%31.9%41.7%35.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg33.9%44.6%34.6%29.0%34.1%36.2%34.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.1%11.7%-2.9%-8.2%-36.2%-18.6%-6.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-4.5%9.3%-7.1%-9.7%-17.4%-11.6%-8.4%

Valuation

OGENEEDUKAEPXELETRMedian
NameOGE Ener.NextEra .Duke Ene.American.Xcel Ene.Entergy  
Mkt Cap8.7165.891.461.443.341.052.3
P/S2.85.93.02.83.43.33.2
P/EBIT10.720.710.410.617.211.411.0
P/E18.524.019.316.424.922.921.1
P/CFO10.613.08.08.810.57.89.6
Total Yield9.1%7.1%6.0%9.4%6.6%6.9%7.0%
Dividend Yield3.7%2.9%0.8%3.3%2.6%2.5%2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.7%1.3%-2.9%-4.3%-5.7%-4.8%-3.6%
D/E0.60.60.90.80.70.70.7
Net D/E0.60.60.90.80.70.70.7

Returns

OGENEEDUKAEPXELETRMedian
NameOGE Ener.NextEra .Duke Ene.American.Xcel Ene.Entergy  
1M Rtn-3.4%-5.7%-6.2%-7.3%-10.0%-3.9%-6.0%
3M Rtn-1.4%15.0%-2.2%7.5%1.5%4.8%3.2%
6M Rtn0.0%13.8%4.3%15.2%11.2%15.0%12.5%
12M Rtn7.2%14.6%12.8%29.1%11.0%26.2%13.7%
3Y Rtn24.3%4.1%31.8%36.0%15.9%79.3%28.0%
1M Excs Rtn-4.1%-6.5%-6.9%-8.0%-10.8%-4.6%-6.7%
3M Excs Rtn-2.3%12.8%-3.0%7.3%-0.0%3.9%1.9%
6M Excs Rtn-12.4%1.4%-8.1%2.8%-1.2%2.6%0.1%
12M Excs Rtn-4.6%1.4%0.7%17.0%-0.1%16.1%1.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-46.3%-67.2%-39.2%-38.0%-55.2%4.9%-42.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric Company2,6743,3763,6542,1222,232
Eliminations00   
Other Operations00   
Natural Gas Midstream Operations 0   
Total2,6743,3763,6542,1222,232


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric Company652662546525508
Eliminations00   
Other Operations-1-0-0-0-0
Natural Gas Midstream Operations -13-2-2-3
Total650650544522504


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric Company426440360339350
Eliminations00   
Other Operations-10-5-822
Natural Gas Midstream Operations 231385-51581
Total417666737-174434


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric Company12,64312,41011,68810,48910,077
Other Operations301684350116107
Eliminations-153-551-218-265-295
Natural Gas Midstream Operations 17873781,135
Total12,79112,54512,60610,71911,024


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,486,646
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202534.2%
Average Daily Volume1,805,174
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.15
Basic Shares Quantity201,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20250.1%-0.8%1.0%
7/30/20251.2%1.6%-0.6%
4/30/2025-1.3%-0.4%-2.0%
2/19/20250.6%3.2%2.8%
11/5/20242.8%5.6%5.0%
8/7/2024-0.5%-0.2%0.6%
5/1/2024-0.1%2.8%3.6%
2/21/2024-1.0%-1.4%0.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131519
# Negative1195
Median Positive1.2%2.4%2.9%
Median Negative-0.8%-1.1%-4.2%
Max Positive6.0%7.9%18.8%
Max Negative-5.9%-4.5%-20.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0PARKER DAVID AVP- Tech, Data, Security-OG&E8062025Sell45.973,300151,705892,352Form
1Jones Donnie O.VP- Utility Operations (OG&E)5292025Sell44.0611,351500,1701,935,820Form
2BOZICH FRANK A 5212025Buy44.691,00044,685723,271Form
3SULTEMEIER WILLIAM HGC, Corp. Sec & CCO5062025Sell45.546,650302,8413,303,836Form