Tearsheet

Vivid Seats (SEAT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.87 | Market Cap: $51.1 Mil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Vivid Seats (SEAT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.87
Market Cap: $51.1 Mil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -68%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -146%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -36 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.5%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 241%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -27%
3   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -148%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -68%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -146%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -36 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.5%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 241%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -27%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -148%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SEAT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

I cannot provide information regarding stock movements for the specified future time period of August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, as I do not have access to future data. Therefore, I cannot highlight the key points for why the stock moved by -57.5% during that time.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SEAT Return-10%-33%-13%-27%-92%-96%
Peers Return43%24%-25%25%3%7%83%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SEAT Win Rate50%50%25%42%33%10% 
Peers Win Rate27%35%18%35%27%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SEAT Max Drawdown--3%-40%-22%-48%-92% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-12%-28%-8%-17%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: Z, ZIP, STUB, WSHP, GOOGL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSEATS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-58.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven140.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-4.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven11 days148 days

Compare to Z, ZIP, STUB, WSHP, GOOGL


In The Past

Vivid Seats's stock fell -58.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/28/2021. A -58.4% loss requires a 140.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Vivid Seats (SEAT)

Better Bets than Vivid Seats (SEAT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SEAT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Vivid Seats

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SEATZZIPSTUBWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameVivid Se.Zillow ZipRecru.Stubhub WeShop Alphabet  
Mkt Price7.5576.015.4010.78145.00319.6343.40
Mkt Cap0.018.40.5--3,863.09.4
Rev LTM6442,483448--385,4771,563
Op Inc LTM-36-90-27--124,077-31
FCF LTM-301498--73,55278
FCF 3Y Avg3518756--68,998122
CFO LTM-641816--151,424217
CFO 3Y Avg5438766--120,990226

Growth & Margins

SEATZZIPSTUBWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameVivid Se.Zillow ZipRecru.Stubhub WeShop Alphabet  
Rev Chg LTM-16.8%15.2%-10.1%--13.4%1.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.5%7.0%-20.7%--11.0%5.2%
Rev Chg Q-26.9%16.4%-1.8%--15.9%7.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-7.2%4.0%-0.5%--3.8%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM-5.5%-3.6%-6.1%--32.2%-4.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.9%-8.5%3.6%--29.9%4.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-5.2%1.9%-0.4%---0.5%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-0.9%16.8%3.5%--39.3%10.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.6%17.8%10.9%--35.3%14.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.7%6.0%1.8%--19.1%3.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.9%8.8%9.2%--20.5%9.0%

Valuation

SEATZZIPSTUBWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameVivid Se.Zillow ZipRecru.Stubhub WeShop Alphabet  
Mkt Cap0.018.40.5--3,863.09.4
P/S0.27.50.8--7.64.2
P/EBIT-0.5-2,333.9-46.1--19.3-23.3
P/E-0.7-583.5-8.5--23.6-4.6
P/CFO-19.244.723.1--19.421.3
Total Yield-143.7%-0.2%-11.8%--4.6%-6.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.9%1.4%5.6%--3.3%2.3%
D/E3.80.01.5--0.00.8
Net D/E2.4-0.10.4---0.00.2

Returns

SEATZZIPSTUBWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameVivid Se.Zillow ZipRecru.Stubhub WeShop Alphabet  
1M Rtn-38.1%1.8%29.8%-39.8%-12.7%1.8%
3M Rtn-51.2%-9.0%4.9%--38.7%-2.1%
6M Rtn-75.3%8.3%-16.3%--90.6%-4.0%
12M Rtn-88.8%-9.5%-36.2%--87.4%-22.9%
3Y Rtn-95.6%96.5%-67.2%--220.4%14.6%
1M Excs Rtn-38.1%1.8%29.8%-39.8%-12.7%1.8%
3M Excs Rtn-56.4%-14.5%-1.1%--32.4%-7.8%
6M Excs Rtn-90.0%-6.5%-31.0%--75.9%-18.7%
12M Excs Rtn-103.0%-23.8%-52.6%--76.5%-38.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-167.5%42.6%-141.4%--162.3%-49.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Marketplace59751139023404
Resale11589531265
Total71360044335469


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Marketplace229190157-29172
Resale282214112
Change in fair value of contingent consideration12   
Depreciation and amortization-17-8-2-48-93
General and administrative-159-128-92-66-101
Impairment charges   -574 
Total817877-716-10


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity696,542
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.5%
Average Daily Volume175,673
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.96
Basic Shares Quantity6,490,954
Short % of Basic Shares10.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024312202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023308202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022307202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021315202210-K 12/31/2021