M&T Bank (MTB)


Market Price (8/6/2026): $251.97 | Market Cap: $36.8 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

M&T Bank (MTB)


Market Price (8/6/2026): $251.97
Market Cap: $36.8 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 9.8%

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -63%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.6 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 5.5 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%

Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 28%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%

Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 8.2%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.9%

Key risks
MTB key risks include [1] rising net charge-offs indicating an increase in uncollectible debt and [2] a significant exposure to the commercial real estate market.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 9.8%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -63%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.6 Bil
3 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 5.5 Bil
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
5 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 28%
6 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
7 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%
8 Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 8.2%
9 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.9%
10 Key risks
MTB key risks include [1] rising net charge-offs indicating an increase in uncollectible debt and [2] a significant exposure to the commercial real estate market.

MTB in ETFs

Weight = MTB's share of each fund

SPY0.06%
VOO0.05%
IVV0.06%
VTI0.05%
ITOT0.05%
IWB0.05%
RSP0.21%
VTV0.13%
+24 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/1/2026

M&T Bank (MTB) stock has gained about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat: M&T Bank reported significantly better-than-expected results for its fiscal second quarter ended June 2026, which were released on July 15, 2026. The company posted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $5.32, exceeding analysts' consensus estimates of $4.66 by $0.66 or 14.16%. Quarterly revenue also surpassed expectations, reaching $2.53 billion against a consensus of $2.46 billion. This marks the highest quarterly diluted EPS in M&T's history and an improvement of 28.8% from the prior quarter, driven by a 23.2% increase in net income to $818 million. The company's efficiency ratio also improved to 52.8% from 58.3% quarter-over-quarter.

2. Improvement in Credit Quality and Robust Loan Growth: The bank demonstrated strengthening credit quality and experienced significant loan portfolio expansion during fiscal Q2 2026. The provision for credit losses decreased to $120 million, down from $140 million in the previous quarter. The allowance for loan losses as a percentage of outstanding loans improved to 1.52% at June 30, 2026, from 1.53% at March 31, 2026, reflecting a reduction in criticized loans. Average loans increased by $3.0 billion to $141.4 billion, a 2.2% quarter-over-quarter growth, with commercial loans rising by $2.3 billion or 3.6%. This improved credit outlook was noted by analysts, with Argus analyst Stephen Biggar raising M&T Bank's price target on July 20, 2026, citing strengthening credit quality and reduced delinquencies.

Show more
Updated on 8/1/2026

M&T Bank (MTB) stock has gained about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat: M&T Bank reported significantly better-than-expected results for its fiscal second quarter ended June 2026, which were released on July 15, 2026. The company posted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $5.32, exceeding analysts' consensus estimates of $4.66 by $0.66 or 14.16%. Quarterly revenue also surpassed expectations, reaching $2.53 billion against a consensus of $2.46 billion. This marks the highest quarterly diluted EPS in M&T's history and an improvement of 28.8% from the prior quarter, driven by a 23.2% increase in net income to $818 million. The company's efficiency ratio also improved to 52.8% from 58.3% quarter-over-quarter.

2. Improvement in Credit Quality and Robust Loan Growth: The bank demonstrated strengthening credit quality and experienced significant loan portfolio expansion during fiscal Q2 2026. The provision for credit losses decreased to $120 million, down from $140 million in the previous quarter. The allowance for loan losses as a percentage of outstanding loans improved to 1.52% at June 30, 2026, from 1.53% at March 31, 2026, reflecting a reduction in criticized loans. Average loans increased by $3.0 billion to $141.4 billion, a 2.2% quarter-over-quarter growth, with commercial loans rising by $2.3 billion or 3.6%. This improved credit outlook was noted by analysts, with Argus analyst Stephen Biggar raising M&T Bank's price target on July 20, 2026, citing strengthening credit quality and reduced delinquencies.

3. Significant Share Repurchase Authorization: M&T Bank's board of directors approved a substantial $5 billion share repurchase program, authorizing the buyback of up to 16.7% of its outstanding shares. This action signals management's confidence in the company's valuation and its commitment to returning capital to shareholders, acting as a positive catalyst for the stock price.

4. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets: Following the strong performance, several financial analysts revised their outlooks and increased price targets for M&T Bank's stock. Morgan Stanley raised its price objective from $245.00 to $253.00 on June 29, 2026. JPMorgan Chase & Co. increased its target from $227.00 to $251.50 on July 6, 2026. Additionally, Cantor Fitzgerald lifted its target price from $253.00 to $262.00 on July 20, 2026, and Barclays boosted its target from $236.00 to $267.00 on July 16, 2026. Truist Securities also raised its price target from $230 to $268 on July 21, 2026. These upgrades contributed to the stock reaching new 52-week highs in July 2026.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 16.0% change in MTB stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 4.6% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020268052026Change
Stock Price ($)217.11251.9416.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9,6229,8232.1%
Net Income Margin (%)29.6%30.9%4.2%
P/E Multiple11.612.14.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1531464.6%
Cumulative Contribution16.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MTB16.0% 
Market (SPY)7.1%18.0%
Sector (XLF)11.3%60.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 15.3% change in MTB stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 6.6% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120268052026Change
Stock Price ($)218.51251.9415.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9,5479,8232.9%
Net Income Margin (%)29.0%30.9%6.3%
P/E Multiple12.312.1-1.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1561466.6%
Cumulative Contribution15.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MTB15.3% 
Market (SPY)11.5%34.6%
Sector (XLF)9.1%69.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 37.5% change in MTB stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.6% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120258052026Change
Stock Price ($)183.25251.9437.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9,3029,8235.6%
Net Income Margin (%)28.4%30.9%8.8%
P/E Multiple11.412.16.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)16414612.6%
Cumulative Contribution37.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MTB37.5% 
Market (SPY)22.8%38.4%
Sector (XLF)12.1%69.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 98.4% change in MTB stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 32.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238052026Change
Stock Price ($)126.97251.9498.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,9539,8239.7%
Net Income Margin (%)26.0%30.9%18.5%
P/E Multiple9.112.132.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)16814615.0%
Cumulative Contribution98.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MTB98.4% 
Market (SPY)74.1%51.2%
Sector (XLF)71.5%73.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MTB Return24%-3%-2%42%10%27%136%
Peers Return42%-16%-3%31%21%19%118%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MTB Win Rate75%50%58%75%50%62% 
Peers Win Rate70%50%48%60%58%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MTB Max Drawdown-22%-26%-30%-16%-22%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-36%-42%-13%-27%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PNC, KEY, CFG, FITB, HBAN. See MTB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/5/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventMTBS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-20.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven84 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-20.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven47 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-30.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven364 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-47.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven89.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven338 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-18.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven29 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-22.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.4%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven272 days62 days

Compare to PNC, KEY, CFG, FITB, HBAN

In The Past

M&T Bank's stock fell -20.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 26.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventMTBS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-20.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven84 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-20.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven47 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-30.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven364 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-47.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven89.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven338 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-22.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.4%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven272 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-23.1%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.0%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven179 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-60.8%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven155.2%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven315 days1085 days

Compare to PNC, KEY, CFG, FITB, HBAN

In The Past

M&T Bank's stock fell -20.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 26.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About M&T Bank (MTB)

M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) operates as a bank holding company, providing a comprehensive suite of commercial and retail banking services. The company caters to a wide array of clients, including individual consumers, small businesses, professionals, and various sizes of commercial customers, ranging from middle-market companies to large corporations. Its core mission involves offering essential financial products and services to support both personal and business financial needs across its operating regions.

The bank's main products and services include a variety of deposit accounts such as demand, savings, and time accounts. For its business clients, M&T Bank offers commercial lending, leasing, letters of credit, and cash management services, alongside specialized financing for commercial real estate. Consumers can access residential mortgage loans, home equity lines of credit, consumer installment loans for autos and recreation, and credit cards. The company also originates and sells residential mortgage loans in the secondary market.

Beyond traditional banking, M&T Bank extends its services to wealth management, trust, fiduciary, and investment management, as well as providing insurance agency and institutional brokerage services. The company maintains a substantial physical presence, operating 688 domestic banking offices across New York, Maryland, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Connecticut, Virginia, West Virginia, and the District of Columbia, complemented by a commercial banking office in Ontario, Canada.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few analogies to describe M&T Bank (MTB):

  • A regional version of Bank of America, but with a strong presence in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states.
  • Like a large, full-service community bank that operates across multiple states, from New York to Virginia.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Business Banking Services: Offers a suite of financial services including deposits, lending, and cash management for small businesses and professionals.
  • Commercial Banking Services: Provides deposit products, commercial lending and leasing, letters of credit, and cash management for middle-market and large corporations.
  • Commercial Real Estate Loans: Originates, sells, and services loans specifically for commercial real estate projects.
  • Residential Mortgage Loans: Offers real estate loans to consumers for their homes, also selling them in the secondary market.
  • Retail Banking Services: Delivers personal financial products such as checking, savings, consumer loans, credit cards, and basic investment options like mutual funds and annuities.
  • Trust and Wealth Management: Manages assets and provides fiduciary, custodial, and comprehensive wealth management services.
  • Insurance Agency Services: Acts as an insurance agency providing various insurance products.
  • Institutional Brokerage and Securities: Offers brokerage and securities services to institutional clients.
  • Investment Management: Provides professional investment management services.
  • Foreign Exchange Services: Offers services for converting currencies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

M&T Bank (MTB) serves a diverse customer base, including both businesses and individual consumers. Since the company does not primarily sell to a few named corporate entities, its major customers can be best described by categories:

  • Small Businesses and Professionals: This segment includes small businesses and professionals who utilize the bank's deposit, lending, and cash management services.
  • Commercial Customers: This category encompasses middle-market and large commercial customers, as well as entities involved in commercial real estate. They are offered deposit products, commercial lending and leasing, letters of credit, and cash management services.
  • Individual Consumers: This segment consists of individuals who use retail banking services such as demand, savings, and time accounts; various consumer loans (e.g., installment, automobile, home equity, credit cards); and residential real estate loans. The bank also provides wealth management and investment services to individuals.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

René F. Jones, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

René F. Jones is the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of M&T Bank. He joined M&T Bank in 1992, serving as Chief Financial Officer from 2005 to 2016 and as Vice Chairman from 2014 to 2017. Prior to joining M&T, he worked at Ernst & Young and then at The Group Inc., a small private equity firm where he researched companies undergoing acquisition.

Daryl Bible, Chief Financial Officer

Daryl Bible is the Chief Financial Officer of M&T Bank, a position he assumed in June 2023. He is responsible for the overall financial management of the company and brings over 30 years of experience in banking and corporate finance leadership. Before joining M&T, Mr. Bible served as the CFO of Truist Financial Corporation and spent 24 years at U.S. Bank, including 10 years as treasurer.

Augie Chiasera, Head of Community Markets

Augie Chiasera is M&T Bank's Head of Community Markets, overseeing the activities of the bank's Regional Presidents as they serve customers, strengthen communities, and support employees. He also oversees M&T's Community Financing business.

Peter G. D'Arcy, Head of Commercial Banking

Peter D'Arcy is the Head of Commercial Banking for M&T Bank. In this role, he is responsible for directing strategic growth and business line development activities for Commercial Banking clients across M&T's footprint. Mr. D'Arcy joined M&T Bank in 1995.

Eric Feldstein, Head of Retail & Business Banking

Eric Feldstein leads Retail and Business Banking at M&T Bank, supporting consumers and business owners in the company's communities. He oversees a team that serves approximately 2 million customers across over 900 branches.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to M&T Bank (MTB) include exposure to market fluctuations, an evolving regulatory landscape, and intense competition from traditional and non-traditional financial institutions.

  1. Market Risks: M&T Bank is significantly exposed to market risks, particularly those related to economic downturns, fluctuations in interest rates, and overall financial market volatility. Changes in Federal Reserve policies can directly impact the bank's net interest income and the value of its financial instruments. Recent geopolitical uncertainties and inflationary pressures also pose potential adverse effects on M&T's financial performance.
  2. Regulatory and Compliance Burdens: As a financial institution, M&T Bank operates within a highly regulated environment. The company is subject to extensive government regulation, which can change significantly due to financial reform initiatives. New capital and liquidity requirements, as well as evolving long-term debt regulations, could impact M&T's operations and financial health. Compliance failures or increased regulatory demands can lead to substantial penalties and restrict the bank's ability to grow and execute its business strategy effectively.
  3. Competition and Market Disruption: M&T Bank faces intense competition within the financial services industry from other banking institutions, credit unions, and particularly from emerging financial technology (fintech) companies and non-bank lenders. This competitive landscape can challenge M&T's market position and put pressure on margins. The company acknowledges the need to enhance its technological capabilities and expand its product offerings to remain competitive in an evolving digital banking sector.

AI Analysis | Feedback

One clear emerging threat for M&T Bank comes from the rise of financial technology (fintech) companies and digital-only banks. These agile entities leverage advanced technology to offer specialized, often lower-cost, and more convenient digital-first banking services. They directly compete with M&T Bank's traditional offerings across its segments, including attracting deposits, providing consumer loans, offering small business lending, and processing payments. Examples include digital banks like Chime and Ally Bank, which challenge M&T's retail deposit base, and specialized fintech lenders or payment processors that erode market share in specific lending or cash management services.

Another significant emerging threat is posed by large technology companies (Big Tech) that are increasingly expanding into financial services. Companies such as Apple, Google, and Amazon are leveraging their extensive customer bases, robust data analytics, and integrated ecosystems to offer compelling financial products. These offerings, which include credit cards (e.g., Apple Card), digital payment solutions (e.g., Google Pay), and lending services (e.g., Amazon Lending), pose a direct challenge to M&T Bank's consumer and business banking operations. Big Tech's ability to seamlessly integrate financial services into widely used platforms threatens to capture market share in areas like payments, consumer credit, and potentially wealth management.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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M&T Bank operates in several key financial markets across the United States and Ontario, Canada. The addressable market sizes for its main products and services are outlined below:

United States Market

  • Commercial Banking: The US commercial banking market size is estimated at approximately USD 732.5 billion in 2025 and is forecasted to grow to USD 915.45 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.56%. Another estimate places the market size at USD 765.53 billion in 2026, projected to reach USD 954.48 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 4.51%.
  • Retail Banking: The United States retail banking market was valued at approximately USD 870 billion in 2025. It is estimated to grow from USD 906.3 billion in 2026 to reach USD 1,112.2 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 4.17%.
  • Commercial Real Estate Lending: Total commercial real estate (CRE) mortgage borrowing and lending in the U.S. was estimated at USD 498 billion in 2024. Commercial and multifamily mortgage originations saw significant increases, jumping 30% in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the previous year. As of February 2026, commercial real estate loans by all commercial banks in the U.S. amounted to approximately USD 3.07 trillion, which likely represents outstanding loan volume rather than annual origination.
  • Residential Mortgage Banking: The total single-family mortgage origination volume in the U.S. is expected to increase to USD 2.2 trillion in 2026, up from an estimated USD 2.0 trillion in 2025. Breaking this down, purchase originations are forecast to increase to USD 1.46 trillion in 2026, and refinance originations are expected to reach USD 737 billion.
  • Wealth Management: The global wealth management market size was valued at USD 1.25 trillion in 2020 and is projected to reach USD 3.43 trillion by 2030, with a CAGR of 10.7%. North America held the largest market share in 2020. Within the U.S., robo-advisors alone were managing over USD 1 trillion in assets as of 2025, with forecasts predicting this figure could approach USD 2 trillion within the next few years.

Canada Market

  • Commercial Banking: The market size of Commercial Banking in Canada was approximately USD 488.6 billion in 2025 and is projected to be USD 491.1 billion in 2026. The industry revenue climbed at a CAGR of 18.0% to USD 491.1 billion over the five years leading up to 2026.
  • Retail Banking: The Canadian retail banking market generated a revenue of USD 102.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 174.1 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 6.1% from 2025 to 2033. Another estimate indicates the market is expected to grow from USD 123.0 billion in 2025 to USD 161.5 billion in 2033, at a CAGR of 3.5%.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

M&T Bank (NYSE: MTB) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key strategies:

  • Net Interest Income (NII) Expansion and Net Interest Margin (NIM) Management: The bank has demonstrated growth in net interest income and net interest margin, with projections for continued NII expansion in 2026, even amidst anticipated interest rate adjustments. This growth is underpinned by effective interest rate management and a focus on expanding its loan portfolio.
  • Broad-Based Loan Growth: M&T Bank anticipates growth in its average loan balances over the next two to three years. This includes a strategic emphasis on increasing non-Commercial Real Estate (CRE) loans and an expected return to growth within its CRE loan portfolio in 2026.
  • Growth in Fee Income: The company projects broad-based growth across its various fee income categories and business lines. This noninterest income, which includes contributions from areas such as capital markets and off-balance sheet commercial real estate services, is expected to be a significant revenue driver.
  • Strategic Geographic Expansion and Cross-Selling Opportunities: Building on the successful acquisition of People's United Financial in 2022, M&T Bank is focused on deepening its presence in the New England and Long Island markets. This expansion aims to leverage cross-selling commercial products to both new and existing customers, as well as selectively pursuing smaller, strategic acquisitions to further enhance fee-generating operations.
  • Investments in Technology and Innovation: M&T Bank is significantly increasing its investments in technology, with a focus on integrating tech as a core business component to enhance customer service, improve operational efficiency, and streamline processes using tools like artificial intelligence. These investments are designed to meet evolving customer needs and maintain a competitive edge.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • M&T Bank authorized a new $4.0 billion share repurchase program effective January 22, 2025, which replaced the prior $3.0 billion authorization from July 2022.
  • In July 2022, the company had authorized a $3.0 billion share repurchase program, succeeding an $800 million program from January 2021 that was reauthorized in February 2022. However, no repurchases were made in 2021 following the announcement of the People's United merger.
  • In 2025, M&T Bank repurchased 2.7 million shares for $507 million in the fourth quarter, 2.1 million shares for $409 million in the third quarter, and 1.0 million shares for $200 million in the fourth quarter of 2024. Overall, M&T repurchased 9% of its outstanding shares in 2025.

Share Issuance

  • M&T Bank's acquisition of People's United Financial, Inc. in April 2022 was an all-stock transaction. People's United shareholders received 0.118 of a share of M&T common stock for each of their shares, resulting in them collectively owning approximately 28% of the combined company.
  • In late 2025, M&T Bank Corporation issued a new 6.35% non-cumulative preferred stock, Series K (MTB.PR.K), raising gross proceeds of $450 million through the issuance of 18 million depositary shares.

Outbound Investments

  • In April 2022, M&T Bank successfully completed its acquisition of People's United Financial, Inc., a deal valued at $8.3 billion. This acquisition significantly expanded M&T's presence across 12 states from Maine to Virginia and Washington, D.C.
  • As part of the People's United acquisition, M&T Bank committed to a five-year community growth plan, pledging $43 billion in loan investments and other financial support for low-to-moderate income communities.

Capital Expenditures

  • M&T Bank has significantly increased its investment in technology, with spending tripling from $400 million to $1.2 billion by 2025, to integrate technology as a core business component.
  • The company is prioritizing "operational excellence" which includes investments to streamline processes and enhance customer service, partly through the use of AI.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

MTBPNCKEYCFGFITBHBANMedian
NameM&T Bank PNC Fina.KeyCorp Citizens.Fifth Th.Huntingt. 
Mkt Price251.94255.3723.0973.6057.6017.6065.60
Mkt Cap36.8102.925.031.152.535.636.2
Rev LTM9,82324,5547,4708,72610,4909,6839,753
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM3,5957,4882,1772,3742,8962,6832,790
FCF 3Y Avg3,4947,1061,5642,1613,3422,3832,862
CFO LTM3,8047,4882,2862,5013,6653,0623,364
CFO 3Y Avg3,7047,1061,6652,2873,9122,6213,162

Growth & Margins

MTBPNCKEYCFGFITBHBANMedian
NameM&T Bank PNC Fina.KeyCorp Citizens.Fifth Th.Huntingt. 
Rev Chg LTM4.7%11.1%61.0%11.0%23.8%26.1%17.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.9%3.8%7.8%0.7%7.4%9.1%5.6%
Rev Chg Q4.1%13.5%10.7%12.1%45.3%46.4%12.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%3.2%2.5%2.9%10.6%10.2%3.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM-------
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM38.7%30.5%30.6%28.7%34.9%31.6%31.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg39.2%32.0%25.4%27.9%43.8%32.1%32.1%
FCF/Rev LTM36.6%30.5%29.1%27.2%27.6%27.7%28.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg37.0%32.0%23.8%26.4%37.6%29.3%30.7%

Valuation

MTBPNCKEYCFGFITBHBANMedian
NameM&T Bank PNC Fina.KeyCorp Citizens.Fifth Th.Huntingt. 
Mkt Cap36.8102.925.031.152.535.636.2
P/S3.74.23.43.65.03.73.7
P/Op Inc-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E12.113.512.914.622.414.814.1
P/CFO9.713.711.012.414.311.612.0
Total Yield10.7%10.1%12.0%9.3%6.9%9.6%9.8%
Dividend Yield2.5%2.7%4.2%2.5%2.5%2.9%2.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.8%9.4%9.2%10.7%10.9%9.5%10.1%
D/E0.50.80.70.50.40.60.6
Net D/E-0.60.50.0-1.1-0.90.0-0.3

Returns

MTBPNCKEYCFGFITBHBANMedian
NameM&T Bank PNC Fina.KeyCorp Citizens.Fifth Th.Huntingt. 
1M Rtn5.0%1.7%-1.5%2.7%-0.5%-1.6%0.6%
3M Rtn16.7%15.7%4.9%12.9%14.1%6.7%13.5%
6M Rtn10.0%9.3%4.0%12.0%8.2%-5.7%8.8%
12M Rtn38.0%39.6%35.1%60.3%44.1%12.7%38.8%
3Y Rtn98.4%117.1%126.1%165.7%126.5%64.1%121.6%
1M Excs Rtn2.2%-1.6%-4.1%0.3%-3.5%-5.2%-2.5%
3M Excs Rtn11.3%9.7%0.2%8.7%8.9%1.8%8.8%
6M Excs Rtn0.3%-0.7%-6.2%2.2%-0.7%-14.1%-0.7%
12M Excs Rtn15.8%17.5%13.0%37.3%21.7%-9.8%16.6%
3Y Excs Rtn30.1%40.1%50.6%92.5%53.3%-4.9%45.4%

Comparison Analyses

null

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Retail Bank4,8685,0985,1143,7112,760
Commercial Bank2,9472,8843,0672,8902,067
Institutional Services and Wealth Management1,5621,5571,7051,410922
All Other313-260-243168243
Total9,6909,2799,6438,1795,992


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20152014201320122009
Commercial Bank730697656729406
Commercial Real Estate540449480469218
Retail Bank451202342405400
Business Banking167203188249209
Residential Mortgage Banking144154210267-30
Discretionary Portfolio565017-85-79
All Other-413-13328-277-606
Total1,6751,6231,9211,757519


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Retail Bank1,4421,7161,8381,039765
Commercial Bank9048711,0391,242813
Institutional Services and Wealth Management502535620402107
All Other3-534-756-691174
Total2,8512,5882,7411,9921,859


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20232021200620052004
Commercial Bank80,24353,57812,68811,72310,946
All Other70,26652,0954,9984,9165,227
Retail Bank51,21343,73614,10714,63914,739
Institutional Services and Wealth Management3,6753,260   
Commercial Real Estate  8,4488,3357,868
Discretionary Portfolio  12,13611,81010,936
Residential Mortgage Banking  3,4622,7121,801
Total205,397152,66955,83954,13551,517


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$251.94 
Market Cap ($ Bil)37.6 
First Trading Date10/04/1991 
Distance from 52W High-0.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$235.55$212.11
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA7.0%18.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility21.6%21.8%
Downside Capture11.1751.17
Upside Capture74.6275.25
Correlation (SPY)17.8%37.3%
MTB Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.500.190.220.530.640.89
Up Beta-1.30-1.04-0.540.320.630.91
Down Beta1.210.430.330.420.640.90
Up Capture106%95%65%67%67%78%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days11253669130394
Down Capture54%2%16%61%62%95%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days11182757122358

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MTB
MTB38.0%21.8%1.39-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.1%14.6%0.6268.5%
Equity (SPY)23.1%12.9%1.3437.1%
Gold (GLD)25.4%28.3%0.794.9%
Commodities (DBC)29.5%19.8%1.19-17.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.4%13.7%0.7441.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.6%42.9%-1.2514.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MTB
MTB17.1%30.0%0.55-
Sector ETF (XLF)11.6%18.4%0.4972.7%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.2%0.6051.6%
Gold (GLD)18.2%18.6%0.79-2.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%19.6%0.3111.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.5%18.9%0.0347.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.9%53.0%0.3718.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MTB
MTB11.3%32.7%0.40-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.7%22.1%0.5779.9%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7357.6%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.2%0.60-7.5%
Commodities (DBC)7.1%18.0%0.3119.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2050.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.2%66.2%0.9812.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 6302026-5.2%
Average Daily Volume1.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity145.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.9%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 7/24/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/15/20262.8%2.8% 
4/15/2026-1.5%-0.7%-7.5%
1/16/2026-0.1%0.6%7.4%
10/16/2025-3.5%-1.6%0.7%
7/16/2025-2.4%-0.3%-2.1%
4/14/20250.3%-0.7%18.1%
1/16/2025-2.4%-1.9%-1.0%
10/17/20245.0%2.4%12.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161316
# Negative9128
Median Positive2.6%3.3%6.9%
Median Negative-2.4%-1.8%-2.0%
Max Positive8.8%8.9%21.6%
Max Negative-13.9%-13.7%-10.9%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/15/20262.8%2.8% 
4/15/2026-1.5%-0.7%-7.5%
1/16/2026-0.1%0.6%7.4%
10/16/2025-3.5%-1.6%0.7%
7/16/2025-2.4%-0.3%-2.1%
4/14/20250.3%-0.7%18.1%
1/16/2025-2.4%-1.9%-1.0%
10/17/20245.0%2.4%12.6%
7/18/20241.7%4.3%-1.9%
4/15/20244.7%6.6%14.3%
1/18/20241.5%8.9%5.2%
10/18/2023-2.5%-10.7%0.7%
7/19/20232.5%2.3%-4.8%
4/17/20237.8%6.4%-1.5%
1/19/20235.5%6.9%9.5%
10/19/2022-13.9%-13.7%-10.9%
7/20/20220.5%3.1%15.8%
4/20/20228.8%4.4%2.3%
1/20/2022-5.4%-4.6%3.8%
10/20/20215.8%2.5%6.3%
7/21/2021-1.5%-0.8%1.3%
4/19/20210.7%-0.5%8.7%
1/21/20210.5%-7.6%4.3%
10/22/20205.7%-2.3%21.6%
7/23/20201.5%3.3%-1.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161316
# Negative9128
Median Positive2.6%3.3%6.9%
Median Negative-2.4%-1.8%-2.0%
Max Positive8.8%8.9%21.6%
Max Negative-13.9%-13.7%-10.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/04/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/18/202610-K
09/30/202510/27/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/05/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/03/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202211/07/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/04/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/18/202610-K
09/30/202510/27/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/05/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/03/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202211/07/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202102/16/202210-K
09/30/202111/05/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/06/202110-Q
12/31/202002/22/202110-K
09/30/202011/04/202010-Q
06/30/202008/05/202010-Q
03/31/202005/07/202010-Q
12/31/201902/20/202010-K
09/30/201911/05/201910-Q

Insider Activity

Updated 8/4/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Ledgett, Richard H JR DirectSell8042026248.16855212,1781,163,875Form
2Pearson, Kevin JVice ChairmanDirectSell7162026242.002,000484,00010,673,894Form
3Woodrow, Tracy SSr. Executive Vice PresidentDirectSell7062026242.00881213,2022,325,136Form
4Taylor, John REVP and ControllerDirectSell6172026233.231,098256,087998,083Form
5Pearson, Kevin JVice ChairmanDirectSell6112026225.5023,3585,267,27710,397,223Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Ledgett, Richard H JR DirectSell8042026248.16855212,1781,163,875Form
2Pearson, Kevin JVice ChairmanDirectSell7162026242.002,000484,00010,673,894Form
3Woodrow, Tracy SSr. Executive Vice PresidentDirectSell7062026242.00881213,2022,325,136Form
4Taylor, John REVP and ControllerDirectSell6172026233.231,098256,087998,083Form
5Pearson, Kevin JVice ChairmanDirectSell6112026225.5023,3585,267,27710,397,223Form
6Pearson, Kevin JVice ChairmanDirectSell6082026220.002,000440,00010,143,540Form
7Kay, Christopher ESr. Executive Vice PresidentDirectSell5112026216.503,105672,2321,462,024Form
8Wisler, Michael ASr. Executive Vice PresidentDirectSell3022026223.488,2371,840,8101,037,728Form
9Barnes, John P DirectSell2112026235.8521,1934,998,3693,571,241Form
10Walters, Kirk W DirectSell2052026227.37909206,6761,358,743Form
11Taylor, John REVP and ControllerDirectSell2032026225.34704158,6381,120,467Form
12Geisel, Gary N DirectSell1302026215.79887191,3693,548,870Form
13Barnes, John P John P. Barnes Living TrustSell1232026220.8117,866  Form
14Kay, Christopher ESr. Executive Vice PresidentDirectSell12012025191.705,2501,006,4171,054,533Form
15Sadler, Robert E JR WifeSell11262025190.066,0001,140,3773,244,374Form
16Woodrow, Tracy SSr. Executive Vice PresidentDirectSell9032025202.123,429693,0611,405,122Form
17Taylor, John REVP and ControllerDirectSell8282025199.7844889,5021,070,106Form
18Barnes, John P John P. Barnes Living TrustSell8262025199.7915,0002,996,7933,569,380Form
19Pearson, Kevin JVice ChairmanDirectSell8182025193.3220,0873,883,2117,896,912Form
20Pearson, Kevin JVice ChairmanSLATSell8182025192.804,330  Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 6, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Smead Capital Management, Inc.$60.7 Mil1.3%32TRIM -13.0%13F
Azora Capital LP$14.9 Mil1.0%45New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Azora Capital LP$14.9 Mil1.0%45New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Rhino Investment Partners, Inc$7.0 Mil2.0%37ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Smead Capital Management, Inc.$60.7 Mil1.3%32TRIM -13.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Smead Capital Management, Inc.$60.7 Mil1.3%32TRIM -13.0%13F
Azora Capital LP$14.9 Mil1.0%45New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/5/2026