Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 15%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -28%
Key risks
KEY key risks include [1] potential for increased loan losses due to its specific portfolio exposure to the energy and healthcare sectors.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, CFO LTM is 3.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.1 Bil
Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 7.3%
 
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
4 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 17%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 15%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, CFO LTM is 3.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.1 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
4 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 17%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, Show more.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -28%
8 Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 7.3%
9 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0%
10 Key risks
KEY key risks include [1] potential for increased loan losses due to its specific portfolio exposure to the energy and healthcare sectors.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KEY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for KeyCorp's (KEY) stock movement, from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, falls in the future. As an AI, I do not have access to real-time future stock market data or events. Therefore, I cannot provide an analysis of a hypothetical 9.8% stock movement during that future period or the reasons behind it.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KEY Return-15%46%-22%-12%25%26%36%
Peers Return-10%36%-18%1%26%15%48%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KEY Win Rate58%75%50%33%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate58%68%47%47%60%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KEY Max Drawdown-59%-1%-31%-48%-8%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-3%-26%-32%-6%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PNC, USB, TFC, FITB, HBAN. See KEY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKEYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-66.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven202.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven148.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven341 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven862 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-88.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven765.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to JPM, BAC, WFC, USB, AVBC


In The Past

KeyCorp's stock fell -66.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -66.9% loss requires a 202.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About KeyCorp (KEY)

Better Bets than KeyCorp (KEY)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KEY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for KeyCorp

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KEYPNCUSBTFCFITBHBANMedian
NameKeyCorp PNC Fina.U.S. Ban.Truist F.Fifth Th.Huntingt. 
Mkt Price20.80210.3053.7450.1547.7517.5948.95
Mkt Cap22.983.383.764.831.825.748.3
Rev LTM6,14222,57028,18220,0318,5897,94614,310
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM3,1325,4279,9003,9692,8232,4723,550
FCF 3Y Avg2,1138,55510,5816,5863,7202,3015,153
CFO LTM3,2175,4279,9003,9693,4842,6483,726
CFO 3Y Avg2,2148,55510,5816,5864,3302,4615,458

Growth & Margins

KEYPNCUSBTFCFITBHBANMedian
NameKeyCorp PNC Fina.U.S. Ban.Truist F.Fifth Th.Huntingt. 
Rev Chg LTM20.7%9.5%4.0%55.5%3.6%11.1%10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.0%3.4%6.5%3.1%3.8%4.9%3.6%
Rev Chg Q186.9%8.6%6.8%396.0%8.0%13.9%11.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM24.3%2.1%1.7%49.9%2.0%3.4%2.8%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM52.4%24.0%35.1%19.8%40.6%33.3%34.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg34.8%39.9%38.2%37.9%51.1%32.3%38.1%
FCF/Rev LTM51.0%24.0%35.1%19.8%32.9%31.1%32.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg33.1%39.9%38.2%37.9%43.9%30.2%38.1%

Valuation

KEYPNCUSBTFCFITBHBANMedian
NameKeyCorp PNC Fina.U.S. Ban.Truist F.Fifth Th.Huntingt. 
Mkt Cap22.983.383.764.831.825.748.3
P/S3.33.52.72.93.53.23.3
P/EBIT-------
P/E19.112.210.511.312.311.311.8
P/CFO6.414.77.614.98.59.59.0
Total Yield5.2%11.5%13.7%13.5%8.1%12.4%11.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.3%4.2%4.6%0.0%3.6%3.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg15.9%13.5%17.3%14.7%15.6%12.1%15.2%
D/E0.60.81.01.00.60.70.7
Net D/E-0.30.2-1.00.3-1.30.1-0.1

Returns

KEYPNCUSBTFCFITBHBANMedian
NameKeyCorp PNC Fina.U.S. Ban.Truist F.Fifth Th.Huntingt. 
1M Rtn22.8%17.5%18.2%14.2%16.1%15.0%16.8%
3M Rtn12.4%4.2%9.5%11.8%4.9%0.3%7.2%
6M Rtn32.8%22.1%26.9%29.0%25.3%12.9%26.1%
12M Rtn22.5%10.0%12.4%16.6%9.9%7.9%11.2%
3Y Rtn47.9%57.8%47.3%42.9%71.0%46.6%47.6%
1M Excs Rtn22.1%16.7%17.5%13.5%15.4%14.3%16.1%
3M Excs Rtn8.6%1.5%6.8%8.7%2.7%-2.9%4.8%
6M Excs Rtn20.4%9.8%14.5%16.6%13.0%0.5%13.7%
12M Excs Rtn9.2%-2.8%-1.0%3.9%-2.4%-4.6%-1.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-28.5%-17.0%-25.6%-32.6%-6.0%-29.9%-27.0%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial Bank3,2973,4633,6403,2493,011
Consumer Bank3,1573,4043,4263,4023,288
Other-4140522664101
Total6,4137,2727,2926,7156,400


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial Bank8851,1441,6426511,147
Consumer Bank202365876653706
Other-12040810739-136
Total9671,9172,6251,3431,717


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial Bank85,54280,06870,05174,225 
Other61,49261,40466,23146,678 
Consumer Bank44,59344,41442,63741,152 
Total191,627185,886178,919162,055 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity28,852,758
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.5%
Average Daily Volume15,421,840
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.87
Basic Shares Quantity1,100,830,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/16/2025-5.4%-1.5%-0.6%
7/22/20252.4%0.9%-0.7%
4/17/20251.4%5.7%18.2%
1/21/2025-3.6%-3.5%-1.5%
10/17/2024-2.5%-3.5%8.1%
7/18/2024-4.0%-2.6%-0.1%
4/18/2024-0.3%3.5%6.2%
1/18/2024-4.6%4.3%2.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive7915
# Negative17159
Median Positive1.4%4.7%9.3%
Median Negative-3.1%-3.4%-1.5%
Max Positive4.1%8.9%18.6%
Max Negative-5.5%-14.7%-18.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021