Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $52.52 | Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Facilities
Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $52.52Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Leisure Facilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.8% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 71x |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.6% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -96% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% | Key risksMSGE key risks include [1] its substantial debt load and inconsistent financial performance, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Live Event Production & Management. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.6% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Live Event Production & Management. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.8% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -96% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 71x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8% |
| Key risksMSGE key risks include [1] its substantial debt load and inconsistent financial performance, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MSGE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE), from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 19, 2025, the stock's 29.3% movement can be attributed to several key positive developments.
1. Strong Fiscal 2026 First Quarter Results: On November 6, 2025, Madison Square Garden Entertainment reported its fiscal 2026 first-quarter results, surpassing analyst expectations for earnings per share (EPS) and slightly exceeding revenue estimates. The company reported an EPS of -$0.46 against a consensus estimate of -$0.59, and revenue of $158.26 million, topping the anticipated $156.62 million. This represented a 14.1% increase in revenue compared to the same quarter last year.
2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Increases: Several financial analysts reacted positively to the company's prospects. On October 1, 2025, Goldman Sachs Group raised its price target for MSGE from $42.00 to $52.00, maintaining a "buy" rating. Subsequently, on December 11, 2025, Susquehanna increased its price target from $51.00 to $61.00, reiterating a "positive" rating and suggesting a potential upside. The overall analyst consensus rating for MSGE stock is "Buy".
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MSGE Return | � | -33% | 0% | -55% | 12% | 46% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MSGE Win Rate | 38% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 32% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MSGE Max Drawdown | � | -41% | 0% | -60% | -5% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FUN, NOMA, AS, PLNT, LTH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MSGE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -75.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 314.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -25.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 148 days |
Compare to FUN, NOMA, AS, PLNT, LTH
In The Past
Madison Square Garden Entertainment's stock fell -75.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/8/2021. A -75.9% loss requires a 314.4% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MSGE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.6% | 3.6% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.4% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.9% | 11.9% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.6% | 3.6% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.4% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.9% | 11.9% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Madison Square Garden Entertainment
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 32.33 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.8 |
| Rev LTM | 2,101 |
| Op Inc LTM | 313 |
| FCF LTM | 71 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 74 |
| CFO LTM | 333 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 349 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 19.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.8 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/EBIT | 23.0 |
| P/E | 45.2 |
| P/CFO | 11.4 |
| Total Yield | 1.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 18.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 41.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 0.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -28.3% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticketing and venue license fee revenues | 463 | 396 | 250 | 8 | |
| Sponsorship and signage, suite, and advertising commission revenues | 254 | 243 | 219 | 43 | |
| Food, beverage and merchandise revenues | 162 | 136 | 110 | 3 | |
| Arena license fees and other leasing revenue | 73 | 72 | 71 | 24 | |
| Other | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| Event-related and entertainment offerings | 391 | ||||
| Revenues from Arena License Agreements, leases and subleases | 0 | ||||
| Sponsorship, signage and suite licenses | 177 | ||||
| Total | 959 | 851 | 653 | 82 | 585 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | -0.6% | 9.0% | 17.4% |
| 8/13/2025 | -8.5% | -6.6% | 7.7% |
| 5/6/2025 | 4.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% |
| 2/6/2025 | -0.3% | 7.3% | -11.2% |
| 11/8/2024 | -9.1% | -16.9% | -14.3% |
| 8/16/2024 | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% |
| 5/9/2024 | -7.5% | -7.7% | -14.2% |
| 2/7/2024 | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| # Negative | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% |
| Median Negative | -6.3% | -7.2% | -12.7% |
| Max Positive | 12.8% | 13.5% | 23.0% |
| Max Negative | -9.1% | -16.9% | -14.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8132025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8162024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8182023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5182023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 6302022 | 3302023 | 10-12B/A 6/30/2022 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |