Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.8%, FCF Yield is 13%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -3.7%
Key risks
MTB key risks include [1] rising net charge-offs indicating an increase in uncollectible debt and [2] a significant exposure to the commercial real estate market.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -75%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -18%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, CFO LTM is 4.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.0 Bil
Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 8.2%
 
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  
4 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 28%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.8%, FCF Yield is 13%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -75%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, CFO LTM is 4.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.0 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
4 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 28%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -3.7%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -18%
8 Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 8.2%
9 Key risks
MTB key risks include [1] rising net charge-offs indicating an increase in uncollectible debt and [2] a significant exposure to the commercial real estate market.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MTB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings: M&T Bank reported diluted earnings per common share of $4.82 and net income of $792 million for the third quarter of 2025, exceeding analysts' expectations. This strong financial performance, which included notable growth in revenue, contributed positively to investor sentiment.

2. Improved Net Interest Income and Margin Expansion: The bank experienced a rise in net interest income, with taxable-equivalent net interest income increasing by $34 million compared to the year-earlier third quarter. Its net interest margin improved to 3.68%, reflecting effective management of interest-earning assets and favorable repricing.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MTB Return-22%24%-3%-2%42%12%46%
Peers Return-8%42%-16%-3%31%21%68%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MTB Win Rate42%75%50%58%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate62%70%50%48%60%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MTB Max Drawdown-48%-0%-6%-23%-5%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-57%-1%-26%-35%-6%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PNC, KEY, CFG, FITB, HBAN. See MTB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMTBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-42.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven356 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven655 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,124 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-75.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven309.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,922 days1,480 days

Compare to BAC, WFC, C, USB, AVBC


In The Past

M&T Bank's stock fell -42.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/12/2022. A -42.8% loss requires a 74.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About M&T Bank (MTB)

Better Bets than M&T Bank (MTB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MTB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
MTB_12312024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312024MTBM&T BankQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
6.6%11.8%-16.1%
MTB_10312022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312022MTBM&T BankQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-26.6%-30.5%-32.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
MTB_12312024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312024MTBM&T BankQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
6.6%11.8%-16.1%
MTB_10312022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312022MTBM&T BankQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-26.6%-30.5%-32.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for M&T Bank

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MTBPNCKEYCFGFITBHBANMedian
NameM&T Bank PNC Fina.KeyCorp Citizens.Fifth Th.Huntingt. 
Mkt Price206.12210.3020.8058.6147.7517.5953.18
Mkt Cap32.183.322.925.331.825.728.7
Rev LTM9,54722,5706,1428,0618,5897,9468,325
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM3,9845,4273,1322,7222,8232,4722,978
FCF 3Y Avg3,4348,5552,1132,7993,7202,3013,116
CFO LTM4,1565,4273,2172,8523,4842,6483,350
CFO 3Y Avg3,6508,5552,2142,9244,3302,4613,287

Growth & Margins

MTBPNCKEYCFGFITBHBANMedian
NameM&T Bank PNC Fina.KeyCorp Citizens.Fifth Th.Huntingt. 
Rev Chg LTM4.1%9.5%20.7%3.3%3.6%11.1%6.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.4%3.4%-3.0%2.7%3.8%4.9%3.6%
Rev Chg Q6.9%8.6%186.9%11.4%8.0%13.9%10.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.7%2.1%24.3%2.8%2.0%3.4%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM43.5%24.0%52.4%35.4%40.6%33.3%38.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg38.4%39.9%34.8%35.8%51.1%32.3%37.1%
FCF/Rev LTM41.7%24.0%51.0%33.8%32.9%31.1%33.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg36.2%39.9%33.1%34.3%43.9%30.2%35.2%

Valuation

MTBPNCKEYCFGFITBHBANMedian
NameM&T Bank PNC Fina.KeyCorp Citizens.Fifth Th.Huntingt. 
Mkt Cap32.183.322.925.331.825.728.7
P/S3.23.53.32.83.53.23.3
P/EBIT-------
P/E11.112.219.113.512.311.312.3
P/CFO7.414.76.48.08.59.58.3
Total Yield11.9%11.5%5.2%10.7%8.1%12.4%11.1%
Dividend Yield2.9%3.3%0.0%3.2%0.0%3.6%3.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.2%13.5%15.9%17.3%15.6%12.1%14.6%
D/E0.50.80.60.50.60.70.6
Net D/E-0.70.2-0.3-1.6-1.30.1-0.5

Returns

MTBPNCKEYCFGFITBHBANMedian
NameM&T Bank PNC Fina.KeyCorp Citizens.Fifth Th.Huntingt. 
1M Rtn14.7%17.5%22.8%17.9%16.1%15.0%16.8%
3M Rtn4.6%4.2%12.4%13.1%4.9%0.3%4.8%
6M Rtn15.2%22.1%32.8%44.4%25.3%12.9%23.7%
12M Rtn8.3%10.0%22.5%36.0%9.9%7.9%9.9%
3Y Rtn63.0%57.8%47.9%75.4%71.0%46.6%60.4%
1M Excs Rtn14.0%16.7%22.1%17.2%15.4%14.3%16.1%
3M Excs Rtn2.3%1.5%8.6%8.9%2.7%-2.9%2.5%
6M Excs Rtn2.8%9.8%20.4%32.0%13.0%0.5%11.4%
12M Excs Rtn-4.5%-2.8%9.2%22.1%-2.4%-4.6%-2.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-17.8%-17.0%-28.5%-2.1%-6.0%-29.9%-17.4%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Retail Banking5,114 1,4171,4641,717
Commercial Banking3,067 1,1271,1411,118
Institutional Services and Wealth Management1,705    
All Other-243 8528471,233
Business Banking  643566565
Commercial Real Estate  892882907
Discretionary Portfolio  445485237
Residential Mortgage Banking  616568413
Total9,643 5,9925,9556,192


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Retail Banking1,838 324365528
Commercial Banking1,039 499508520
Institutional Services and Wealth Management620    
All Other-756 20-52311
Business Banking  207159168
Commercial Real Estate  354382486
Discretionary Portfolio  287327144
Residential Mortgage Banking  16913472
Total2,741 1,8591,3531,929


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,920,284
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.4%
Average Daily Volume822,339
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.20
Basic Shares Quantity155,558,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/16/2025-3.5%-1.6%0.7%
7/16/2025-2.4%-0.3%-2.1%
4/14/20250.3%-0.7%18.1%
1/16/2025-2.4%-1.9%-1.0%
10/17/20245.0%2.4%12.6%
7/18/20241.7%4.3%-1.9%
4/15/20244.7%6.6%14.3%
1/18/20241.5%8.9%5.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171216
# Negative7128
Median Positive2.5%4.3%5.7%
Median Negative-2.5%-1.8%-2.0%
Max Positive8.8%8.9%21.6%
Max Negative-13.9%-13.7%-10.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251027202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021