Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.1%, Dividend Yield is 3.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.1%, Dividend Yield is 3.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OGE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Regulatory Stability and Predictability: OGE Energy, as a regulated electric utility, operates within a framework that often provides predictable revenue streams and cost recovery mechanisms. A stable regulatory environment, where there are no significant changes in approved rates, allowed returns on equity, or capital investment recovery, can lead to minimal fluctuation in investor sentiment and, consequently, in the stock price.

2. Consistent Demand for Essential Services: As a provider of electricity in Oklahoma and western Arkansas, OGE Energy benefits from a largely inelastic demand for its services. This consistent demand ensures stable revenues and cash flows, which are fundamental characteristics of utility stocks. The absence of major shifts in energy consumption patterns or economic activity within its service territory would contribute to a static stock performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OGE Return-25%27%8%-8%24%12%31%
Peers Return-12%9%3%-22%23%9%4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OGE Win Rate42%67%42%58%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate40%42%50%45%53%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OGE Max Drawdown-46%-7%-8%-17%-6%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-7%-14%-32%-16%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PNW, IDA, ALE, HE, EE. See OGE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOGES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven403 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven95.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1803 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-20.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven25.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven189 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-51.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven106.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven414 days1480 days

Compare to PNW, IDA, ALE, HE, EE


In The Past

OGE Energy's stock fell -25.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/19/2022. A -25.3% loss requires a 33.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About OGE Energy (OGE)

Better Bets than OGE Energy (OGE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OGE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%
OGE_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022OGEOGE EnergyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
5.6%-4.4%-6.3%
OGE_3312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312020OGEOGE EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.9%10.8%-13.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%
OGE_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022OGEOGE EnergyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
5.6%-4.4%-6.3%
OGE_3312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312020OGEOGE EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.9%10.8%-13.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for OGE Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OGEPNWIDAALEHEEEMedian
NameOGE Ener.Pinnacle.Idacorp ALLETE Hawaiian.Excelera. 
Mkt Price44.2588.62128.1067.6511.1728.6855.95
Mkt Cap8.910.66.93.91.90.95.4
Rev LTM3,2955,3071,8061,5003,0801,1852,443
Op Inc LTM8431,031342139222257299
FCF LTM-167-719-410-322124214-245
FCF 3Y Avg-133-709-38867113154-33
CFO LTM8821,768600343463406532
CFO 3Y Avg9941,452469478488358483

Growth & Margins

OGEPNWIDAALEHEEEMedian
NameOGE Ener.Pinnacle.Idacorp ALLETE Hawaiian.Excelera. 
Rev Chg LTM18.0%5.7%-1.9%-4.3%3.3%45.1%4.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.3%8.9%5.3%0.4%-3.9%-12.4%0.9%
Rev Chg Q8.2%2.9%-0.8%-7.9%-5.1%102.2%1.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%1.0%-0.2%-2.1%-1.4%20.0%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM25.6%19.4%18.9%9.2%7.2%21.6%19.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg24.0%18.8%18.4%9.6%-14.7%20.7%18.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.5%0.7%-0.8%6.6%-1.5%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM26.8%33.3%33.3%22.8%15.0%34.3%30.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg33.9%28.7%25.9%28.4%15.3%31.5%28.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.1%-13.5%-22.7%-21.5%4.0%18.0%-9.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-4.5%-14.2%-21.4%2.5%3.5%14.9%-1.0%

Valuation

OGEPNWIDAALEHEEEMedian
NameOGE Ener.Pinnacle.Idacorp ALLETE Hawaiian.Excelera. 
Mkt Cap8.910.66.93.91.90.95.4
P/S2.82.04.02.60.60.72.3
P/EBIT10.79.615.421.17.22.910.1
P/E18.518.022.523.3111.110.320.5
P/CFO10.66.111.911.34.12.08.3
Total Yield9.1%9.4%7.1%8.6%1.4%15.2%8.9%
Dividend Yield3.7%3.9%2.6%4.3%0.5%5.4%3.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.7%-7.4%-6.8%2.8%7.7%25.0%0.5%
D/E0.61.30.50.61.61.81.0
Net D/E0.61.30.50.61.31.20.9

Returns

OGEPNWIDAALEHEEEMedian
NameOGE Ener.Pinnacle.Idacorp ALLETE Hawaiian.Excelera. 
1M Rtn0.3%-0.9%-1.2%0.5%-3.5%12.5%-0.3%
3M Rtn0.8%0.9%3.4%6.6%-10.1%23.3%2.2%
6M Rtn3.0%1.0%12.5%5.0%9.5%-2.7%4.0%
12M Rtn7.4%1.1%13.2%8.3%9.7%-4.1%7.8%
3Y Rtn27.2%29.2%29.5%16.4%-71.8%-1.1%21.8%
1M Excs Rtn0.3%-0.9%-1.1%0.5%-3.4%12.6%-0.3%
3M Excs Rtn-4.5%-5.1%-2.3%0.9%-15.0%15.8%-3.4%
6M Excs Rtn-11.7%-13.7%-2.2%-9.8%-5.2%-17.4%-10.7%
12M Excs Rtn-8.9%-15.1%-2.3%-5.7%-6.0%-20.0%-7.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-45.9%-41.0%-42.5%-57.1%-144.2%-69.3%-51.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric Company2,6743,3763,6542,1222,232
Eliminations00   
Other Operations00   
Natural Gas Midstream Operations 0   
Total2,6743,3763,6542,1222,232


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric Company652662546525508
Eliminations00   
Other Operations-1-0-0-0-0
Natural Gas Midstream Operations -13-2-2-3
Total650650544522504


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric Company426440360339350
Eliminations00   
Other Operations-10-5-822
Natural Gas Midstream Operations 231385-51581
Total417666737-174434


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric Company12,64312,41011,68810,48910,077
Other Operations301684350116107
Eliminations-153-551-218-265-295
Natural Gas Midstream Operations 17873781,135
Total12,79112,54512,60610,71911,024


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,580,632
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.1%
Average Daily Volume1,106,718
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.04
Basic Shares Quantity201,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0PARKER DAVID AVP- Tech, Data, Security-OG&E8062025Sell45.973,300151,705892,352Form
1Jones Donnie O.VP- Utility Operations (OG&E)5292025Sell44.0611,351500,1701,935,820Form
2BOZICH FRANK A 5212025Buy44.691,00044,685723,271Form
3SULTEMEIER WILLIAM HGC, Corp. Sec & CCO5062025Sell45.546,650302,8413,303,836Form