Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.0%, FCF Yield is 11%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.9%, Dist 3Y High is -3.9%
Key risks
MTB key risks include [1] rising net charge-offs indicating an increase in uncollectible debt and [2] a significant exposure to the commercial real estate market.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -65%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -6.6%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, CFO LTM is 4.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.0 Bil
Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 8.2%
 
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  
4 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 28%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.0%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -65%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, CFO LTM is 4.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.0 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
4 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 28%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.9%, Dist 3Y High is -3.9%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -6.6%
8 Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 8.2%
9 Key risks
MTB key risks include [1] rising net charge-offs indicating an increase in uncollectible debt and [2] a significant exposure to the commercial real estate market.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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M&T Bank (MTB) stock has gained about 25% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. M&T Bank reported strong fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results, surpassing analyst expectations for earnings per share. The company announced an adjusted EPS of $4.72, exceeding consensus estimates of $4.47 by 5.7%. This contributed to a record full-year net income of $2.85 billion. The revenue for Q4 2025 also met analyst estimates at $2.48 billion, representing a 4% year-over-year increase.

2. The bank demonstrated significant improvements in asset quality and efficiency during 2025. M&T Bank reported a 26% decrease in nonaccrual loans, reaching their lowest level since 2007. Additionally, criticized commercial loans were reduced by 27% over the year. The efficiency ratio also improved from 56.9% to 56%, indicating better operational management.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 25.4% change in MTB stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 25.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120252152026Change
Stock Price ($)182.42228.7125.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9,5479,5470.0%
Net Income Margin (%)29.0%29.0%0.0%
P/E Multiple10.212.825.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1561560.0%
Cumulative Contribution25.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MTB25.4% 
Market (SPY)-0.0%38.6%
Sector (XLF)-1.4%61.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 23.1% change in MTB stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120252152026Change
Stock Price ($)185.82228.7123.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9,3029,5472.6%
Net Income Margin (%)28.4%29.0%2.3%
P/E Multiple11.612.811.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1641565.6%
Cumulative Contribution23.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MTB23.1% 
Market (SPY)8.2%42.0%
Sector (XLF)-1.1%67.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 17.1% change in MTB stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120252152026Change
Stock Price ($)195.32228.7117.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9,1699,5474.1%
Net Income Margin (%)26.1%29.0%11.5%
P/E Multiple13.612.8-5.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1671567.1%
Cumulative Contribution17.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MTB17.1% 
Market (SPY)14.3%69.0%
Sector (XLF)1.4%78.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 62.3% change in MTB stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 33.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120232152026Change
Stock Price ($)140.90228.7162.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7,1529,54733.5%
Net Income Margin (%)23.6%29.0%23.3%
P/E Multiple14.612.8-12.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)17515612.2%
Cumulative Contribution62.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MTB62.3% 
Market (SPY)74.0%52.8%
Sector (XLF)47.7%74.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MTB Return24%-3%-2%42%10%15%113%
Peers Return42%-16%-3%31%21%8%98%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%82%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MTB Win Rate75%50%58%75%50%100% 
Peers Win Rate70%50%48%60%58%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MTB Max Drawdown-0%-6%-23%-5%-16%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-1%-26%-35%-6%-21%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PNC, KEY, CFG, FITB, HBAN. See MTB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/13/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMTBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-42.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven356 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven655 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,124 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-75.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven309.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,922 days1,480 days

Compare to PNC, KEY, CFG, FITB, HBAN

In The Past

M&T Bank's stock fell -42.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/12/2022. A -42.8% loss requires a 74.9% gain to breakeven.

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About M&T Bank (MTB)

M&T Bank Corporation operates as a bank holding company that provides commercial and retail banking services. The company's Business Banking segment offers deposit, lending, cash management, and other financial services to small businesses and professionals. Its Commercial Banking segment provides deposit products, commercial lending and leasing, letters of credit, and cash management services for middle-market and large commercial customers. The company's Commercial Real Estate segment originates, sells, and services commercial real estate loans; and offers deposit services. Its Discretionary Portfolio segment provides deposits; securities, residential real estate loans, and other assets; and short and long term borrowed funds, as well as foreign exchange services. The company's Residential Mortgage Banking segment offers residential real estate loans for consumers and sells those loans in the secondary market; and purchases servicing rights to loans originated by other entities. Its Retail Banking segment offers demand, savings, and time accounts; consumer installment loans, automobile and recreational finance loans, home equity loans and lines of credit, and credit cards; mutual funds and annuities; and other services. The company also provides trust and wealth management; fiduciary and custodial; insurance agency; institutional brokerage and securities; and investment management services. It offers its services through banking offices, business banking centers, telephone and internet banking, and automated teller machines. As of December 31, 2021, the company operates 688 domestic banking offices in New York State, Maryland, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Connecticut, Virginia, West Virginia, and the District of Columbia; and a full-service commercial banking office in Ontario, Canada. M&T Bank Corporation was founded in 1856 and is headquartered in Buffalo, New York.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for M&T Bank (MTB):

  • Like a US Bank, but focused primarily on the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern United States.
  • A regionally-focused version of PNC Bank.

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  • Deposit Accounts: Offers a variety of checking, savings, money market, and certificate of deposit accounts for both individual consumers and businesses.
  • Lending Services: Provides a range of loans including residential mortgages, commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate loans, and various consumer loans such as auto and home equity.
  • Wealth Management & Trust Services: Delivers financial planning, investment management, and trust solutions primarily for high-net-worth individuals and institutional clients.
  • Treasury Management Services: Offers businesses solutions for cash management, payment processing, fraud prevention, and other financial operations.

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M&T Bank (MTB) is a regional bank offering a wide range of financial services, including retail banking, business banking, commercial banking, and wealth management. Due to the diversified nature of its operations and revenue streams, it serves a broad base of customers rather than relying on a few specific "major customers" in the traditional sense of a B2B supplier. Therefore, M&T Bank primarily serves various categories of individuals, businesses, and institutions.

Here are the up to three major categories of customers that M&T Bank serves:

  1. Individuals and Consumers: This category includes everyday individuals who utilize M&T Bank for personal banking needs such as checking and savings accounts, credit cards, mortgages, home equity loans, auto loans, personal loans, and wealth management services. M&T has a significant retail branch network serving communities across its operating footprint.
  2. Small to Medium-sized Businesses (SMBs): M&T Bank has a strong focus on business banking, providing financial solutions to a vast number of small and medium-sized enterprises. Services include business checking and savings accounts, commercial loans, lines of credit, equipment financing, treasury management services, and merchant services. These businesses are critical to the bank's regional focus.
  3. Commercial and Institutional Clients: This category encompasses larger corporations, commercial real estate developers, non-profit organizations, healthcare providers, educational institutions, and governmental entities. M&T offers tailored financial solutions such as large commercial loans, syndicated credit facilities, treasury management, capital markets services, and specialized industry financing.

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  • KPMG LLP
  • Visa Inc. (V)
  • Mastercard Incorporated (MA)

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René F. Jones, Chairman and CEO

René F. Jones joined M&T Bank in 1992, held various management positions within the finance division, served as Chief Financial Officer from 2005 to 2016, and was elected Chairman and CEO in December 2017. Prior to M&T Bank, he held numerous positions at The Group Inc., a small private equity firm, and began his career in accounting at Ernst & Young.

Daryl Bible, Chief Financial Officer

Daryl Bible became Chief Financial Officer of M&T Bank in June 2023. He has over 30 years of experience in banking and corporate finance leadership. Before joining M&T Bank, he was the CFO of Truist Financial Corporation and served for 10 years as treasurer during a 24-year career with U.S. Bank. At Truist, he shepherded one of the largest financial services mergers in recent history.

Peter G. D'Arcy, Head of Commercial Banking

Peter G. D'Arcy joined M&T Bank in 1995 and is currently the Head of Commercial Banking. In this role, he is responsible for directing strategic growth and business line development activities for Commercial Banking clients across M&T's footprint. He previously served as an area executive and co-head of the Commercial Banking division.

Eric Feldstein, Head of Retail & Business Banking

Eric Feldstein leads Retail and Business Banking at M&T Bank, where he is responsible for supporting local consumers and business owners. He oversees a team of over 7,000 employees across more than 900 branches, serving approximately 2 million customers.

Neeraj Singh, Chief Risk Officer

Neeraj Singh serves as the Chief Risk Officer (CRO) for M&T Bank. He is responsible for the bank's risk management strategy, governance, and maintaining relationships with regulators and supervisory agencies. He is also a member of M&T's Enterprise Leadership Team and the Risk Committee of the Board.

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The key risks to M&T Bank (MTB) are:

  1. Interest Rate Risk

    M&T Bank's financial performance is highly sensitive to fluctuations in market interest rates and the monetary policies set by governmental agencies, including the Federal Reserve. Changes in interest rates can significantly affect the bank's net interest income, which is a major component of its revenue, as well as the valuation of its diverse financial instruments and overall financial stability. For instance, a reduction in the prime lending rate can pressure near-term net interest margins.

  2. Regulatory and Compliance Risk

    Operating in a heavily regulated industry, M&T Bank faces substantial risks from evolving regulatory landscapes. Proposed changes by federal banking agencies could impact capital requirements for large banks like M&T, and the bank is subject to potential legal proceedings and FDIC special assessments. Adherence to new or heightened requirements regarding disclosures and management of risks, including climate-related financial risks, may also lead to increased regulatory and compliance expenses. Failure to meet minimum capital requirements could result in mandatory or discretionary actions by regulators, materially affecting the bank's financial statements.

  3. Credit Risk

    M&T Bank is exposed to credit risk, which is the potential for losses arising from a borrower's failure to repay a loan or meet contractual obligations. There are concerns about rising net charge-offs, which indicate an increase in uncollectible debt. The bank's significant exposure to the commercial real estate market is also a notable vulnerability, particularly in the event of an economic downturn or volatility in the real estate sector. Any adverse changes in this market could impact the bank's loan portfolio and overall financial health.

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The primary clear emerging threat for M&T Bank is the escalating competition from digitally native financial service providers (Fintechs) and large technology companies (Big Tech) that leverage advanced technology and superior user experiences to capture market share across various banking products. This trend directly challenges M&T Bank's traditional branch-based model and its ability to attract and retain customers.

Specifically, this includes:

  • Neobanks and Digital-Only Banks: These entities offer seamless, mobile-first banking experiences, often with lower fees, higher interest rates on deposits, and quicker service. They are effectively disintermediating traditional banks by attracting customers who prioritize convenience and digital functionality over physical branches (e.g., Chime, Ally Bank, SoFi).
  • Specialized Fintechs: Startups focused on specific financial niches like payments, personal loans, small business lending, or investment platforms are often more agile and can offer highly tailored, efficient, and cost-effective solutions compared to incumbent banks (e.g., LendingClub, Affirm, Robinhood).
  • Big Tech Companies: Giants like Apple, Google, and Amazon are increasingly embedding financial services directly into their vast ecosystems (e.g., Apple Card, Apple Pay Later, Google Wallet, Amazon's lending programs for merchants). Their massive user bases, strong brand loyalty, and technological prowess enable them to bypass traditional banking relationships for everyday financial interactions, eroding M&T's potential customer base and revenue streams.

These competitors are reshaping customer expectations for banking services, pushing for greater digital accessibility, speed, and personalized experiences. M&T Bank, with its significant legacy infrastructure and branch network, faces pressure to innovate rapidly and maintain competitiveness against these agile, tech-driven challengers, which present a clear, emerging threat to its long-term market share and profitability.

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The addressable markets for M&T Bank's main products and services primarily span across the United States, particularly within its operating regions which include New York, Maryland, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Connecticut, Virginia, West Virginia, and the District of Columbia.

U.S. Addressable Market Sizes for M&T Bank's Main Products and Services:

  • Retail Banking: The United States retail banking market is valued at approximately USD 0.87 trillion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 1.08 trillion by 2030.
  • Commercial Banking: The commercial banking market in the U.S. is estimated to be approximately USD 1.6 trillion in 2025.
  • Residential Mortgage Lending: The total residential mortgage debt outstanding in the U.S. amounted to USD 11.92 trillion as of the fourth quarter of 2022. Separately, the U.S. home loan market reached USD 2.29 trillion in 2025, with purchase financing representing a significant portion.
  • Commercial Real Estate Lending: The total commercial and multifamily mortgage debt outstanding in the U.S. rose to USD 4.79 trillion in the fourth quarter of 2024. This market includes $4.5 trillion backed by income-producing properties and $470 billion in construction loans.
  • Wealth Management: The U.S. wealth management industry oversees trillions in client assets. For instance, in 2022, client assets overseen by the industry experienced a decline of USD 6.2 trillion. In 2009, the U.S. alone contributed approximately USD 31.4 trillion in Assets Under Management (AUM) to the North American wealth management market. There were 321,000 personal financial advisors working in the U.S. in 2023.

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M&T Bank (MTB) Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth

M&T Bank (MTB) Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth Over the Next 2-3 Years

M&T Bank (NYSE: MTB) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through a combination of strategic initiatives, favorable market conditions, and disciplined financial management. Key drivers include sustained loan growth, an expanding net interest margin, growth in noninterest income, and continued investments in technology and customer-centric services.

  • Sustained Loan Growth: M&T Bank has demonstrated strong loan growth across multiple sectors, particularly in commercial and industrial (C&I), residential mortgage, and consumer loans. For instance, average total loans rose to $136.5 billion in Q3 2025, with growth concentrated in these areas. While commercial real estate (CRE) balances have moderated, management anticipates improving production and expects the CRE portfolio to bottom soon, suggesting potential for renewed growth in this segment. Analysts also project M&T Bank's revenue to grow by 3.9% per year, further supporting the expectation of continued loan expansion.
  • Expanding Net Interest Margin (NIM): The bank has effectively managed its interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities, leading to an improved net interest margin. M&T Bank's net interest margin increased to 3.68% in Q3 2025, reflecting favorable earning asset and interest-bearing liability repricing. Management projects a NIM of approximately 3.7% in Q4 2025, indicating a positive outlook for net interest income, which made up 70.4% of the company’s total revenue over the last five years. The bank also anticipates net interest income to be at least $1.73 billion in Q4 2024 (as per guidance from January 2025), and taxable-equivalent net interest income increased by $34 million in Q3 2025 compared to the year-earlier third quarter.
  • Growth in Noninterest Income: M&T Bank has seen continued strength across all fee income categories, contributing significantly to its overall revenue. Noninterest income reached a record level (excluding notable items) in Q3 2025, amounting to $752 million, up from $683 million in the linked quarter. Specifically, mortgage banking revenues increased to $147 million in Q3 2025, with residential mortgage revenues rising sequentially due to higher servicing fee income, and commercial mortgage banking also seeing an increase. This diversified fee income stream is a crucial driver, especially as the bank continues strategic investments.
  • Strategic Investments in Technology and Sustainability: M&T Bank is making strategic investments in technology and sustainability initiatives, which are expected to enhance operational efficiency and expand its service offerings. While these investments may lead to increased near-term expenses, particularly in professional services and technology, they are aimed at improving the bank's competitive position and attracting new customers, ultimately supporting long-term revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • M&T Bank's Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $4.0 billion of common stock, effective January 22, 2025.
  • This $4.0 billion authorization replaced a prior $3.0 billion share repurchase program that was authorized in July 2022.
  • The bank executed $1.1 billion in share repurchases in the second quarter of 2025.

Share Issuance

  • On October 31, 2025, M&T Bank Corporation completed a public offering of $450 million in depositary shares, representing newly designated Series K Preferred Stock.

Outbound Investments

  • M&T Bank completed the acquisition of People's United Financial, Inc. on April 2, 2022, in a transaction valued at $8.3 billion.
  • The acquisition was initially announced in February 2021 with a valuation of $7.6 billion.
  • This acquisition created a combined banking franchise with $200 billion in assets, expanding M&T's operations across 12 states.

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Unique Key

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

MTBPNCKEYCFGFITBHBANMedian
NameM&T Bank PNC Fina.KeyCorp Citizens.Fifth Th.Huntingt. 
Mkt Price228.71229.3221.7065.1052.8617.2658.98
Mkt Cap35.690.823.928.035.226.731.6
Rev LTM9,54722,5706,1428,2478,5898,1668,418
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM3,9845,4273,1322,0372,8232,2152,978
FCF 3Y Avg3,4348,5552,1132,2353,7202,1422,835
CFO LTM4,1565,4273,2172,2113,4842,4823,350
CFO 3Y Avg3,6508,5552,2142,3914,3302,3253,020

Growth & Margins

MTBPNCKEYCFGFITBHBANMedian
NameM&T Bank PNC Fina.KeyCorp Citizens.Fifth Th.Huntingt. 
Rev Chg LTM4.1%9.5%20.7%5.7%3.6%10.6%7.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.4%3.4%-3.0%1.0%3.8%4.1%3.6%
Rev Chg Q6.9%8.6%186.9%8.6%8.0%11.3%8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.7%2.1%24.3%2.1%2.0%2.8%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM43.5%24.0%52.4%26.8%40.6%30.4%35.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg38.4%39.9%34.8%29.5%51.1%30.4%36.6%
FCF/Rev LTM41.7%24.0%51.0%24.7%32.9%27.1%30.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg36.2%39.9%33.1%27.6%43.9%28.0%34.7%

Valuation

MTBPNCKEYCFGFITBHBANMedian
NameM&T Bank PNC Fina.KeyCorp Citizens.Fifth Th.Huntingt. 
Mkt Cap35.690.823.928.035.226.731.6
P/S3.74.03.93.44.13.33.8
P/EBIT-------
P/E12.813.922.215.314.612.114.3
P/CFO8.616.77.412.610.110.710.4
Total Yield10.3%10.1%4.5%9.3%6.8%11.7%9.7%
Dividend Yield2.5%2.9%0.0%2.7%0.0%3.4%2.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.5%11.9%12.6%12.0%13.6%9.7%12.2%
D/E0.40.70.50.40.50.70.5
Net D/E-0.60.1-0.3-1.4-1.10.1-0.5

Returns

MTBPNCKEYCFGFITBHBANMedian
NameM&T Bank PNC Fina.KeyCorp Citizens.Fifth Th.Huntingt. 
1M Rtn7.7%3.5%2.5%7.8%7.5%-4.2%5.5%
3M Rtn23.3%25.6%24.5%26.8%25.2%10.7%24.9%
6M Rtn22.2%21.9%22.9%37.0%26.6%6.0%22.6%
12M Rtn18.5%22.6%28.4%45.6%24.3%7.2%23.5%
3Y Rtn58.6%63.3%34.4%74.0%62.9%29.1%60.7%
1M Excs Rtn10.3%10.1%4.9%10.7%10.1%-1.1%10.1%
3M Excs Rtn22.7%23.8%23.5%24.7%23.6%9.4%23.5%
6M Excs Rtn14.1%14.2%15.5%28.7%18.9%-1.2%14.8%
12M Excs Rtn6.3%8.6%16.3%33.2%13.2%-4.9%10.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-6.6%-6.0%-36.5%4.0%-7.5%-37.8%-7.1%

Comparison Analyses

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FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Retail Banking5,114 1,4171,4641,717
Commercial Banking3,067 1,1271,1411,118
Institutional Services and Wealth Management1,705    
All Other-243 8528471,233
Business Banking  643566565
Commercial Real Estate  892882907
Discretionary Portfolio  445485237
Residential Mortgage Banking  616568413
Total9,643 5,9925,9556,192


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Retail Banking1,838 324365528
Commercial Banking1,039 499508520
Institutional Services and Wealth Management620    
All Other-756 20-52311
Business Banking  207159168
Commercial Real Estate  354382486
Discretionary Portfolio  287327144
Residential Mortgage Banking  16913472
Total2,741 1,8591,3531,929


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$228.71 
Market Cap ($ Bil)35.6 
First Trading Date10/04/1991 
Distance from 52W High-3.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$213.00$193.40
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA7.4%18.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility19.7%25.9%
Downside Capture-0.9782.16
Upside Capture118.4289.36
Correlation (SPY)35.6%69.7%
MTB Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.790.790.720.790.941.02
Up Beta2.932.221.031.260.831.02
Down Beta0.370.350.540.851.131.02
Up Capture154%159%136%77%85%98%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days11233462127386
Down Capture-47%-5%21%45%94%101%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days9182763124365

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MTB
MTB19.3%25.7%0.65-
Sector ETF (XLF)1.6%19.3%-0.0478.2%
Equity (SPY)14.0%19.4%0.5569.4%
Gold (GLD)74.3%25.3%2.17-2.9%
Commodities (DBC)7.0%16.7%0.2424.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.9%16.6%0.2855.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-29.8%44.9%-0.6520.2%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MTB
MTB13.4%30.6%0.45-
Sector ETF (XLF)12.4%18.7%0.5474.1%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.0%0.6251.4%
Gold (GLD)22.1%17.0%1.06-1.9%
Commodities (DBC)10.5%18.9%0.4415.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%18.8%0.1846.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.3%57.2%0.3716.0%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MTB
MTB10.9%32.9%0.40-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.8%22.2%0.5780.4%
Equity (SPY)15.6%17.9%0.7558.7%
Gold (GLD)15.3%15.6%0.82-10.4%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%17.6%0.3822.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.4%20.7%0.2750.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.9%66.7%1.0712.2%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 1152026-3.8%
Average Daily Volume1.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity155.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/16/2026-0.1%0.6% 
10/16/2025-3.5%-1.6%0.7%
7/16/2025-2.4%-0.3%-2.1%
4/14/20250.3%-0.7%18.1%
1/16/2025-2.4%-1.9%-1.0%
10/17/20245.0%2.4%12.6%
7/18/20241.7%4.3%-1.9%
4/15/20244.7%6.6%14.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161215
# Negative8128
Median Positive2.1%3.8%6.3%
Median Negative-2.4%-1.8%-2.0%
Max Positive8.8%8.9%21.6%
Max Negative-13.9%-13.7%-10.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202510/27/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/05/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/03/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202211/07/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202102/16/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Kay, Christopher ESr. Executive Vice PresidentDirectSell12012025191.705,2501,006,4171,054,533Form
2Sadler, Robert E Jr WifeSell11262025190.066,0001,140,3773,244,374Form
3Woodrow, Tracy SSr. Executive Vice PresidentDirectSell9032025202.123,429693,0611,405,122Form
4Taylor, John REVP and ControllerDirectSell8282025199.7844889,5021,070,106Form
5Barnes, John P John P. Barnes Living TrustSell8262025199.7915,0002,996,7933,569,380Form