Tearsheet

Warner Music (WMG)


Market Price (7/14/2026): $28.81 | Market Cap: $15.0 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Warner Music (WMG)


Market Price (7/14/2026): $28.81
Market Cap: $15.0 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Music Streaming, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%

Key risks
WMG key risks include [1] an over-dependence on a limited number of digital music services for revenue, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Music Streaming, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%
5 Key risks
WMG key risks include [1] an over-dependence on a limited number of digital music services for revenue, Show more.

WMG in ETFs

Weight = WMG's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IJH0.12%
VB0.05%
IVOO0.13%
MDYG0.12%
VBK0.12%
IJK0.12%
+10 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/9/2026

Warner Music (WMG) stock has gained about 15% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Fiscal Q2 2026 Financial Results: Warner Music Group (WMG) reported robust fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on May 7, 2026, significantly surpassing market expectations. The company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.44 exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.30 by $0.14. Additionally, total revenue for the quarter increased by 17% year-over-year (12% in constant currency) to $1.73 billion, outperforming analyst estimates of $1.61 billion.

2. Robust Streaming Revenue Growth and Market Share Expansion: The company demonstrated strong performance in its core business segments, particularly in streaming. Recorded Music streaming revenue increased by 16.5% (12.1% in constant currency), with subscription streaming accelerating to 15% growth (adjusted for certain impacts). This growth was attributed to positive market share trends and price increases implemented by major streaming platforms, including Spotify's U.S. Premium price hike in February.

Show more
Updated on 7/9/2026

Warner Music (WMG) stock has gained about 15% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Fiscal Q2 2026 Financial Results: Warner Music Group (WMG) reported robust fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on May 7, 2026, significantly surpassing market expectations. The company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.44 exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.30 by $0.14. Additionally, total revenue for the quarter increased by 17% year-over-year (12% in constant currency) to $1.73 billion, outperforming analyst estimates of $1.61 billion.

2. Robust Streaming Revenue Growth and Market Share Expansion: The company demonstrated strong performance in its core business segments, particularly in streaming. Recorded Music streaming revenue increased by 16.5% (12.1% in constant currency), with subscription streaming accelerating to 15% growth (adjusted for certain impacts). This growth was attributed to positive market share trends and price increases implemented by major streaming platforms, including Spotify's U.S. Premium price hike in February.

3. Strategic Investments and Enhanced AI Integration: WMG made several strategic moves aimed at expanding its global reach and strengthening its intellectual property (IP) capabilities. In April 2026, the company announced a strategic investment and expansive partnership with TuStreams, a prominent independent force in the Música Mexicana genre, to accelerate its global growth. Furthermore, in June 2026, Warner Music Group acquired Sureel AI, a move designed to enhance its capabilities for the protection, control, and monetization of its intellectual property. The company also expanded its ADA independent distribution and label services division across EMEA, integrating acquired regional distributors and advanced technology solutions.

4. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Revisions: Following the strong fiscal Q2 2026 performance and strategic initiatives, Wall Street analysts largely maintained or upgraded their ratings and increased price targets for WMG. The consensus analyst rating for Warner Music Group remained a "Buy," with an average 12-month price target ranging from approximately $38.12 to $39.33, indicating a significant upside potential for the stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 13.2% change in WMG stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 43.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)33120267132026Change
Stock Price ($)25.4028.7513.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,8817,1293.6%
Net Income Margin (%)4.4%6.3%43.0%
P/E Multiple43.533.2-23.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5225220.0%
Cumulative Contribution13.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WMG13.2% 
Market (SPY)15.2%16.5%
Sector (XLC)0.7%33.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -5.1% change in WMG stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -23.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257132026Change
Stock Price ($)30.3128.75-5.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,7077,1296.3%
Net Income Margin (%)5.4%6.3%16.5%
P/E Multiple43.333.2-23.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5225220.0%
Cumulative Contribution-5.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WMG-5.1% 
Market (SPY)10.2%30.3%
Sector (XLC)-4.9%42.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.1% change in WMG stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020257132026Change
Stock Price ($)26.5928.758.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,3347,12912.6%
Net Income Margin (%)7.1%6.3%-11.2%
P/E Multiple30.633.28.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)520522-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution8.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WMG8.1% 
Market (SPY)22.3%25.3%
Sector (XLC)3.8%34.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 18.0% change in WMG stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 22.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020237132026Change
Stock Price ($)24.3628.7518.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,8167,12922.6%
Net Income Margin (%)7.4%6.3%-13.8%
P/E Multiple29.433.213.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)516522-1.2%
Cumulative Contribution18.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WMG18.0% 
Market (SPY)75.0%30.7%
Sector (XLC)76.9%35.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
WMG Return15%-17%4%-11%1%-4%-14%
Peers Return19%-54%86%88%20%4%139%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%11%102%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WMG Win Rate58%50%58%42%58%43% 
Peers Win Rate46%21%62%75%54%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WMG Max Drawdown-18%-49%-37%-25%-28%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-59%-24%-15%-28%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SPOT, LYV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/13/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventWMGS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-26.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven361 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-28.1%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.1%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven88 days31 days

Compare to SPOT, LYV

In The Past

Warner Music's stock fell -26.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 35.3% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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EventWMGS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-26.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven361 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-28.1%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.1%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven88 days31 days

Compare to SPOT, LYV

In The Past

Warner Music's stock fell -26.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 35.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Warner Music (WMG)

Warner Music Group (WMG) is a prominent global music entertainment company primarily operating through two key segments: Recorded Music and Music Publishing. At its core, WMG is involved in identifying, developing, and promoting musical talent worldwide, as well as managing and monetizing an extensive library of songs and compositions across various genres.

The Recorded Music segment is responsible for discovering and nurturing recording artists. Under an umbrella of well-known labels such as Warner Records and Atlantic Records, this segment handles the entire lifecycle of an artist's music, from marketing and promotion to global distribution, sales, and licensing. Its main products are recorded music and video, which are sold and distributed to a broad array of customers through retailers, wholesale distributors, online physical retailers, and digital platforms including streaming and download services.

The Music Publishing segment focuses on owning and administering the rights to a vast catalog of approximately one million musical compositions, spanning numerous genres from pop and rock to classical and hip-hop. This segment works with around 100,000 songwriters and composers, licensing their works for use in films, television shows, commercials, and by other recording artists. It also manages music and soundtracks for third-party television and film producers, ensuring that composers and rights holders are compensated for the commercial use of their musical intellectual property.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Warner Music (WMG):

  • Penguin Random House for music
  • Universal Pictures for music

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Here are the major services provided by Warner Music Group (WMG):

  • Recorded Music Production & Artist Management: Warner Music discovers, develops, markets, promotes, and manages the careers of recording artists, producing and bringing their music to market.
  • Music Distribution & Sales: The company distributes and sells recorded music and video content through various channels, including physical retailers, online platforms, and streaming services.
  • Recorded Music Licensing: Warner Music licenses its vast catalog of recorded music for use in various media, generating royalties and other licensing fees.
  • Music Publishing & Rights Administration: This segment owns, acquires, and administers the rights to musical compositions for songwriters and composers, including managing rights for film and television soundtracks.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Warner Music Group (WMG) primarily sells to other companies that then distribute or license its music and compositions to individual consumers. Its major customers include:

  • Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE: SPOT)
  • Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL)
  • Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN)
  • Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL)

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Robert Kyncl, Chief Executive Officer, Warner Music Group

Mr. Kyncl joined Warner Music Group as Chief Executive Officer on January 1, 2023. He previously served as the Chief Business Officer of YouTube for 12 years, where he was responsible for creative and commercial partnerships, product operations, and marketing. At YouTube, he led the development of the creator ecosystem and original content initiatives, and oversaw the launch of paid subscription services like YouTube Music, YouTube Premium, and YouTube TV. Before YouTube, Mr. Kyncl spent seven years at Netflix, where he spearheaded the company's expansion into streaming film and television content. He began his career at a talent agency, then worked for HBO International, and a kids' entertainment start-up called ALFY.

Armin Zerza, Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer, Warner Music Group

Mr. Zerza joined Warner Music Group as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective May 5, 2025. Prior to joining WMG, he served as Chief Financial Officer of Activision Blizzard, beginning in 2021, and also held the role of Chief Commercial Officer. Mr. Zerza played a pivotal role in Activision Blizzard's acquisition by Microsoft. Before Activision Blizzard, he accumulated over two decades of senior leadership experience at Procter & Gamble, where he held various CFO positions across different divisions and on the global M&A team.

Carianne Marshall, Co-Chair & COO, Warner Chappell Music

Ms. Marshall serves as the Co-Chair and Chief Operating Officer of Warner Chappell Music.

Guy Moot, Co-Chair & CEO, Warner Chappell Music

Mr. Moot holds the position of Co-Chair and Chief Executive Officer of Warner Chappell Music.

Carletta Higginson, Executive Vice President & Chief Digital Officer, Warner Music Group

Ms. Higginson is the Executive Vice President and Chief Digital Officer for Warner Music Group, overseeing the company's global digital partnerships and exploring commercial innovation. Before joining WMG, she spent a decade at Google, where her most recent role was Global Head of Music Publishing at YouTube, leading the platform's licensing strategy.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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The key risks to Warner Music Group's (WMG) business are:

  1. Dependence on Digital Music Services and Streaming Platform Dominance: Warner Music Group heavily relies on a limited number of digital music services, such as Spotify and Apple Music, for the distribution and monetization of its music. This reliance exposes WMG to risks associated with changes in service terms, pricing structures, and the market dominance of these platforms. The increasing power of digital streaming platforms can lead to margin compression and affect royalty rates, impacting WMG's revenue streams and market position.
  2. Regulatory and Copyright Challenges, including Artificial Intelligence (AI): WMG operates within a complex legal framework concerning copyright laws and regulations, which directly impacts its business operations. Risks include potential changes in royalty rates, evolving data privacy laws, and new music regulations, particularly those affecting the streaming business. The emergence of AI-generated music poses a significant challenge, raising concerns about potential devaluation of WMG's catalog, pressure on royalty economics, and the unauthorized use of copyrighted works to train AI models. While WMG has engaged in litigation and licensing agreements to address AI-related infringements, this remains an evolving and complex risk.
  3. Intense Industry Competition: The music industry is highly competitive, with Warner Music Group constantly vying for market share and artist loyalty. WMG faces significant competition from other major record labels, such as Universal Music Group and Sony Music Entertainment, which often possess greater scale and resources. Additionally, the growing influence of independent labels and artist-services companies, often leveraging technology to offer more flexible deals, intensifies the competitive landscape. WMG's position as the "number three" major label can limit its bargaining power and scale efficiencies compared to its larger rivals.
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The rise of generative artificial intelligence (AI) tools capable of composing original music, generating lyrics, and simulating vocal performances presents a clear emerging threat. This technology could potentially devalue human-created musical intellectual property, introduce complex challenges to existing copyright and ownership models for both recorded music and compositions, and create an oversaturated market with AI-generated content. This directly impacts Warner Music Group's core business of discovering, developing, marketing, and monetizing music created by human artists and songwriters.

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For Warner Music Group (WMG), the addressable markets for its main products and services are as follows:

  • Recorded Music: The global recorded music market reached US$29.6 billion in 2024. This market experienced its tenth consecutive year of growth, with every region showing an increase. Streaming continued to be the dominant revenue source, accounting for 69.0% of global recorded music revenues in 2024.
  • Music Publishing: The global music publishing revenues accrued to music publishers and songwriters amounted to approximately US$17.1 billion (€15.8 billion) in 2023. While the global market value specifically for music publishers was €9.8 billion in 2023, the broader figure includes revenues from collective management organizations and direct licensing, reflecting the comprehensive scope of music publishing activities.

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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Warner Music (WMG) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Growth in Subscription Streaming and Price Increases: Warner Music Group anticipates continued revenue growth from subscription streaming services. This growth is expected to be bolstered by ongoing price increases implemented by Digital Service Providers (DSPs). Management has noted that these agreements are shifting the industry towards price-driven growth, providing greater economic certainty.
  2. International Expansion in Emerging Markets: WMG is strategically focused on expanding its presence in high-growth international markets. This includes regions such as Brazil, which has shown significant growth in its recorded music market.
  3. Strategic Acquisitions and Catalog Monetization: The company plans to drive revenue by strategically acquiring independent labels and music catalogs. This strategy aims to bolster high-margin revenue streams and leverage advanced tools, including AI, to enhance and monetize existing music catalogs.
  4. Music Publishing Growth Across Digital, Performance, and Synchronization: Warner Music's Music Publishing segment is expected to continue its strong performance, with growth driven by digital deal renewals, particularly in the U.S. Additionally, increases in performance revenue from concerts, radio, and live events, along with synchronization revenue from higher television and commercial licensing activity, are anticipated to contribute significantly.
  5. AI Licensing and Partnerships: WMG is actively exploring and engaging in partnerships and licensing opportunities with artificial intelligence (AI) platforms. These agreements are structured around consumption-based, variable economics, with the company expecting AI initiatives to become a meaningful contributor to both revenue and margins in the coming years, particularly from fiscal year 2027 onwards.

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Share Repurchases

  • In November 2024, Warner Music Group's Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $100 million in Class A common stock, intended to offset dilution from the Omnibus Incentive Plan.
  • The company reported quarterly stock buybacks of $13.00 million for the period ending September 30, 2025.

Share Issuance

  • For the six months ended March 31, 2025, WMG issued 1,738,018 shares of Class A Common Stock to settle deferred equity units under the Senior Management Free Cash Flow Plan.
  • During the three and six months ended March 31, 2025, the company issued 730,903 and 794,789 shares of Class A Common Stock, respectively, to satisfy the vesting of Restricted Stock Units (RSUs) under the Omnibus Incentive Plan, net of shares used for employee income tax obligations.

Outbound Investments

  • In July 2025, Warner Music Group and Bain Capital launched a 50-50 joint venture to acquire legendary music catalogs across recorded music and music publishing, with a total investment capacity of up to $1.2 billion. WMG and Bain Capital each committed $250 million in equity, supported by an initial debt facility of approximately $500 million, expandable to $700 million.
  • In February 2025, WMG acquired a majority stake in Tempo Music, a music rights fund, marking its largest acquisition since early 2023. This acquisition included $302 million of subsidiary debt.
  • WMG acquired 300 Entertainment for $400 million in December 2021.

Capital Expenditures

  • For the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025, capital expenditures increased 20% to $139 million, up from $116 million in the prior fiscal year.
  • In the fiscal first quarter ended December 31, 2025, capital expenditures decreased 44% to $20 million from $36 million in the prior-year quarter, primarily due to higher investments in technology in the earlier period.
  • Capital expenditures frequently focus on investments in technology.

Better Bets vs. Warner Music (WMG)

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WMGSPOTLYVMedian
NameWarner M.Spotify .Live Nat. 
Mkt Price28.75479.84183.25183.25
Mkt Cap15.098.742.642.6
Rev LTM7,12917,52925,61217,529
Op Inc LTM1,1032,4047441,103
FCF LTM1973,1701,2051,205
FCF 3Y Avg3992,2011,0781,078
CFO LTM8433,2302,4132,413
CFO 3Y Avg8272,2301,8891,889

Growth & Margins

WMGSPOTLYVMedian
NameWarner M.Spotify .Live Nat. 
Rev Chg LTM12.6%8.0%12.6%12.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.2%13.2%13.3%13.2%
Rev Chg Q16.7%8.2%12.1%12.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.6%2.0%1.6%2.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM29.3%40.9%-23.2%29.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg18.2%541.4%-1.2%18.2%
Op Mgn LTM15.5%13.7%2.9%13.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.5%7.8%3.7%7.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%0.9%-2.0%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM11.8%18.4%9.4%11.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.5%13.5%7.9%12.5%
FCF/Rev LTM2.8%18.1%4.7%4.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.2%13.4%4.5%6.2%

Valuation

WMGSPOTLYVMedian
NameWarner M.Spotify .Live Nat. 
Mkt Cap15.098.742.642.6
P/S2.15.61.72.1
P/Op Inc13.641.157.341.1
P/EBIT19.634.548.534.5
P/E33.236.5509.036.5
P/CFO17.830.617.617.8
Total Yield5.6%2.7%0.2%2.7%
Dividend Yield2.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.5%2.4%3.6%2.5%
D/E0.30.00.20.2
Net D/E0.3-0.10.00.0

Returns

WMGSPOTLYVMedian
NameWarner M.Spotify .Live Nat. 
1M Rtn1.0%-0.4%6.2%1.0%
3M Rtn0.8%-4.8%10.6%0.8%
6M Rtn-6.0%-9.5%23.1%-6.0%
12M Rtn-1.1%-32.3%27.3%-1.1%
3Y Rtn6.7%178.9%94.0%94.0%
1M Excs Rtn-3.2%-8.0%6.0%-3.2%
3M Excs Rtn-8.8%-9.4%3.9%-8.8%
6M Excs Rtn-10.7%-21.9%15.9%-10.7%
12M Excs Rtn-21.3%-52.1%7.2%-21.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-55.8%136.0%29.6%29.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Recorded Music5,4085,2234,9554,9664,544
Music Publishing1,3061,2101,088958761
Corporate expenses and eliminations-7-7-6-5-4
Total6,7076,4266,0375,9195,301


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Recorded Music8509161,093796733
Music Publishing22423829613989
Corporate expenses and eliminations-380-331-154-221-213
Amortization expense  -245  
COVID-19 related costs  0  
Depreciation expense  -87  
Executive transition costs  -7  
Net gain on divestitures  41  
Non-cash stock-based compensation and other related costs  -52  
Restructuring and impairments  -42  
Transformation initiatives and other related costs  -53  
Total694823790714609


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Recorded Music5,3284,9454,6773,5153,278
Music Publishing3,4633,0172,7812,9542,843
Corporate expenses and eliminations1,0381,1931,0871,3591,090
Total9,8299,1558,5457,8287,211


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$28.75 
Market Cap ($ Bil)15.0 
First Trading Date06/03/2020 
Distance from 52W High-16.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$30.01$29.35
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA-4.2%-2.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility35.6%31.5%
Downside Capture20.6763.98
Upside Capture16.4548.12
Correlation (SPY)14.0%25.0%
WMG Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.150.410.790.860.680.60
Up Beta0.091.261.261.180.710.54
Down Beta-0.600.030.050.820.690.77
Up Capture-46%12%71%52%49%20%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days7193258125375
Down Capture116%48%77%97%81%81%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days14223066126371

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WMG
WMG-1.6%31.5%-0.03-
Sector ETF (XLC)5.6%13.8%0.1635.2%
Equity (SPY)20.8%12.6%1.2325.1%
Gold (GLD)20.0%27.9%0.6410.3%
Commodities (DBC)27.6%18.9%1.16-16.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.3%13.9%0.6632.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.8%42.7%-1.2818.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WMG
WMG-2.5%34.8%-0.00-
Sector ETF (XLC)7.4%20.7%0.2744.6%
Equity (SPY)13.0%17.1%0.5939.5%
Gold (GLD)17.0%18.3%0.756.6%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%19.5%0.292.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%18.9%0.0631.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.6%53.5%0.4420.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WMG
WMG0.8%34.8%0.12-
Sector ETF (XLC)9.2%22.2%0.4742.1%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7338.2%
Gold (GLD)11.3%16.1%0.577.2%
Commodities (DBC)6.3%18.0%0.286.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2129.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.7%66.2%0.9820.6%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 61520266.4%
Average Daily Volume2.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity522.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/10/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/20267.5%5.7%-2.8%
2/5/20263.1%1.3%-1.8%
11/20/2025-2.7%-8.2%-1.9%
8/7/20253.7%6.8%9.5%
5/8/2025-7.9%-9.4%-11.8%
2/6/2025-1.1%8.0%7.7%
11/21/2024-7.4%-4.7%-7.5%
8/7/20241.9%-0.7%0.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81111
# Negative151212
Median Positive5.3%5.7%5.8%
Median Negative-5.5%-5.5%-10.8%
Max Positive15.2%21.9%31.0%
Max Negative-9.6%-10.4%-18.5%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/20267.5%5.7%-2.8%
2/5/20263.1%1.3%-1.8%
11/20/2025-2.7%-8.2%-1.9%
8/7/20253.7%6.8%9.5%
5/8/2025-7.9%-9.4%-11.8%
2/6/2025-1.1%8.0%7.7%
11/21/2024-7.4%-4.7%-7.5%
8/7/20241.9%-0.7%0.8%
2/7/2024-2.5%0.8%-5.8%
11/16/2023-4.9%2.2%2.8%
8/8/20237.0%9.4%10.7%
5/9/2023-9.6%-7.5%-12.3%
2/9/2023-4.3%-5.2%-18.5%
11/22/202215.2%21.9%31.0%
8/9/2022-7.9%-5.5%-14.3%
5/10/2022-5.5%5.6%5.8%
2/8/2022-6.9%-7.4%-17.2%
11/15/2021-6.2%-10.4%-15.6%
8/3/20210.9%-5.4%3.1%
5/4/2021-5.7%-4.0%-9.8%
2/1/20217.0%8.4%1.4%
11/23/2020-3.3%2.7%29.8%
8/4/2020-3.3%-2.6%0.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81111
# Negative151212
Median Positive5.3%5.7%5.8%
Median Negative-5.5%-5.5%-10.8%
Max Positive15.2%21.9%31.0%
Max Negative-9.6%-10.4%-18.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/09/202610-Q
09/30/202511/20/202510-K
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/06/202510-Q
09/30/202411/21/202410-K
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/08/202410-Q
09/30/202311/21/202310-K
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202202/09/202310-Q
09/30/202211/22/202210-K
06/30/202208/09/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/09/202610-Q
09/30/202511/20/202510-K
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/06/202510-Q
09/30/202411/21/202410-K
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/08/202410-Q
09/30/202311/21/202310-K
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202202/09/202310-Q
09/30/202211/22/202210-K
06/30/202208/09/202210-Q
03/31/202205/10/202210-Q
12/31/202102/08/202210-Q
09/30/202111/23/202110-K
06/30/202108/03/202110-Q
03/31/202105/04/202110-Q
12/31/202002/01/202110-Q
09/30/202011/23/202010-K
06/30/202008/04/202010-Q
03/31/202005/07/202010-Q
12/31/201901/31/202010-Q
09/30/201911/27/201910-K
06/30/201908/06/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/12/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Full-Year Margin Expansion1.5%2.0%2.0% 0.2%RaisedGuidance: 1.75% for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 2/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Operating Margin Improvement1.5%1.75%2.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 1.75% for 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 5/26/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Zerza, ArminChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy1212202528.1235,7781,006,0777,145,826Form
2Blavatnik, Valentin DirectBuy1204202527.8835,810998,3832,901,583Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Zerza, ArminChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy1212202528.1235,7781,006,0777,145,826Form
2Blavatnik, Valentin DirectBuy1204202527.8835,810998,3832,901,583Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 14, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank and community-bank filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Darlington Partners Capital Management, LP$192.9 Mil8.7%10ADD +13.5%13F
Darsana Capital Partners LP$302.6 Mil6.4%14ADD +48.1%13F
Independent Franchise Partners LLP$332.9 Mil2.3%26Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Darsana Capital Partners LP$302.6 Mil6.4%14ADD +48.1%13F
Darlington Partners Capital Management, LP$192.9 Mil8.7%10ADD +13.5%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Independent Franchise Partners LLP$332.9 Mil2.3%26Hold13F
Darsana Capital Partners LP$302.6 Mil6.4%14ADD +48.1%13F
Darlington Partners Capital Management, LP$192.9 Mil8.7%10ADD +13.5%13F

Industry Resources

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IndieWire
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Core Cache Last Updated: 7/13/2026