Tearsheet

TKO (TKO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $197.12 | Market Cap: $16.1 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment

TKO (TKO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $197.12
Market Cap: $16.1 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Video Streaming, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Video Streaming, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TKO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why TKO's stock moved by 3.2% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Increased Full-Year Guidance.

TKO Group Holdings reported robust Q3 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025, with revenue of $1.120 billion and a net income of $106.8 million. The company also announced a 59% increase in Adjusted EBITDA to $360.2 million. Following this strong performance, TKO raised its full-year 2025 guidance for revenue and Adjusted EBITDA for the third consecutive quarter.

2. Initiation of a $1 Billion Share Repurchase Program and Doubled Quarterly Dividend.

On September 15, 2025, TKO's board authorized a $1 billion share repurchase plan. An accelerated share repurchase (ASR) of $800 million was initiated on September 16, 2025, with completion expected in early December 2025. Additionally, the company doubled its quarterly cash dividend, which was paid on September 30, 2025. These capital allocation strategies often signal confidence from management and can positively influence stock performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TKO Return----74%38%141%
Peers Return47%1%-25%22%15%6%64%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TKO Win Rate---33%83%60% 
Peers Win Rate33%21%21%27%29%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TKO Max Drawdown-----7%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-10%-11%-34%-5%-12%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NFLX, ANGX, DCR, INHI, PSKY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

TKO has limited trading history. Below is the Communication Services sector ETF (XLC) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven602 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven112 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days

Compare to


In The Past

The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund's stock fell -47.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/1/2021. A -47.2% loss requires a 89.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About TKO (TKO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TKO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for TKO

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TKONFLXANGXDCRINHIPSKYMedian
NameTKO Netflix Angel St.DCR Tech Unitrend.Paramoun. 
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Growth & Margins

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Valuation

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Returns

TKONFLXANGXDCRINHIPSKYMedian
NameTKO Netflix Angel St.DCR Tech Unitrend.Paramoun. 
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Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,750,053
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.5%
Average Daily Volume1,426,558
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.73
Basic Shares Quantity81,520,538
Short % of Basic Shares8.3%

Returns Analyses

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
33120236232023S-4/A 3/31/2023
123120228222023424B3 12/31/2022