NBT Bancorp (NBTB)
Market Price (7/10/2026): $49.98 | Market Cap: $2.6 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
NBT Bancorp (NBTB)
Market Price (7/10/2026): $49.98Market Cap: $2.6 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10.0%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 8.8% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.6%, Dist 3Y High is -0.6% | Key risksNBTB key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on the economically challenged Upstate New York market and [2] margin pressure from increased operating expenses tied to the Evans Bancorp acquisition and digital banking investments. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10.0%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 8.8% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.6%, Dist 3Y High is -0.6% |
| Key risksNBTB key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on the economically challenged Upstate New York market and [2] margin pressure from increased operating expenses tied to the Evans Bancorp acquisition and digital banking investments. |
Qualitative Assessment
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NBT Bancorp (NBTB) stock has gained about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance.
NBT Bancorp reported robust year-over-year growth in its fiscal Q1 2026 results, released on April 23, 2026. Net income surged by 39% to $51.1 million, and diluted earnings per share (EPS) increased by 27% to $0.98, compared to fiscal Q1 2025. Additionally, net interest income (on a fully taxable equivalent basis) climbed 25.3% year-over-year to $134.9 million, showcasing solid operational execution despite the diluted EPS narrowly missing consensus estimates.
2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets.
During fiscal Q2 2026, NBT Bancorp benefited from positive analyst coverage, contributing to investor confidence. The company held a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating from six covering firms. Several investment banks reiterated favorable ratings and price targets; for instance, Piper Sandler maintained a "Buy" rating with a $56.00 price target on June 25, 2026, and DA Davidson maintained a "Buy" rating with a $52.00 target on April 26, 2026. The average 12-month target price among brokerages was $49.50 as of June 22, 2026, suggesting potential upside.
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NBT Bancorp (NBTB) stock has gained about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance.
NBT Bancorp reported robust year-over-year growth in its fiscal Q1 2026 results, released on April 23, 2026. Net income surged by 39% to $51.1 million, and diluted earnings per share (EPS) increased by 27% to $0.98, compared to fiscal Q1 2025. Additionally, net interest income (on a fully taxable equivalent basis) climbed 25.3% year-over-year to $134.9 million, showcasing solid operational execution despite the diluted EPS narrowly missing consensus estimates.
2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets.
During fiscal Q2 2026, NBT Bancorp benefited from positive analyst coverage, contributing to investor confidence. The company held a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating from six covering firms. Several investment banks reiterated favorable ratings and price targets; for instance, Piper Sandler maintained a "Buy" rating with a $56.00 price target on June 25, 2026, and DA Davidson maintained a "Buy" rating with a $52.00 target on April 26, 2026. The average 12-month target price among brokerages was $49.50 as of June 22, 2026, suggesting potential upside.
3. Favorable Regional Banking Sector Outlook.
The broader North American banking sector experienced a positive outlook during the period, providing a tailwind for NBT Bancorp. Reports indicated that North American banks were expected to perform well with solid earnings and healthy balance sheets over the next year. A resilient economic environment was projected to result in only modest growth in provisions for credit losses in 2026 and 2027, fostering a stable operating landscape for regional financial institutions.
4. Robust Capital Position and Tangible Book Value Growth.
NBT Bancorp maintained a strong capital foundation, which reassured investors. As of March 31, 2026 (the end of fiscal Q1 2026), the company reported a Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio of 12.34% and a leverage ratio of 9.70%. Concurrently, tangible book value per share increased to $27.05 at March 31, 2026, up from $26.54 at December 31, 2025, reflecting an enhancement in shareholder value.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 18.3% change in NBTB stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 8.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 42.24 | 49.95 | 18.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 694 | 724 | 4.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 24.4% | 25.4% | 4.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.1 | 14.2 | 8.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 52 | 52 | 0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 18.3% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NBTB | 18.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.6% | 14.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 12.5% | 52.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 22.3% change in NBTB stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 40.83 | 49.95 | 22.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 658 | 724 | 10.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 22.8% | 25.4% | 11.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.3 | 14.2 | -0.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 52 | 52 | 0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 22.3% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NBTB | 22.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.5% | 27.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.9% | 58.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 24.4% change in NBTB stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 23.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 40.16 | 49.95 | 24.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 588 | 724 | 23.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 24.4% | 25.4% | 3.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.2 | 14.2 | 7.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 47 | 52 | -9.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 24.4% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NBTB | 24.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.7% | 31.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 7.3% | 58.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 73.2% change in NBTB stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 68.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 28.83 | 49.95 | 73.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 518 | 724 | 39.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 28.3% | 25.4% | -10.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.4 | 14.2 | 68.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 43 | 52 | -17.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 73.2% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NBTB | 73.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.6% | 40.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 72.2% | 60.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NBTB Return | 24% | 16% | -0% | 18% | -10% | 20% | 82% |
| Peers Return | 37% | -8% | 2% | 16% | 22% | 17% | 112% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NBTB Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 42% | 71% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 73% | 48% | 47% | 57% | 60% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NBTB Max Drawdown | -22% | -16% | -33% | -21% | -21% | -12% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -31% | -41% | -22% | -26% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MTB, KEY, FNB, WBS, VLY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/9/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NBTB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -18.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 301 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -14.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.1% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 10 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -27.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.7% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 223 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -28.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 357 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -14.5% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.9% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 58 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -10.1% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.3% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 36 days | 62 days |
In The Past
NBT Bancorp's stock fell -18.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 23.4% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | NBTB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -27.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.7% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 223 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -28.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 357 days | 140 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -22.5% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.1% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 99 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -34.5% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.7% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 51 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -23.8% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.3% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 14 days | 47 days |
In The Past
NBT Bancorp's stock fell -18.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 23.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About NBT Bancorp (NBTB)
NBT Bancorp Inc. (NBTB) is a financial holding company based in Norwich, New York, primarily operating as a regional bank in the Northeastern United States. Established in 1856, the company offers a comprehensive range of financial services, including commercial banking, retail banking, and wealth management, catering to both individual and business clients.
The company's main products and services encompass a full suite of deposit accounts, such as demand, savings, money market, and certificates of deposit. Its extensive loan portfolio includes commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, agricultural, and commercial construction loans, alongside consumer offerings like mortgages, home equity, and other direct and indirect consumer loans. Beyond traditional banking, NBT Bancorp provides trust and investment services, financial planning, life insurance, and retirement plan consulting. It also offers various insurance products, including personal property and casualty, business liability, and commercial insurance.
NBT Bancorp serves its customer base through a network of 140 branches and 164 ATMs located across New York, Pennsylvania, Vermont, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Connecticut, and Maine. Complementing its physical presence, the company provides robust digital access via 24-hour online, mobile, and telephone channels, enabling customers to manage accounts, make deposits, transfer funds, pay bills, and apply for loans conveniently.
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1. It's like a smaller, regional version of Bank of America, but focused on the Northeastern United States.
2. Think of it as a full-service regional bank, similar to a PNC or a Regions Financial, but specifically operating across several Northeastern states.
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- Deposit Accounts: The company offers various deposit products including demand, savings, money market, and certificate of deposit accounts.
- Loan Products: NBT Bancorp provides a comprehensive portfolio of loans, such as commercial, industrial, real estate, agricultural, consumer, home equity, and residential mortgages.
- Wealth Management Services: These services encompass trust and investment management, financial planning, life insurance, and retirement plan consulting and recordkeeping.
- Insurance Products: The company offers a range of insurance products including personal property and casualty, business liability, and commercial insurance.
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Individual Consumers
This category includes customers seeking retail banking services such as checking, savings, and money market accounts; various consumer loans including mortgages, home equity, and direct/indirect consumer loans; as well as wealth management services like financial planning, trust and investment services, and life insurance. Individuals also utilize personal property and casualty insurance products. -
Commercial Businesses
This category encompasses a diverse range of businesses, from small to medium-sized enterprises, requiring commercial banking products. These include commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate loans, agricultural loans, commercial construction loans, and business banking services. Businesses also procure commercial liability and other commercial insurance products.
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Scott A. Kingsley, President and Chief Executive Officer
Scott A. Kingsley became President and Chief Executive Officer of NBT Bancorp Inc. in May 2024. He initially joined NBT in 2021 as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Mr. Kingsley brings nearly 40 years of experience to his role. Before joining NBT, he was a member of the management team at Community Bank System, Inc. for 16 years, serving as Chief Operating Officer and previously as Chief Financial Officer. His career began at PricewaterhouseCoopers, LLP, and he later held financial and operational leadership positions at Carlisle Companies, Inc., a publicly traded global manufacturer and distributor. He is a Certified Public Accountant.
Annette L. Burns, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Annette L. Burns was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer in May 2024. She joined NBT in 2013 following the company's acquisition of Alliance Bancorp. Ms. Burns has 30 years of experience in accounting and finance, having started her career at PricewaterhouseCoopers, LLP. At NBT, she previously served as Corporate Controller, Senior Corporate Controller, and Chief Accounting Officer. She is a Certified Public Accountant.
Joseph R. Stagliano, Senior Executive Vice President and President of NBT Bank, N.A.
Joseph R. Stagliano was promoted to President of NBT Bank, N.A. in 2024. He has over 30 years of experience in the financial services industry. Mr. Stagliano joined NBT in 1999 and, in 2006, was promoted to Chief Information Officer and became a member of the Executive Management Team. He assumed responsibility for Retail Banking in 2016 in addition to his Chief Information Officer duties, and in 2018, he was named President of Retail Banking. Prior to NBT, he was employed by MetLife.
Sarah A. Halliday, Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Innovation Officer
Sarah A. Halliday has more than 30 years of experience in banking and commercial lending.
Shauna M. Hyle, Executive Vice President, Retail Community Banking
Shauna M. Hyle was named Executive Vice President, Retail Community Banking, in May 2024. Before joining NBT, she was a manager with PricewaterhouseCoopers, LLP, providing audit and attestation services. She is a Certified Public Accountant.
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The key risks to NBT Bancorp (NBTB) primarily stem from its operations as a regional financial institution.
Interest Rate Fluctuations
NBT Bancorp faces significant exposure to fluctuations in interest rates, which can adversely affect its net interest income, a primary driver of profitability. Variations in interest rates can impact the company's net interest margin, reduce loan origination volumes, and increase funding costs. Conversely, low rates could lead to asset prepayments and lower yields.
Commercial Lending Risks and Loan Quality
A substantial portion of NBT Bancorp's loan portfolio is concentrated in commercial lending, accounting for 56% of its total loans. This focus exposes the company to elevated risks of non-payment and potential losses compared to residential mortgages. The adequacy of its allowance for credit losses is crucial, as an insufficient allowance could materially impact its financial condition. Recent concerns in the broader market regarding regional banks' exposure to private credit markets and commercial real estate (CRE) payoffs further sharpen the focus on NBT Bancorp's loan quality and credit risk management.
Regulatory Risks
Having exceeded $10 billion in total consolidated assets, NBT Bancorp is subject to a more stringent regulatory environment. This includes increased capital, leverage, liquidity, and risk management standards. Compliance with these enhanced requirements can necessitate significant resource allocation and may limit the company's operational flexibility and growth potential, thereby impacting its financial results.
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The clear emerging threat for NBT Bancorp is the rise of digital-first financial service providers, including fintech companies and neobanks. These entities leverage advanced technology and leaner operational models to offer banking services such as deposits, payments, and various loan products directly to consumers and businesses, often with superior digital user experiences, lower fees, or more competitive interest rates than traditional banks. Unlike NBT Bancorp, which operates with a significant physical branch and ATM network, these digital-native competitors bypass the overhead of traditional infrastructure, allowing them to rapidly acquire customers who prioritize convenience, digital accessibility, and a seamless online/mobile experience. This trend poses a threat by potentially eroding NBTB's deposit base, attracting away customers seeking more agile financial solutions, and intensifying competition for loans and other financial services.
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NBT Bancorp (symbol: NBTB) operates within several significant addressable markets in the United States, offering commercial banking, retail banking, wealth management, and insurance services. The market sizes for these key product and service categories are detailed below for the U.S. region.
Commercial Banking
- The U.S. commercial banking market was valued at approximately USD 226.44 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 269.28 billion by 2029. Other estimates place the U.S. commercial banking market at USD 229 billion in 2023, expected to reach USD 339 billion by 2032.
- The U.S. commercial real estate (CRE) mortgage market, a component of commercial banking, includes approximately USD 4.5 trillion backed by income-producing properties and USD 470 billion in construction loans as of March 2023. Total CRE mortgage borrowing and lending was estimated at USD 498 billion in 2024. Additionally, commercial real estate loans held by all commercial banks in the U.S. were about USD 3.07 trillion in February 2026.
Retail Banking
- The U.S. retail banking market was valued at USD 870 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 1,112.2 billion by 2031. Another report estimates the U.S. retail banking market generated USD 1.28 trillion in revenue in 2025.
- The U.S. home mortgage market was valued at approximately USD 180.91 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow to about USD 501.67 billion by 2032. Total single-family mortgage origination volume in the U.S. is expected to reach USD 2.2 trillion in 2026.
- The broader U.S. consumer lending market, which includes various types of consumer loans, has a market size of USD 27 trillion as of January 2025. The U.S. personal loans market was valued at USD 429.78 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 1,521.91 billion by 2034.
Wealth Management Services
- The global wealth management market was valued at USD 1.83 trillion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 5.95 trillion by 2033, with North America holding a dominant share. The wealth management market size in the U.S. is expected to increase by USD 469.1 billion from 2025 to 2030.
- For retirement plan consulting and recordkeeping services, the U.S. retirement market held approximately USD 30 trillion in assets under retirement-related accounts as of 2024. Total U.S. retirement assets amounted to USD 48.1 trillion as of September 30, 2025. The U.S. Pension Funds Market was valued at USD 6.12 trillion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 10.24 trillion by 2030.
Insurance Products
- The overall U.S. insurance market size was USD 3.7 trillion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 9.1 trillion by 2032. U.S. insurance industry net premiums written totaled USD 1.7 trillion in 2024.
- The U.S. life insurance market size was estimated at USD 1.93 trillion in 2024, with predictions to reach around USD 4.74 trillion by 2034. Another report values the U.S. life insurance market at USD 765.38 billion in 2023, expected to grow to USD 1,476.31 billion by 2032.
- The U.S. commercial insurance market is estimated at USD 271.93 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 416.83 billion by 2035.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for NBT Bancorp (NBTB)
- Strategic Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) and Geographic Expansion: NBT Bancorp is actively pursuing strategic mergers and acquisitions to expand its geographic reach and customer base. The successful integration of the Evans Bancorp merger, completed in May 2025, has already significantly contributed to revenue growth and established a stronger presence in Western New York's largest population centers, including Buffalo and Rochester. The company's outlook also explicitly mentions a continued focus on strategic mergers and acquisitions. Further, the opening of its first branch in Portland, Maine, indicates additional organic geographic expansion initiatives.
- Loan Growth, particularly in Commercial & Consumer Lending: NBT Bancorp anticipates loan growth of 4-5% in 2026, driven by strong commercial and industrial (C&I) and consumer lending activity. Recent periods have demonstrated diverse loan growth across core commercial lending, business banking, residential mortgage, and indirect auto businesses.
- Growth in Non-Interest Income from Fee-Based Businesses: The company's non-banking businesses, including retirement plan administration, wealth management services, and the insurance agency, are significant revenue contributors. These fee-based income streams have shown a meaningful five-year compounded annual growth rate of 9% and achieved record revenue and earnings in 2025. This growth is supported by customer account growth, favorable market performance, and policy renewals.
- Net Interest Margin Stability and Earning Asset Growth: NBT Bancorp expects its net interest margin (NIM) to remain stable, with potential for 2-3 basis points expansion per quarter, depending on asset repricing and the yield curve. The company's strategy for net interest income growth is focused on increasing earning assets. Recent improvements in NIM have been attributed to productive fixed-rate asset repricing trends and effective management of funding costs, leading to a more favorable funding mix.
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Share Repurchases
- NBT Bancorp repurchased 250,000 shares of its common stock during the fourth quarter of 2025, totaling $10.2 million at an average price of $40.74 per share.
- As of December 31, 2025, 1,750,000 shares remained available for repurchase under a program authorized through December 31, 2027.
- The company purchased 1,900 shares of its common stock during the first quarter of 2024 at an average price of $33.03 per share, with 1,998,100 shares remaining available for repurchase under the plan as of March 31, 2024.
Share Issuance
- In connection with the acquisition of Evans Bancorp, Inc. on May 2, 2025, NBT Bancorp issued 5.1 million shares of common stock, valued at $221.8 million as of the closing date, contributing to a $370.1 million increase in stockholders' equity from December 31, 2024.
Outbound Investments
- NBT Bancorp acquired Evans Bancorp, Inc. on May 2, 2025, for an approximate aggregate transaction value of $236 million (based on NBT's closing stock price on September 6, 2024), adding $1.67 billion in loans, $1.86 billion in deposits, and 18 banking locations in Western New York.
- On December 5, 2022, NBT Bancorp announced a definitive agreement to merge with Salisbury Bancorp, Inc. for approximately $204 million in an all-stock transaction, expanding NBT's footprint into Connecticut, the Hudson Valley of New York, and southwestern Massachusetts.
- NBT Bancorp has completed 14 acquisitions since 2013, including the acquisition of PACO, Inc. and Karl W. Reynard, Inc. in 2024, and Retirement Direct, LLC in 2023.
Capital Expenditures
- NBT Bancorp invested $4.0 million in capital expenditures during the fourth quarter of 2025.
- Capital expenditures for the last 12 months ending in Q4 2025 were -$16.30 million.
- Investments in infrastructure, including new banking locations in South Burlington, VT and Webster, NY in Q1 2025, and increased spending on technology and data services related to the Evans acquisition, indicate a focus on expanding physical presence and integrating acquired operations.
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| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 36.53 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.2 |
| Rev LTM | 2,502 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 885 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 857 |
| CFO LTM | 911 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 878 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 32.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 33.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 30.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banking | 622 | 509 | 465 | ||
| Retirement Plan Administration | 67 | 61 | 51 | ||
| All Other | 8 | 7 | 5 | ||
| Single Segment | 515 | 476 | |||
| Total | 697 | 577 | 520 | 515 | 476 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Banking | 145 | 121 | 104 |
| Retirement Plan Administration | 19 | 16 | 12 |
| All Other | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Total | 169 | 141 | 119 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Banking | 17,957 | 15,475 | 14,906 |
| Retirement Plan Administration | 56 | 54 | 37 |
| All Other | -2,018 | -1,742 | -1,633 |
| Total | 15,995 | 13,787 | 13,309 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $49.95 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/17/1992 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -0.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $46.44 | $43.10 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 7.5% | 15.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 22.6% | 25.5% |
| Downside Capture | 11.27 | 58.78 |
| Upside Capture | 44.23 | 64.60 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 7.4% | 31.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.01 | 0.16 | 0.22 | 0.48 | 0.63 | 0.77 |
| Up Beta | -1.21 | -0.50 | 0.08 | 0.39 | 0.78 | 0.84 |
| Down Beta | 0.38 | 0.29 | 0.09 | 0.32 | 0.57 | 0.75 |
| Up Capture | 69% | 71% | 54% | 66% | 55% | 49% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 25 | 38 | 69 | 124 | 366 |
| Down Capture | -17% | -10% | 7% | 46% | 63% | 89% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 16 | 24 | 55 | 124 | 378 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NBTB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBTB | 19.3% | 25.5% | 0.65 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 7.7% | 14.8% | 0.29 | 58.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 22.3% | 12.5% | 1.33 | 31.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.4% | 27.8% | 0.77 | -3.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 23.6% | 18.7% | 1.00 | -20.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.2% | 13.9% | 0.65 | 44.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -42.8% | 42.8% | -1.18 | 16.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NBTB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBTB | 10.3% | 28.7% | 0.36 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.5% | 18.6% | 0.43 | 59.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 41.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.0% | 18.3% | 0.80 | -3.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.5% | 0.28 | 6.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 18.9% | 0.06 | 43.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.3% | 53.5% | 0.42 | 16.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NBTB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBTB | 9.5% | 29.8% | 0.36 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 14.1% | 22.1% | 0.58 | 69.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.8% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 50.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.7% | 16.1% | 0.59 | -7.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.1% | 18.0% | 0.27 | 14.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 46.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.0% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 12.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/23/2026 | -4.5% | -3.5% | 1.4% |
| 1/26/2026 | -1.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| 10/27/2025 | 1.4% | 0.2% | 4.0% |
| 7/28/2025 | 3.8% | -1.2% | 8.2% |
| 4/24/2025 | 0.6% | 0.4% | -1.9% |
| 1/27/2025 | -5.4% | -4.2% | -3.7% |
| 10/28/2024 | 0.2% | -3.0% | 10.9% |
| 7/22/2024 | 8.1% | 5.8% | 0.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 13 | 17 |
| # Negative | 13 | 11 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 1.3% | 1.4% | 6.8% |
| Median Negative | -2.2% | -3.5% | -3.7% |
| Max Positive | 8.1% | 10.1% | 18.3% |
| Max Negative | -11.2% | -9.7% | -12.5% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/23/2026 | -4.5% | -3.5% | 1.4% |
| 1/26/2026 | -1.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| 10/27/2025 | 1.4% | 0.2% | 4.0% |
| 7/28/2025 | 3.8% | -1.2% | 8.2% |
| 4/24/2025 | 0.6% | 0.4% | -1.9% |
| 1/27/2025 | -5.4% | -4.2% | -3.7% |
| 10/28/2024 | 0.2% | -3.0% | 10.9% |
| 7/22/2024 | 8.1% | 5.8% | 0.2% |
| 4/22/2024 | 3.5% | 1.4% | 10.3% |
| 1/23/2024 | -3.3% | -5.4% | -12.5% |
| 10/24/2023 | 7.6% | 10.1% | 18.3% |
| 7/31/2023 | 0.8% | 0.7% | -7.2% |
| 4/24/2023 | -2.2% | -4.1% | 6.8% |
| 1/23/2023 | -11.2% | -9.7% | -4.9% |
| 10/25/2022 | -0.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% |
| 7/25/2022 | -1.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 4/25/2022 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 3.7% |
| 1/26/2022 | -2.9% | -2.4% | -2.4% |
| 10/26/2021 | -3.7% | -1.4% | 1.6% |
| 7/26/2021 | 1.1% | 5.6% | 9.6% |
| 4/26/2021 | -0.8% | -0.2% | -0.6% |
| 1/27/2021 | -0.3% | 1.2% | 9.8% |
| 10/26/2020 | -2.0% | -3.8% | 12.3% |
| 7/27/2020 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 6.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 13 | 17 |
| # Negative | 13 | 11 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 1.3% | 1.4% | 6.8% |
| Median Negative | -2.2% | -3.5% | -3.7% |
| Max Positive | 8.1% | 10.1% | 18.3% |
| Max Negative | -11.2% | -9.7% | -12.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/01/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/01/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/11/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/02/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/08/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/08/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/12/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparks, Martin Randolph | EVP,General Counsel,Secretary | Direct | Sell | 6122026 | 48.04 | 1,200 | 57,650 | 694,821 | Form |
| 2 | Hoeller, Heidi M | Direct | Sell | 6122026 | 48.03 | 2,100 | 100,874 | 555,285 | Form | |
| 3 | Watt, John H JR | Direct | Sell | 6102026 | 47.42 | 21,000 | 995,751 | 2,560,976 | Form | |
| 4 | Mahoney, Ruth H | EVP/President of Wealth Mgmt | Direct | Sell | 6082026 | 46.60 | 5,000 | 233,000 | 765,523 | Form |
| 5 | Sparks, Martin Randolph | EVP,General Counsel,Secretary | Direct | Sell | 3172026 | 41.30 | 2,400 | 99,120 | 468,751 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparks, Martin Randolph | EVP,General Counsel,Secretary | Direct | Sell | 6122026 | 48.04 | 1,200 | 57,650 | 694,821 | Form |
| 2 | Hoeller, Heidi M | Direct | Sell | 6122026 | 48.03 | 2,100 | 100,874 | 555,285 | Form | |
| 3 | Watt, John H JR | Direct | Sell | 6102026 | 47.42 | 21,000 | 995,751 | 2,560,976 | Form | |
| 4 | Mahoney, Ruth H | EVP/President of Wealth Mgmt | Direct | Sell | 6082026 | 46.60 | 5,000 | 233,000 | 765,523 | Form |
| 5 | Sparks, Martin Randolph | EVP,General Counsel,Secretary | Direct | Sell | 3172026 | 41.30 | 2,400 | 99,120 | 468,751 | Form |
| 6 | Wiles, Amy | EVP, Chief Risk and Credit | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 45.72 | 4,435 | 202,772 | 982,997 | Form |
| 7 | Delaney, Timothy E | Direct | Buy | 1292026 | 42.97 | 22,730 | 976,708 | 3,206,207 | Form | |
| 8 | Delaney, Timothy E | Direct | Buy | 11072025 | 40.98 | 10,000 | 409,750 | 2,125,988 | Form | |
| 9 | Delaney, Timothy E | Direct | Buy | 11032025 | 40.50 | 2,000 | 81,000 | 1,696,342 | Form | |
| 10 | Nasca, David J | Direct | Sell | 8152025 | 43.42 | 19,603 | 851,103 | 3,599,703 | Form | |
| 11 | Brown, Jason David | Direct | Buy | 6042025 | 41.10 | 350 | 14,385 | 302,660 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Regional Banks Resources |
| Bank Director |
| Independent Banker |
| S&P Global Market Intelligence |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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