Tearsheet

Mister Car Wash (MCW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.755 | Market Cap: $1.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Specialized Consumer Services

Mister Car Wash (MCW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.755
Market Cap: $1.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Specialized Consumer Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -111%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 99%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.39
Key risks
MCW key risks include [1] a significant debt load and potential liquidity challenges from its capital-intensive growth model, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
  
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -33%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Process / Warehouse Automation.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -33%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Process / Warehouse Automation.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -111%
7 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.39
8 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 99%
9 Key risks
MCW key risks include [1] a significant debt load and potential liquidity challenges from its capital-intensive growth model, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MCW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period of 8/31/2025 to today (December 18, 2025) is in the future. As an AI, I do not have access to future stock market data or news events. However, following the instruction to use the most recent available information if the end date is in the future, I have gathered key points from Mister Car Wash's recent financial reports and news, primarily focusing on information released in 2024 and projected into early 2025. This information does not specifically address a 0.7% stock movement within the future period requested, as such data is not yet available.

1. Strong Q4 2024 Performance with Revenue and Earnings Beat
Mister Car Wash reported robust financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024, with net revenues increasing 9.1% year-over-year to $251.17 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Earnings per share (EPS) for Q4 2024 were $0.09, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.07. This strong performance, including a 6% comparable store sales growth against a 3% average estimate, generally indicates positive momentum for the company.

2. Full-Year 2024 Growth and Strategic Expansion
For the full year 2024, Mister Car Wash achieved a 7% increase in net revenues to $994.7 million and a 12% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $320.9 million. The company also expanded its footprint by opening 40 new locations, exceeding 500 total stores, and successfully introduced its premium "Titanium" service which saw 23% penetration among Unlimited Wash Club (UWC) memberships.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MCW Return-49%-6%-16%-23%
Peers Return-17%-22%-1%-10%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MCW Win Rate33%25%50%42%42% 
Peers Win Rate68%42%39%47%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MCW Max Drawdown-55%-46%-31%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-38%-20%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DRVN, VVV, MNRO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMCWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-78.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven372.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to HRB, MATW, MEDG, WW, DASH


In The Past

Mister Car Wash's stock fell -78.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/23/2021. A -78.8% loss requires a 372.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Mister Car Wash (MCW)

Better Bets than Mister Car Wash (MCW)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MCW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
MCW_9302023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09302023MCWMister Car WashDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
40.7%21.4%-9.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
MCW_9302023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09302023MCWMister Car WashDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
40.7%21.4%-9.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Mister Car Wash

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MCWDRVNVVVMNROMedian
NameMister C.Driven B.ValvolineMonro  
Mkt Price5.7515.3530.0521.4418.39
Mkt Cap1.92.54.60.62.2
Rev LTM1,0422,4391,7101,1911,451
Op Inc LTM207203391-7205
FCF LTM2731384835
FCF 3Y Avg-58-157-4899-53
CFO LTM27626829774272
CFO 3Y Avg241247174127207

Growth & Margins

MCWDRVNVVVMNROMedian
NameMister C.Driven B.ValvolineMonro  
Rev Chg LTM7.0%18.6%5.6%-2.6%6.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.9%10.0%11.5%-4.1%8.4%
Rev Chg Q5.7%6.6%4.2%-4.1%4.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%1.4%1.1%-1.0%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM19.9%8.3%22.9%-0.6%14.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.6%11.4%21.6%3.2%15.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%0.4%-3.2%-0.0%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM26.4%11.0%17.4%6.2%14.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.6%10.9%10.3%10.2%10.6%
FCF/Rev LTM2.6%1.3%2.2%4.1%2.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-6.2%-7.1%-3.5%7.9%-4.8%

Valuation

MCWDRVNVVVMNROMedian
NameMister C.Driven B.ValvolineMonro  
Mkt Cap1.92.54.60.62.2
P/S1.71.12.70.51.4
P/EBIT9.2-14.0--74.8-14.0
P/E18.9-13.321.7-28.32.8
P/CFO6.39.915.47.38.6
Total Yield5.3%-7.5%4.6%-3.5%0.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.9%-7.6%-12.6%-2.9%
D/E1.01.0-0.91.0
Net D/E1.01.0-0.91.0

Returns

MCWDRVNVVVMNROMedian
NameMister C.Driven B.ValvolineMonro  
1M Rtn15.7%9.0%-4.1%30.7%12.4%
3M Rtn5.5%-10.1%-25.9%20.5%-2.3%
6M Rtn-6.0%-10.0%-17.6%56.8%-8.0%
12M Rtn-22.0%-8.1%-20.5%-11.2%-15.8%
3Y Rtn-39.2%-43.1%-1.8%-44.9%-41.2%
1M Excs Rtn15.0%8.3%-4.8%30.0%11.6%
3M Excs Rtn4.3%-10.5%-26.0%17.8%-3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-18.4%-22.4%-30.0%44.4%-20.4%
12M Excs Rtn-35.2%-19.4%-32.7%-22.9%-27.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-110.6%-116.6%-74.3%-117.2%-113.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single segment927877  
Car Wash Services  758575
Total927877758575


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,923,849
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-5.3%
Average Daily Volume1,243,784
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.39
Basic Shares Quantity327,389,467
Short % of Basic Shares3.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20258.5%2.7%2.1%
7/30/2025-5.9%-6.4%-7.7%
4/30/20259.2%9.3%3.2%
2/19/2025-1.6%-0.5%7.5%
10/30/202412.9%25.4%20.3%
7/31/2024-3.6%-16.6%-13.9%
5/1/20244.3%16.1%5.1%
2/21/2024-10.3%-5.4%-13.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive667
# Negative998
Median Positive11.1%12.7%7.3%
Median Negative-3.6%-6.7%-9.0%
Max Positive17.8%25.4%48.0%
Max Negative-15.4%-20.2%-17.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021325202210-K 12/31/2021