Liberty Latin America (LILA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.685 | Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Liberty Latin America (LILA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.685Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.6% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 469% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.4% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -48% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Wireless Services, and Telecom Infrastructure. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Wireless Services, and Telecom Infrastructure. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.6% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 469% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.4% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -48% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LILA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Liberty Latin America (LILA) experienced a notable 7.7% movement in its stock, specifically a 7.74% increase on November 6, 2025. This surge followed the release of the company's robust third-quarter 2025 financial results the previous day and occurred on the day of its investor call. Key factors contributing to this movement include:
1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat: Liberty Latin America reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.02 for the third quarter of 2025, significantly surpassing the consensus analyst estimate of a ($0.06) loss. The company also exceeded revenue expectations, reporting $1.11 billion against analyst estimates of $1.09 billion.
2. Significant Improvement in Profitability: The company demonstrated a substantial turnaround in its financial performance, achieving a positive net profit of $3 million attributable to shareholders in Q3 2025, a considerable improvement compared to a $436 million loss in the same period a year prior.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LILA Return | -39% | 5% | -35% | -3% | -13% | 37% | -52% |
| Peers Return | -11% | -5% | 0% | -3% | 1% | 15% | -5% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LILA Win Rate | 33% | 50% | 17% | 42% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 33% | 33% | 35% | 38% | 40% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LILA Max Drawdown | -58% | -9% | -49% | -15% | -18% | -29% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -9% | -16% | -19% | -15% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: T, ATNI, ELWT, VTEK, VZ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LILA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -59.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 147.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -61.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 158.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -48.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to T, ATNI, ELWT, VTEK, VZ
In The Past
Liberty Latin America's stock fell -59.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2021. A -59.5% loss requires a 147.2% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LILA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Liberty Latin America
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.61 |
| Mkt Cap | 86.8 |
| Rev LTM | 4,433 |
| Op Inc LTM | 685 |
| FCF LTM | 221 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 8,147 |
| CFO LTM | 743 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 18,954 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 86.8 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | -1.2 |
| P/E | 3.4 |
| P/CFO | 3.5 |
| Total Yield | -0.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 11.6% |
| D/E | 1.9 |
| Net D/E | 1.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 13.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 21.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 6.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -50.3% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cable & Wireless (C&W) Caribbean | 1,437 | 1,437 | 1,390 | ||
| Liberty Puerto Rico | 1,418 | 1,464 | 1,450 | 624 | 412 |
| Cable & Wireless (C&W) Panama | 743 | 643 | 568 | 500 | 583 |
| Liberty Costa Rica | 548 | 441 | 258 | 140 | 1,074 |
| Liberty Networks | 453 | 451 | 432 | ||
| Corporate | 24 | 22 | 22 | 3 | |
| VTR Finance N.V. and its subsidiaries (VTR) | 0 | 451 | 788 | 809 | |
| Intersegment eliminations | -111 | -99 | -92 | -18 | -14 |
| Cable & Wireless (C&W) Caribbean and Networks | 1,707 | 1,813 | |||
| Total | 4,511 | 4,809 | 4,815 | 3,765 | 3,867 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cable & Wireless (C&W) Caribbean | 597 | 535 | 483 | ||
| Liberty Puerto Rico | 486 | 531 | 581 | 277 | 203 |
| Liberty Networks | 262 | 276 | 264 | ||
| Cable & Wireless (C&W) Panama | 228 | 189 | 200 | 177 | 228 |
| Liberty Costa Rica | 203 | 135 | 80 | 55 | 434 |
| VTR Finance N.V. and its subsidiaries (VTR) | 0 | 116 | 260 | 307 | |
| Corporate | -73 | -72 | -53 | -44 | -55 |
| Impairment, restructuring and other operating items, net | -87 | -619 | -665 | -375 | -259 |
| Share-based compensation and other Employee Incentive Plan-related expense | -89 | -94 | -118 | -98 | -58 |
| Depreciation and amortization | -1,008 | -911 | -965 | -919 | -871 |
| Cable & Wireless (C&W) Caribbean and Networks | 713 | 732 | |||
| Total | 518 | 86 | 67 | 93 | 354 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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