Armstrong World Industries (AWI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $188.0 | Market Cap: $8.1 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products
Armstrong World Industries (AWI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $188.0Market Cap: $8.1 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Building Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Green Building Materials, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Green Building Materials, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AWI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Armstrong World Industries (AWI) stock experienced a -3.9% movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025. Based on the available information, the key points regarding this stock movement are:
1. Armstrong World Industries held its Q3 2025 Earnings Call on October 28, 2025. This event, where the company reported its third-quarter results, could have influenced investor sentiment and the stock price.
2. The company announced an increase in its quarterly dividend on October 22, 2025. Dividend changes can impact stock performance, with an increase typically viewed positively.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AWI Return | -20% | 57% | -40% | 45% | 45% | 34% | 113% |
| Peers Return | 6% | 11% | -31% | 14% | -12% | -49% | -59% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AWI Win Rate | 33% | 83% | 25% | 58% | 67% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 52% | 37% | 45% | 43% | 32% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AWI Max Drawdown | -37% | -4% | -41% | -9% | -3% | -11% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -45% | -10% | -45% | -17% | -32% | -52% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COTY, WDFC, NWL, ENR, HELE. See AWI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AWI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 265 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 287 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -23.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 503.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1100 days | 1480 days |
Compare to COTY, WDFC, NWL, ENR, HELE
In The Past
Armstrong World Industries's stock fell -47.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/8/2021. A -47.0% loss requires a 88.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AWI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 06302022 | AWI | Armstrong World Industries | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.9% | -0.7% | -15.9% |
| 10312020 | AWI | Armstrong World Industries | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 74.1% | 78.1% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 06302022 | AWI | Armstrong World Industries | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.9% | -0.7% | -15.9% |
| 10312020 | AWI | Armstrong World Industries | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 74.1% | 78.1% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Armstrong World Industries
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 19.57 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.1 |
| Rev LTM | 2,373 |
| Op Inc LTM | 378 |
| FCF LTM | 121 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 230 |
| CFO LTM | 254 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 304 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.1 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/EBIT | 5.4 |
| P/E | 2.4 |
| P/CFO | 7.9 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| D/E | 1.4 |
| Net D/E | 1.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -20.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -23.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -51.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -48.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -26.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -37.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -64.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -117.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4292025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10242023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7252023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4252023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10252022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7262022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |