Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $51.52 | Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Facilities
Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $51.52Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Leisure Facilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 55% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.5% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -100% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 61x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Live Event Production & Management. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.5% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Live Event Production & Management. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -100% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 55% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 61x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MSGE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the 26.6% stock movement for Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:
1. Strong Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results and Positive Momentum
On August 13, 2025, Madison Square Garden Entertainment reported robust fiscal year 2025 results, showcasing revenue of $942.7 million and adjusted operating income of $222.5 million. The company highlighted strong venue performance and diversified revenue streams, which established a positive financial outlook leading into the specified period.
2. Significant Share Repurchase Program
The company demonstrated confidence in its valuation and commitment to shareholder returns by repurchasing approximately $40 million of its Class A common stock during fiscal year 2025. This was further augmented by an additional repurchase of roughly $25 million in Class A common stock between August 20, 2025, and September 11, 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MSGE Return | - | -33% | 0% | -55% | 12% | 45% | -51% |
| Peers Return | -10% | -10% | |||||
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MSGE Win Rate | 38% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 27% | 31% | |||||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MSGE Max Drawdown | - | -41% | 0% | -60% | -5% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | ||||||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FUN, NOMA, NTV, TRON, AS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MSGE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -75.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 314.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -25.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 148 days |
Compare to FUN, NOMA, NTV, TRON, AS
In The Past
Madison Square Garden Entertainment's stock fell -75.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/8/2021. A -75.9% loss requires a 314.4% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| How Low Can Madison Square Garden Entertainment Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| MSGE Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Time To Buy Madison Square Garden Entertainment Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | September 13th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MSGE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Madison Square Garden Entertainment
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.4 |
| Rev LTM | 962 |
| Op Inc LTM | 138 |
| FCF LTM | -1 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 22 |
| CFO LTM | 81 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 146 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 21.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -12.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -23.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.4 |
| P/S | 2.2 |
| P/EBIT | 20.4 |
| P/E | 61.2 |
| P/CFO | 10.1 |
| Total Yield | 1.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -8.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -22.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 33.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -26.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -9.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -19.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -19.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 24.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -100.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticketing and venue license fee revenues | 463 | 396 | 250 | 8 | |
| Sponsorship and signage, suite, and advertising commission revenues | 254 | 243 | 219 | 43 | |
| Food, beverage and merchandise revenues | 162 | 136 | 110 | 3 | |
| Arena license fees and other leasing revenue | 73 | 72 | 71 | 24 | |
| Other | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| Event-related and entertainment offerings | 391 | ||||
| Revenues from Arena License Agreements, leases and subleases | 0 | ||||
| Sponsorship, signage and suite licenses | 177 | ||||
| Total | 959 | 851 | 653 | 82 | 585 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8132025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8162024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8182023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5182023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 6302022 | 3302023 | 10-12B/A 6/30/2022 |
External Quote Links
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