Mister Car Wash (MCW)
Market Price (4/30/2026): $7.085 | Market Cap: $2.3 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Specialized Consumer Services
Mister Car Wash (MCW)
Market Price (4/30/2026): $7.085Market Cap: $2.3 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Specialized Consumer Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Process / Warehouse Automation. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 75% Key risksMCW key risks include [1] a significant debt load and potential liquidity challenges from its capital-intensive growth model, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Process / Warehouse Automation. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 75% |
| Key risksMCW key risks include [1] a significant debt load and potential liquidity challenges from its capital-intensive growth model, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Mister Car Wash (MCW) stock has gained about 25% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Q4 2025 Earnings Performance and Full-Year Growth.
Mister Car Wash reported robust fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results on February 18, 2026. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $0.11, surpassing analyst estimates of $0.10 by $0.01 (a 10% beat) or estimates of $0.09 by $0.02 (a 22.22% surprise). Full-year 2025 net revenues increased 6% to $1.05 billion, and net income grew by 46.75% to $103.08 million. Additionally, the company reported 7% growth in Unlimited Wash Club memberships during Q4 2025, reaching nearly 2.3 million members. This positive earnings report led to a significant stock appreciation, with MCW shares gaining 16.1% the day following the announcement.
2. Significant Institutional Investor Accumulation.
During Q4 2025, several prominent institutional investors substantially increased their stakes in Mister Car Wash, signaling strong confidence in the company's prospects. Morgan Stanley added 2,015,473 shares, an increase of 189.9%, valued at an estimated $11.2 million. VOSS CAPITAL, LP increased its holdings by 1,296,915 shares, estimated at over $7.2 million. AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC also added 1,047,297 shares, a 230.3% increase, worth an estimated $5.8 million. These substantial investments by major funds indicate a favorable outlook on MCW's future performance.
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1. Strong Q4 2025 Earnings Performance and Full-Year Growth.
Mister Car Wash reported robust fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results on February 18, 2026. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $0.11, surpassing analyst estimates of $0.10 by $0.01 (a 10% beat) or estimates of $0.09 by $0.02 (a 22.22% surprise). Full-year 2025 net revenues increased 6% to $1.05 billion, and net income grew by 46.75% to $103.08 million. Additionally, the company reported 7% growth in Unlimited Wash Club memberships during Q4 2025, reaching nearly 2.3 million members. This positive earnings report led to a significant stock appreciation, with MCW shares gaining 16.1% the day following the announcement.
2. Significant Institutional Investor Accumulation.
During Q4 2025, several prominent institutional investors substantially increased their stakes in Mister Car Wash, signaling strong confidence in the company's prospects. Morgan Stanley added 2,015,473 shares, an increase of 189.9%, valued at an estimated $11.2 million. VOSS CAPITAL, LP increased its holdings by 1,296,915 shares, estimated at over $7.2 million. AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC also added 1,047,297 shares, a 230.3% increase, worth an estimated $5.8 million. These substantial investments by major funds indicate a favorable outlook on MCW's future performance.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 27.2% change in MCW stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.56 | 7.07 | 27.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,042 | 1,052 | 1.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.7 | 22.5 | 13.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 327 | 328 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 27.2% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCW | 27.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.2% | 23.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.0% | 25.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 32.6% change in MCW stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 15.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.33 | 7.07 | 32.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,028 | 1,052 | 2.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.5% | 9.8% | 15.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.9 | 22.5 | 12.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 326 | 328 | -0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 32.6% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCW | 32.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.0% | 22.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.1% | 23.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -10.4% change in MCW stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.89 | 7.07 | -10.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 995 | 1,052 | 5.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.1% | 9.8% | 38.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 36.3 | 22.5 | -38.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 323 | 328 | -1.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -10.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCW | -10.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 29.3% | 41.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | 19.3% | 46.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -18.0% change in MCW stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -23.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.62 | 7.07 | -18.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 877 | 1,052 | 20.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.9% | 9.8% | -23.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.3 | 22.5 | -3.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 306 | 328 | -6.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -18.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCW | -18.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 81.5% | 32.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 60.1% | 35.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MCW Return | -10% | -49% | -6% | -16% | -24% | 27% | -65% |
| Peers Return | 34% | -17% | -22% | -1% | -14% | -6% | -30% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 4% | 90% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MCW Win Rate | 43% | 25% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 69% | 42% | 39% | 47% | 42% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MCW Max Drawdown | -21% | -55% | -46% | -31% | -36% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -5% | -30% | -38% | -20% | -29% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DRVN, VVV, MNRO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/29/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MCW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -78.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 372.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to DRVN, VVV, MNRO
In The Past
Mister Car Wash's stock fell -78.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/23/2021. A -78.8% loss requires a 372.5% gain to breakeven.
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About Mister Car Wash (MCW)
Mister Car Wash, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides conveyorized car wash services in the United States. It offers express exterior and interior cleaning services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 396 car wash locations in 21 states. The company was formerly known as Hotshine Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Mister Car Wash, Inc. in March 2021. Mister Car Wash, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Tucson, Arizona.
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Mister Car Wash (MCW) is:
- The Jiffy Lube of car washes.
- The Starbucks of car washes.
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- Express Exterior Car Wash: This service provides automated, quick, and efficient exterior cleaning for vehicles.
- Interior Cleaning Services: This service offers cleaning and detailing for the inside of vehicles, often complementing an exterior wash.
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Mister Car Wash (MCW) primarily sells its services directly to individual consumers rather than to other businesses.
The major categories of customers that Mister Car Wash serves include:
- Individual Vehicle Owners/Daily Drivers: This is the largest segment, consisting of everyday individuals who bring their personal vehicles to Mister Car Wash locations for exterior and interior cleaning services. They seek convenience, speed, and a consistently clean vehicle for their daily commutes, family use, or general vehicle maintenance.
- Unlimited Wash Club Members: A significant and growing segment for Mister Car Wash, these are individual customers who subscribe to a recurring monthly membership for unlimited washes. This group represents highly loyal and frequent users who value the convenience and cost-effectiveness of an ongoing wash plan.
- Occasional/Transactional Customers: These are individuals who utilize Mister Car Wash services on an as-needed or infrequent basis, paying per wash rather than holding a membership. They might visit after specific events (e.g., a road trip, inclement weather) or when their vehicle requires a general cleaning.
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John Lai, Chairman, CEO, and President
John Lai joined Mister Car Wash in 2002 and was named CEO in 2013. Prior to his CEO role, he served as Chief Operating Officer and Vice President of Market Development for the company. Before joining Mister Car Wash, Mr. Lai was the Vice President of Sales for Financenter, President of Blue Coral Systems (a specialty chemical provider to the car wash industry), Direct Account Manager for Nestle S.A., and District Manager for Carnation Company. He began his career at IBM as a General Assembler.
Jedidiah “Jed” Gold, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Jedidiah Gold has served as Mister Car Wash's Treasurer and Chief Financial Officer since July 2019. He brings 20 years of finance and accounting experience, including domestic and international roles. Before joining Mister Car Wash, Mr. Gold spent nearly 14 years with Yum! Brands, Inc., the parent company of KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell. His roles at Yum! Brands included Senior Director Finance, Assistant Treasurer for Yum Brands, Inc. and Chief Financial Officer for KFC Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan.
Mary Porter, Chief People Officer
Mary Porter has served as Mister Car Wash's Chief People Officer since April 2023. She previously spent 27 years at Nordstrom, culminating in her role as Vice President of Human Resources, where she supported Nordstrom and Nordstrom Rack locations across the U.S. and Canada. Her experience spans various Human Resources functions, including HR compliance, talent acquisition, and strategic business support.
Joseph Matheny, Chief Innovation Officer
Joseph Matheny has been Mister Car Wash's Chief Innovation Officer since October 2023. He joined the company in 1998 and previously held the position of Senior Vice President, Operations since March 2020. Mr. Matheny also served as Vice President, Operations from December 2016 to March 2020, progressing through roles such as General Manager, Regional Manager, and Division Manager.
Carlos Chavez, Chief Technology Officer
Carlos Chavez joined Mister Car Wash as Chief Technology Officer in 2025. He has a background in leading technology teams for several global multi-unit brands, including Blockbuster, FedEx, and Yum! Brands. Mr. Chavez began his career in management consulting with Deloitte.
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Key Risks to Mister Car Wash (MCW)
- Economic Uncertainties and Consumer Discretionary Spending: Mister Car Wash's business is susceptible to broader economic conditions, including inflation and consumer discretionary spending habits. An uncertain macroeconomic environment or an economic downturn could lead to reduced demand for car wash services, impacting the growth of its Unlimited Wash Club (UWC) memberships and overall revenue. Consumers may cut back on discretionary services like car washes during periods of economic strain.
- High Debt Load and Financial Leverage: The company carries a significant amount of debt, which has been highlighted as a potential risk. A high net debt to EBITDA ratio raises concerns about its balance sheet flexibility, its ability to cover interest payments, and its capacity for future investments. Should Mister Car Wash require additional liquidity or face delays in its investment programs, its elevated debt could negatively affect its financial health and potentially lead to equity dilution.
- Intense Competition and Market Saturation: The car wash industry is highly fragmented and competitive, characterized by numerous national, regional, and local operators, with limited barriers to entry and easily replicable differentiators. Increased competition, particularly from the expansion of other car wash chains and new greenfield locations, could lead to market share erosion and negatively impact Mister Car Wash's operating performance. Some reports also suggest concerns about over-capacity in certain markets.
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Mister Car Wash (MCW) operates within the U.S. car wash services market. The addressable market for their main products and services, primarily conveyorized car wash services including express exterior and interior cleaning, is detailed as follows: The U.S. car wash services market was valued at approximately $14.6 billion in 2023. Projections indicate that this market could reach roughly $19.8 billion in 2024 and further increase to $20.2 billion in 2025. Other estimates indicate the U.S. car wash service market size was valued at US$14.90 billion in 2021 and is expected to reach US$21.14 billion by 2030. In 2024, the U.S. car wash services market was valued at $14.74 billion and is projected to continue growing at a moderate but steady rate of about 2.1% per year over the next six years. Additionally, the U.S. car wash services market size was estimated at USD 15.28 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 17.01 billion by 2033.AI Analysis | Feedback
Mister Car Wash (MCW) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Expansion of New Locations: The company continues to increase its footprint through both greenfield developments and strategic acquisitions. As of December 31, 2025, Mister Car Wash operated 548 car wash locations, an increase from 514 in the prior year. In the first quarter of 2025, the company opened four new greenfield locations and anticipated opening between 30 to 35 new greenfield locations for the full fiscal year 2025.
- Growth in Unlimited Wash Club (UWC) Memberships: The Unlimited Wash Club membership model is a significant recurring revenue stream for Mister Car Wash. UWC sales constituted 79% of total wash sales in Q4 2025 and 76% in Q2 2025. The company saw a 7% year-over-year increase in UWC members in Q4 2025, reaching nearly 2.3 million, and a 5% increase in Q2 2025, surpassing 2.2 million members. UWC subscribers, on average, spend four times more than one-time customers.
- Price Increases and New Membership Tiers: Mister Car Wash has implemented base membership price increases. Additionally, the introduction of new membership tiers, such as the Titanium tier in 2024, is designed to boost average subscriber spending by approximately 9% and provide additional monetization growth. The strong consumer response to targeted trial promotions for the Titanium tier contributed to an approximate 4% year-over-year increase in express revenue per member in Q3 2025.
- Comparable-Store Sales Growth: The company has demonstrated a consistent track record of positive comparable-store sales growth. In Q3 2025, comparable store sales grew by 3.1%, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of such gains. This was followed by a 1.6% increase in Q4 2025 and 1.2% in Q2 2025, indicating that established locations continue to contribute to overall revenue growth.
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Share Issuance
- Mister Car Wash priced its initial public offering (IPO) on June 24, 2021, offering 37.5 million shares at $15.00 per share. Of these, Mister Car Wash offered 31,250,000 shares, raising $468.8 million, while selling stockholders sold 6,250,000 shares.
- In August 2021, a secondary offering of 12,000,000 shares of common stock was conducted by selling stockholders, primarily investment funds affiliated with Leonard Green & Partners, L.P., at a public offering price of $19.57 per share. Mister Car Wash did not receive any proceeds from this secondary offering.
Inbound Investments
- Investment funds managed by Leonard Green & Partners (LGP), which has been a long-term strategic partner since 2014 and beneficially owned approximately 67% of the outstanding shares, are taking Mister Car Wash private in a $3.1 billion deal.
- As part of the take-private transaction, LGP affiliates will purchase all outstanding shares of common stock not already owned by them for $7.00 per share in cash. The transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2026.
Outbound Investments
- Mister Car Wash acquired Clean Streak Ventures LLC in December 2021 for approximately $390 million, adding 33 locations (23 operating and 10 development locations) in Florida.
- The company expanded its footprint in Lubbock, Texas, in October 2025 by acquiring five Whistle Express locations, which were operating under the Take 5 Car Wash brand.
- Other acquisitions within the last three to five years include Super Wash Xpress in October 2023, Rapidxpress in January 2023, and TopWash in August 2022.
Capital Expenditures
- Mister Car Wash's capital expenditures averaged $206.9 million for the fiscal years ending December 2020 to 2024, reaching a peak of $330.1 million in December 2024.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures is on new store growth, specifically through the development of greenfield locations, as well as store-level maintenance, productivity improvements, and the integration of acquired locations.
- For 2023, the company opened a record 35 new greenfield locations, and in 2024, it successfully opened 39 new greenfield locations. In 2025, 29 greenfield locations were opened.
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| 03272026 | ETSY | Etsy | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | OLLI | Ollie's Bargain Outlet | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | PATK | Patrick Industries | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.6% |
| 09302023 | MCW | Mister Car Wash | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 40.7% | 21.4% | -9.6% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 14.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.2 |
| Rev LTM | 1,468 |
| Op Inc LTM | 209 |
| FCF LTM | 40 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -44 |
| CFO LTM | 277 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 222 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -31.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -5.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -4.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.2 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/Op Inc | 13.0 |
| P/EBIT | 13.5 |
| P/E | 6.0 |
| P/CFO | 8.0 |
| Total Yield | -0.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -1.3% |
| D/E | 0.9 |
| Net D/E | 0.9 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 6.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -2.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | -39.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -9.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -32.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -110.8% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $7.07 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/25/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -11.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $7.00 | $5.94 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 0.9% | 19.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 35.6% | 37.8% |
| Downside Capture | -0.03 | 0.48 |
| Upside Capture | 107.50 | 61.02 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 17.7% | 29.7% |
MCW Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.20 | 0.95 | 1.12 | 0.83 | 0.92 | 0.95 |
| Up Beta | 0.29 | 0.76 | 2.25 | 1.30 | 1.03 | 1.16 |
| Down Beta | 0.27 | 0.64 | 0.96 | 0.85 | 0.84 | 0.51 |
| Up Capture | 10% | 253% | 180% | 114% | 60% | 73% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 6 | 19 | 27 | 56 | 106 | 340 |
| Down Capture | 24% | -3% | 31% | 39% | 100% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 16 | 27 | 59 | 133 | 391 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MCW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCW | 1.7% | 37.7% | 0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 19.2% | 18.8% | 0.80 | 34.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.5% | 12.5% | 1.93 | 29.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 35.2% | 27.2% | 1.09 | 0.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 46.7% | 18.1% | 1.99 | 0.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.8% | 13.4% | 0.65 | 31.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -19.6% | 42.1% | -0.40 | 14.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MCW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCW | -18.6% | 44.9% | -0.33 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.7% | 23.7% | 0.24 | 44.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.1% | 0.60 | 41.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.1% | 17.8% | 0.92 | 3.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 14.6% | 19.1% | 0.63 | 6.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 39.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.1% | 56.2% | 0.36 | 18.0% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MCW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCW | -9.8% | 44.9% | -0.33 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.5% | 22.0% | 0.52 | 44.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 41.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | 3.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.6% | 17.7% | 0.45 | 6.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.5% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 39.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.5% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 18.0% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/18/2026 | 16.1% | 16.3% | 15.8% |
| 10/29/2025 | 8.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| 7/30/2025 | -5.9% | -6.4% | -7.7% |
| 4/30/2025 | 9.2% | 9.3% | 3.2% |
| 2/19/2025 | -1.6% | -0.5% | 7.5% |
| 10/30/2024 | 12.9% | 25.4% | 20.3% |
| 7/31/2024 | -3.6% | -16.6% | -13.9% |
| 5/1/2024 | 4.3% | 16.1% | 5.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 12.9% | 16.1% | 7.4% |
| Median Negative | -3.6% | -6.7% | -9.0% |
| Max Positive | 17.8% | 25.4% | 48.0% |
| Max Negative | -15.4% | -20.2% | -17.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/02/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/23/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/12/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/13/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lai, John Lo-Minn | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 3032026 | 7.08 | 22,037 | 156,022 | 32,832,750 | Form |
| 2 | Gold, Jedidiah Marc | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3032026 | 7.08 | 4,761 | 33,708 | 609,439 | Form |
| 3 | Matheny, Joseph Duane | Chief Innovation Officer | Direct | Sell | 3032026 | 7.08 | 2,318 | 16,411 | 664,295 | Form |
| 4 | Gold, Jedidiah Marc | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6272025 | 6.13 | 6,357 | 38,968 | 463,655 | Form |
| 5 | Lai, John Lo-Minn | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 6272025 | 6.13 | 33,904 | 207,832 | 28,065,286 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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