Tearsheet

Valley National Bancorp (VLY)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $11.91 | Market Cap: $6.7 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Valley National Bancorp (VLY)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $11.91
Market Cap: $6.7 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.3%, FCF Yield is 8.1%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.2%, Dist 3Y High is -1.2%
Key risks
VLY key risks include [1] a substantial concentration in commercial real estate loans, Show more.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 10%
 
3 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 18%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.3%, FCF Yield is 8.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
3 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 18%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.2%, Dist 3Y High is -1.2%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
7 Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 10%
8 Key risks
VLY key risks include [1] a substantial concentration in commercial real estate loans, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VLY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) experienced significant movements in its stock price between August 31, 2025, and December 25, 2025, influenced primarily by strong third-quarter earnings and positive analyst sentiment.

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat Expectations: Valley National Bancorp reported net income of $163.4 million, or $0.28 per diluted common share, for the third quarter of 2025, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.26 per share. This marked an improvement from $133.2 million, or $0.22 per diluted common share, in the second quarter of 2025 and $97.9 million, or $0.18 per diluted common share, in the third quarter of 2024. The adjusted net income for Q3 2025 was $164.1 million, or $0.28 per diluted common share.

2. Improved Net Interest Income and Margin: Net interest income on a tax-equivalent basis increased to $447.5 million for the third quarter of 2025, up $13.8 million from the second quarter of 2025 and $35.7 million from the third quarter of 2024. The net interest margin also expanded by 4 basis points to 3.05 percent in Q3 2025, compared to 3.01 percent in Q2 2025. This improvement was attributed to higher yields on new loan originations, increases in average loans and taxable investments, and a decline in the cost of total average deposits.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 11.9% change in VLY stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 11.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
924202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)10.6611.9311.91%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1911.881959.142.47%
Net Income Margin (%)23.68%26.46%11.70%
P/E Multiple13.1912.90-2.21%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)560.34560.50-0.03%
Cumulative Contribution11.91%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
VLY11.9% 
Market (SPY)4.4%60.5%
Sector (XLF)4.0%68.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 38.6% change in VLY stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 26.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
625202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)8.6111.9338.55%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1869.811959.144.78%
Net Income Margin (%)20.86%26.46%26.82%
P/E Multiple12.3512.904.44%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)559.61560.50-0.16%
Cumulative Contribution38.55%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
VLY38.6% 
Market (SPY)14.0%58.8%
Sector (XLF)8.8%64.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 35.2% change in VLY stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 43.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
1224202412242025Change
Stock Price ($)8.8311.9335.18%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1818.281959.147.75%
Net Income Margin (%)18.49%26.46%43.11%
P/E Multiple13.3712.90-3.51%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)509.23560.50-10.07%
Cumulative Contribution33.81%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
VLY35.2% 
Market (SPY)15.8%65.2%
Sector (XLF)14.9%69.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 20.3% change in VLY stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 30.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1225202212242025Change
Stock Price ($)9.9211.9320.32%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1696.721959.1415.47%
Net Income Margin (%)29.84%26.46%-11.34%
P/E Multiple9.9212.9030.11%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)506.34560.50-10.70%
Cumulative Contribution18.94%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
VLY20.8% 
Market (SPY)48.9%49.3%
Sector (XLF)53.2%61.9%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VLY Return-10%46%-15%1%-12%38%37%
Peers Return-13%41%2%1%29%13%84%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VLY Win Rate42%75%50%50%50%75% 
Peers Win Rate55%72%57%47%58%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VLY Max Drawdown-44%-0%-25%-41%-38%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-59%-1%-18%-36%-11%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FNB, WBS, FHN, SNV, PNFP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-56.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven127.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven311 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-36.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven805 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to ONB, CADE, SNV, FNB, EEFT

In The Past

Valley National Bancorp's stock fell -56.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -56.1% loss requires a 127.9% gain to breakeven.

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About Valley National Bancorp (VLY)

Valley National Bancorp operates as the holding company for Valley National Bank that provides various commercial, retail, insurance, and wealth management financial services products. It operates through Commercial Lending, Consumer Lending, and Investment Management segments. The company offers non-interest bearing, savings, NOW, money market, and time deposit accounts; commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, residential mortgage, and automobile loans; loans secured by the cash surrender value of life insurance; home equity loans and lines of credit; and secured and unsecured other consumer loans. It also invests in various securities and interest-bearing deposits with other banks; and provides international banking services, such as standby and documentary letters of credit, and related products, as well as foreign exchange transactions, documentary collections, foreign wire transfers services, and transaction accounts for non-resident aliens. In addition, the company offers investment services for individuals and small to medium sized businesses; and trusts and custom -tailored investment strategies for various retirement plans. Further, it provides trust services, such as living and testamentary trusts, investment management, custodial and escrow services, and estate administration to individuals; tax credit advisory services; property and casualty, life, health, and title insurance agency services; and health care equipment lending and other commercial equipment leasing services, as well as owns real estate related investments. Additionally, the company offers online, mobile, and telephone banking services; and overdraft, drive-in and night deposit, automated teller machine, remote deposit capture, and safe deposit facility services. As of December 31,2021, it operated 232 branch offices in New Jersey, New York, Florida, and Alabama. The company was incorporated in 1927 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Valley National Bancorp (VLY):

  • Think of it as a PNC Bank for the Northeast and Florida.
  • Like a smaller, East Coast-focused version of Truist.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Deposit Accounts (Funds Acquisition): Provides various deposit accounts including checking, savings, money market, and certificates of deposit for individuals and businesses.
  • Commercial & Industrial Lending (Business Lending): Offers loans and lines of credit to businesses for working capital, equipment financing, and other operational needs.
  • Commercial Real Estate Lending (Property Financing): Funds the acquisition, development, and refinancing of income-producing properties such as office buildings, retail centers, and multi-family residences.
  • Residential Mortgage Lending (Home Financing): Originates and services loans to individuals for purchasing or refinancing primary residences, secondary homes, and investment properties.
  • Consumer Lending (Personal Financing): Provides personal loans, auto loans, and home equity lines of credit to individuals for diverse personal financial needs.
  • Treasury Management Services (Business Financial Operations): Delivers cash management, merchant services, and payment processing solutions to help businesses manage their financial operations efficiently.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) is a bank holding company whose primary subsidiary is Valley National Bank. As a financial institution, it sells a wide range of financial products and services directly to a broad base of customers, rather than selling to a few major companies or having its services resold by other companies. Therefore, its customers can be best described by categories.

The up to three major categories of customers that Valley National Bancorp serves are:

  • Retail/Consumer Customers: This category includes individuals and households seeking personal banking products and services. These typically encompass checking and savings accounts, money market accounts, certificates of deposit, mortgages, home equity lines of credit, personal loans, auto loans, and credit cards. Valley also provides wealth management and private banking services to affluent individuals.

  • Small to Medium-sized Business (SMB) Customers: This segment comprises various types of businesses, including sole proprietorships, partnerships, and corporations, that require financial services to operate and grow. Services for SMBs include business checking and savings accounts, commercial loans (such as term loans, lines of credit, and Small Business Administration (SBA) loans), treasury management services, and merchant services.

  • Commercial Real Estate (CRE) and Corporate Customers: This category includes larger businesses, corporations, real estate investors, and developers. Valley provides a comprehensive suite of commercial banking services, including commercial real estate financing (for acquisition, construction, and refinancing of various property types), corporate loans, syndicated financing, equipment financing, and sophisticated treasury management solutions.

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  • Fiserv, Inc. (FISV)
  • nCino, Inc. (NCNO)
  • Visa Inc. (V)
  • Mastercard Incorporated (MA)
  • Equifax Inc. (EFX)
  • TransUnion (TRU)

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Ira Robbins Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board

Ira Robbins joined Valley National Bancorp in 1996 through the Bank's Management Associate Program and has held various leadership roles during his multi-decade career at the company. He was appointed Chief Executive Officer in January 2018, having previously served as President of Valley National Bancorp from January 2017 to December 2021. As CEO, he is responsible for the bank's strategy and capital allocation, including oversight of commercial banking and capital activities. His previous responsibilities included Credit Administration, Retail Banking, Technology, Human Resources, Treasury, and Finance, and he has been involved in strategic planning and merger and acquisitions. Mr. Robbins is a Certified Public Accountant in New Jersey and holds a bachelor's degree from Susquehanna University and an MBA from Pace University.

Travis Lan Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

Travis Lan was appointed Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer in March 2025. He initially joined Valley National Bancorp in February 2020 as Senior Vice President, Head of Corporate Finance & M&A, and was appointed Executive Vice President and Deputy Chief Financial Officer in January 2024. Prior to his tenure at Valley, Mr. Lan served as a Director in the Investment Banking Department at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc. from June 2016 to February 2020. He also spent ten years as an equity research analyst covering community and regional banks for Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Stifel Nicolaus, and Ryan Beck & Co.

Russell Barrett Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer

Russell Barrett serves as Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Valley National Bancorp, a position he has held since 2024. Before this role, he was the Chief Transformation Officer for the company. His prior experience includes serving as Chief Information Officer and subsequently Chief Operating Officer for the Corporate Bank at BNP Paribas.

John P. Regan Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Risk Officer

John P. Regan was appointed Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Risk Officer, effective June 24, 2024. He is an executive with over 30 years of experience in banking industry audit and risk management. Mr. Regan previously served as Chief Audit Officer for the New York banking operations of Industrial and Commercial Bank of China from 2022 to 2024, and as Chief Audit Executive at Investors Bancorp from 2016 to 2022. He was also a Senior Partner at KPMG LLP, where he led KPMG's New York Metro Banking Audit Practice.

Gino Martocci Senior Executive Vice President, President of Commercial Banking

Gino Martocci was appointed Senior Executive Vice President, President of Commercial Banking in March 2025. He brings over 30 years of commercial banking experience to his role at Valley National Bancorp, where he is responsible for overseeing the company's enterprise-wide commercial banking operations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Valley National Bancorp (VLY) primarily revolve around its significant exposure to commercial real estate, which in turn impacts its credit quality and profitability.

  1. Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Concentration Risk: Valley National Bancorp has a substantial concentration in commercial real estate loans, particularly within the New York City metropolitan area. This high exposure, which has been noted to be over 300% of total capital, triggers additional regulatory scrutiny and exposes the bank to considerable cyclical risk if the CRE market experiences a downturn. Investors are particularly concerned about potential stress in the CRE market, including the impact of sustained high interest rates on property values and borrowers' repayment capabilities. The bank's stock has faced pressure due to these concerns, amplified by comparisons to other regional banks with similar CRE concentrations that have reported significant losses.
  2. Credit Quality and Elevated Loan Loss Provisions: Directly linked to its CRE exposure, VLY has been grappling with credit quality concerns, leading to higher loan loss provisions and net charge-offs. These elevated provisions directly impact the bank's profitability and are expected to continue through the latter half of 2024. If economic conditions worsen or if isolated credit issues become more widespread, the bank may need to further increase its provisioning, further pressuring earnings and potentially affecting investor confidence.
  3. Net Interest Margin (NIM) Pressure and Slower Loan Growth: The bank faces challenges in maintaining and expanding its net interest margin, which is the difference between interest earned on loans and interest paid on deposits. There is a risk that higher deposit costs could outpace increases in loan yields, thereby compressing the NIM. Additionally, slower loan growth trends pose a notable risk to future earnings, as loans are a primary source of interest income for banks. An inability to accelerate loan growth could make it difficult for VLY to offset the impact of elevated provisions and potentially higher funding costs, leading to lower overall profitability.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The clear emerging threats for Valley National Bancorp (VLY) include:

  • The proliferation and increasing market penetration of challenger banks (neobanks) and advanced fintech platforms. These digitally native companies leverage technology to offer superior user experiences, often with lower fees, personalized financial products, and faster service delivery compared to traditional banks. They are aggressively capturing market share in deposits, payments, and lending (e.g., personal loans, small business financing), particularly among younger demographics and tech-savvy customers. This trend threatens to erode Valley National Bancorp's customer base, deposit funding, and fee income by offering a fundamentally different and often more convenient banking model, similar to how Netflix disrupted Blockbuster's traditional brick-and-mortar video rental business with a digital-first, subscription-based streaming model.

  • The rapid expansion of "embedded finance," where non-financial companies seamlessly integrate financial services directly into their customer journeys. Major tech companies, e-commerce platforms, and retailers are increasingly offering banking-like services such as payment processing, "Buy Now Pay Later" lending, and even basic account functionalities within their own ecosystems. This trend risks disintermediating traditional banks like Valley National Bancorp from the core customer relationship and transaction flows, as financial activities become an invisible, integrated part of other consumer experiences. This parallels how Uber circumvented traditional taxicab dispatch systems by connecting riders directly with drivers through a mobile app, embedding the transportation service within a new digital framework.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) operates primarily in the United States, with a focus on markets in New Jersey, New York, Florida, Alabama, California, and Illinois. Their main products and services include commercial lending, consumer lending (including residential mortgages), and retail banking services.

Addressable Market Sizes for Main Products/Services (U.S. Region):

  • Commercial Lending: The U.S. Commercial Lending Market was estimated at $2,987.59 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $8,248.51 billion by 2035. The global commercial lending market was valued at $11,874.88 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach nearly $25,270.32 billion by 2032. The U.S. holds a significant share, approximately 75%, of the North American commercial lending market.
  • Small Business Lending (a component of Commercial Lending): The U.S. small business loan market was valued at $245.39 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $349.64 billion by 2033. Another estimate for the total lending volume to small businesses in the U.S. for 2025 is $760 billion.
  • Residential Mortgage Lending (a component of Consumer Lending): The U.S. home mortgage market for originations was approximately $180.91 billion in 2023 and is predicted to grow to around $501.67 billion by 2032. The total residential mortgage debt outstanding in the U.S. was $12.94 trillion as of the second quarter of 2025. The U.S. purchase-mortgage market is currently valued at $1,145.4 billion.
  • Retail Banking: The United States retail banking market is valued at $0.87 trillion in 2025 and is forecasted to reach $1.08 trillion by 2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Valley National Bancorp (VLY) over the next 2-3 years:
  • Growth in Commercial & Industrial (C&I) and Consumer Loans: Valley National Bancorp is strategically shifting its focus towards expanding its Commercial & Industrial (C&I) and consumer loan portfolios. This includes targeting traditional small business and middle-market opportunities, as well as specific specialty verticals such as healthcare C&I and capital call lines. Management anticipates low-single-digit overall loan growth for 2025, with a continued emphasis on these segments.
  • Net Interest Income (NII) and Net Interest Margin (NIM) Expansion: The company expects to drive revenue growth through the expansion of its net interest income and net interest margin. This is supported by a deliberate strategy to reduce deposit costs and a shift towards higher-yielding loan segments. Valley National Bancorp projects double-digit net interest income growth by 2025 and anticipates further NIM expansion into 2026.
  • Core Deposit Growth and Funding Transformation: Valley National Bancorp is focused on attracting and retaining core customer deposits. This strategy aims to reduce reliance on higher-cost brokered deposits, thereby improving funding costs and enhancing the bank's financial stability and profitability. The company has achieved significant core deposit growth and has been able to reduce its loan-to-deposit ratio, with a target to further decrease it to 90%.
  • Diversification and Growth of Non-Interest Income: The bank is actively working to grow its non-interest income, which has historically shown faster growth than its peers. Key areas of focus for this expansion include treasury management services, capital markets, and tax credit advisory opportunities, contributing to a more diversified revenue stream.
  • Targeted Geographic Expansion: Valley National Bancorp is pursuing strategic geographic expansion, particularly in high-growth markets. This includes expanding its presence in targeted regions like Florida and the Western United States, specifically California, through new leadership hires and commercial client partnerships. These initiatives are aimed at driving new customer acquisition and increasing market share.

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Share Repurchases

  • Valley National Bancorp's Board of Directors authorized a new stock repurchase program for up to 25 million shares of common stock, effective from April 26, 2024, to April 26, 2026.
  • During the third quarter of 2025, the company repurchased 1.3 million shares of common stock at an average price of $9.38 per share.
  • In the first nine months of 2025, Valley National Bancorp repurchased a total of 1.8 million shares at an average price of $9.18 per share.

Share Issuance

  • In November 2024, Valley National Bancorp announced a public offering of 42,780,748 shares of common stock at $9.35 per share, intending to raise aggregate gross proceeds of $400 million, with an option for underwriters to purchase an additional 6,417,112 shares.
  • During 2024, the company raised $150 million through a preferred stock offering and $450 million through a common stock offering, which generated nearly 125 basis points of incremental Tier 1 capital.
  • In connection with the acquisition of Bank Leumi USA on April 1, 2022, Valley issued approximately 85 million shares of common stock.

Inbound Investments

  • Following the acquisition of Bank Leumi USA in 2022, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M. owned approximately 14 percent of Valley's common stock.

Outbound Investments

  • In 2022, Valley National Bancorp completed the acquisition of Bank Leumi USA, which involved the payment of $113.4 million in cash in addition to the issuance of common stock.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to VLY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.8%13.8%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.3%-0.3%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.4%-4.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.6%7.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-11.2%-11.2%-12.1%
VLY_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020VLYValley National BancorpDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
-3.8%97.3%-14.0%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Valley National Bancorp

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VLYFNBWBSFHNSNVPNFPMedian
NameValley N.F N B Webster .First Ho.Synovus .Pinnacle. 
Mkt Price11.9317.6164.5324.5152.96101.3038.73
Mkt Cap6.76.310.612.47.47.87.6
Rev LTM1,9591,6802,8103,1642,3551,7392,157
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM5395551,5863806681,048612
FCF 3Y Avg4244251,0938971,002624760
CFO LTM5396801,6324237021,143691
CFO 3Y Avg4245321,1339351,042710822

Growth & Margins

VLYFNBWBSFHNSNVPNFPMedian
NameValley N.F N B Webster .First Ho.Synovus .Pinnacle. 
Rev Chg LTM7.7%7.6%9.6%-0.2%24.7%22.2%8.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.3%8.7%11.5%2.3%5.1%12.4%7.0%
Rev Chg Q10.2%10.9%12.5%7.9%10.2%13.5%10.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%2.8%3.0%2.0%2.5%3.3%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM27.5%40.5%58.1%13.4%29.8%65.7%35.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.6%32.4%41.5%29.3%48.0%45.1%36.9%
FCF/Rev LTM27.5%33.0%56.4%12.0%28.4%60.3%30.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg21.6%25.8%40.0%28.1%46.1%39.4%33.8%

Valuation

VLYFNBWBSFHNSNVPNFPMedian
NameValley N.F N B Webster .First Ho.Synovus .Pinnacle. 
Mkt Cap6.76.310.612.47.47.87.6
P/S3.43.83.83.93.14.53.8
P/EBIT-------
P/E12.912.511.514.09.212.512.5
P/CFO12.49.36.529.310.56.89.9
Total Yield11.4%10.7%11.3%9.7%13.8%8.9%11.0%
Dividend Yield3.7%2.8%2.6%2.6%2.9%0.9%2.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.7%9.0%13.2%11.7%20.2%9.3%10.5%
D/E0.50.50.40.20.40.30.4
Net D/E0.3-0.40.1-0.5-0.9-0.5-0.4

Returns

VLYFNBWBSFHNSNVPNFPMedian
NameValley N.F N B Webster .First Ho.Synovus .Pinnacle. 
1M Rtn8.3%9.3%11.4%13.9%13.2%12.4%11.9%
3M Rtn11.9%10.1%8.0%8.2%7.6%6.8%8.1%
6M Rtn38.6%25.2%23.3%22.1%7.0%-4.7%22.7%
12M Rtn35.2%21.6%19.5%23.9%6.4%-10.7%20.6%
3Y Rtn20.3%51.7%52.8%12.1%62.5%42.3%47.0%
1M Excs Rtn4.9%5.9%8.0%10.5%9.8%9.0%8.5%
3M Excs Rtn8.1%5.3%3.7%3.9%2.8%1.7%3.8%
6M Excs Rtn22.7%10.0%6.8%5.9%-8.6%-19.6%6.3%
12M Excs Rtn19.3%8.4%3.9%9.6%-8.3%-25.7%6.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-58.0%-26.6%-24.2%-69.2%-15.3%-34.3%-30.5%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial Banking1,5291,433987929710
Consumer Banking270280292291239
Treasury and Corporate Other9215086  
Corporate and Other   486
Investment Management   7878
Total1,8911,8621,3651,3021,113


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$11.93 
Market Cap ($ Bil)6.7 
First Trading Date03/23/1990 
Distance from 52W High-1.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$11.04$9.65
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA8.0%23.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility31.3%32.4%
Downside Capture120.26115.24
Upside Capture148.78128.51
Correlation (SPY)60.8%65.3%
VLY Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.291.741.601.731.131.30
Up Beta0.691.591.782.230.921.20
Down Beta1.351.942.001.911.171.05
Up Capture177%191%146%178%148%264%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days12253667126361
Down Capture125%157%131%134%118%109%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days8172759118378

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of VLY With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 VLYSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return38.5%18.3%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.4%
Annualized Volatility32.2%19.0%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio1.040.750.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 69.7%65.2%-6.5%19.4%54.5%29.6%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of VLY With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 VLYSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return8.2%16.3%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.6%
Annualized Volatility38.0%18.9%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.310.720.700.970.510.170.59
Correlation With Other Assets 65.3%51.0%2.2%15.7%49.7%21.8%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of VLY With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 VLYSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return6.2%13.0%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.2%
Annualized Volatility36.4%22.3%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.270.540.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 72.5%56.5%-7.2%22.1%51.4%14.7%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity32,090,170
Short Interest: % Change Since 113020255.3%
Average Daily Volume6,247,535
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.14
Basic Shares Quantity560,504,275
Short % of Basic Shares5.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/20254.2%8.2%3.5%
7/24/2025-1.8%-3.2%-0.2%
4/24/20251.2%-0.3%0.7%
1/23/2025-0.2%3.5%-2.7%
10/24/20245.3%6.2%12.4%
7/25/20243.1%7.3%4.9%
4/25/2024-0.9%-6.9%-6.2%
1/25/2024-4.4%-10.9%-21.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131513
# Negative11911
Median Positive3.1%2.6%5.5%
Median Negative-1.7%-4.6%-3.9%
Max Positive5.5%8.6%20.8%
Max Negative-7.9%-14.7%-21.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More
 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0EFRAT EYAL 5162025Buy9.161961,79516,928Form
1BANK LEUMI LE ISRAEL BM2202025Buy9.351,000,0009,350,000681,258,410Form
2CHILLURA JOSEPHSEVP, CML Banking President1312025Sell10.2150,000510,5005,056,492Form
3SANDOR NITZAN 1272025Buy10.241101,1261,126Form