Tile Shop (TTSH)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.24 | Market Cap: $230.4 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Home Improvement Retail
Tile Shop (TTSH)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.24Market Cap: $230.4 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Home Improvement Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Green Building Materials, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.2 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.7% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 249424%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 227726% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.7% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 292173% | |
| Key risksTTSH key risks include [1] intense competition from large home improvement centers, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Green Building Materials, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.2 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.7% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 249424%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 227726% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.7% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 292173% |
| Key risksTTSH key risks include [1] intense competition from large home improvement centers, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
TTSH Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Information available for Tile Shop (TTSH) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, does not indicate a stock movement of 249,424%. Historical stock prices for TTSH during this period show the stock trading in the range of approximately $5 to $7 per share. There were several significant events for Tile Shop during this time, none of which led to an increase of the magnitude requested.
1. Q2 2025 Financial Results: The company reported its second quarter 2025 results on August 7, 2025, showing a decrease in net sales by 3.4% and comparable store sales by 3.5%, with net income at $0.4 million. The company also closed a distribution center and a retail store during this quarter.
2. Board Approved Plan to Terminate Registration: On October 6, 2025, Tile Shop's Board of Directors approved a plan to terminate the registration of its common stock.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TTSH Return | -40% | 700% | -37% | 67% | -8% | 279465% | 1285900% |
| Peers Return | 37% | 48% | -33% | 22% | 8% | -13% | 55% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TTSH Win Rate | 17% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 67% | 40% | 56% | 58% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TTSH Max Drawdown | -60% | 0% | -62% | -7% | -24% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -45% | -5% | -43% | -10% | -9% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FND, HD, LOW, MHK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TTSH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -68.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 213.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,253 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -76.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 316.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 450 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -94.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1829.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,247 days | 120 days |
Compare to HD, HVT, TBHC, LOW, FND
In The Past
Tile Shop's stock fell -68.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/11/2021. A -68.1% loss requires a 213.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TTSH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Tile Shop
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 109.20 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.8 |
| Rev LTM | 10,723 |
| Op Inc LTM | 551 |
| FCF LTM | 587 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 613 |
| CFO LTM | 994 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,100 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.8 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 15.6 |
| P/E | 20.4 |
| P/CFO | 15.1 |
| Total Yield | 5.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -13.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -10.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 19.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -0.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -23.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -51.0% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 1.1% | 0.0% | 3.5% |
| 8/7/2025 | -5.1% | -0.3% | -2.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | 12.4% | 11.7% | 18.5% |
| 2/27/2025 | -3.1% | -9.8% | -14.8% |
| 11/7/2024 | -0.4% | -1.3% | -3.0% |
| 8/8/2024 | 1.7% | -1.3% | -1.2% |
| 5/9/2024 | -2.0% | -3.9% | -2.9% |
| 2/29/2024 | 0.0% | -1.9% | 1.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| # Negative | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.5% |
| Median Negative | -2.6% | -4.6% | -7.1% |
| Max Positive | 23.4% | 18.7% | 25.2% |
| Max Negative | -10.0% | -32.1% | -14.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3022023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3032022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
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