Valley National Bancorp (VLY)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $11.91 | Market Cap: $6.7 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
Valley National Bancorp (VLY)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $11.91Market Cap: $6.7 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.3%, FCF Yield is 8.1% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.2%, Dist 3Y High is -1.2% | Key risksVLY key risks include [1] a substantial concentration in commercial real estate loans, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% | Moderate capital ratioTier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 10% | |
| Uninsured deposits are lowUninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 18% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.3%, FCF Yield is 8.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% |
| Uninsured deposits are lowUninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 18% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.2%, Dist 3Y High is -1.2% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58% |
| Moderate capital ratioTier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 10% |
| Key risksVLY key risks include [1] a substantial concentration in commercial real estate loans, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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Valley National Bancorp (VLY) experienced significant movements in its stock price between August 31, 2025, and December 25, 2025, influenced primarily by strong third-quarter earnings and positive analyst sentiment.1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat Expectations: Valley National Bancorp reported net income of $163.4 million, or $0.28 per diluted common share, for the third quarter of 2025, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.26 per share. This marked an improvement from $133.2 million, or $0.22 per diluted common share, in the second quarter of 2025 and $97.9 million, or $0.18 per diluted common share, in the third quarter of 2024. The adjusted net income for Q3 2025 was $164.1 million, or $0.28 per diluted common share.
2. Improved Net Interest Income and Margin: Net interest income on a tax-equivalent basis increased to $447.5 million for the third quarter of 2025, up $13.8 million from the second quarter of 2025 and $35.7 million from the third quarter of 2024. The net interest margin also expanded by 4 basis points to 3.05 percent in Q3 2025, compared to 3.01 percent in Q2 2025. This improvement was attributed to higher yields on new loan originations, increases in average loans and taxable investments, and a decline in the cost of total average deposits.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.9% change in VLY stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 11.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 9242025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.66 | 11.93 | 11.91% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1911.88 | 1959.14 | 2.47% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 23.68% | 26.46% | 11.70% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.19 | 12.90 | -2.21% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 560.34 | 560.50 | -0.03% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 11.91% |
Market Drivers
9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VLY | 11.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.4% | 60.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.0% | 68.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 38.6% change in VLY stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 26.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 6252025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.61 | 11.93 | 38.55% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1869.81 | 1959.14 | 4.78% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 20.86% | 26.46% | 26.82% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.35 | 12.90 | 4.44% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 559.61 | 560.50 | -0.16% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 38.55% |
Market Drivers
6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VLY | 38.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.0% | 58.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 8.8% | 64.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 35.2% change in VLY stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 43.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12242024 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.83 | 11.93 | 35.18% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1818.28 | 1959.14 | 7.75% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 18.49% | 26.46% | 43.11% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.37 | 12.90 | -3.51% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 509.23 | 560.50 | -10.07% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 33.81% |
Market Drivers
12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VLY | 35.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 65.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 14.9% | 69.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 20.3% change in VLY stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 30.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12252022 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.92 | 11.93 | 20.32% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1696.72 | 1959.14 | 15.47% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 29.84% | 26.46% | -11.34% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.92 | 12.90 | 30.11% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 506.34 | 560.50 | -10.70% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 18.94% |
Market Drivers
12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VLY | 20.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.9% | 49.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 53.2% | 61.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VLY Return | -10% | 46% | -15% | 1% | -12% | 38% | 37% |
| Peers Return | -13% | 41% | 2% | 1% | 29% | 13% | 84% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 115% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VLY Win Rate | 42% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 72% | 57% | 47% | 58% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VLY Max Drawdown | -44% | -0% | -25% | -41% | -38% | -12% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -59% | -1% | -18% | -36% | -11% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FNB, WBS, FHN, SNV, PNFP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 311 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -36.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 805 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to ONB, CADE, SNV, FNB, EEFT
In The Past
Valley National Bancorp's stock fell -56.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -56.1% loss requires a 127.9% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Valley National Bancorp (VLY):
- Think of it as a PNC Bank for the Northeast and Florida.
- Like a smaller, East Coast-focused version of Truist.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Deposit Accounts (Funds Acquisition): Provides various deposit accounts including checking, savings, money market, and certificates of deposit for individuals and businesses.
- Commercial & Industrial Lending (Business Lending): Offers loans and lines of credit to businesses for working capital, equipment financing, and other operational needs.
- Commercial Real Estate Lending (Property Financing): Funds the acquisition, development, and refinancing of income-producing properties such as office buildings, retail centers, and multi-family residences.
- Residential Mortgage Lending (Home Financing): Originates and services loans to individuals for purchasing or refinancing primary residences, secondary homes, and investment properties.
- Consumer Lending (Personal Financing): Provides personal loans, auto loans, and home equity lines of credit to individuals for diverse personal financial needs.
- Treasury Management Services (Business Financial Operations): Delivers cash management, merchant services, and payment processing solutions to help businesses manage their financial operations efficiently.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Valley National Bancorp (VLY) is a bank holding company whose primary subsidiary is Valley National Bank. As a financial institution, it sells a wide range of financial products and services directly to a broad base of customers, rather than selling to a few major companies or having its services resold by other companies. Therefore, its customers can be best described by categories.
The up to three major categories of customers that Valley National Bancorp serves are:
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Retail/Consumer Customers: This category includes individuals and households seeking personal banking products and services. These typically encompass checking and savings accounts, money market accounts, certificates of deposit, mortgages, home equity lines of credit, personal loans, auto loans, and credit cards. Valley also provides wealth management and private banking services to affluent individuals.
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Small to Medium-sized Business (SMB) Customers: This segment comprises various types of businesses, including sole proprietorships, partnerships, and corporations, that require financial services to operate and grow. Services for SMBs include business checking and savings accounts, commercial loans (such as term loans, lines of credit, and Small Business Administration (SBA) loans), treasury management services, and merchant services.
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Commercial Real Estate (CRE) and Corporate Customers: This category includes larger businesses, corporations, real estate investors, and developers. Valley provides a comprehensive suite of commercial banking services, including commercial real estate financing (for acquisition, construction, and refinancing of various property types), corporate loans, syndicated financing, equipment financing, and sophisticated treasury management solutions.
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Ira Robbins Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board
Ira Robbins joined Valley National Bancorp in 1996 through the Bank's Management Associate Program and has held various leadership roles during his multi-decade career at the company. He was appointed Chief Executive Officer in January 2018, having previously served as President of Valley National Bancorp from January 2017 to December 2021. As CEO, he is responsible for the bank's strategy and capital allocation, including oversight of commercial banking and capital activities. His previous responsibilities included Credit Administration, Retail Banking, Technology, Human Resources, Treasury, and Finance, and he has been involved in strategic planning and merger and acquisitions. Mr. Robbins is a Certified Public Accountant in New Jersey and holds a bachelor's degree from Susquehanna University and an MBA from Pace University.
Travis Lan Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Travis Lan was appointed Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer in March 2025. He initially joined Valley National Bancorp in February 2020 as Senior Vice President, Head of Corporate Finance & M&A, and was appointed Executive Vice President and Deputy Chief Financial Officer in January 2024. Prior to his tenure at Valley, Mr. Lan served as a Director in the Investment Banking Department at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc. from June 2016 to February 2020. He also spent ten years as an equity research analyst covering community and regional banks for Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Stifel Nicolaus, and Ryan Beck & Co.
Russell Barrett Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer
Russell Barrett serves as Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Valley National Bancorp, a position he has held since 2024. Before this role, he was the Chief Transformation Officer for the company. His prior experience includes serving as Chief Information Officer and subsequently Chief Operating Officer for the Corporate Bank at BNP Paribas.
John P. Regan Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Risk Officer
John P. Regan was appointed Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Risk Officer, effective June 24, 2024. He is an executive with over 30 years of experience in banking industry audit and risk management. Mr. Regan previously served as Chief Audit Officer for the New York banking operations of Industrial and Commercial Bank of China from 2022 to 2024, and as Chief Audit Executive at Investors Bancorp from 2016 to 2022. He was also a Senior Partner at KPMG LLP, where he led KPMG's New York Metro Banking Audit Practice.
Gino Martocci Senior Executive Vice President, President of Commercial Banking
Gino Martocci was appointed Senior Executive Vice President, President of Commercial Banking in March 2025. He brings over 30 years of commercial banking experience to his role at Valley National Bancorp, where he is responsible for overseeing the company's enterprise-wide commercial banking operations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Valley National Bancorp (VLY) primarily revolve around its significant exposure to commercial real estate, which in turn impacts its credit quality and profitability.
- Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Concentration Risk: Valley National Bancorp has a substantial concentration in commercial real estate loans, particularly within the New York City metropolitan area. This high exposure, which has been noted to be over 300% of total capital, triggers additional regulatory scrutiny and exposes the bank to considerable cyclical risk if the CRE market experiences a downturn. Investors are particularly concerned about potential stress in the CRE market, including the impact of sustained high interest rates on property values and borrowers' repayment capabilities. The bank's stock has faced pressure due to these concerns, amplified by comparisons to other regional banks with similar CRE concentrations that have reported significant losses.
- Credit Quality and Elevated Loan Loss Provisions: Directly linked to its CRE exposure, VLY has been grappling with credit quality concerns, leading to higher loan loss provisions and net charge-offs. These elevated provisions directly impact the bank's profitability and are expected to continue through the latter half of 2024. If economic conditions worsen or if isolated credit issues become more widespread, the bank may need to further increase its provisioning, further pressuring earnings and potentially affecting investor confidence.
- Net Interest Margin (NIM) Pressure and Slower Loan Growth: The bank faces challenges in maintaining and expanding its net interest margin, which is the difference between interest earned on loans and interest paid on deposits. There is a risk that higher deposit costs could outpace increases in loan yields, thereby compressing the NIM. Additionally, slower loan growth trends pose a notable risk to future earnings, as loans are a primary source of interest income for banks. An inability to accelerate loan growth could make it difficult for VLY to offset the impact of elevated provisions and potentially higher funding costs, leading to lower overall profitability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threats for Valley National Bancorp (VLY) include:
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The proliferation and increasing market penetration of challenger banks (neobanks) and advanced fintech platforms. These digitally native companies leverage technology to offer superior user experiences, often with lower fees, personalized financial products, and faster service delivery compared to traditional banks. They are aggressively capturing market share in deposits, payments, and lending (e.g., personal loans, small business financing), particularly among younger demographics and tech-savvy customers. This trend threatens to erode Valley National Bancorp's customer base, deposit funding, and fee income by offering a fundamentally different and often more convenient banking model, similar to how Netflix disrupted Blockbuster's traditional brick-and-mortar video rental business with a digital-first, subscription-based streaming model.
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The rapid expansion of "embedded finance," where non-financial companies seamlessly integrate financial services directly into their customer journeys. Major tech companies, e-commerce platforms, and retailers are increasingly offering banking-like services such as payment processing, "Buy Now Pay Later" lending, and even basic account functionalities within their own ecosystems. This trend risks disintermediating traditional banks like Valley National Bancorp from the core customer relationship and transaction flows, as financial activities become an invisible, integrated part of other consumer experiences. This parallels how Uber circumvented traditional taxicab dispatch systems by connecting riders directly with drivers through a mobile app, embedding the transportation service within a new digital framework.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Valley National Bancorp (VLY) operates primarily in the United States, with a focus on markets in New Jersey, New York, Florida, Alabama, California, and Illinois. Their main products and services include commercial lending, consumer lending (including residential mortgages), and retail banking services.
Addressable Market Sizes for Main Products/Services (U.S. Region):
- Commercial Lending: The U.S. Commercial Lending Market was estimated at $2,987.59 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $8,248.51 billion by 2035. The global commercial lending market was valued at $11,874.88 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach nearly $25,270.32 billion by 2032. The U.S. holds a significant share, approximately 75%, of the North American commercial lending market.
- Small Business Lending (a component of Commercial Lending): The U.S. small business loan market was valued at $245.39 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $349.64 billion by 2033. Another estimate for the total lending volume to small businesses in the U.S. for 2025 is $760 billion.
- Residential Mortgage Lending (a component of Consumer Lending): The U.S. home mortgage market for originations was approximately $180.91 billion in 2023 and is predicted to grow to around $501.67 billion by 2032. The total residential mortgage debt outstanding in the U.S. was $12.94 trillion as of the second quarter of 2025. The U.S. purchase-mortgage market is currently valued at $1,145.4 billion.
- Retail Banking: The United States retail banking market is valued at $0.87 trillion in 2025 and is forecasted to reach $1.08 trillion by 2030.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Valley National Bancorp (VLY) over the next 2-3 years:- Growth in Commercial & Industrial (C&I) and Consumer Loans: Valley National Bancorp is strategically shifting its focus towards expanding its Commercial & Industrial (C&I) and consumer loan portfolios. This includes targeting traditional small business and middle-market opportunities, as well as specific specialty verticals such as healthcare C&I and capital call lines. Management anticipates low-single-digit overall loan growth for 2025, with a continued emphasis on these segments.
- Net Interest Income (NII) and Net Interest Margin (NIM) Expansion: The company expects to drive revenue growth through the expansion of its net interest income and net interest margin. This is supported by a deliberate strategy to reduce deposit costs and a shift towards higher-yielding loan segments. Valley National Bancorp projects double-digit net interest income growth by 2025 and anticipates further NIM expansion into 2026.
- Core Deposit Growth and Funding Transformation: Valley National Bancorp is focused on attracting and retaining core customer deposits. This strategy aims to reduce reliance on higher-cost brokered deposits, thereby improving funding costs and enhancing the bank's financial stability and profitability. The company has achieved significant core deposit growth and has been able to reduce its loan-to-deposit ratio, with a target to further decrease it to 90%.
- Diversification and Growth of Non-Interest Income: The bank is actively working to grow its non-interest income, which has historically shown faster growth than its peers. Key areas of focus for this expansion include treasury management services, capital markets, and tax credit advisory opportunities, contributing to a more diversified revenue stream.
- Targeted Geographic Expansion: Valley National Bancorp is pursuing strategic geographic expansion, particularly in high-growth markets. This includes expanding its presence in targeted regions like Florida and the Western United States, specifically California, through new leadership hires and commercial client partnerships. These initiatives are aimed at driving new customer acquisition and increasing market share.
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Share Repurchases
- Valley National Bancorp's Board of Directors authorized a new stock repurchase program for up to 25 million shares of common stock, effective from April 26, 2024, to April 26, 2026.
- During the third quarter of 2025, the company repurchased 1.3 million shares of common stock at an average price of $9.38 per share.
- In the first nine months of 2025, Valley National Bancorp repurchased a total of 1.8 million shares at an average price of $9.18 per share.
Share Issuance
- In November 2024, Valley National Bancorp announced a public offering of 42,780,748 shares of common stock at $9.35 per share, intending to raise aggregate gross proceeds of $400 million, with an option for underwriters to purchase an additional 6,417,112 shares.
- During 2024, the company raised $150 million through a preferred stock offering and $450 million through a common stock offering, which generated nearly 125 basis points of incremental Tier 1 capital.
- In connection with the acquisition of Bank Leumi USA on April 1, 2022, Valley issued approximately 85 million shares of common stock.
Inbound Investments
- Following the acquisition of Bank Leumi USA in 2022, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M. owned approximately 14 percent of Valley's common stock.
Outbound Investments
- In 2022, Valley National Bancorp completed the acquisition of Bank Leumi USA, which involved the payment of $113.4 million in cash in addition to the issuance of common stock.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to VLY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.8% | 13.8% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.5% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.4% | -4.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 7.6% | 7.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -11.2% | -11.2% | -12.1% |
| 03312020 | VLY | Valley National Bancorp | Dip Buy | DB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) | -3.8% | 97.3% | -14.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Valley National Bancorp
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 38.73 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.6 |
| Rev LTM | 2,157 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 612 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 760 |
| CFO LTM | 691 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 822 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 35.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 36.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 30.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 33.8% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $11.93 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 6.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/23/1990 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -1.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $11.04 | $9.65 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 8.0% | 23.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 31.3% | 32.4% |
| Downside Capture | 120.26 | 115.24 |
| Upside Capture | 148.78 | 128.51 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 60.8% | 65.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.29 | 1.74 | 1.60 | 1.73 | 1.13 | 1.30 |
| Up Beta | 0.69 | 1.59 | 1.78 | 2.23 | 0.92 | 1.20 |
| Down Beta | 1.35 | 1.94 | 2.00 | 1.91 | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| Up Capture | 177% | 191% | 146% | 178% | 148% | 264% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 36 | 67 | 126 | 361 |
| Down Capture | 125% | 157% | 131% | 134% | 118% | 109% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 17 | 27 | 59 | 118 | 378 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of VLY With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VLY | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 38.5% | 18.3% | 19.2% | 71.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | -10.4% |
| Annualized Volatility | 32.2% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.04 | 0.75 | 0.78 | 2.69 | 0.36 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 69.7% | 65.2% | -6.5% | 19.4% | 54.5% | 29.6% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of VLY With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VLY | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 8.2% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 32.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 38.0% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.31 | 0.72 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.51 | 0.17 | 0.59 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 65.3% | 51.0% | 2.2% | 15.7% | 49.7% | 21.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of VLY With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VLY | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 6.2% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 36.4% | 22.3% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.27 | 0.54 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 72.5% | 56.5% | -7.2% | 22.1% | 51.4% | 14.7% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/23/2025 | 4.2% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| 7/24/2025 | -1.8% | -3.2% | -0.2% |
| 4/24/2025 | 1.2% | -0.3% | 0.7% |
| 1/23/2025 | -0.2% | 3.5% | -2.7% |
| 10/24/2024 | 5.3% | 6.2% | 12.4% |
| 7/25/2024 | 3.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| 4/25/2024 | -0.9% | -6.9% | -6.2% |
| 1/25/2024 | -4.4% | -10.9% | -21.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 15 | 13 |
| # Negative | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.5% |
| Median Negative | -1.7% | -4.6% | -3.9% |
| Max Positive | 5.5% | 8.6% | 20.8% |
| Max Negative | -7.9% | -14.7% | -21.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | EFRAT EYAL | 5162025 | Buy | 9.16 | 196 | 1,795 | 16,928 | Form | |
| 1 | BANK LEUMI LE ISRAEL BM | 2202025 | Buy | 9.35 | 1,000,000 | 9,350,000 | 681,258,410 | Form | |
| 2 | CHILLURA JOSEPH | SEVP, CML Banking President | 1312025 | Sell | 10.21 | 50,000 | 510,500 | 5,056,492 | Form |
| 3 | SANDOR NITZAN | 1272025 | Buy | 10.24 | 110 | 1,126 | 1,126 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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