Tearsheet

Valley National Bancorp (VLY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.53 | Market Cap: $6.5 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Valley National Bancorp (VLY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.53
Market Cap: $6.5 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.7%, FCF Yield is 9.1%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 10%
 
3 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 18%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.7%, FCF Yield is 9.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
3 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 18%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65%
7 Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 10%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VLY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The search results contain several press releases and news articles about Valley National Bancorp (VLY) from within the specified future time period of August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. These include Q2 and Q3 2025 earnings reports, announcements of new executive appointments, and analyst commentary. Critically, one result mentions VLY shares having "gained 11.8% so far this year" as of October 23, 2025, and another mentions a "26.8% share price return year-to-date" and "11.5% total shareholder return over the past year" as of November 30, 2025. This indicates the stock did indeed move by approximately 11% or more within and around the requested period, making the user's premise valid. Here are the key points explaining the stock movement for Valley National Bancorp (VLY) during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Performance: Valley National Bancorp reported net income for the third quarter of 2025 of $163.4 million, or $0.28 per diluted common share, surpassing both the second quarter 2025 results and analyst expectations. Adjusted net income for Q3 2025 was $164.1 million, or $0.28 per diluted common share. This strong performance, which represented the highest quarterly profitability since 2022, was a significant driver for positive stock movement.

2. Improved Net Interest Income and Margin (NIM): The company demonstrated consistent improvement in its Net Interest Margin (NIM), with the third quarter 2025 NIM on a tax-equivalent basis increasing by 4 basis points to 3.05 percent compared to 3.01 percent in the second quarter of 2025. Net interest income for Q3 2025 also increased by $13.8 million sequentially. This was driven by higher yields on new loan originations, increases in average loans and taxable investments, and lower deposit costs.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VLY Return-10%46%-15%1%-12%31%30%
Peers Return-11%18%-8%9%21%2%29%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VLY Win Rate42%75%50%50%50%70% 
Peers Win Rate57%68%45%45%53%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VLY Max Drawdown-44%-0%-25%-41%-38%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-8%-24%-26%-9%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ONB, CADE, SNV, FNB, EEFT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-56.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven127.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven311 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-36.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven805 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to ONB, CADE, SNV, FNB, EEFT


In The Past

Valley National Bancorp's stock fell -56.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -56.1% loss requires a 127.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Valley National Bancorp (VLY)

Better Bets than Valley National Bancorp (VLY)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VLY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
VLY_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020VLYValley National BancorpDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
-3.8%97.3%-14.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
VLY_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020VLYValley National BancorpDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
-3.8%97.3%-14.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Valley National Bancorp

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VLYONBCADESNVFNBEEFTMedian
NameValley N.Old Nati.Cadence .Synovus .F N B Euronet . 
Mkt Price11.4922.1441.8649.5216.9274.9932.00
Mkt Cap6.48.67.86.96.13.06.7
Rev LTM1,9592,3241,8312,3551,6804,1832,141
Op Inc LTM-----552552
FCF LTM539729-668555334555
FCF 3Y Avg424563-1,002425576563
CFO LTM539758-702680462680
CFO 3Y Avg424596-1,042532686596

Growth & Margins

VLYONBCADESNVFNBEEFTMedian
NameValley N.Old Nati.Cadence .Synovus .F N B Euronet . 
Rev Chg LTM7.7%24.9%42.6%24.7%7.6%7.2%16.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.3%20.7%18.2%5.1%8.7%8.2%8.4%
Rev Chg Q10.2%45.1%8.8%10.2%10.9%4.2%10.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%10.4%2.2%2.5%2.8%1.1%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM-----13.2%13.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-----12.3%12.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-----0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM27.5%32.6%-29.8%40.5%11.1%29.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.6%29.0%-48.0%32.4%17.9%29.0%
FCF/Rev LTM27.5%31.4%-28.4%33.0%8.0%28.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg21.6%27.3%-46.1%25.8%15.1%25.8%

Valuation

VLYONBCADESNVFNBEEFTMedian
NameValley N.Old Nati.Cadence .Synovus .F N B Euronet . 
Mkt Cap6.48.67.86.96.13.06.7
P/S3.03.73.22.93.50.83.1
P/EBIT-----6.86.8
P/E11.514.111.08.511.511.711.5
P/CFO11.011.3-9.78.57.79.7
Total Yield12.8%7.1%11.4%14.9%11.7%8.6%11.6%
Dividend Yield4.1%0.0%2.3%3.2%3.0%0.0%2.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.7%9.5%-20.2%9.0%14.5%9.5%
D/E0.60.80.50.40.50.70.5
Net D/E0.30.5-0.6-1.0-0.40.1-0.1

Returns

VLYONBCADESNVFNBEEFTMedian
NameValley N.Old Nati.Cadence .Synovus .F N B Euronet . 
1M Rtn5.0%8.1%11.4%10.7%8.3%1.0%8.2%
3M Rtn10.4%-2.8%12.7%-3.0%3.4%-17.3%0.3%
6M Rtn35.4%7.9%40.7%5.7%24.8%-31.5%16.3%
12M Rtn16.0%-1.5%15.2%-8.7%4.5%-28.9%1.5%
3Y Rtn6.5%27.0%60.2%33.1%35.1%-20.0%30.0%
1M Excs Rtn5.1%8.1%11.4%10.8%8.4%1.1%8.2%
3M Excs Rtn3.7%-9.8%5.8%-9.6%-3.8%-22.8%-6.7%
6M Excs Rtn20.7%-6.8%26.0%-9.0%10.0%-46.2%1.6%
12M Excs Rtn-0.4%-15.5%-0.3%-24.0%-11.0%-42.2%-13.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-64.9%-42.7%-7.3%-37.7%-35.3%-88.9%-40.2%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial Banking1,5291,433987929710
Consumer Banking270280292291239
Treasury and Corporate Other9215086  
Corporate and Other   486
Investment Management   7878
Total1,8911,8621,3651,3021,113


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity31,370,513
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202535.1%
Average Daily Volume9,151,644
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.43
Basic Shares Quantity560,504,275
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0EFRAT EYAL 5162025Buy9.161961,79516,928Form
1BANK LEUMI LE ISRAEL BM2202025Buy9.351,000,0009,350,000681,258,410Form
2CHILLURA JOSEPHSEVP, CML Banking President1312025Sell10.2150,000510,5005,056,492Form
3SANDOR NITZAN 1272025Buy10.241101,1261,126Form