Tearsheet

Live Nation Entertainment (LYV)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $136.67 | Market Cap: $31.7 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Live Nation Entertainment (LYV)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $136.67
Market Cap: $31.7 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil
Key risks
LYV key risks include [1] significant regulatory and antitrust litigation that could force the divestiture of its Ticketmaster subsidiary and [2] a substantial debt load that restricts financial flexibility.
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Creator Economy Monetization.
 
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Creator Economy Monetization.
3 Key risks
LYV key risks include [1] significant regulatory and antitrust litigation that could force the divestiture of its Ticketmaster subsidiary and [2] a substantial debt load that restricts financial flexibility.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LYV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Live Nation Entertainment (LYV) experienced a significant dip of 18.3% in its stock over the three months leading up to December 10, 2025, significantly underperforming the Nasdaq Composite's 7.8% increase during the same timeframe.

2. The company's stock tumbled 10.6% following its Q3 2025 results on November 4, 2025, due to a top-line and bottom-line miss. Live Nation reported revenue of $8.50 billion, which was below consensus estimates, and an adjusted operating income of $1.03 billion also missed expectations, with an EPS of $0.73 falling short of analyst estimates.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LYV Return3%63%-42%34%38%7%93%
Peers Return-2%6%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LYV Win Rate42%58%25%42%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate40%48%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LYV Max Drawdown-59%-10%-45%-6%-7%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSGE, TKO, SEAT, WMG, EB. See LYV Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLYVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven600 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-61.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven157.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven307 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven80 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-89.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven894.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,931 days1,480 days

Compare to WMG, ANGX, DCR, INHI, PSKY


In The Past

Live Nation Entertainment's stock fell -48.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/25/2022. A -48.2% loss requires a 92.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Live Nation Entertainment (LYV)

Better Bets than Live Nation Entertainment (LYV)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LYV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Live Nation Entertainment

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LYVMSGETKOSEATWMGEBMedian
NameLive Nat.Madison .TKO Vivid Se.Warner M.Eventbri. 
Mkt Price136.4151.56211.626.9128.554.4440.05
Mkt Cap31.72.417.30.017.80.49.8
Rev LTM24,5699622,5456446,7072951,754
Op Inc LTM1,1311381,085-36928-25533
FCF LTM1,580140942-3034430242
FCF 3Y Avg1,1411266413541417270
CFO LTM2,4941621,029-667833420
CFO 3Y Avg1,8151467185470623426

Growth & Margins

LYVMSGETKOSEATWMGEBMedian
NameLive Nat.Madison .TKO Vivid Se.Warner M.Eventbri. 
Rev Chg LTM5.5%0.7%-44.3%-16.8%4.4%-12.4%-5.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg18.6%--3.5%4.3%6.9%5.6%
Rev Chg Q11.1%14.1%-27.3%-26.9%14.6%-7.8%1.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.6%2.1%-14.2%-7.2%3.7%-2.0%0.0%
Op Mgn LTM4.6%14.4%42.6%-5.5%13.8%-8.4%9.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.6%13.5%27.1%4.9%14.0%-10.0%9.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%0.1%10.7%-5.2%0.2%2.5%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM10.2%16.9%40.4%-0.9%10.1%11.3%10.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.8%16.2%28.3%7.6%11.1%7.7%9.5%
FCF/Rev LTM6.4%14.6%37.0%-4.7%5.1%10.0%8.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.9%13.9%25.8%4.9%6.5%5.6%6.1%

Valuation

LYVMSGETKOSEATWMGEBMedian
NameLive Nat.Madison .TKO Vivid Se.Warner M.Eventbri. 
Mkt Cap31.72.417.30.017.80.49.8
P/S1.52.26.50.22.70.81.9
P/EBIT31.020.415.8-0.5--70.915.8
P/E42.261.272.0-0.748.7-22.845.4
P/CFO15.213.216.0-19.226.27.314.2
Total Yield2.4%1.6%4.5%-143.7%4.2%-4.4%2.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%3.1%0.0%2.2%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.3%6.7%5.7%-1.9%-3.7%4.3%
D/E0.20.60.23.8-0.70.6
Net D/E0.10.60.22.4--0.90.2

Returns

LYVMSGETKOSEATWMGEBMedian
NameLive Nat.Madison .TKO Vivid Se.Warner M.Eventbri. 
1M Rtn3.0%14.2%15.0%-8.8%-6.2%68.8%8.6%
3M Rtn-19.5%14.8%5.5%-59.3%-13.5%52.6%-4.0%
6M Rtn-8.0%37.9%21.2%-82.2%9.7%76.2%15.5%
12M Rtn-1.1%49.8%45.5%-90.3%-8.4%23.0%11.0%
3Y Rtn96.6%-26.8%--95.2%-9.2%-25.0%-25.0%
1M Excs Rtn2.3%13.4%14.2%-9.6%-6.9%68.1%7.9%
3M Excs Rtn-18.5%10.9%3.4%-61.5%-16.4%43.7%-6.5%
6M Excs Rtn-20.4%25.5%8.8%-94.6%-2.7%63.8%3.1%
12M Excs Rtn-10.7%38.9%39.9%-101.2%-21.1%14.0%1.6%
3Y Excs Rtn16.9%-95.3%--163.6%-76.8%-101.1%-95.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Concerts18,74113,4944,7221,4689,428
Ticketing2,9592,2391,1341881,545
Sponsorship & Advertising1,095968412204590
Corporate00  0
Other & Eliminations-69-200  
Eliminations    -19
Other    3
Total22,72616,6816,2681,86011,548


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ticketing1,140828 -612232
Sponsorship & Advertising675592 45330
Concerts320170 -959-53
Gain on sale of operating assets1432   
Astroworld estimated loss contingencies0    
Other & Eliminations-40-15   
Amortization of non-recoupable ticketing contract advances-84-79   
Acquisition expenses-94-68   
Stock-based compensation expense-116-110   
Corporate-215-168 -114-183
Depreciation and amortization-517-450   
Other   -13-1
Total1,085732 -1,653325


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,753,173
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-6.7%
Average Daily Volume3,325,386
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.04
Basic Shares Quantity232,043,356
Short % of Basic Shares7.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-10.6%-5.9%-7.6%
8/7/20253.3%9.0%14.3%
5/1/20251.9%2.6%5.5%
2/20/2025-1.9%-7.5%-19.2%
11/12/20244.7%7.1%8.8%
7/30/20241.7%-4.9%2.5%
5/2/20247.2%9.9%6.9%
2/22/20242.0%3.7%13.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151415
# Negative9109
Median Positive4.7%7.0%10.3%
Median Negative-2.8%-5.1%-8.1%
Max Positive15.1%15.9%45.0%
Max Negative-10.6%-11.0%-19.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021